Phillies Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 30, 2022

Written By Staff on July 30, 2022

Nicholas Castellanos is only two hits away from his 100th of the season as his Philadelphia Phillies (53-47) get ready for a matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-60) on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET. Philadelphia (-158 to win) has Ranger Suarez starting things off, and Pittsburgh (+134) will counter with Mitch Keller.

The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of July 30, 2022 at 5:26 PM ET.

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Phillies vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Suárez (PHI) Pitcher Keller (PIT)
7 – 5 W/L 3 – 7
89.0 IP 95.0
3.84 ERA 4.55
1.393 WHIP 1.421
7.3 K/9 8
3.4 BB/9 3.2

Phillies Probable Starter Ranger Suárez

  • Suarez (7-5 with a 3.84 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 89 innings pitched) gets the start for the Phillies, his 18th of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Monday against the Atlanta Braves, the left-hander went 5 2/3 innings, allowing no earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.84, with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .260 batting average against him.
  • Suarez is looking to record his sixth quality start of the year in this outing.
  • The opposing Pirates offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.364) and is 16th in MLB play with 101 home runs. It has a collective .219 batting average, and is 29th in MLB with 719 total hits and 28th in MLB play scoring 359 runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 30, 2022 at 5:26 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Suárez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Kevin Newman 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Ke’Bryan Hayes 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Yoshi Tsutsugo 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Ben Gamel 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Tyler Heineman 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Pirates Probable Starter Mitch Keller

  • The Pirates’ Keller (3-7) will make his 18th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Miami Marlins, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 4.55 and 8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .273.
  • He’s going for his fourth quality start in a row.
  • The Phillies are batting .247 this season, 11th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .415 (seventh in the league) with 128 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 30, 2022 at 5:26 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Phillies Stats vs Keller

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Nick Castellanos 21 .333 7 2 5 .417 1.131
J.T. Realmuto 7 .429 3 0 2 .429 1.286
Kyle Schwarber 6 .667 4 0 2 .714 1.714
Didi Gregorius 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Rhys Hoskins 3 .667 2 0 1 .750 2.417
Alec Bohm 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Odúbel Herrera 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Johan Camargo 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Phillies Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have been the moneyline favorite 60 total times this season. They’ve finished 33-27 in those games.
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -158 or shorter, Philadelphia has gone 16-7 (69.6%).
  • The Phillies have a 61.2% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Philadelphia has played in 100 games with a set over/under, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 51 times (51-44-5).
  • The Phillies have a 50-50-0 record ATS this season (covering 50% of the time).
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Pirates Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have won 31, or 36.9%, of the 84 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 20-38 in games where sportsbooks have them as underogs of at least +134 on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have a 42.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 40 of their 100 chances.
  • The Pirates are 52-48-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Players to Watch

  • Kyle Schwarber has racked up 75 hits, a team-best for the Phillies. He’s batting .204 with 12 doubles, 32 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Among the qualified batters in baseball, Schwarber’s batting average ranks 151st, his on-base percentage ranks 117th, and he is 19th in the league in slugging.
  • Schwarber takes a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with two home runs and six RBI.
  • Rhys Hoskins’ .342 OBP paces his team, and he has 19 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 48 walks while batting .253.
  • Among the qualified, Hoskins ranks 79th in batting average, 55th in on-base percentage, and 31st in slugging.
  • Hoskins has hit safely in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • J.T. Realmuto has 14 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 28 walks while batting .253.
  • Alec Bohm is slugging .403 to pace his team. He has 15 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 18 walks while batting .296.
  • Bohm enters this game on a 14-game hitting streak. During his last 10 games he is hitting .463 with three doubles, two walks and seven RBI.

Phillies Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Nicholas Castellanos 388 .253 39 8 47 .296 .667
Rhys Hoskins 368 .253 53 20 48 .342 .820
Kyle Schwarber 368 .204 65 32 65 .306 .803
Alec Bohm 345 .296 48 6 40 .329 .732
J.T. Realmuto 308 .253 43 9 44 .328 .727
Bryson Stott 228 .193 31 7 31 .264 .584
Didi Gregorius 197 .218 16 1 19 .274 .594
Odúbel Herrera 181 .238 23 5 20 .280 .661
Matt Vierling 159 .239 23 3 13 .305 .645
Johan Camargo 152 .237 8 3 15 .295 .611

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Bryan Reynolds has 79 hits and an OBP of .335, both of which lead Pittsburgh hitters this season.
  • Among all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds’ batting average is 75th, his on-base percentage is 64th, and he is 56th in slugging.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes leads Pittsburgh in slugging percentage (.356) thanks to 25 extra-base hits.
  • Hayes’ batting average is 93rd among all qualified players, his on-base percentage places him 92nd, and he is 135th in slugging.
  • Michael Chavis has 63 hits this season and has a slash line of .240/.279/.408.
  • Ben Gamel has four home runs, 23 RBI and a batting average of .237 this season.

Pirates Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ke’Bryan Hayes 351 .248 41 5 29 .321 .677
Bryan Reynolds 311 .254 40 15 32 .335 .788
Michael Chavis 262 .240 24 10 32 .279 .687
Diego Castillo 236 .203 24 10 25 .248 .621
Ben Gamel 207 .237 27 4 23 .329 .691
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 166 .169 11 2 18 .249 .478
Josh VanMeter 148 .182 14 3 12 .255 .552
Oneil Cruz 121 .207 16 6 22 .242 .655
Kevin Newman 112 .277 11 0 14 .331 .742
Cal Mitchell 112 .214 10 3 10 .252 .591

Phillies vs Pirates Player Props

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