The Philadelphia Phillies (48-43) will try to finish off a sweep of a three-game series against the Miami Marlins (43-47). The series finale starts at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday. Aaron Nola starts for Philadelphia (
to win) while Miami ( ) will counter with Trevor Rogers.The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of July 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM ET.
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Phillies vs Marlins Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Nola (PHI) | Pitcher | Rogers (MIA) |
---|---|---|
5 – 7 | W/L | 4 – 8 |
118.1 | IP | 78.0 |
3.35 | ERA | 5.42 |
0.921 | WHIP | 1.577 |
9.7 | K/9 | 8.5 |
1.1 | BB/9 | 4.5 |
Phillies Probable Starter Aaron Nola
- Nola (5-7 with a 3.35 ERA and 127 strikeouts in 118 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his 19th of the season.
- In his last outing on Monday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the right-hander went 7 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.35, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents have a .216 batting average against him.
- Nola is trying to pick up his 11th quality start of the year in this matchup.
- He will face a Marlins team that is hitting .237 as a unit (21st in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .381 (20th in MLB) with 90 total home runs (18th in MLB).
- Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 29-year-old ranks 30th in ERA (3.35), sixth in WHIP (.921), and 12th in K/9 (9.7).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Marlins Stats vs Nola
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miguel Rojas | 28 | .286 | 8 | 0 | 5 | .333 | .690 |
Brian Anderson | 25 | .360 | 9 | 0 | 0 | .407 | .807 |
Jesús Aguilar | 15 | .267 | 4 | 1 | 4 | .267 | .734 |
Garrett Cooper | 13 | .231 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .286 | .517 |
Jorge Soler | 7 | .429 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .556 | .985 |
Jesús Sánchez | 6 | .167 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
Billy Hamilton | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .375 | .375 |
Jacob Stallings | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .200 |
Bryan De La Cruz | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Joey Wendle | 2 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.000 |
Marlins Probable Starter Trevor Rogers
- The Marlins will hand the ball to Rogers (4-8) for his 18th start of the season.
- The left-hander gave up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- The 24-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 5.42 and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .269.
- He has one quality starts in 17 chances this season.
- The Phillies are batting .246 this season, 12th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .417 (seventh in the league) with 119 home runs.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 17, 2022 at 1:30 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Phillies Stats vs Rogers
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rhys Hoskins | 14 | .500 | 7 | 3 | 8 | .562 | 1.776 |
J.T. Realmuto | 10 | .100 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .182 | .282 |
Alec Bohm | 9 | .111 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .250 | .361 |
Odúbel Herrera | 7 | .143 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .476 |
Didi Gregorius | 6 | .333 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .429 | .929 |
Matt Vierling | 5 | .400 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 1.000 |
Yairo Muñoz | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | .833 |
Nick Castellanos | 3 | .667 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 1.417 |
Bryson Stott | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Johan Camargo | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
Phillies Betting Trends
- The Phillies have compiled a 30-24 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 55.6% of those games).
- In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -144 or shorter, Philadelphia has gone 19-13 (59.4%).
- The Phillies have an implied moneyline win probability of 59% in this matchup.
- In the 91 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Philadelphia, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-41-3).
- The Phillies have a 46-45-0 record against the spread this season.
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Marlins Betting Trends
- The Marlins have been underdogs in 49 games this season and won 18 (36.7%) of those contests.
- This season, Miami has won eight of its 29 games, or 27.6%, when they’re the underdog by at least +121 on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have a 45.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 90 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 43-47-0 ATS in their 90 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Players to Watch
- Kyle Schwarber is leading the Phillies with 70 hits, while batting .211 with 12 doubles, 29 home runs and 52 walks.
- Among the qualified hitters, Schwarber ranks 147th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 94th and he is 18th in slugging.
- Rhys Hoskins’ .338 OBP paces his team, and he has 17 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .246.
- Hoskins’ batting average ranks 96th among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 60th, and he is 30th in the league in slugging.
- J.T. Realmuto has 13 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 24 walks while hitting .250.
- Nicholas Castellanos has 20 doubles, eight home runs and 22 walks while batting .251. He paces his team with a .377 slugging percentage.
- Castellanos takes a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .256 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.
Phillies Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nicholas Castellanos | 350 | .251 | 36 | 8 | 46 | .298 | .675 |
Rhys Hoskins | 333 | .246 | 49 | 19 | 44 | .338 | .818 |
Kyle Schwarber | 332 | .211 | 62 | 29 | 58 | .320 | .829 |
Alec Bohm | 308 | .273 | 42 | 6 | 34 | .309 | .692 |
J.T. Realmuto | 284 | .250 | 41 | 8 | 38 | .320 | .714 |
Bryson Stott | 202 | .188 | 27 | 6 | 26 | .255 | .562 |
Odúbel Herrera | 172 | .244 | 21 | 5 | 19 | .284 | .679 |
Didi Gregorius | 171 | .240 | 15 | 1 | 17 | .303 | .660 |
Johan Camargo | 140 | .236 | 8 | 3 | 15 | .299 | .620 |
Matt Vierling | 130 | .231 | 18 | 3 | 12 | .306 | .644 |
Marlins Players to Watch
- Garrett Cooper leads Miami in OBP (.353), slugging percentage (.441) and total hits (82) this season.
- Among all the qualifying hitters in MLB, Cooper’s batting average is 31st, his on-base percentage ranks 39th, and he is 61st in slugging percentatge.
- Jesus Aguilar is slugging .399 while driving in 36 runs and batting .249 this season.
- Among all qualified players, Aguilar is 91st in batting average, 125th in on-base percentage and 99th in slugging percentage.
- Miguel Rojas has 64 hits this season and has a slash line of .235/.283/.349.
- Jorge Soler is batting .212 with a .302 OBP and 34 RBI for Miami this season.
Marlins Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jesús Aguilar | 313 | .249 | 32 | 11 | 36 | .298 | .697 |
Garrett Cooper | 286 | .287 | 28 | 7 | 40 | .353 | .794 |
Avisaíl García | 281 | .228 | 26 | 6 | 28 | .265 | .585 |
Miguel Rojas | 272 | .235 | 26 | 6 | 21 | .283 | .632 |
Jesús Sánchez | 266 | .203 | 32 | 11 | 30 | .260 | .643 |
Jorge Soler | 260 | .212 | 31 | 13 | 34 | .302 | .714 |
Jacob Stallings | 207 | .184 | 18 | 2 | 22 | .244 | .476 |
Bryan De La Cruz | 184 | .207 | 20 | 6 | 19 | .256 | .609 |
Brian Anderson | 164 | .262 | 25 | 3 | 12 | .360 | .756 |
Joey Wendle | 133 | .278 | 13 | 2 | 16 | .336 | .734 |
Phillies vs Marlins Player Props
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