Phillies Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 24, 2022

Written By Staff on July 23, 2022

The Chicago Cubs (37-57) bring a three-game win streak into a home matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies (49-45) on Sunday at 12:05 PM ET. Bailey Falter gets the starting nod for Philadelphia (-118 to win), and Drew Smyly is Chicago’s (+100) pick to start.

The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 24, 2022 at 11:26 AM ET.

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Phillies vs Cubs Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Falter (PHI) Pitcher Smyly (CHC)
0 – 2 W/L 2 – 5
28.0 IP 49.0
4.82 ERA 4.22
1.464 WHIP 1.347
7.7 K/9 7.2
2.6 BB/9 2.2

Phillies Probable Starter Bailey Falter

  • Falter (0-2 with a 4.82 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 28 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his sixth of the season.
  • His most recent appearance came on Thursday, July 7 against the Washington Nationals, when the left-hander threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 25-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.82, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in nine games this season. Opposing hitters have a .289 batting average against him.
  • So far this season, Falter does not have a quality start.
  • He meets a Cubs offense that ranks 18th in the league with 407 runs while batting .245 as a unit. It has a collective .395 slugging percentage (14th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 93 home runs (18th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 11:26 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cubs Stats vs Falter

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Alfonso Rivas 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Frank Schwindel 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Patrick Wisdom 1 1.000 1 0 0 1.000 2.000
Ian Happ 1 1.000 1 0 1 1.000 3.000
Willson Contreras 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Cubs Probable Starter Drew Smyly

  • The Cubs will hand the ball to Smyly (2-5) for his 12th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday, July 17 in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 4.22, a 3.25 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.347 in 11 games this season.
  • Smyly has not earned a quality start in 11 starts this season.
  • The Phillies rank 15th in MLB with a .244 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks seventh in the league (.415) and 122 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 11:26 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Phillies Stats vs Smyly

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Nick Castellanos 16 .375 6 0 1 .444 1.069
Didi Gregorius 14 .071 1 1 3 .071 .357
J.T. Realmuto 9 .111 1 0 0 .273 .495
Kyle Schwarber 7 .429 3 1 2 .500 1.500
Rhys Hoskins 6 .167 1 1 1 .286 .953
Alec Bohm 5 .600 3 0 0 .667 1.267
Odúbel Herrera 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Yairo Muñoz 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000

Phillies Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have put together a 31-26 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 54.4% of those games).
  • Philadelphia has a 28-25 record (winning 52.8% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -118 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Phillies’ implied win probability is 54.1%.
  • Philadelphia has played in 94 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 48 times (48-42-4).
  • The Phillies have covered 50% of their games this season, going 47-47-0 against the spread.
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Cubs Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have entered the game as underdogs 67 times this season and won 27, or 40.3%, of those games.
  • Chicago is 25-36 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +100 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 50% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 94 games with a total this season.
  • In 94 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 48-46-0 ATS.

Phillies Players to Watch

  • Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 71 hits, while batting .207 with 12 doubles, 30 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters, Schwarber ranks 146th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 97th and he is 17th in slugging.
  • Rhys Hoskins has 18 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .241, and paces his team with a .334 OBP.
  • Among qualified hitters, Hoskins’ batting average ranks 100th, his on-base percentage ranks 65th, and he is 38th in the league in slugging.
  • J.T. Realmuto has 14 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 26 walks while batting .253.
  • Realmuto takes a six-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .314 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is hitting .276 with 13 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 18 walks.
  • Bohm has safely hit in eight straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .375 with a double, two home runs, three walks and nine RBI.

Phillies Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Nicholas Castellanos 363 .245 36 8 46 .290 .656
Rhys Hoskins 344 .241 49 19 44 .334 .805
Kyle Schwarber 343 .207 63 30 59 .316 .820
Alec Bohm 319 .276 43 6 36 .313 .699
J.T. Realmuto 293 .253 42 8 39 .326 .722
Bryson Stott 207 .188 28 6 26 .260 .564
Didi Gregorius 183 .230 15 1 17 .290 .629
Odúbel Herrera 175 .240 21 5 19 .280 .669
Johan Camargo 145 .241 8 3 15 .302 .626
Matt Vierling 139 .237 19 3 13 .312 .665

Cubs Players to Watch

  • Ian Happ leads Chicago in slugging percentage (.444) thanks to 34 extra-base hits.
  • Happ is 38th in batting average, 21st in on-base percentage and 59th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in the majors.
  • Willson Contreras has 76 hits and an OBP of .372, both of which lead the Cubs this season.
  • Contreras’ batting average is 76th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage puts him 18th, and he is 38th in slugging.
  • Nico Hoerner has 86 hits this season and has a slash line of .303/.339/.430.
  • Patrick Wisdom is batting .221 with a .316 OBP and 47 RBI for Chicago this season.

Cubs Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Ian Happ 329 .280 42 9 44 .367 .811
Patrick Wisdom 321 .221 48 17 47 .316 .758
Willson Contreras 295 .258 50 14 37 .372 .843
Nico Hoerner 284 .303 32 6 30 .339 .769
Frank Schwindel 247 .235 23 8 35 .279 .656
Rafael Ortega 223 .233 24 4 23 .328 .678
Christopher Morel 222 .279 40 9 28 .349 .840
Seiya Suzuki 194 .278 25 7 28 .360 .824
Alfonso Rivas 166 .229 19 3 23 .312 .625
Yan Gomes 164 .213 11 3 12 .231 .542

Phillies vs Cubs Player Props

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