Pittsburgh Steelers Odds: Low Risk, High Reward Najee Harris Bet

Written By Derek Wagner on August 11, 2022
steelers odds

Opportunity has presented itself in one particular market among Pittsburgh Steelers odds, and that opportunity is to bet the Over/Under on how many rushing touchdowns bellcow running back Najee Harris will have in 2022. 

Shopping for the best odds unearthed this opportunity, a strategy we cannot stress enough, and we will continue to stress everytime you browse 2022 NFL odds. Over time, shopping for the best prices will maximize your profit potential as a sports bettor. That is why you should always be using our Prop Tool below and signing up for multiple sports betting apps in your state and shopping for best odds and numbers before you place a bet.

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Steelers Odds: Najee Harris TD Prop

You can find this bet on the FanDuel Sportsbook app by:

  • Clicking the NFL logo at the top
  • Scroll right to ‘Player Props’
  • Choose ‘Rushing Props’
  • Scroll down under ‘Regular Season Rushing TDs’ to Najee Harris.

FanDuel Sportsbook currently has Najee Harris’ rushing touchdown prop set at Over 7.5 (-124). Use our Prop Tool below, and you’ll discover BetMGM has Under 9.5 (-115). DraftKings and PointsBet also have this set at 9.5. 

Generally, off-market prices can provide value for NFL bettors, as NFL markets generate the most handle from bettors and attention from oddsmakers. Harris to finish Over 7.5 rushing touchdowns may be worth betting. 

Off-Market: odds, like a spread or total, that are very different at one sportsbook compared to the consensus odds across the sport betting marketplace.

OPTION TO MIDDLE THIS MARKET

If you opt to bet Harris Over 7.5 rushing touchdowns at this off-market price at FD, you have the option at a rare middle on a season-long prop. It’s very rare to see a two-touchdown gap on the same player between sportsbooks.

Here’s one example at attempting to middle this to try and cash both bets, and you can adjust your unit size however you’d like. As always, bet responsibly, and don’t bet more than you are comfortable tying up for the entire NFL regular season.

  • $124 on Harris Over 7.5 TD (-124) at FD: to profit $100
  • $115 on Harris Under 9.5 TD (-115) at BetMGM: to profit $100

One of these two bets is guaranteed to win, and perhaps both if Harris finishes with eight or nine rushing touchdowns. If only one side hits, you’d only lose $24 or $15 in this example; however, the total profit is $200 if it middles.

So the choice is up to each bettor and should be made based on their personal bankroll. Bet the NFL betting market inefficiency on Harris over 7.5 TDs, or try for the large payout if it middles.

Can The Offensive Line Improve?

The Steelers went into the offseason needing to tweak the offensive line and they did slightly. They signed James Daniels to a 3-year deal worth $26.5 million. The fifth-year interior lineman reunites with Mitch Trubisky after bouncing around between the center and guard position during his time in Chicago. 

Daniels projects to play the right guard position this year, barring any injuries to someone along the interior of the line. The 24-year-old out of Iowa played 1,121 snaps at right guard for the Bears last year and earned a 72.9 run blocking grade from PFF, a massive upgrade in the run game. Last year’s right guard for the Steelers, Trai Turner, only had a 67.6 run blocking grade from PFF in a total of 380 run blocking snaps.

The Steelers as a team received a 60.2 run blocking grade from Pro Football Focus last year, making them the 24th-rated run blocking team in the league. 

Follow TheLines for more NFL betting coverage leading up to the 2022 regular season. Best of luck navigating Steelers odds.

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