Polymarket to Stop Sports Contracts in Michigan After Gaming Board Deal

Polymarket has held out, but it is now joining other prediction markets by withdrawing its sports event contracts for Michigan customers.
Under an agreement with the Michigan Gambling Control Board (MGCB), Polymarket will stop facilitating new sports event trades. All existing contracts must be resolved and closed out by Nov. 25.
It’s the latest strong move by Michigan, which has been fighting one of the toughest battles against prediction markets of all the regulated states. The MGCB argues that by offering sports contracts, prediction markets are effectively providing unlicensed sports betting.
Michigan Attorney General Chalks Another Win
Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel has been one of the most vocal opponents of prediction markets offering sports event contracts.
In March, she took the prediction markets head on by suing Kalshi, saying they were acting in violation of state betting laws. Michigan has had regulated online sports betting since 2019.
In a statement released this week, Nessel said that the government was “holding the national sports betting industry accountable to Michigan law.”
The key flashpoint here is that prediction markets say they aren’t sportsbooks at all. Rather, they are licensed and regulated on a federal basis by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The difference in viewpoints is likely to end up in the U.S. Supreme Court, possibly as early as next summer.
How Prediction Markets Shut Up Shop in MI
- March 2026: Polymarket sues Michigan in federal court in a preemptive strike against any state gambling law enforcement.
- March 2026: Michigan sues Kalshi, arguing it is in breach of the Lawful Sports Betting Act (LSBA). Kalshi later tries to move the case to a federal court.
- June 2026: A Michigan judge imposes a temporary restraining order on Kalshi to stop them offering sports contracts.
- July 2026: The CFTC orders Kalshi to continue honoring its outstanding sports event contracts.
- August 2026: Michigan attorney general temporarily bans Kalshi sports contracts.
- September 2026: Robinhood drops sports events contracts in Michigan. State AG warns Polymarket it will take legal action if it does not stop sports contracts.
- 9, 2026: Coinbase halts sports contracts in Michigan after a deal with the state gambling commission.
- October 2026: Polymarket US agrees deal with MGCB to stop offering sports contracts. Players have until Nov. 25 to close out their outstanding contracts.
Polymarket Follows Coinbase, Robinhood in MI
Polymarket’s legal tussles with Michigan stretch back most of the year. It took the state to federal court in March, with CLO Neal Kumar adding that “Polymarket continues to welcome discussion with regulators.” The company, he said, “appreciates [the] thoughtful engagement with other states.”
However, the Michigan Gaming Control Board gleefully reported that Polymarket had “backed down” amidst the state’s “relentless crackdown on unlicensed sports betting.”
Polymarket is the latest big prediction exchange to stop some of its markets in Michigan.
Last month, crypto exchange Coinbase halted sports contracts after negotiations with the MGCB.
The move came just weeks before Robinhood also removed sports event trading from its platform.
Pending Sixth Circuit Ruling Plays
Polymarket US had sued Michigan officials in March, but the court denied its request for a temporary restraining order. Polymarket appealed, and the ruling is still pending in the Sixth Circuit court.
The prediction market could pin its hopes of a more positive outcome on other states where exchanges have won out.
Multiple court challenges have gone the way of states seeking to protect regulated betting industries. Nevada was a recent victor against Kalshi in the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals. It upheld the state’s right to regulated sports-related contracts.
However, there have been small wins for the prediction markets this year. In April, the Third Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals ruled against the state of New Jersey in its fight against Kalshi.
Polymarket knows it can continue offering sports event contracts in other states where court action hasn’t reached it. And before an ultimate Supreme Court ruling is made – if it is made – predictions will continue operating in states that don’t oppose them.
With the NFL in full swing, the loss of fees for Polymarket will be big in Michigan. However, winning the long game could be worth much more.