PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential Genesis Invitational Longshot Picks

Written By John Haslbauer on February 14, 2023
pga tour golf sleepers

These elevated events just keep elevating. No time for WM Phoenix Open hangovers, the PGA TOUR continues full throttle to the 2023 Genesis Invitational at iconic Riviera Country Club. Last week’s PGA TOUR golf sleepers article successfully identified James Hahn as a high-floor T40 play from the very bottom of the board and we set out to find more diamonds in the rough at Riviera.

The Genesis Invitational always attracted one of the most competitive fields on the PGA TOUR schedule, but with its newfound elevated status, we’ll see just about every eligible top-100 player on the PGA TOUR this week.

Let’s get to our 2023 Genesis Invitational longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. 


Despite falling at just over 7,300 yards, Riviera CC hasn’t needed length to challenge the best players in the world. Instead, it relies on angled doglegs, narrow fairways, and firm & fast Poa greens with diverse greenside hazards to challenge the field’s all-around game. It serves as great prep for The Masters and the rest of the Major swing with these unique attributes. It also tends to reward creative shot makers who perform under pressure.

For a deeper dive into the course, read my Genesis Invitational preview. Without any further delay, let’s get to our Genesis Invitational picks, with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups.


From a golf betting perspective, players like Nick Taylor, Sam Ryder, and Hayden Buckley already disproved the rumor that only elite players can contend in events with the deepest fields. So, I’m a little more open-minded to rolling out longshots on my card this week.

In terms of DFS, these loaded full-field events make it enticing to have exposure to multiple elite names. Since the cream always tends to rise to the top in these events, it’s important to land on the right value players with proven course history or trending all-around form.

Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Genesis Invitational. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted.

Brian Harman (, $7,500)

The lefty narrative is strong at Riviera CC. Bubba Watson, Phil Mickelson, and Mike Weir each won this event multiple times over the last 20 years. Harman hasn’t enjoyed the same level of success, but his track record is solid nonetheless. He made it through the cut in six of eight appearances. His best finish at this event is a T3 and his touch around these greens never wavered, ranking No. 2 in SG: Short Game at Riviera CC.

Harman climbed his way inside the OWGR top-25 with 10 top-15 finishes over the last year. He also climbed inside the top-15 of my model this week, ranking top-20 in key stat categories like Comp Course History, Good Drives Gained, Par-4: 450-500, and Par-5: 550-600. His ceiling may be capped at a top-20 finish this week, but his polished short game and all-around form leading into this event makes for a safe DFS play at this price.

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Taylor Moore (, $7,200)

Taylor Moore has quietly become one of the hottest players in this field. At the discounted price of $7,200, he finished top-15 in each of his last three starts on the West Coast Swing. Those finishes span between the Farmers Insurance Open, AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and WM Phoenix Open, validating that he has what it takes to contend in deep fields and difficult conditions in just his Sophomore year on TOUR.

Beyond the immediate form, he’s also returning for his second crack at Riviera CC after debuting with an impressive T21 finish in 2022. Most encouraging with Moore, he’s gaining across all four SG categories over his last 10 and 20 events. With a complete all-around test in store at Riviera CC, Moore’s consistency with ball striking and short game make him a strong fit for these difficult scoring conditions.

Patrick Rodgers (, $7,000)

The Stanford graduate is always a trendy value play in California, but he’s given us more reason to believe the form is real this time around compared to most years in the past. Rodgers got off to a hot start this season, already stockpiling five top-16 finishes over his last eight starts, most recently finishing T14 at the WM Phoenix Open.

He’s been a popular historical play at this event for a reason, with five top-30 finishes over his last six appearances. Like Harman, it’s his comfort around these tricky greens which led to his consistency at Riviera CC, ranking No. 9 in the field in SG: Short Game here. He enters this year’s event in better leading form than ever before, ranking top-35 in the key stat categories of SG: TOT, Comp Course History, SG: OTT, SG: ARG, and SG: P (Poa). With Rodgers still chasing his first career victory, I can’t bring myself to bet him outright, but love him as an FRL and placement bet consideration.

Francesco Molinari (, $6,800)

Molinari joined Riviera Country Club’s membership at the end of 2020 and immediately reaped the returns of home course familiarity with finishes of T8 and T55 since. Molinari missed the cut here in four of his last five years prior to joining Riviera CC, so the newfound Course History is notable.

It’s a Ryder Cup year and, although statistically Molinari has a very long way to go to get himself on Luke Donald’s radar for a Captain’s pick, the 2018 Open Champion can quickly earn himself some buzz for the team in Rome with some high finishes. The Italian is three weeks removed from a top five finish at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship. With wins at TPC Potomac and Bay Hill (albeit in better form at the time), I like Molinari as a value play with a lot to prove on a familiar course this week.

Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers!


Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc.

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John Haslbauer

John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. He created the website at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). No, he is not a tout. The Twitter handle is a joke. Touts are lame. We hate touts.

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