Pirates Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – June 21, 2022

Written By Staff on June 21, 2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (26-39) host the Chicago Cubs (25-42) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. Roansy Contreras starts for Pittsburgh (-155 to win), and Matt Swarmer is Chicago’s (+131) pick to start.

The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of June 21, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Pirates vs Cubs Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Contreras (PIT) Pitcher Swarmer (CHC)
1 – 1 W/L 1 – 2
32.1 IP 20.2
3.06 ERA 5.23
1.299 WHIP 1.258
9.7 K/9 8.3
3.3 BB/9 3.5

Pirates Probable Starter Roansy Contreras

  • Contreras makes the start for the Pirates, his sixth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 32 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • In eight games this season, the 22-year-old has a 3.06 ERA and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .240 to his opponents.
  • Contreras is yet to record a quality start so far this year.
  • He will match up with a Cubs team that is batting .242 as a unit (15th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .388 (16th in MLB) with 65 total home runs (17th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 21, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs Contreras

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Willson Contreras 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Rafael Ortega 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Ian Happ 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Cubs Probable Starter Matt Swarmer

  • The Cubs will hand the ball to Swarmer (1-2) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 5.23, a 2.375 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.258 in four games this season.
  • In four starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in two of them.
  • The Pirates rank 28th in MLB with a .221 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 28th in the league (.357) and 60 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 21, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Swarmer

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS

Pirates Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have won eight of the 14 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (57.1%).
  • Pittsburgh has never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -155 or shorter.
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Pirates a 60.8% chance to win.
  • Pittsburgh has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 66 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 26 of those games (26-34-6).
  • The Pirates have collected a 30-36-0 record against the spread this season (covering 45.5% of the time).
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Cubs Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have won 18, or 37.5%, of the 48 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Chicago is 9-13 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +131 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 43.3%.
  • So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of their 67 games with a total.
  • In 67 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 33-34-0 ATS.

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Bryan Reynolds has racked up 60 hits, a team-high for the Pirates. He’s batting .253 with eight doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Among the qualified hitters in baseball, Reynolds’ batting average ranks 78th, his on-base percentage ranks 72nd, and he is 51st in the league in slugging.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes leads his team with a .344 on-base percentage, and has a club-high .365 slugging percentage. He has 15 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 26 walks while hitting .265.
  • Among qualified hitters, Hayes’ batting average ranks 58th, his on-base percentage ranks 47th, and he is 126th in the league in slugging.
  • Daniel Vogelbach is batting .217 with six doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 20 walks.
  • Michael Chavis is hitting .257 with seven doubles, two triples, six home runs and 12 walks.

Pirates Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Bryan Reynolds 237 .253 30 11 21 .331 .774
Ke’Bryan Hayes 230 .265 28 2 22 .344 .709
Michael Chavis 175 .257 20 6 22 .307 .730
Daniel Vogelbach 166 .217 20 8 20 .299 .709
Diego Castillo 162 .191 15 4 15 .234 .536
Jack Suwinski 151 .225 22 10 18 .295 .759
Cal Mitchell 74 .203 4 2 7 .241 .592
Tyler Heineman 71 .155 9 0 3 .221 .432
Michael Perez 63 .111 2 2 5 .176 .382
Yu Chang 42 .119 2 1 2 .213 .427

Cubs Players to Watch

  • Ian Happ leads Chicago in slugging percentage (.466) thanks to 23 extra-base hits.
  • Among all the qualified hitters in the majors, Happ’s batting average ranks 27th, his on-base percentage ranks 13th, and he is 38th in slugging percentatge.
  • Willson Contreras leads Chicago with 58 hits and an OBP of .393 this season.
  • Willson Contreras is currently 36th in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage and 14th in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
  • Patrick Wisdom has collected 48 base hits, an OBP of .306 and a slugging percentage of .437 this season.
  • Nico Hoerner is batting .275 with a .310 OBP and 17 RBI for Chicago this season.

Cubs Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Patrick Wisdom 222 .216 32 12 31 .306 .743
Ian Happ 221 .290 31 7 32 .389 .855
Willson Contreras 208 .279 40 12 27 .393 .917
Nico Hoerner 178 .275 15 3 17 .310 .698
Rafael Ortega 156 .263 18 3 9 .354 .726
Jonathan Villar 144 .222 16 2 15 .269 .581
Christopher Morel 130 .262 21 5 15 .329 .791
Jason Heyward 125 .192 13 1 10 .263 .535
Alfonso Rivas 103 .214 12 2 13 .311 .622
Yan Gomes 99 .242 8 3 8 .257 .631

Pirates vs Cubs Player Props

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