Best Crypto Prediction Markets In The US For 2026
There are many different prediction markets you can buy and sell trade contracts for, and a popular option is participating on crypto and different tokens. However, make sure you remember you aren’t technically betting, but rather purchasing trade contracts.
If this is something you have considered getting into, or want to learn more about, we have created a comprehensive guide for you below on crypto predictions and what you can expect. Using our knowledge and experience on prediction market sites, we explain how crypto predictions work, provide you with some real examples, and offer potential operator recommendations.
The Best Crypto Prediction Markets Right Now
$10 Bonus - Users can trade contracts on price milestones for assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum
- Settlement is based on verified index prices (CF Benchmarks), not exchange-reported spot prices
- Good coverage with events contracts for cryptocurrencies big and small
Deposit $20 get $50 - 15-minute, hourly, and 4-hour prediction markets
- Supports BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and DOGE
- Pre-market and ETF predictions
100% up to $250 - Welcome bonus of up to 1 BTC in rewards
- Quick crypto transactions
- Buy event contracts for sports, elections, economics, and more
List of All Crypto Prediction Markets in the US
| 👉 Crypto Prediction Site | 📣 Is It Live? | 🎁 Welcome Bonus |
| 1. 🍀 Kalshi ➤ Kalshi Review ➤ Kalshi Referral Code | Live ✅ | 🎉 $10 Bonus |
| 2. 📈 Polymarket ➤ Polymarket Review ➤ Polymarket Referral Code | Live ✅ | 🎉 100% up to $20 |
| 3. 🌐 Crypto.com ➤ Crypto.com Review ➤ Crypto.com Referral Code | Live ✅ | 🎉 100% up to $250 |
| 4. 🚀 OG ➤ OG Predict Review ➤ OG Predict Promo Code | Live ✅ | To Be Confirmed |
| 5. 🎯 Robinhood ➤ Robinhood Review ➤ Robinhood Referral Code | Live ✅ | To Be Confirmed |
| 6. 🐕 Underdog Predict ➤ Underdog Predict Review ➤ Underdog Predict Code | Live ✅ | To Be Confirmed |
| 7. 🎮 Fanatics Markets ➤ Fanatics Markets Review ➤ Fanatics Markets Promo Code | Live ✅ | To Be Confirmed |
| 8. 🪙 Coinbase ➤ Review in Progress | Coming Soon | To Be Confirmed |
| 9. 📲 DraftKings Predict ➤ Review in Progress | Coming Soon | To Be Confirmed |
Top Trending Crypto Markets Today
We like to keep an eye on most intriguing crypto trading opportunities. Here are three top trending crypto markets today:
BTC: Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 70,000 to 74,999.99 - Yes 9.2¢ / No 93¢
- 75,000 to 79,999.99 - Yes 9.4¢ / No 92.8¢
- 80,000 to 84,999.99 - Yes 8.5¢ / No 93.3¢
Prices via Kalshi, taken on May 27 at 05:20 AM ET
ETC: Ethereum price at the end of 2026
- 2,000 to 2,249.99 - Yes 11¢ / No 90¢
- 2,250 to 2,499.99 - Yes 9.9¢ / No 91.8¢
- 2,500 to 2,749.99 - Yes 8.6¢ / No 93.2¢
Prices via Kalshi, taken on May 27 at 05:20 AM ET
Doge: When will Dogecoin hit $1?
- Before Jan 1, 2027 - Yes 7¢ / No 94¢
- Before Jun 1, 2027 - Yes 10¢ / No 92¢
Prices via Kalshi, taken on May 27 at 05:20 AM ET
Crypto prediction markets you can try today
So you can get a head start with your crypto bets for prediction markets, we’ve used our industry experience and testing to provide four potential operators you can try. Each of these sites is CFTC-regulated, and offers a wide range of prediction markets, including crypto propositions.
Kalshi - Get a $10 sign up bonus
- Regulated by the CFTC
- Broad category coverage (sports, politics, etc.)
- Transparent pricing and settlement
- Fee structure is fair but complex
Kalshi is one of the few prediction sites with crypto markets that also offers a sign-up bonus. If you use our links or banners, register an account, and verify your profile, you can claim a $10 bonus to get started. The platform is regulated in the US and works through event contracts, where users trade “Yes” or “No” positions on real-world outcomes.
What makes Kalshi stand out is the range of available markets. Crypto is a major focus, but you will also find sports, culture, climate, economics, elections, company performance, science, and entertainment contracts all in one place. It is one of the few platforms where you can move between Bitcoin price predictions, Federal Reserve decisions, and NBA outcomes without switching apps.
The crypto section includes markets tied to Bitcoin and Ethereum price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, adoption milestones, and major company announcements. We also liked that many markets include clear settlement rules and transparent data sources, which makes the platform easier to follow if you are new to prediction trading.
$10 Bonus Polymarket - low trading fees
- Android and iOS apps
- USDC stablecoin for trading
- Regulated by the CFTC
- No sign-up bonus
Polymarket is another top pick, and you can read our Kalshi vs. Polymarket guide to see how these similar prediction market exchanges compare. Like Kalshi, it offers a multitude of different prediction markets ranging from mentions and elections to culture and politics.
Some examples of crypto predictions we found while creating this review included, “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?”, “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?”, and “Will Stable launch a token in 2025?”. There is plenty of trading volume and movement for the crypto markets, and you can use a range of filters to view different markets for time periods or relating to specific tokens.
Crypto markets update constantly throughout the day, with prices reacting quickly to breaking news, token swings, ETF developments, and regulation updates. There is also plenty of trading volume across major tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Deposit $20 get $50 Crypto.com - superb user interface
- Offers a wide variety of markets
- Flexible contract values
- Over 350 cryptocurrencies accepted
- Beginner‑friendly interface
- Small trading & withdrawal fees
You can read our full Crypto.com prediction markets review for a full breakdown of what this site offers, but to start, while Crypto.com is mainly a financial exchange and crypto trading site, it also has a dedicated prediction markets section that supports crypto, sports, financials, elections, and economics. We are most impressed by the user interface and stylish design of this site - it’s definitely one of the easiest to use for beginners and we think you’ll easily be able to browse the different crypto prediction markets.
There is also a high-quality Crypto.com app for Android and iOS devices that allows you to manage your account, make deposits and withdrawals, and purchase trade contracts with ease from your smartphone.
Crypto prediction coverage focuses heavily on major assets and financial outcomes, including Bitcoin and Ethereum price milestones, broader market trends, and crypto-related company developments. The platform also supports quick payments and allows users to close positions before markets settle, which adds extra flexibility for shorter-term trading.
Sponsored by Crypto.com – Not investment advice. Trading prediction markets and crypto involves risk, including potential loss of your stake. Consider your risk tolerance before participating. Crypto.com connects U.S. users to CDNA (regulated by CFTC) for derivatives trading. CDNA membership required. Trading may not be suitable for all—you could lose your entire investment plus fees. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. This is not a solicitation or recommendation to trade.
100% up to $250 Robinhood - easy account linking
- Various contract categories
- Reward programs
- 24/7 live chat support
- Dedicated mobile app
- Some categories have limited markets
We have also had a look at Robinhood, which is primarily a financial company offering a range of investment opportunities. It also runs a prediction markets service where trading on crypto events and other predictions is possible. The prediction markets are provided by Kalshi, so you know what to expect in a sense as well
Currently, the site offers prediction markets for crypto, basketball, football, economics, and pop culture, and we expect more to follow in the future as it expands its portfolio. This is another operator that has a high-quality website and a fantastic mobile app. It also offers a relatively low fee structure so that you can potentially maximize your trade contract purchases on crypto markets.
If you already use Robinhood for investing or crypto trading, prediction contracts feel like a natural extension rather than a completely separate experience. During our review, we found the platform especially beginner-friendly because everything is presented in a straightforward way. Markets are easy to browse, positions are simple to track, and the layout avoids a lot of the clutter some larger prediction exchanges have.
Underdog Picks - great for beginners
- Great selection of sports prediction markets
- iOS and Android apps
- Fast withdrawals are available
- No promotions are available
Separate from the fantasy products, Underdog Picks lets users take part in outcome based markets which are linked to real world events. With sports still being the biggest focus, with markets covering football, basketball, baseball, soccer, tennis, MMA, and other major competitions. But you can also find politics, culture, and economics markets on the platform.
Compared to some prediction platforms that can feel overly technical, Underdog keeps things much more simple as the markets are clearly displayed, the layout is easy to understand, and the overall experience feels less overwhelming than many competitors.
Crypto prediction coverage is more limited than platforms but this actually works in its favor for beginners who are just starting out. Instead of hundreds of niche contracts, the focus is more on major crypto related topics and broader market outcomes tied to well-known assets and events.
Trading derivatives involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. For more information visit: https://www.nadex.com/rules and https://underdogfantasy.com/rules. For Crypto.com Predictions, the term "pick" refers to a product traded on CDNA.
Fanatics Market - prime mobile optimization
- Fantastic quality mobile apps
- Simple $1 trade contract setup
- Fully regulated by the CFTC
- Widely available in the US
- Still expanding its markets
- No desktop version
Fanatics Market is a great choice for users who prefer a mobile first experience. Again, while it is another platform that still focuses heavily on sports, with prediction markets tied to basketball, football, baseball, hockey, soccer, and major tournaments, it has also expanded into finance, economics, politics, and crypto related events.
Like many of the newer prediction platforms, users trade straightforward “Yes” or “No” contracts linked to real world outcomes. What stood out most during our testing was that markets are clearly displayed, the layout is easy to navigate, and the app avoids the overly technical feel some trading platforms have.
Crypto market coverage is more focused on mainstream industry events and major assets rather than smaller niche tokens. That makes it a better fit for casual users who want exposure to broader crypto trends without dealing with more advanced trading systems.
OG - huge market variety
- Awesome mobile app with integrated live chat
- Wide variety of event contracts
- Easy pick-up-and-play mechanics
- Excellent refer-a-friend program
- Limited withdrawal payment methods
OG, which is offered through Crypto.com, is a regulated prediction market platform built around event contracts across sports, finance, economics, crypto, politics, entertainment, and company-related outcomes.
One of the first things that stood out during our review was the sheer size of the market selection. OG leans much more heavily into finance and crypto-focused contracts rather than purely entertainment-based markets. Instead of focusing only on token prices, many markets connect crypto to AI, fintech, regulation, and company performance, which gives users more variety.
We found contracts tied to Bitcoin price targets, Ethereum performance, crypto adoption milestones, company earnings, regulation developments, and broader technology-sector trends. Plus, if you already use Crypto.com products, it is easy to move between crypto trading and prediction contracts from the same account.
Prediction Trading is facilitated through Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA). Foris DAX Inc. and Foris Inc. (d/b/a OG ) provide access to CDNA, a platform regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), allowing users to trade derivatives in accordance with CDNA’s rules and regulations.
Coinbase - a well established platform
One of the most recognised crypto platforms in the US is Coinbase and its recently moved into event contracts giving users another way to engage with real-world outcomes outside of traditional crypto trading. These prediction style markets run through Coinbase Financial Markets, which operates under US regulatory oversight.
Users can follow wider innovation trends linked to cryptocurrency, financial technology, and company-related developments while staying inside the familiar Coinbase ecosystem.
If you already use Coinbase, moving into event contracts feels straightforward. The platform currently leans more toward finance and crypto-related outcomes than entertainment or culture-based markets, but it still stands out as one of the stronger regulated options for users who prefer a data-focused and crypto-native experience.
DraftKings Predict - a growing crypto market
DraftKings Predict brings event contract trading into a platform that many US users already know. Having only recently launched toward the end of 2025, it focuses on letting users buy and sell contracts tied to real world outcomes.
Sports is currently the strongest category, with markets linked to major leagues and tournaments across basketball, baseball, hockey, football, soccer, tennis, golf, and motorsports. At the same time, the platform has started expanding into broader event categories as the prediction market space continues to grow.
Crypto coverage is still growing, but the platform already includes broader digital asset and finance-related outcomes tied to market performance and industry developments. We also found this to be one of the easier platforms for sports users moving into prediction markets for the first time. If you already use DraftKings for fantasy or sports-related products, the transition into event contracts feels very natural.
New DraftKings Customers: Bet $5+ Get $100 in Bonus Bets Instantly! Understanding the difference between betting and prediction trading
You often hear the term, betting on crypto, or crypto bets - this term is incorrect. People use the terms interchangeably when talking about prediction markets for crypto. We believe it’s important to understand the difference, though.
With betting, you purchase odds from a sportsbook for a specific sporting event, and you have the chance to get a payout. Crypto event trading, or crypto prediction markets, are different. With crypto prediction markets, you are buying “yes” or “no” trade contracts that relate to a specific question, like, “What will the value of Ethereum be at the end of 2025?”.
This is peer-to-peer trading where you buy and sell the yes or no answers from other traders, not directly from the prediction markets site. This is the major difference, and why it’s not betting. We will use the terms interchangeably in this guide, though, for ease of description.
Crypto Prediction Market Sites Legality
Crypto prediction market sites in the US operate in a fast-moving legal landscape. In general, regulated prediction market platforms that list event contracts do so under federal oversight from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), often through the Designated Contract Market framework.
Crypto-related markets, such as Bitcoin price ranges, Ethereum thresholds, stablecoin launches, or institutional crypto adoption, tend to sit closer to financial and economic event contracts than sports event contracts. Because of this, they have generally faced less direct state-level pushback than sports-related markets. However, the wider prediction market sector is still under heavy scrutiny, and disputes between federal and state authorities can affect crypto markets indirectly.
States such as Nevada, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Maryland have all examined or challenged prediction market activity in different ways, even if the sharpest disputes have often focused on sports or political outcomes. For traders, the key takeaway is simple: choose regulated prediction market sites, check whether the platform is available in your state, and review the current terms before buying or selling crypto event contracts.
Regulatory Timeline
Prediction markets are expanding quickly, and crypto event contracts are part of that wider discussion. While many recent disputes have focused on sports and political outcomes, the same federal and state questions can shape how crypto prediction markets are offered in the US.
February 2026
- The CFTC formally withdrew its 2024 proposed rule that had broadly targeted event trade contracts, clearing the path for regulated prediction market platforms to continue developing markets across categories, including crypto and economic events.
January 2026
- CFTC leadership signaled plans to move toward clearer federal rules covering event contract categories, including financial, economic, and crypto-related prediction markets.
- The CFTC reaffirmed its view that federally regulated event contracts fall under its jurisdiction, while also requiring stronger monitoring standards from platforms.
- US lawmakers from both parties increased attention on prediction markets, creating more pressure for clearer rules around how event contracts should be listed, monitored, and resolved.
December 2025
- Prediction market popularity continued to rise, leading to heavier litigation and legislative scrutiny across multiple states.
- Pennsylvania lawmakers held hearings examining how prediction market activity fits within existing state frameworks, a discussion that could affect multiple categories beyond sports.
- Federal and state disputes intensified as regulators looked more closely at whether certain event contracts should be treated under federal commodities law, state-level rules, or both.
Pros and cons of prediction markets for crypto
Before you jump into the world of prediction markets for crypto, we think there are some important pros and cons you should be aware of, which we share below:
- Simple yes or no options
- Easy to understand
- Set trade contract value
- Set fee structures
- Lots of research is needed to be efficient
- Market prices are not guaranteed to be accurate
How Crypto Prediction Market Sites Work
As discussed, with crypto prediction markets, you have several key components:
- A prediction or proposition.
- Yes or no options for that proposition.
For example, a prediction could be, “Will Ethereum reach its all-time high this year?”. You would then have a yes or no option, with prices next to them. Those prices are the current market price for that option and what you can purchase trade contracts at. For example, if the no option was 96c, that means you can purchase trade contracts for “no” at $0.96 each. You could then hold the trade contracts until the event triggers, and if Ethereum did NOT reach its all-time high by the end of the year, you would get a $1 payout for each no-trade contract you owned (minus any fees) - easy.
The basic process of purchasing a crypto prediction trade contract
This whole system revolves around trade contracts, and if you want to get involved, you have to purchase trade contracts for crypto predictions, and this can be done via the following steps:
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Log in to your prediction markets account.
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Head to the crypto section.
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Find the crypto prediction you want to invest in.
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Click the yes or no option based on your predictions.
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Enter the number of trade contracts you want to purchase.
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Finalize the transactions.
Always make sure you double-check your trade contract purchases and that you understand the fee structure so you know exactly what you are spending and what you can get in return.
Real examples of crypto predictions and their market prices
To give you an idea of what you can expect, we’ve listed some actual crypto prediction markets that we pulled from our recommended operators below, together with the yes and no market prices:
| Prediction Proposition | Yes Market Price | No Market Price |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin cross $100k again this year? | 26c | 75c |
| XRP at its all-time high this year? | 6c | 95c |
| Ethereum hitting all-time high this year? | 5c | 96c |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027? | 15c | 87c |
| Solana reaching all-time high this year? | 6c | 97c |
| Will Bank of America launch a Stablecoin in 2025? | 8c | 96c |
Tips for making crypto predictions at prediction market sites
We get that prediction markets might seem daunting, but we believe that if you do your research and take the time to understand how the system works, it’s actually much easier than traditional wagering. To give you a head start, we’ve listed three simple tips for trading on crypto events below:
Research the underlying trading fees
Crypto prediction markets are peer-to-peer trades, and as a result, there are trading fees. Make sure you research an operator’s fee structure before you make any trade contract purchases.
Compare market prices between operators
You can typically find the same crypto predictions at multiple operator sites. Depending on the trading volume and overall sentiment, you might also be able to find better market prices. Always look at 2-3 different operators so that you are making sure you get the best trade contract price.
Do your research and don’t make snap decisions
Crypto prediction markets require research, analysis, and a careful thought process. There are often more external factors involved that could determine the actual value of trade contracts, such as the global economy, current crypto performance, and the emergence of new technologies or big trades happening. Be diligent, do your research, and never make snap trade contract purchases.
Conclusion - research and understanding are the key to participate on crypto
Let’s recap what we’ve learned. You aren’t technically betting on crypto at prediction market sites. This terminology is incorrect, but many people use it as an easy way to describe the process. Instead, you buy, sell, and hold trade contracts relating to crypto predictions. You can get a $1 payout for each trade contract you own if you get the prediction right.
This is the core functionality that makes up crypto prediction sites. If you want to get started and purchase trade contracts, we recommend checking out the other guides we have, such as, are prediction markets legal, and then using our links or banners to sign up at our recommended, regulated operators like Kalshi, Polymarkets, Robinhood, and Crypto.com
Crypto Prediction Markets FAQs
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