Portugal Vs. Switzerland: 2022 World Cup Round of 16 Odds, Expected Goals

Written By Dan Tracey on December 3, 2022
portugal vs. switzerland odds

World Cup odds for the Round of 16 end with the winner of Group H, 2016 Euro Champions Portugal, against Group G runners-up Switzerland, in a battle of UEFA powers. With two wins and a loss in their group stage for both teams, this matchup represents a Swiss team trying to keep a fairly underdog run going, as Portugal tries to win a World Cup before Cristiano Ronaldo retires. Let’s dive into Portugal vs. Switzerland odds, with the match televised in the U.S. on Fox and Telemundo on Tuesday, Dec. 6 at 2 p.m. ET.

Bettors should be aware during the Knockout Rounds that the three-way moneyline is only for 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If tied after that but a team wins in Extra Time or Penalty Kicks, soccer’s version of overtime, all three-way moneyline bets are still graded as a draw. If you are looking for a moneyline bet that pays out no matter when the win comes, look for “To Advance” or “To Qualify” props.

Portugal Versus Switzerland Odds

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Portugal Team Preview

Just like Brazil and France, Portugal afforded themselves heavy rotation in their third group stage match and ultimately paid the price. Admittedly, it was not a heavy price as entry to the knockout phase was already secured and even in defeat, they still topped Group H.

Because even after suffering a loss at the hands of South Korea, the outcome that unfolded between Ghana and Uruguay thankfully went Portugal’s way. This means a six-point haul for Fernando Santos’ men was enough to keep their group stage rivals at bay.

Although defeat will certainly be a sore issue within the Portuguese camp, there is very little time to dwell on such a performance. Especially as they prepare to face fellow European outfit Switzerland in the Round of 16.

A fixture that has already been played twice this year and with the two nations seemingly acting as regular bedfellows, each will feel that they have the measure of their upcoming opponents.

While Cristiano Ronaldo will certainly be measured up in Portugal’s attack and although he did his level best to claim a goal in the win over Uruguay, the current free agent has only scored once in Qatar.

Of course, it would be remiss to write off the talents of the 37-year-old, and with him leading a personal crusade to win a first-ever World Cup for both he and his country, there is no doubt he will be primed and ready for Tuesday’s meeting with the Swiss. 

Switzerland Team Preview

They used to say there were two certainties in life. Those certainties were death and taxes. However, when it comes to the global game of soccer, you can now add another to the list. Switzerland almost always makes it to the World Cup Round of 16.

With this being the fifth successive tournament finals that they have appeared at, this is the fourth time that they have reached the Knockout Stage – the only blemish being group stage failure in 2010.

Even though that record is rather commendable, it should be noted that the same Swiss side has never advanced past the Round of 16. Yes, they are a team you want to avoid early on but, arguably, a team you would love to face later in the competition.

This means manager Murat Yakin will now be tasked with finally breaking such an unwanted streak and in doing so, be the first Swiss manager to lead the nation to a World Cup quarterfinal. 

Something that the Swiss camp will be quietly confident of, and although they are largely considered a team that is pragmatic in its approach, there was no such display of that on Friday.

A frenetic 3-2 win was recorded over Serbia, and in doing so, it set up their upcoming clash with Portugal. While it was a performance that saw Yakin remove their shackles in pursuit of victory. Should he unleash his charges on Tuesday we may even see the same outcome.

World Cup Knockout Rounds Bracket

Portugal vs. Switzerland Expected Goals

In a sport where scoring has extremely high variance, opportunities to score and opportunities allowed has become a more respected measure of the quality of a team’s play. Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of a shot based on several factors, including shot type, shot angle and distance from goal. Similarly, expected goals allowed (xGA) measure the quality of a team’s defense. Subtracting expected goals allowed from expected goals equals expected goal differential (xGD) and offers an overall advanced measure of a team.

TeamGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencexGoals ForxGoals AgainstxGoal Difference
Portugal 64 5.214.171.04 
Switzerland 431 5.043.361.68 

Matchup History

In terms of the history between Portugal and Switzerland, there has been a number of recent skirmishes between the two countries. While two of them took place in June of this year, as they were paired together in the UEFA Nations League.

A 4-0 win for Portugal in Lisbon was subsequently followed up by a 1-0 reverse to Switzerland in Geneva just a week later. This means this Round of 16 meeting is a rubber match of sorts.

Of the 25 meetings between the two, Portugal has won 11, Switzerland has won 9 and there have also been five ties. A record that suggests there is little difference between them and this could also be the case when they meet on Tuesday.

Portugal vs. Switzerland Bets To Consider

Cristiano Ronaldo to score anytime:

Although Cristiano Ronaldo has given his nearest rivals a considerable head start in the race for the Golden Boot, there is still just enough time to claw back the likes of Kylian Mbappe and Marcus Rashford.

While the only way that the former Manchester United star can do that is by registering his name on Tuesday’s scoresheet and if we are being truly honest, he could probably do with at least a brace,

However, for the purposes of this tip, I am interested in just a single goal and one that the Portuguese phenom is more than capable of scoring on Tuesday. Especially when you consider that he is due another addition to his impressive international record.

After scoring the opener against Ghana, Cristiano has been kept rather quiet since. Kept quiet in front of the goal but was not quiet himself and after a large amount of protestation during Portugal’s win over Uruguay, it was not enough to see goal 119 added to his account.

He claimed the ball touched his head before going in, FIFA claimed otherwise. That though is in the past and as long he can breach a robust Swiss defense, then you will be claiming a decent amount of winnings from the sportsbooks. 

Portugal to win in extra time: +1200

As mentioned above, these two nations have met only recently and in their last meeting six months ago it was Switzerland who came out on top in their UEFA Nations League clash. While it is a 1-0 win that certainly gives me food for thought before Tuesday.

Because even though the Nations League is nothing more than a glorified friendly, such a reversal is still going to take prominence in the minds of the Portuguese and they will soon look to right this particular wrong.

However, Switzerland will certainly be buoyed by not only their 3-2 win over Serbia but also Portugal’s misstep against South Korea earlier that same Friday, and when you couple these factors together, this upcoming fixture could be a rather balanced affair.

This is why I believe this one is going to require an additional 30 minutes to break any deadlock. While it is a deadlock that will finally be broken by the Portuguese as they grind out an extra-time win.

Switzerland certainly has the defensive nous to withstand their upcoming opponents, those same opponents just have a little more when it comes to their attack. Which is why if we see a little more in terms of minutes, we should see a lot in terms of winnings. 

Best of luck wagering on Portugal vs. Switzerland odds.

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