Preakness Bets: FanDuel Racing Analyst Shares Upset Pick Over Mystik Dan

Written By Eli Hershkovich | Published at May 16, 2024

With the 149th edition of the Preakness Stakes nearing, Triple Crown contender Mystik Dan has garnered plenty of hoopla atop morning-line odds. But is there another horse that is worth considering for your Preakness bets? FanDuel TV analyst Simon Bray, a Grade 1-winning trainer, is here to help.

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Discover more on how to bet on the Preakness Stakes!

2024 Preakness stakes Morning-Line odds

Below, you'll find the post position for the horses and their respective morning-line odds. Click on any of the odds to place a wager with FanDuel Racing.

Post Position	Horse	Morning-Line Odds	Trainer	Jockey
1.	Mugatu	20-1	Jeff Engler	Joe Bravo
2.	Uncle Heavy	20-1	Butch Reid Jr.	Irad Ortiz Jr.
3.	Catching Freedom	6-1	Brad Cox	Flavien Prat
4.	Muth	SCR	Bob Baffert	Juan Hernandez
5.	Mystik Dan	5-2	Kenny McPeek	Brian Hernandez Jr.
6.	Seize the Gray	15-1	D. Wayne Lukas	Jaime Torres
7.	Just Steel	15-1	D. Wayne Lukas	Joel Rosario
8.	Tuscan Gold	8-1	Chad Brown	Tyler Gaffalione
9.	Imagination	6-1	Bob Baffert	Frankie Dettori

Potential Preakness Sleeper Bets

Bray noted that Tuscan Gold, showcasing the fourth-best morning-line odds (8-1) to win the Preakness, has intrigued him the most among prices in that range.

He first appeared in a one-mile maiden special weight on Nov. 4, 2023, at Aqueduct Racetrack, rallying after a slow start to finish fourth by three and one-quarter lengths. Sierra Leone, who was placed behind Mystik Dan at the Derby, landed first. He elevated his efficiency level when stretching out around two turns for a 1 1/16-mile maiden special weight at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 31. The Chad Brown-trained colt kicked it into gear down the stretch, dominating by six and one-quarter lengths in 1:46.42.

Owned by William H. Lawrence, Walmac Farm, and Stonestreet Stable, LLC., Tuscan Gold has only competed in three races, including the win at Gulfstream Park. It's the fewest of any horse in the Preakness field.

Will Rest Pay Off?

In Tuscan Gold's most recent showing at the Louisiana Derby on March 23, his 96 Beyer speed figure was the highest mark of his career. Thus, the three-year-old colt isn't on a quick turnaround like Mystik Dan, which could result in fatigue for the Kentucky Derby winner.

"He's (Brown) used this modus operandi before, taking a fresh horse that didn't run in the (Kentucky) Derby to win the Preakness," Bray said. "He's won two Preaknesses ... and finished second last year. He was pointing to a race up at Belmont, the Peter Pan, and elected to bypass that in favor of the tougher Preakness, (which) I think is a ringing endorsement."

Brown's two victories in the Preakness came with Cloud Computing (2017) and Early Voting (2022). Last year, Blazing Sevens failed to bypass National Treasure, securing a second-place finish. Brown also noted that Tuscan Gold has trained with Blazing Sevens, with both horses going four furlongs in 49.30 seconds.

Tuscan Brown will be ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, the same jockey who guided Sierra Leone in the 2024 Kentucky Derby.

Given Tuscan Gold's demonstrated ability to trail a race's pacesetter before making up ground with speed, Bray's long(er)shot pick among Preakness Stakes odds is worth monitoring for your wagers.