2028 Democratic Nominee Prediction Markets: AOC Tops the List

There are still two years until the Democrats pick their frontrunner for the White House race. However, traders are already ramping up the action in the 2028 Democratic nominee prediction markets.

Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortex, and value pick Jon Ossoff have been sharing the lead at Kalshi. But could a surprise pick like Kamala Harris upset the market?

As always, you should tread carefully in this volatile market. However, with over $180 million traded on Kalshi, there’s appetite and potential to buy and sell your position well before the nominees are chosen.

2028 Democratic Nominee Prediction Market: Frontrunners

The prediction markets love a political tussle, and they don’t come more intriguing than the race for the 2028 Democratic nominee ticket.

Smooth-talking Gavin Newsom was the clear favorite last year following some slick public engagements. However, things have settled down a little at Kalshi, and it’s now anyone’s to win according to traders.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: ‘Yes’ @ $0.18

AOC was trading at just $0.12 (behind Gavin Newsom’s $0.24) back in June. However, she’s made that back, and then some.

Ocasio-Cortez is the progressives’ choice and polls well amongst certain groups of Democrat voters. She’s also been attracting press attention for her decision to freeze her eggs. Certainly, if the Democratic Party believe a left-leaning choice can win them the White House, AOC is the one to go for.

Prediction markets are unsure, however, hence AOC’s near parity with Gavin Newsom. Our tip is to buy now at this low price. You can consider a sell-off should the Democrats perform well in the midterms and AOC’s price jumps.

Our pick: Buy ‘Yes’ on AOC at Kalshi, $0.18.

Gavin Newsom: ‘Yes’ @ $0.16

The center ground darling was the clear favorite in the race for the 2028 Democratic nominee for months. However, Gavin Newsom’s price has continued to dip: is his PR war against Donald Trump losing its edge?

Newsom has the advantage of being California governor, where the economy continues to do well. Plus, his state has Silicon Valley, which will become a key battleground in the next election on AI and the future of tech in the U.S.

Our pick: Slick Newsom still warrants a value trade at Kalshi, $0.16.

Jon Ossoff: ‘Yes’ @ $0.15

Jon Ossoff’s star has been on the rise in the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee race since March. He briefly overtook AOC in this prediction market and at 15% is on an even keel with Newsom in the minds of traders.

Firebrand speeches are Ossoff’s specialty. His latest came this week as he called Donald Trump’s Iran War “uniquely despicable”.

While Ossoff is focused on running for re-election in the November midterms, the Georgia senator obviously has the White House on his mind. Watch his price and time a buy when he’s about to make a speech.

Our pick: Buy Ossoff at Kalshi, $0.15.

Check back tomorrow for more insight into the big trending prediction markets.