The Pittsburgh Pirates (13-17) and the Cincinnati Reds (7-24) square off in the first of a four-game series on Thursday at PNC Park, starting at 6:35 PM ET. The Pirates are coming off a 2-1 series win over the Dodgers, and the Reds enter the matchup after a 2-1 series win over the Brewers. Pittsburgh’s (
to win) JT Brubaker starts against Cincinnati’s ( ) Connor Overton.The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 12, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.
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Pirates vs Reds Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Brubaker (PIT) | Pitcher | Overton (CIN) |
---|---|---|
0 – 2 | W/L | 0 – 0 |
25.1 | IP | 10.2 |
5.68 | ERA | 2.53 |
1.421 | WHIP | 1.031 |
10.7 | K/9 | 5.9 |
5.0 | BB/9 | 1.7 |
Pirates Probable Starter JT Brubaker
- The Pirates are sending Brubaker (0-2) out to make his seventh start of the season. He is 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA and 30 strikeouts through 25 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out came on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the right-hander tossed five innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
- In six games this season, the 28-year-old has a 5.68 ERA and 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings.
- Brubaker is yet to notch a quality start so far this season.
- He will face off against a Reds squad that is batting .217 as a unit (28th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .350 (24th in MLB) with 25 total home runs (22nd in MLB).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 12, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Reds Probable Starter Connor Overton
- Overton heads to the mound for the Reds to make his third start of the season, seeking his first win.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, throwing five innings and giving up two earned runs.
- He has pitched in two games this season with an ERA of 2.53, a 3.5 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.031.
- The Pirates rank ninth in MLB with a .238 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 17th in the league (.371) and 25 home runs.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 12, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Pirates Betting Trends
- The Pirates have been favored on the moneyline five total times this season. They’ve gone 3-2 in those games.
- Pittsburgh has yet to play as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter.
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Pirates have an implied win probability of 57.4%.
- Pittsburgh has played in 30 games with over/under set, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 13 times (13-14-3).
- The Pirates have covered 53.3% of their games this season, going 16-14-0 ATS.
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Reds Betting Trends
- The Reds have entered the game as underdogs 27 times this season and won six, or 22.2%, of those games.
- Cincinnati has a record of 5-17 in games where oddsmakers have them as underogs of at least +114 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 46.7%.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 31 opportunities.
- The Reds have an ATS record of 11-20-0 in 31 games with a spread this season.
Pirates Players to Watch
- Ben Gamel has six doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks while hitting .290.
- Among the qualifying hitters in MLB, Gamel ranks 31st in batting average, 26th in on-base percentage, and 54th in slugging.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has a .410 on-base percentage while slugging .400. Both pace his team. He has eight doubles and 15 walks while batting .320.
- Hayes ranks 11th in batting average, eighth in on base percentage, and 77th in slugging in MLB play.
- Daniel Vogelbach is hitting .258 with four doubles, five home runs and 11 walks. He leads the Pirates with 23 hits.
- Bryan Reynolds has three doubles, a triple, four home runs and 14 walks while batting .229.
Pirates Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds | 105 | .229 | 11 | 4 | 6 | .325 | .715 |
Ke’Bryan Hayes | 100 | .320 | 13 | 0 | 7 | .410 | .810 |
Ben Gamel | 93 | .290 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .371 | .812 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 89 | .258 | 13 | 5 | 12 | .337 | .809 |
Diego Castillo | 81 | .235 | 8 | 2 | 6 | .267 | .600 |
Michael Chavis | 78 | .269 | 9 | 3 | 13 | .286 | .760 |
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | 78 | .192 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .302 | .558 |
Cole Tucker | 63 | .175 | 3 | 0 | 2 | .175 | .397 |
Josh VanMeter | 48 | .188 | 6 | 2 | 4 | .250 | .625 |
Jack Suwinski | 42 | .238 | 6 | 2 | 5 | .304 | .733 |
Reds Players to Watch
- Brandon Drury leads Cincinnati in total hits (23) this season while batting .271 with 13 extra-base hits.
- Of all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, Drury ranks 45th in batting average, 41st in on-base percentage and ninth in slugging percentage.
- Tommy Pham leads the Reds with an OPS of .777. He has a slash line of .248/.361/.416 this season.
- Among all qualifying players, Pham’s batting average puts him 82nd, his on-base percentage ranks 39th, and he is 71st in slugging.
- Tyler Stephenson has collected 19 base hits, an OBP of .397 and a slugging percentage of .559 this season.
- Colin Moran has four home runs, 20 RBI and a batting average of .215 this season.
Reds Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Farmer | 107 | .196 | 10 | 1 | 14 | .254 | .553 |
Tommy Pham | 101 | .248 | 20 | 4 | 11 | .361 | .777 |
Tyler Naquin | 86 | .221 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .280 | .675 |
Brandon Drury | 85 | .271 | 17 | 6 | 18 | .357 | .922 |
Mike Moustakas | 71 | .254 | 10 | 1 | 7 | .325 | .677 |
Colin Moran | 65 | .215 | 8 | 4 | 20 | .289 | .720 |
Tyler Stephenson | 59 | .322 | 11 | 3 | 17 | .397 | .956 |
TJ Friedl | 41 | .220 | 7 | 0 | 2 | .283 | .576 |
Aramis Garcia | 39 | .179 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .220 | .502 |
Matt Reynolds | 26 | .308 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .438 | .823 |
Pirates vs Reds Player Props
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