4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
The FedEx St. Jude Championship begins Thursday, August 10 in Memphis, Tennessee. The 70 best golfers on the PGA TOUR this year are all here for the first playoff event, including Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, and Rory McIlroy. That create opportunities to capitalize on PGA TOUR golf sleepers in DFS and beyond. John Haslbauer lays out his top longshot picks for FedEx St Jude odds below.
The playoffs are just about underway, with a field of the top-70 players from the 2023 FedEx Cup standings set to tee off this Thursday at the FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind.
Could any potential longshots emerge from FedEx St. Jude picks? Rotating over recent years as host to a playoff event, WGC, and standard PGA TOUR event, we’ve seen a very eclectic group of contenders rewarded at TPC Southwind. That includes first-time PGA TOUR winners in Will Zalatoris and Abraham Ancer over the last two years, and one of the biggest longshots in the field, Sepp Straka, nearly edging past Zalatoris in a playoff las year. With another loaded field in store and the game’s best players motivated by increased purses, we can only hope the stage is set for another climactic finish in 2023.
Below we will look at five possible 2023 FedEx St. Jude picks among sleepers in this week’s golf odds. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state.
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TPC Southwind will offer a refreshing test to the field after a sustained run of birdie fests to close out the 2023 season. Here, players will be rewarded for accuracy off-the-tee, as approaches from the rough into these firm and fast greens will be a tall order to hold. This course is bottom-10 on TOUR in fairway width, so no matter how accurate players have been on the season, we should expect to see a healthy volume of approach shots from the rough, which will in turn emphasize scrambling, and all-around T2G form entering this week. Looking ahead at a moderate weather forecast for the week, I’m expecting the winning score to fall around -14.
For a deeper dive into the course, read my FedEx St. Jude Championship preview. Without any further delay, let’s get to our FedEx St. Jude Championship picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups.
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POTENTIAL PGA TOUR GOlf SLeepers: FedEx St. Jude CHAMPIONSHIP
From a golf betting perspective, the FedEx Cup Playoffs have typically drawn the best players in the field towards the top of the leaderboard by week’s end. With that in mind, my outright betting card will include exposure to a mix of favorites and longshots are enter in solid form, especially on recent comparable positional courses.
In terms of DFS, it’ll be another important week to monitor ownership, as there are plenty of supremely talented players relegated to the $7K and $6K ranges with potential to push towards a top-10 finish.
Below, find my favorite value leverage plays and longshots for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted.
Corey Conners (, $7,600)
A 7,200-yard course that offers enough of a tee-to-green test to spare itself the volatility of a putting contest is the quintessential set up to suit Corey Conners’ game. And as I sit here just a couple days away from heading to Montreal for my bachelor party, it seems like an appropriate week to back a Canadian.
With the 70 best players from the 2023 PGA TOUR season remaining, it’s pretty easy to make a case for any player’s upside this week. With Conners, I’m drawn to his high floor for this price. He ranks top-10 in the key categories of SG: OTT, SG: APP, Prox: 125-200, and Opportunities Gained. With water looming throughout TPC Southwind, it’s an ideal spot to back the most dependable ball strikers. Conners has repeatedly shown an affinity for positional tracks, most recently finishing T9 at The Travelers Championship.
He’ll continue to go as far as his putter will take him, but if Will Zalatoris can gain a couple strokes on these greens, I’m confident Conners has the potential to do the same, as he looks to build on four consecutive top-36 finishes at TPC Southwind.
Justin Rose (, $7,200)
From both a Ryder Cup and FedEx Cup standpoint, Justin Rose positioned himself well in the first half of this season to withstand the brief slump he’s currently in. That slump includes three consecutive missed cuts at the U.S. Open, Scottish Open, and British Open. Fortunately for Rose, the FedEx St. Jude Championship, to my knowledge, is not a national open, so he should be safe to put that missed cut streak to rest.
We are unquestionably receiving a steep discount on Rose’s odds this week as a result of the missed cut week, as he’s still a top-20 player in this field in terms over total strokes gained over his last 36 rounds. No. 8 overall in my model this week, Rose’s player profile is a perfect fit for what TPC Southwind demands, as he ranks top-15 in SG: APP, Prox: 125-200, Par-4: 450-500, Opportunities Gained, SG: ARG, and Weighted Putting.
With a win at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am to go along with three additional top-12 finishes between THE PLAYERS, Charles Schwab Challenge and RBC Canadian Open, Rose has looked his best this renaissance season on shorter, positional layouts. Ranking No. 24 in Fairways Gained, he’s more capable of playing the positional game than his off-the-tee stats might suggest.
With a career best T11 under his belt at TPC Southwind in 2019, I’ll gladly take the discounted price on Rose and bank on him finding the long-term form that landed him in these playoffs.
Adam Schenk (, $6,400)
I would have to say Adam Schenk is the most talented $6,400 player I’ve seen all year on DraftKings, as this price range is typically reserved for alternates and Monday Qualifiers. That’s the (only) good thing about limited field no-cut playoff events, though, as players like Adam Schenk can quickly coerce you into building more extreme stars and scrubs types of lineup builds.
Schenk qualified for the playoffs without a win on the 2023 PGA TOUR season, which is impressive in its own right, but not from a lack of opportunity. He lost in a playoff at the Charles Schwab Challenge and finished runner-up at the Valspar Championship – both comparable positional courses to TPC Southwind. Since March, Schenk has piled up a total of five top-10s over his last fifteen starts.
Joining Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele as the only three players in this field to rank top-15 in both SG: APP and Weighted Putting, Schenk has the tools to contend with the best players on TOUR, and is a player I can see following the 2022 Sepp Straka script as a longshot to contend in the first round of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
Nick Taylor (, $6,200)
I have a soft spot for Nick Taylor after he cashed us an unforgettable outright victory at the RBC Canadian Open. But underlying bias aside, it feels out of place for the player who finished No. 11 in the FedEx Cup standings to be listed this long on the odds board. It takes a lot more than just one great week in Canada to rise that high in the standings, so Taylor’s resume of nine top-20s and five top-10s this season feels like it’s flying under the radar.
Sure, he has three missed cuts over his last four starts since winning the RBC Canadian Open, but a T19 two starts ago at the Genesis Scottish Open goes to show his form is not lost. At TPC Southwind, Taylor has looked respectable with a pair of top-35 finishes over three prior appearances. An above-average ball-striker with spike putting upside, Nick Taylor is one of my favorite values this week to make a top-20 push in Memphis.
Best of luck with your 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship bets and PGA TOUR golf sleepers this week in DFS!
FEDEX ST. JUDE CHAMPIONSHIP ODDS
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