The Chicago Cubs (37-57) bring a three-game win streak into a home matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies (49-45) on Sunday at 12:05 PM ET. Bailey Falter gets the starting nod for Philadelphia (
to win), and Drew Smyly is Chicago’s ( ) pick to start.The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of July 24, 2022 at 11:26 AM ET.
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Phillies vs Cubs Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Falter (PHI) | Pitcher | Smyly (CHC) |
---|---|---|
0 – 2 | W/L | 2 – 5 |
28.0 | IP | 49.0 |
4.82 | ERA | 4.22 |
1.464 | WHIP | 1.347 |
7.7 | K/9 | 7.2 |
2.6 | BB/9 | 2.2 |
Phillies Probable Starter Bailey Falter
- Falter (0-2 with a 4.82 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 28 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his sixth of the season.
- His most recent appearance came on Thursday, July 7 against the Washington Nationals, when the left-hander threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
- The 25-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.82, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in nine games this season. Opposing hitters have a .289 batting average against him.
- So far this season, Falter does not have a quality start.
- He meets a Cubs offense that ranks 18th in the league with 407 runs while batting .245 as a unit. It has a collective .395 slugging percentage (14th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 93 home runs (18th in MLB).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 11:26 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Cubs Stats vs Falter
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alfonso Rivas | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Frank Schwindel | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Patrick Wisdom | 1 | 1.000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
Ian Happ | 1 | 1.000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 3.000 |
Willson Contreras | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Cubs Probable Starter Drew Smyly
- The Cubs will hand the ball to Smyly (2-5) for his 12th start of the season.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday, July 17 in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
- The 33-year-old has an ERA of 4.22, a 3.25 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.347 in 11 games this season.
- Smyly has not earned a quality start in 11 starts this season.
- The Phillies rank 15th in MLB with a .244 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks seventh in the league (.415) and 122 home runs.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 11:26 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Phillies Stats vs Smyly
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Castellanos | 16 | .375 | 6 | 0 | 1 | .444 | 1.069 |
Didi Gregorius | 14 | .071 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .071 | .357 |
J.T. Realmuto | 9 | .111 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .495 |
Kyle Schwarber | 7 | .429 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .500 | 1.500 |
Rhys Hoskins | 6 | .167 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .286 | .953 |
Alec Bohm | 5 | .600 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.267 |
Odúbel Herrera | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Yairo Muñoz | 2 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
Phillies Betting Trends
- The Phillies have put together a 31-26 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 54.4% of those games).
- Philadelphia has a 28-25 record (winning 52.8% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -118 or shorter.
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Phillies’ implied win probability is 54.1%.
- Philadelphia has played in 94 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 48 times (48-42-4).
- The Phillies have covered 50% of their games this season, going 47-47-0 against the spread.
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Cubs Betting Trends
- The Cubs have entered the game as underdogs 67 times this season and won 27, or 40.3%, of those games.
- Chicago is 25-36 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +100 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 50% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
- Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 94 games with a total this season.
- In 94 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 48-46-0 ATS.
Phillies Players to Watch
- Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 71 hits, while batting .207 with 12 doubles, 30 home runs and 53 walks.
- Among the qualifying hitters, Schwarber ranks 146th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 97th and he is 17th in slugging.
- Rhys Hoskins has 18 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .241, and paces his team with a .334 OBP.
- Among qualified hitters, Hoskins’ batting average ranks 100th, his on-base percentage ranks 65th, and he is 38th in the league in slugging.
- J.T. Realmuto has 14 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 26 walks while batting .253.
- Realmuto takes a six-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .314 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
- Alec Bohm is hitting .276 with 13 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 18 walks.
- Bohm has safely hit in eight straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .375 with a double, two home runs, three walks and nine RBI.
Phillies Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nicholas Castellanos | 363 | .245 | 36 | 8 | 46 | .290 | .656 |
Rhys Hoskins | 344 | .241 | 49 | 19 | 44 | .334 | .805 |
Kyle Schwarber | 343 | .207 | 63 | 30 | 59 | .316 | .820 |
Alec Bohm | 319 | .276 | 43 | 6 | 36 | .313 | .699 |
J.T. Realmuto | 293 | .253 | 42 | 8 | 39 | .326 | .722 |
Bryson Stott | 207 | .188 | 28 | 6 | 26 | .260 | .564 |
Didi Gregorius | 183 | .230 | 15 | 1 | 17 | .290 | .629 |
Odúbel Herrera | 175 | .240 | 21 | 5 | 19 | .280 | .669 |
Johan Camargo | 145 | .241 | 8 | 3 | 15 | .302 | .626 |
Matt Vierling | 139 | .237 | 19 | 3 | 13 | .312 | .665 |
Cubs Players to Watch
- Ian Happ leads Chicago in slugging percentage (.444) thanks to 34 extra-base hits.
- Happ is 38th in batting average, 21st in on-base percentage and 59th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in the majors.
- Willson Contreras has 76 hits and an OBP of .372, both of which lead the Cubs this season.
- Contreras’ batting average is 76th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage puts him 18th, and he is 38th in slugging.
- Nico Hoerner has 86 hits this season and has a slash line of .303/.339/.430.
- Patrick Wisdom is batting .221 with a .316 OBP and 47 RBI for Chicago this season.
Cubs Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ian Happ | 329 | .280 | 42 | 9 | 44 | .367 | .811 |
Patrick Wisdom | 321 | .221 | 48 | 17 | 47 | .316 | .758 |
Willson Contreras | 295 | .258 | 50 | 14 | 37 | .372 | .843 |
Nico Hoerner | 284 | .303 | 32 | 6 | 30 | .339 | .769 |
Frank Schwindel | 247 | .235 | 23 | 8 | 35 | .279 | .656 |
Rafael Ortega | 223 | .233 | 24 | 4 | 23 | .328 | .678 |
Christopher Morel | 222 | .279 | 40 | 9 | 28 | .349 | .840 |
Seiya Suzuki | 194 | .278 | 25 | 7 | 28 | .360 | .824 |
Alfonso Rivas | 166 | .229 | 19 | 3 | 23 | .312 | .625 |
Yan Gomes | 164 | .213 | 11 | 3 | 12 | .231 | .542 |
Phillies vs Cubs Player Props
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