Best World Cup Prediction Markets: This Week's Most Promising Market Trades June 30

Written By Justin Carlucci | Published at June 30, 2026
Soccer Football - FIFA World Cup 2026 - Norway Training - Southern Methodist University, Dallas, Texas, U.S. - June 29, 2026 Norway's Erling Haaland during training REUTERS/Hannah Mckay

The World Cup knockout stage has been absolutely chaotic, and everything has lived up to the hype. Tuesday's slate brings a few massive matchups, and the prediction market sites are handing us some really good prices. Let's dive into the best World Cup prediction markets on Polymarket for Tuesday.

Before we dive in, here are the three World Cup matches scheduled for today:

Best World Cup Prediction Markets Today: Tuesday, June 30

Viktor Gyokeres over 0.5 goals is trading at 19 cents on Polymarket for Tuesday's France vs. Sweden matchup at 5 p.m. EST, meaning a $10 position returns roughly $51 if he finds the net.

I do think France rolls here, but if Sweden has any shot, it might go exactly as Gyokeres goes. He's an extremely crafty player with a nose for goal — he scored in the World Cup group stage against Tunisia and has shown he's not afraid of the big moment. In the 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign, he had four goals across six matches.

At Arsenal this past season, he put together a great season with 14 goals in the English Premier League. He's a proven scorer at every level, and Sweden will need him to step up to have any chance of knocking off France on Tuesday. At 19 cents, this is a really good price on a guy who can produce in big games.

Best Trade: Viktor Gyokeres Over 0.5 Goals — 19¢ (Yes)

World Cup Prediction Markets Today: Erling Haaland to Score 

Now, for the Norway vs. Ivory Coast game at 1 p.m. EST. When in doubt, back Erling Haaland. He's squarely on the map as one of the top five strikers on the planet right now, and you can get him at over 0.5 goals for 55 cents. However, if you want a better price, his over 1.5 goals market is trading at 20 cents, meaning a $10 position returns $50 if he scores twice.

Haaland is fresh off a monster 27-goal Premier League season for Manchester City across 35 appearances. In the World Cup group stage, he's been equally dominant, scoring four goals and logging the full 90 minutes in back-to-back games.

In a winner-take-all knockout match, I would not expect him to come off the pitch, and that playing time is critical for props like these. The cream has been rising to the top in this tournament, and Haaland is right at the surface. I like both markets, but size your risk accordingly.

Best Trade: Erling Haaland Over 0.5 Goals — 55¢ (Yes)

Best Trade: Erling Haaland Over 1.5 Goals — 20¢ (Yes)

It's going to be a wild Tuesday at the World Cup. Good luck, and let's capitalize on these World Cup event contracts on Polymarket!