2022 Preakness Bets From TheLines Staff: Epicenter Or The Field?

Written By Stephen Andress on May 20, 2022 - Last Updated on May 22, 2022
2022 preakness bets

Rich Strike scuttled the vast majority of the planet’s Kentucky Derby bets as the second-longest shot to ever win the race. So 2022 Preakness bets for most of us are an attempt to regroup, trust our research and fundamentals and tip our cap to what was an outlier of historic proportions on the first Saturday in May. Handicapping 2022 Preakness odds is a much easier task on paper, with only a nine-horse field, some of which appear to be very easy tosses.

Staff members at TheLines have dissected the field and are ready to share how they will be betting The Preakness. Before you bet though, be sure to lock in a risk-free bet at TVG up to $200 with promo code RISKFREE if you have not signed up for an account yet. Just click PLAY NOW below to get started.

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Post Positions, Morning Line Odds, Beyer Speed Figures

PostHorseML oddsBest BSF2nd-Best BSFMost Recent BSFTrainerJockey
1Simplification6/1969696Antonio SanoJohn Velazquez
2Creative Minster10/1928392Kenny McPeekBrian Hernandez
3Fenwick50/1886844Kevin McKathanFlorent Geroux
4Secret Oath9/2949294Chad BrownJose Ortiz
5Early Voting7/2967896D. Wayne LukasLuis Saez
6Happy Jack30/1838275Doug O'NeillTyler Gaffalione
7Armagnac12/1938393Tim YakteenIrad Ortiz
8Epicenter6/5102100100Steve AsmussenJoel Rosario
9Skippylongstocking20/1918891Saffie Joseph Jr.Junior Alvarado

2022 Preakness Bets

Dave Bontempo

TheLines turf writer Dave Bontempo has assembled a full deep dive into this Preakness with how he sees the pace scenario unfolding and how he’ll be looking to wager on the race, depending on odds movement before post time. Check out his Preakness picks here.

Stephen Andress

I’ve always found it easier to start with tossing horses, and boy are there some laughable horses in this field. Yes, Rich Strike won the Derby at 80-1, but at least he had earned his place in the field with top-three finish in a stakes.

  • Fenwick finished 11th in the Blue Grass, his first attempt at a stakes race up from Maiden Special Weight.
  • Creative Minister is attempting a big step up in class after winning an Allowance race on Derby day at Churchill Downs. Combine that with no rest advantage versus the superior Derby horses, and he’s a toss as well for me.
  • Armagnac won an Allowance race the day after the Derby. His lack of rest advantage combined with failing to hit the board in two previous attempts in stakes company makes him a toss as well for me.
  • Happy Jack ran in the Derby, and like the top-three Derby finishers, had the perfect pace scenario. He sat at the back of the pack and had suicidal fractions to run into; however, unlike the top-three Derby finishers, he never moved up, unless you consider improving from 20th on the back stretch to 14th at the wire a move. We’re down to five horses.

Epicenter is the rightful favorite, and anything at even money or better is going to be an auto win bet for me. He’s the only horse in this field to have run a 100+ Beyer Speed Figure, and he’s done it in back-to-back races, with 98 before that. No other horse in this field has even run a 98. His jockey Joel Rosario was also very sharp to take him back off the hot pace in the Derby, a mid-pack running style Epicenter had not previously been asked to do.

Epicenter’s chief rivals in this race have no rest advantage over him – Simplification and Secret Oath both ran Derby weekend as well.

In my mind, the only chance for Epicenter to be beat (assuming a clean trip) is if a new shooter with a rest advantage clips him at the wire. That leaves two upset options if you are so inclined – Early Voting and Skippylongstocking.

Of the two, Early Voting is lightly raced and was good enough to be in the Derby field, but his connections opted for more rest and pointed towards the Preakness. He could be sitting on a big race. Skippylongstocking’s career-best 91 Beyer with no other 90+ BSF performances is also asking for a large step forward here.

With that in mind, here’s a couple betting ideas with Early Voting keyed on top of exotics if you want try to beat Epicenter:

  • $2 Exacta: 5/1,4,8,9 – $8 ticket
  • $1 Trifecta: 5/1,4,8,9/1,4,8,9 – $12 ticket
  • $1 Extra-Rest Angle Trifecta: 5,9/5,9/1,4,8 – $6 ticket
  • $1 Superfecta: 5,8/5,8/1,4,9/1,4,9 – $12 ticket

Mo Nuwwarah

I think my Derby picks went as poorly as possible. So I’ll try to keep it simple here. Really simple. By picking Simplification. Based on his Beyer numbers and his consistent performance, it seems like he’s right there in the second tier of horses behind Epicenter, but the early lines favor Secret Oath and Early Voting over him. He’s run third and fourth in his two G1 stakes races so far.

Obviously, he’s going to need some things to go right to beat Epicenter, but I’ll take what I hope is some value on a good horse here to run in the top two.

It seems like chalk often prevails in the Preakness for whatever reason, be it a more stratified field or a smaller one or something else. Early Voting does come in rested after skipping the Kentucky Derby and off a strong performance, but I like the price on these other two better in the second tier. Plus, Early Voting has yet to run in a Grade 1 stakes race, and last time I went hard on an inexperienced horse in Taiba it blew up in my face. That leaves $4 for a beer that I will probably need after losing my money again.

  • $20 Win bet on Simplification
  • $20 Place bet on Simplification
  • $1 Trifecta box: 1,4,8 – $6 ticket

Nicole Russo

I’m not going to go too risky. I’m rooting for the filly but respect the favorite.

  • $5 WPS on Epicenter – $15 ticket
  • $5 WPS on Secret Oath – $15 ticket
  • $1 Trifecta Box: 1,4,8 – $6 ticket

Brett Gibbons

  • $5 Win on Epicenter
  • $3 WPS on Secret Oath – $9 ticket
  • $1 Trifecta Box: 1,4,8 – $6 ticket

Good luck with all your 2022 Preakness bets.

Stephen Andress Avatar
Written by
Stephen Andress

Stephen Andress joined Catena Media as Managing Editor of TheLines.com in March 2021. He began his career as a sports anchor and reporter in Eugene, OR before moving to Louisville, KY. There he covered the Kentucky Derby, Sugar Bowl and three consecutive Final Fours. Stephen later won an Emmy award while working for the Indianapolis Colts. More recently, he produced content for the PGA TOUR and multiple fantasy football and sports betting websites. Nothing has excited him more in his career than seeing legalized sports betting in the United States and the opportunity to share his knowledge and enthusiasm for it. His hobbies include kicking his high school friends' butts in fantasy football, Japanese whisky and Kentucky bourbon, golf outrights and supporting RIP Medical Debt, a charity which works to wipe out medical bills for those who have been unable to cover the cost of getting sick.

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