Best World Cup Prediction Markets: This Week's Most Promising Market Trades June 12

The World Cup is heating up in a big way. Thursday delivered a couple of outstanding matches, and Friday night brings one of the most anticipated games of the early group stage. The USMNT opens Group D play against Paraguay at 9 p.m. EST in Los Angeles. Let's take a look at some of the best World Cup prediction markets before kickoff!

Best World Cup Prediction Markets for June 12

On Polymarket, the U.S. Men's National Team is currently trading at 47 cents to defeat Paraguay on Friday night. For example, risk $10, and you're returning just over $20 — essentially even money on a home nation playing in front of what figures to be an absolutely electric crowd in Los Angeles.

I get it. The USMNT has let fans down before, and that skepticism is baked into the price. But playing your opening group stage match on home turf in front of a roaring crowd is a nice advantage, and this United States squad is far from short on firepower.

It's worth noting that a draw is also in play here, which is part of why the price looks as attractive as it does — that's the risk you're absorbing. But when you factor in the home environment, the talent on the roster, and the magnitude of the occasion, 47 cents feels like a price worth buying into on this prediction market site.

Deposit $20 get $50

Code: LINES Copied!

Trade Now Polymarket Promo

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.

Christian Pulisic to Score — 29 cents

If you're buying the USMNT in the match winner market, it also makes sense for Christian Pulisic to find the net at 29 cents on Polymarket. The Hershey, PA native will look to lead the charge in the Americans' opener.

Pulisic plays for AC Milan in Serie A overseas, and if you're looking at his club stats from a macro view, they won't absolutely blow you away. But context matters enormously here. According to Transfermarkt.us, Pulisic played the full 90 minutes in just four of his 30 appearances for Milan last season. When you're logging limited minutes, your opportunities to produce are naturally reduced — the numbers don't tell the full story of what he might be capable of when given the keys.

Why did he only play the full 90 a few times? The best of the best play overseas, and there is always an influx of talent on the bigger clubs' rosters. However, that's not the case for the USMNT team.

In international play with the USMNT, Pulisic operates in a completely different capacity. He's the focal point of the attack; he should play a substantial amount of time, and the offense runs through him. The U.S. men's national team tends to go as Pulisic goes, and that's been the reality for years now.

Add in the electricity of a home crowd in LA, the natural jitters that come with playing in a foreign country for Paraguay — even after weeks of preparation — and you have a scenario where Pulisic, in a prominent role against a team with plenty of pressure of its own, is in a pretty attractive spot. At 29 cents, trading contracts on Pulisic to score is solid value.

Good luck, and have a great weekend!

Deposit $20 get $50

Code: LINES Copied!

Trade Now Polymarket Promo

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.