Phillies Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 17, 2022

Written By Staff on July 16, 2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (48-43) will try to finish off a sweep of a three-game series against the Miami Marlins (43-47). The series finale starts at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday. Aaron Nola starts for Philadelphia (-144 to win) while Miami (+121) will counter with Trevor Rogers.

The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of July 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM ET.

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Phillies vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Nola (PHI) Pitcher Rogers (MIA)
5 – 7 W/L 4 – 8
118.1 IP 78.0
3.35 ERA 5.42
0.921 WHIP 1.577
9.7 K/9 8.5
1.1 BB/9 4.5

Phillies Probable Starter Aaron Nola

  • Nola (5-7 with a 3.35 ERA and 127 strikeouts in 118 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his 19th of the season.
  • In his last outing on Monday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the right-hander went 7 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.35, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents have a .216 batting average against him.
  • Nola is trying to pick up his 11th quality start of the year in this matchup.
  • He will face a Marlins team that is hitting .237 as a unit (21st in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .381 (20th in MLB) with 90 total home runs (18th in MLB).
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 29-year-old ranks 30th in ERA (3.35), sixth in WHIP (.921), and 12th in K/9 (9.7).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Nola

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Miguel Rojas 28 .286 8 0 5 .333 .690
Brian Anderson 25 .360 9 0 0 .407 .807
Jesús Aguilar 15 .267 4 1 4 .267 .734
Garrett Cooper 13 .231 3 0 1 .286 .517
Jorge Soler 7 .429 3 0 0 .556 .985
Jesús Sánchez 6 .167 1 0 1 .167 .334
Billy Hamilton 5 .000 0 0 0 .375 .375
Jacob Stallings 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Bryan De La Cruz 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Joey Wendle 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 1.000

Marlins Probable Starter Trevor Rogers

  • The Marlins will hand the ball to Rogers (4-8) for his 18th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 5.42 and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .269.
  • He has one quality starts in 17 chances this season.
  • The Phillies are batting .246 this season, 12th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .417 (seventh in the league) with 119 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Phillies Stats vs Rogers

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Rhys Hoskins 14 .500 7 3 8 .562 1.776
J.T. Realmuto 10 .100 1 0 1 .182 .282
Alec Bohm 9 .111 1 0 1 .250 .361
Odúbel Herrera 7 .143 1 0 0 .333 .476
Didi Gregorius 6 .333 2 0 0 .429 .929
Matt Vierling 5 .400 2 0 1 .400 1.000
Yairo Muñoz 3 .333 1 0 0 .500 .833
Nick Castellanos 3 .667 2 0 0 .750 1.417
Bryson Stott 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Johan Camargo 1 .000 0 0 1 .000 .000

Phillies Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have compiled a 30-24 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 55.6% of those games).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -144 or shorter, Philadelphia has gone 19-13 (59.4%).
  • The Phillies have an implied moneyline win probability of 59% in this matchup.
  • In the 91 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Philadelphia, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-41-3).
  • The Phillies have a 46-45-0 record against the spread this season.
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 49 games this season and won 18 (36.7%) of those contests.
  • This season, Miami has won eight of its 29 games, or 27.6%, when they’re the underdog by at least +121 on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have a 45.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 90 opportunities.
  • The Marlins are 43-47-0 ATS in their 90 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Players to Watch

  • Kyle Schwarber is leading the Phillies with 70 hits, while batting .211 with 12 doubles, 29 home runs and 52 walks.
  • Among the qualified hitters, Schwarber ranks 147th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 94th and he is 18th in slugging.
  • Rhys Hoskins’ .338 OBP paces his team, and he has 17 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .246.
  • Hoskins’ batting average ranks 96th among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 60th, and he is 30th in the league in slugging.
  • J.T. Realmuto has 13 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 24 walks while hitting .250.
  • Nicholas Castellanos has 20 doubles, eight home runs and 22 walks while batting .251. He paces his team with a .377 slugging percentage.
  • Castellanos takes a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .256 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.

Phillies Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Nicholas Castellanos 350 .251 36 8 46 .298 .675
Rhys Hoskins 333 .246 49 19 44 .338 .818
Kyle Schwarber 332 .211 62 29 58 .320 .829
Alec Bohm 308 .273 42 6 34 .309 .692
J.T. Realmuto 284 .250 41 8 38 .320 .714
Bryson Stott 202 .188 27 6 26 .255 .562
Odúbel Herrera 172 .244 21 5 19 .284 .679
Didi Gregorius 171 .240 15 1 17 .303 .660
Johan Camargo 140 .236 8 3 15 .299 .620
Matt Vierling 130 .231 18 3 12 .306 .644

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Garrett Cooper leads Miami in OBP (.353), slugging percentage (.441) and total hits (82) this season.
  • Among all the qualifying hitters in MLB, Cooper’s batting average is 31st, his on-base percentage ranks 39th, and he is 61st in slugging percentatge.
  • Jesus Aguilar is slugging .399 while driving in 36 runs and batting .249 this season.
  • Among all qualified players, Aguilar is 91st in batting average, 125th in on-base percentage and 99th in slugging percentage.
  • Miguel Rojas has 64 hits this season and has a slash line of .235/.283/.349.
  • Jorge Soler is batting .212 with a .302 OBP and 34 RBI for Miami this season.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 313 .249 32 11 36 .298 .697
Garrett Cooper 286 .287 28 7 40 .353 .794
Avisaíl García 281 .228 26 6 28 .265 .585
Miguel Rojas 272 .235 26 6 21 .283 .632
Jesús Sánchez 266 .203 32 11 30 .260 .643
Jorge Soler 260 .212 31 13 34 .302 .714
Jacob Stallings 207 .184 18 2 22 .244 .476
Bryan De La Cruz 184 .207 20 6 19 .256 .609
Brian Anderson 164 .262 25 3 12 .360 .756
Joey Wendle 133 .278 13 2 16 .336 .734

Phillies vs Marlins Player Props

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