Pirates Vs Reds: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – May 7, 2022

Written By Staff on May 7, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds (3-22) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (10-14) on Saturday at 6:40 PM ET. Mitch Keller starts for Pittsburgh (-126 to win) while Cincinnati (+108) will counter with Robert Dugger.

The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of May 7, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Pirates vs Reds Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Keller (PIT) Pitcher Dugger (CIN)
0 – 4 W/L 0 – 0
23.2 IP 5.1
5.32 ERA 5.06
1.437 WHIP 1.500
8 K/9 11.8
2.7 BB/9 0

Pirates Probable Starter Mitch Keller

  • The Pirates are sending Keller (0-4) to the mound to make his sixth start of the season. He is 0-4 with a 5.32 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 23 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Sunday against the San Diego Padres, the right-hander tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.32, with 8 strikeouts per nine innings, in five games this season.
  • Keller is looking to record his second quality start of the season.
  • He will take the hill against a Reds squad that is hitting .203 as a unit (28th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .318 (28th in MLB) with 18 total home runs (24th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 7, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Probable Starter Robert Dugger

  • Dugger has been named the starter for the Reds and will make his first start this season.
  • The 26-year-old righty has pitched in relief once already this campaign, but will make his first start.
  • He has pitched in one games this season with an ERA of 5.06 and 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Pirates have scored 89 runs this season, which ranks 25th in MLB. They are batting .233 for the campaign with 14 home runs, 28th in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 7, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have put together a 2-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).
  • Pittsburgh has played as a moneyline favorite of -126 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Pirates have an implied win probability of 55.8%.
  • Pittsburgh has played in 25 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 10 times (10-12-3).
  • The Pirates have a 13-12-0 record against the spread this season (covering 52% of the time).
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Reds Betting Trends

  • The Reds have entered the game as underdogs 23 times this season and won four, or 17.4%, of those games.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 3-17 in games where sportsbooks have them as underogs of at least +108 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 48.1% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of their 26 games with a total this season.
  • The Reds are 7-19-0 against the spread in their 26 chances this season.

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Ben Gamel has five doubles, a triple, a home run and nine walks while hitting .301.
  • Gamel ranks 22nd in batting average, 22nd in on base percentage, and 51st in slugging among qualifying hitters in MLB action.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes leads his team with a .398 on-base percentage, and has a club-high .373 slugging percentage. He has six doubles and 13 walks while hitting .301.
  • Hayes currently ranks 22nd in batting average, 17th in on base percentage, and 94th in slugging among qualified hitters.
  • Daniel Vogelbach is batting .276 with four doubles, four home runs and seven walks. He has totaled 21 hits, a team-best for the Pirates.
  • Michael Chavis is hitting .258 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs and three walks.

Pirates Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Bryan Reynolds 86 .209 9 2 4 .313 .639
Ke’Bryan Hayes 83 .301 11 0 7 .398 .771
Daniel Vogelbach 76 .276 11 4 11 .333 .820
Ben Gamel 73 .301 11 1 11 .378 .816
Michael Chavis 66 .258 7 3 12 .282 .737
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 64 .188 6 0 7 .304 .507
Diego Castillo 63 .238 6 1 5 .258 .560
Roberto Pérez 60 .233 8 2 8 .333 .700
Cole Tucker 49 .163 2 0 1 .163 .367
Jake Marisnick 47 .170 5 0 1 .204 .417

Reds Players to Watch

  • Tommy Pham has 20 hits and an OBP of .340 to go with a slugging percentage of .440. All three of those stats are best among Cincinnati hitters this season.
  • Among all the qualified hitters in MLB, Pham’s batting average is 95th, his on-base percentage ranks 57th, and he is 48th in slugging.
  • Brandon Drury is slugging .500 while driving in 11 runs and batting .250 this season.
  • Tyler Stephenson has 13 hits this season and has a slash line of .310/.388/.571.
  • Tyler Naquin is batting .203 with a .257 OBP and 13 RBI for Cincinnati this season.

Reds Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Kyle Farmer 90 .211 7 0 10 .258 .547
Tommy Pham 84 .238 15 4 7 .340 .780
Tyler Naquin 69 .203 8 2 13 .257 .634
Brandon Drury 68 .250 10 4 11 .297 .797
Mike Moustakas 56 .232 6 1 5 .290 .611
Colin Moran 45 .200 2 0 9 .278 .500
Tyler Stephenson 42 .310 7 3 12 .388 .959
Aramis Garcia 33 .212 3 1 1 .257 .590
Alejo Lopez 25 .240 3 0 0 .296 .536
TJ Friedl 20 .150 2 0 1 .217 .467

Pirates vs Reds Player Props

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