The Fall Swing is over, a full field of 144 is on tap, and that means we are back to talking PGA TOUR golf sleepers! As a quick refresher, this article identifies some of my favorite upside plays interchangeably between DFS (value players in the $6K or $7K range on DraftKings) and betting (80-1 odds or longer). This article does not take DFS ownership into account and is instead intended to inform longshot bets, props, and DFS cash game considerations.
This week brings us to Honolulu for the second leg of the Hawaii swing at Waialae Country Club for the 2023 Sony Open. A majority of the field will be kicking off the rust to jump-start the new year after an extended layoff, with full-field PGA TOUR action last seen in November 2022. But while preceding form may be a bit of a mystery this week, course fit and course history will serve as a useful guide for the Sony Open, whether you’re exploring one of the many golf betting markets or focusing on Daily Fantasy.
So let’s get to our 2023 Sony Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state.
Waialae Country Club is a Seth Raynor-designed 7,044 yard par-70 which features Bermuda grass throughout. It sits exposed to the coastline in Honolulu, Hawaii and can be susceptible at times to high, gusting winds off the coast.
Waialae CC has historically neutralized the ball strikers and longer hitters in the field and boiled down to a putting contest that pushes winning scores past 20-under par. When that’s the case, the specialists at the end of the odds board become much more viable, as putting skill is easier to come by amongst longshots.
For a deeper dive into the course, read my Sony Open preview. Without any further delay, let’s get to our Sony Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups.
PGA TOUR GOLF SLEEPERS: SONY OPEN
From a golf betting perspective, my outrights are already set and I do not plan to dip any further beyond 45-1 odds given the plethora of options in the mid-range of the betting board. With that said, this is the type of tournament that longshots can contend in if they catch a hot putter, so I’ll be considering a few of these PGA TOUR golf sleepers for placement bets.
In terms of DFS, it’s a great week to be contrarian on ownership, with the state of many of the popular players’ games still in question after a long layoff. Without being able to lean as much on recent form, I’ve looked to find buy-low value on the below players who excel in the key stat categories for Waialae CC, and who have a floor of proven past results at this event.
Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Sony Open. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted.
Patton Kizzire (, $7,300)
The 36-year-old native of Sea Island, Georgia has made it clear that he prefers two things from a golf course: Bermuda greens and a clubbed-down game plan off the tee. Since turning pro in 2016, Kizzire has averaged a significant 0.4 Strokes Gained Putting on Bermuda greens and picked up his only two PGA TOUR victories on short, tight, positional golf courses in El Camaleon and right here at Waialae Country Club.
In 2018, Kizzire parlayed his debut victory at the OHL Classic at Mayakoba into his second career victory at the Sony Open two starts later. Fast forward to today and he arrives in Honolulu just one start removed from a T10 at Mayakoba, his best career finish since the 2018 win. Kizzire endured an uncharacteristic draught on the greens to close 2022, but an extended off-season and return to familiar Bermuda greens should be the kickstart he needs to return to form. In six prior trips to the Sony Open, Kizzire has gained at least 1.5 strokes putting every time, including top-15 finishes in three of the last five years. He makes for an appealing T20 bet and high floor DFS play this week.
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Ben Griffin (, $7,300)
What a conclusion to 2022 it was for the PGA TOUR rookie who closed on a stretch of six consecutive made cuts and four top-30 finishes over that span. Each of those four top-30 finishes share Bermuda layouts in common with Waialae CC, so the Sea Island resident should feel comfortable around these greens, even in his Sony Open debut.
He’s shown he can contend on short Bermuda courses, already posting two top-5 finishes at the Wyndham Championship and Bermuda Championship within his first eight career starts. Ranking top-10 in SG: APP, Par-4: 400-450, and Birdies or Better Gained, Griffin is a popular value play this week and an appealing T20/T30 play.
David Lingmerth (, $6,700)
There is always value in finding the low-priced short course specialists towards the bottom of the board when we get to a short, positional layout like Waialae CC, and Lingmerth checks that box perfectly here at $6,700 on Draft Kings. The 2015 Memorial Tournament champion has experienced a career renaissance since his August 2022 Korn Ferry Tour win at the Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship.
Lingmerth is one of the shortest drivers in this field, but makes up for it with elite driving accuracy (No. 12 Fairways Gained). He’s taken full advantage of that niche skillset, finishing T11, T8, and T10 in three of his last four starts in 2022, each coming on sub-7,200 yard comp courses between the Bermuda Championship, WWT Championship at Mayakoba, and The RSM Classic. With a career best Sony Open finish of T13 in 2016, Lingmerth’s recent form and skillsets on comp courses are worth taking a shot on at this price.
Cole Hammer (, $6,500)
Former No. 1 ranked amateur, Cole Hammer has gotten a taste of the PGA TOUR for the first time this 2022-2023 season through sponsor exemption invites. A bit of a learning curve was to be expected for an amateur thrust into competition at the highest rank, but he’s rebounded impressively with finishes of T27 at the Houston Open and T5 at The RSM Classic in his final two starts of 2022 after beginning his PGA TOUR career with six straight missed cuts.
It’s still a bit too early to judge what courses are most suitable to Hammer’s game, but if you’re looking as deep as $6,500 in DFS, few others in this range offer more upside than a top-rated amateur coming off of a T5 on another short, coastal, Bermuda track.
Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers!