Best Apps to Bet on Economy Prediction Markets in 2026
Participating on the economy prediction sites is one of the primary prediction market categories you can find at sites like Polymarket and Kalshi. However, we need to get the terminology right, explain the process, and discuss how economical trade contracts work.
Using our extensive knowledge of economic prediction markets, we do exactly that in the guide below. So, read on if you want to learn what this process is, the types of economic predictions you will encounter, and how you can get started purchasing trade contracts. We’ll also give you some recommended sites to try.
Economy Prediction Sites in May
100% up to $20 - US trade war and Fed rates predictions
- Markets on inflation and taxes
- Macro indicators and treasury event contracts
$10 Bonus - Markets include Fed rate decisions, inflation releases, jobs reports, and GDP data
- Traders respond to macroeconomic indicators and financial news with price-driven outcomes
- Plenty of options for traders who enjoy economic analysis
100% up to $250 - Trade on outcomes tied to major economic indicators and announcements
- Markets adjust instantly to shifts in the global financial landscape
- Fixed-payout contracts keep your risk clear to manage
List of All Economy Prediction Markets in the US
| 👉 Economy Prediction Site | 📣 Is It Live? | 🎁 Welcome Bonus |
| 1. 🍀 Kalshi ➤ Kalshi Review ➤ Kalshi Referral Code | Live ✅ | 🎉 $10 Bonus |
| 2. 📈 Polymarket ➤ Polymarket Review ➤ Polymarket Referral Code | Live ✅ | 🎉 100% up to $20 |
| 3. 🌐 Crypto.com ➤ Crypto.com Review ➤ Crypto.com Referral Code | Live ✅ | 🎉 100% up to $250 |
| 4. 🚀 OG ➤ OG Predict Review ➤ OG Predict Promo Code | Live ✅ | To Be Confirmed |
| 5. 🐕 Underdog Predict ➤ Underdog Predict Review ➤ Underdog Predict Code | Live ✅ | To Be Confirmed |
| 6. 🎯 Robinhood ➤ Robinhood Review ➤ Robinhood Referral Code | Live ✅ | To Be Confirmed |
| 7. 🎮 Fanatics Markets ➤ Fanatics Markets Review ➤ Fanatics Markets Promo Code | Live ✅ | To Be Confirmed |
| 8. 👑 FanDuel Predicts ➤ Review in Progress | Live ✅ | To Be Confirmed |
| 9. 🪙 Coinbase ➤ Review in Progress | Coming Soon | To Be Confirmed |
| 10. 📲 DraftKings Predict ➤ Review in Progress | Coming Soon | To Be Confirmed |
Top Trending Economy Markets Today
Explore our top three economy trading markets we outlined for you today:
Gas Prices: What are US gas prices this week - As per May 10
- Above 4.400 Yes 99¢ / No 2¢
- Above 4.420 Yes / No 2¢
- Above 4.440 Yes 99¢ / No 2¢
Prices via Kalshi, taken on May 05 at 06:13 AM ET
Inflation: US Inflation in April 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.4% Yes 97¢ / No 5¢
- Above 3.5% Yes 89¢ / No 17¢
- Above 3.6% Yes 65¢ / No 36¢
Prices via Kalshi, taken on May 05 at 06:13 AM ET
Job Market: More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- More in 2026 than in 2025? Yes 87.5¢ / No 12.6¢
Prices via Kalshi, taken on May 05 at 06:13 AM ET
Four economy prediction market sites you could try today
Economic predictions are some of the main trade options featured at prediction market sites, and we want you to get straight into the action and have the best available markets. With that in mind, we’ve used our knowledge, testing, and experience, to recommend four potential sites you could use. Each of these operators is CFTC-regulated and offers a fantastic range of economic prediction markets.
Kalshi – Varied options for the US government
- Regulated by the CFTC
- Broad category coverage (sports, politics, etc.)
- Transparent pricing and settlement
- Fee structure is fair but complex
If you prefer to stay within the US and use your regional economic knowledge, Kalshi could be a good option. Its economic section has a wide range of predictions specifically relating to the US government and economy. Examples of markets we found at the time of writing this guide include, “US recession this year?”, “Fed funds rate in December?”, and “CPI in November 2025?”.
It also covers a wide range of other market categories, though, such as financials, tech & science, health, world, and sports. This is one of the few sites that offers some type of sign-up bonus, too, and if you use our links or banners, register, you’ll get a $10 Kalshi bonus.
$10 Bonus Polymarkets – Great spread of global economic predictions
- Android and iOS apps
- USDC stablecoin for trading
- Regulated by the CFTC
- No sign-up bonus
While Kalshi offers a heap of US economic predictions, Polymarkets also goes beyond this as it seeks to enter the wider global economy. Some examples of economic predictions we found at this site include, “Largest company at the end of 2025?”, “Bank of Japan decision in December?”, and “What price will gold close at in 2025?”. The economic markets are active, and there is plenty of trade volume for most of the predictions.
We think this is one of the top options when it comes to usability. We love how the economic section is presented. On the economic main page, you have a grid-style list of thumbnails showing the different predictions together with their top options and current market price. They also offer other features like culture predictions, sports, finance, crypto, and politics.
100% up to $20 Robinhood – High-quality mobile app
- Various contract categories
- Reward programs
- 24/7 live chat support
- Dedicated mobile app
- Some categories have limited markets
Robinhood is a multi-faceted site that specializes in finances, including investments and savings, and it has recently launched its prediction markets service in partnership with Kalshi. Currently, it offers trade contracts for basketball, crypto, football, economics, and pop culture. As far as we can see, it actually gets its markets from Kalshi, which means you can expect a wide range of economic predictions relating to both US and global activity.
There’s a relatively low set fee structure, and we think that, due to the style and design of the app, it’s one of the better options for beginners who are starting to learn the basics of economy predictions.. You will need to download the app, because as far as we can see, you can only manage your trade contracts on it, and not the desktop website.
Crypto.com – Fully compatible with its crypto exchange
- Offers a wide variety of markets
- Flexible contract values
- Over 350 cryptocurrencies accepted
- Beginner‑friendly interface
- Small trading & withdrawal fees
The great thing about Crypto.com is that its prediction market service is just part of its overall offering. This means that you can transfer your funds between the other features, such as its crypto exchange and your external crypto wallet. It’s one of the better prediction sites when it comes to flexibility and the movement of money.
Economic predictions are one of the main staples of its prediction markets section, but you can also buy and sell trade contracts for sports, crypto, financials, and culture. Like Robinhood, Crypto.com also has a superb mobile app where you can manage your funds, view your trade contracts, and browse the available economic markets they have.
100% up to $250 Underdog Picks – Coverage across most major US sports markets
- Great selection of sports prediction markets
- iOS and Android apps
- Fast withdrawals are available
- No promotions are available
Underdog Picks is built around sports performance contracts, and economic prediction markets aren't part of its main offering. While underdogs is mostly centered mostly around player performance markets across the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and college sports. The platform is easy to use, with markets organized by sport and updated regularly around current sporting events.
The mobile app is available on both iOS and Android, making it easy to trade on the go. Getting started is quick, and the UI doesn't overwhelm new traders. If sports contracts are part of your trading mix, Underdog Picks is a great option alongside a more devoted economics platform.
FanDuel Predicts – Sports first but growing prediction markets
FanDuel Predicts is continues to growing its event contract offering, with economics and political markets becoming part of its prediction line-up that already includes a strong selection of sports contracts. For traders who like keeping their activity within one platform, the expanding economics selection means you don't always need to switch between sites. Markets covering financial outcomes and policy decisions have been appearing alongside the sports contracts as the platform establishes itself. The app carries over FanDuel's design, so finding your way around is quick from day one. FanDuel Predicts is available across a wide range of US states, and verification is simple. As the economics category continues to grow, it's shaping up as a convenient all-in-one option for traders with varied interests.
Fanatics Market – Developing markets with a established brand
- Fantastic quality mobile apps
- Simple $1 trade contract setup
- Fully regulated by the CFTC
- Widely available in the US
- Still expanding its markets
- No desktop version
Fanatics Market is building out its contract categories steadily, with financial and economic markets joining its already established sports contract offering.
Traders who are already active on the platform for sports contracts will find economic predictions becoming an increasingly available as part of the platforms offering, covering market outcomes and financial event questions such as "Will the US release more oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve?".
The interface is clean and easy to navigate, with a mobile app available on iOS and Android. State availability is expanding as the platform grows. For traders who prefer managing their activity across fewer platforms, Fanatics Market is developing into a more rounded option as its non-sports categories continue to fill out.
OG – Minimalist design meets deep sports markets
- Awesome mobile app with integrated live chat
- Wide variety of event contracts
- Easy pick-up-and-play mechanics
- Excellent refer-a-friend program
- Limited withdrawal payment methods
OG offers streamlined, contract trading platform with a focus on making markets easy to find and trade. Sports contracts are the heart of the platform, but other markets are available depending on current trading activity, giving traders some options between categories without needing to switch platforms entirely.
The UI is simple and direct, with the added bonus of being able to get yourself $100 in bonus trades within 7 days of sign up. OG is available in select US states, so it's worth checking availability for your location before signing up. For traders who want a straightforward platform that covers sports and dips into financial markets, OG keeps things easy without over complicating anything.
Coinbase – Crypto first platform with a great selection of economic markets
Coinbase is a natural choice for economics prediction markets, given it was a financial platform first. Coinbase covers Fed rate decisions, inflation-related contracts, and broader economic contracts alongside its finance and crypto categories. Trading runs on USDC, so if you already hold crypto on the Coinbase exchange, moving funds across to your prediction market activity is easy.The economics and finance sections are among the more active categories on the platform, which helps with market liquidity on higher-profile questions. Existing Coinbase users skip the additional verification step, and the mobile app is easy to use. For traders who want to put economic knowledge to work, Coinbase is one of the better choices on this list.
DraftKings Predict – More than just a sports prediction site
DraftKings Predict covers more than sports, and its economics category includes contracts on government decisions, market outcomes, and financial events. You'll find markets touching on interest rate decisions, inflation figures, and broader macroeconomic questions sitting alongside the platform's sports and entertainment contract selection.
The app follows DraftKings' familiar layout, so existing users will find it easy to navigate. Verification is quick, and the platform is available across a most of the US. For traders who want a wide coverage of contracts in one place without juggling multiple platforms, DraftKings Predict is a great option.
Economy Prediction Markets Explained
People use terms like political prediction markets and betting on the economy interchangeably, but that is not the case for political markets, and there are major differences with actual betting at online sportsbooks and other sites. It’s important to know this difference, and we explain it all below.
Understanding the difference
When you make a bet, you are effectively buying the odds for a particular event directly from the operator. The operator usually has an edge built into the odds, and this is how they make a profit.
For prediction markets, there’s no such thing as economy betting odds, and even buying odds from the operator is not allowed. What’s allowed, however, is the buying and selling of trade contracts from other users via a peer-to-peer trading system.
Economy contract trading explained
So, we know the key difference, let’s now look at economic predictions (we will use the term interchangeably to remove any confusion). Economic predictions are essentially anything related to the economy. This could be the US economy or the global economy. As you’ll see below, it also covers a range of different genres and themes within the broad generalisation of the economy.
You’ll have an economic prediction, such as, “Will the Fed do a rate cut of more than 25bps this year?”. Next to this, there will be a yes and no option, with a price next to each in Cents. You can buy and sell trade contracts for those yes or no options at the current market price. For instance, the “no” option could be 96c, which means you’d pay $0.96 minus any fees for each of these trade contracts
You can then sell your trade contracts if the price shifts, or you can hold them for when the event occurs. If you get the prediction right, you’ll get a $1 payout for any correct contracts you hold minus any fees. This is the basic process of economic prediction trading.
Pros and cons of economy prediction markets
Similar to predicting on the climate, there are some potential drawbacks to economic prediction markets and we’ve shown this in the pros and cons:
- Easy to understand
- Simple yes and no options
- No complex odds involved
- Market price reflects the implied percentage
- You need to be informed about the economy
- Trade fees apply
Examples of economy prediction markets from real operators
Perhaps the best way to understand participating on the economy predictions is to look at actual examples of prediction markets where you can buy and sell trade contracts. Scouring our recommended operators, we’ve listed some popular examples below, including their yes and no market prices at the time of writing this guide:
| Economy Prediction | Yes market price | No market price |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2025? | 3c | 98c |
| Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year? | 3c | 98c |
| Largest company at the end of 2025? | 70c (NVIDIA) | 31c (NVIDIA) |
| What price will Gold close at in 2025? | 91c (>$4000) | 12c (>$4000) |
| Negative GDP growth in 2025? | 2.2c | 98.7c |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | 0.8c | 99.30c |
As you can see, there is a wide range of topics covered within the general economic category, and you can often find predictions relating to the following subjects:
- Government decisions.
- Company valuations and finances.
- Government institute decisions.
- Market prices.
- Commodities prices.
- Rare minerals and metals prices.
- Global and national recessions.
- Company CEO decisions and positions.
How to get started with economy prediction market sites
If you want to look at economic prediction markets, you will need to register with a regulated provider, and you should be able to do this by following these steps:
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Click any of the banners we have on this page.
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Click the sign-up or join button.
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Follow the registration instructions.
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Complete any initial verification.
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Log in to your new account.
You will have to complete a full KYC check eventually, and you’ll also need to deposit funds into your account to buy and sell economic trade contracts. The typical trade contract process usually involves these steps:
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Click on the economic category.
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Click on the prediction you want to trade for.
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Click the yes or no option you want to buy trade contracts for.
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Enter the number of trade contracts you want to buy.
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Complete any payment verification.
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Finish the transaction.
You can then sell your trade contracts if the market price shifts in your favor, or you can hold them until the event triggers, at which point you’ll get a $1 payout for each contract if you got it right.
Economy Prediction Market Sites Legality
Prediction market site popularity has seen significant growth in recent times, and with this has come legal scrutiny. All prediction market sites operate as Designated Contract Markets, allowing them to operate without state-based licenses. Economic trade contracts include things like Fed rate decisions, inflation figures, and GDP outcomes, and prediction market sites have to comply with Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regulations to offer these markets legally.
What we do know is that Economic contracts have faced less direct state-level challenge than sports or political markets, but the regulatory dispute between federal and state authorities still affects the space. States like Pennsylvania have held legislative hearings examining how all prediction market activity, including economic trading, fits within existing state regulations. However, like all prediction market sites, the legal status is changing rapidly with new bills being proposed and clearer regulations being discussed.
Economy Prediction Regulatory Timeline
Like all prediction markets, there have been changes that will change the rules for economic prediction trade contracts. With the CFTC currently regulating these markets, the legal landscape for making economic trade contracts will likely continue to change.
Below is a breakdown of recent changes and developments in economy prediction markets:
March 2026
- Legal disputes reach a boiling point as operators file preemptive lawsuits against states, arguing that the Commodity Exchange Act overrides state-level gambling laws.
February 2026
- The CFTC formally withdrew its 2024 proposed rule that had broadly targeted event trade contracts, clearing the path for economic prediction markets to continue operating.
January 2026
- CFTC Chair Michael Selig announced plans to move toward clearer federal rules covering all event contract categories, including economic predictions.
- The CFTC reaffirmed its exclusive jurisdiction over economic and financial event contracts traded on regulated platforms.
- US lawmakers from both parties began increasing regulatory attention toward prediction markets across all categories.
December 2026
- Michael Selig is sworn in as CFTC Chairman on December 22, signaling a friendlier approach towards trade contracts.
- The previous administration’s proposal to broadly ban political event contracts is officially moved "under review" rather than being enforced.
- Disputes between state authorities and prediction market operators increases.
Conclusion: Sign up to an Economy Prediction Markets Now
You should now have a clear idea of the correct term and process for participating on the economy market sites and why some people refer to it as this. Remember that the actual process is buying and selling trade contracts for yes or no answers relating to economic predictions, and you buy/sell these trade contracts from other people who use the peer-to-peer sites. The underlying premise is that the predictions relate to various economic conditions, questions, factors, and possibilities, both in the US and globally.
We recommend reading important articles like our guide to sports prediction market sites. Once you are armed with more knowledge and understanding, you can consider signing up with one or more of our recommended operators. Just click the links or banners here for Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, or Crypto.com