Best World Cup Prediction Markets: This Week's Most Promising Market Trades June 23

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Written By Justin Carlucci | Published at June 23, 2026
Soccer Football - FIFA World Cup 2026 - Group L - England v Croatia - Dallas Stadium, Arlington, Texas, U.S. - June 17, 2026 England's Harry Kane during an interview after the match REUTERS/Hannah Mckay

Group play at the World Cup continues to heat up, and Tuesday's slate is loaded with intriguing matchups before we get to the round of 32 and the knockout stage. Let's dive into the best World Cup prediction markets on Polymarket for June 23rd!

Here are Tuesday's matchups:

Best World Cup Prediction Markets for June 23

Harry Kane over 1.5 goals is trading at 27 cents to the Yes on Polymarket right now, meaning a $10 position returns roughly $36 if he finds the net.

Call it a narrative or call it a trend, but the cream is rising to the top at this tournament. The world's best premier strikers are stuffing the stat sheet with multiple goals a game. Lionel Messi has done it. Kylian Mbappe has done it. Erling Haaland just did it again on Monday, scoring twice for the second straight match. Well, now it's Kane's turn.

Don't forget, Kane already scored twice himself in England's opener — a 4-2 win over Croatia. He's uber-talented, he's trading well above 50 cents just to find the net once, and I like him to do it twice. This is the guy who poured in goals at a video-game clip for Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga. I think there's a really good chance Kane gets to two.

Best Trade: Harry Kane Over 1.5 Goals — 27¢ (Yes)

World Cup Prediction Markets Today: Harry Kane Over 4.5 Shots

I'm doubling down on Kane today because there's a big price gap between his over 3.5 shots and over 4.5 shots markets. I'll take the over 4.5 shots, trading at 40 cents.

Here's the thing — Kane absolutely peppered the goal in the opener, firing seven shots against Croatia. That was four more than any of his teammates. This is a massive game for England, with both England and Ghana sitting at 1-0 in the group. Kane has been an absolute machine regardless of the badge on his chest, whether it's club or country, for his entire career. With volume like that and the stakes this high, I'm comfortable backing him to pile up the attempts again.

Best Trade: Harry Kane Over 4.5 Shots — 40¢ (Yes)

World Cup Winner Market: Updated Prices

Let's step back and take a look at the updated World Cup winner market on Polymarket. France still holds a commanding lead at the top of the board.

If you're a believer in the Americans, you can still get big-time bang for your buck at 3.5 cents. The favorites are favorites for a reason, but there's real value to hunt for down the board as the field tightens. The United States is set to play Turkiye on Thursday at 10 p.m. EST, but they already clinched a pass to the knockout stage.

When the dust settles, that's a strong Tuesday card built around the hottest striker market in the tournament. Good luck, and enjoy the World Cup!

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