PGA TOUR Golf Bets: 2023 RSM Classic Final Thoughts, Betting Card

PGA TOUR golf bets continue during the 2023 FedExCup Fall series. The RSM Classic begins Thursday in St. Simons Island, Georgia. Ludvig Aberg, Brian Harman, and Cameron Young are the favorites this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite RSM Classic picks among all the golf odds offered this week. Below, you’ll find the best sports betting odds available on each player.

The final event of the new PGA TOUR FedEx Fall series is here. The PGA TOUR heads to Sea Island Resort in St. Simons Island, Georgia, a popular home base for many PGA TOUR players, for the 2023 RSM Classic.

One of the stickiest venues for course history on the regular PGA TOUR schedule, Sea Island’s Plantation and Seaside courses have consistently rewarded a similar style of play since it began hosting this event in 2010. With both courses standing right around 7,000 yards and negligible rough on the property, Sea Island has served as a second-shot golf course that rewards short-iron approaches from inside 150 yards and streaky putting on Bermuda greens. Ahead, we’ll breeze through all the bets I’ve placed for the 2023 RSM Classic.

Click on any of the RSM Classic odds below for the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state.

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PGA TOUR GOLF BETS: RSM Classic OUTRIGHTS (3 UNITS)

Eric Cole

My Bet: +3500
Best Available Odds:

We’ve been waiting for the heater from this 35-year-old journeyman to cool down all rookie season. It hasn’t. In fact, he continues to pick up steam and is trending closer now than ever to what feels like his inevitable first PGA TOUR win. Cole has finished top-5 in three of his four FedEx Fall series starts, including a second-place finish in his latest start at the ZOZO Championship.

Driving has been Cole’s Achilles Heel of late, but he remains elite in this field from fairway to green. With Sea Island offering little resistance off the tee and effectively boiling down to a second-shot golf course, this shapes up to be yet another ideal course fit for Cole to take advantage of with his hot recent form.

JT Poston

My Bet: +3500
Best Available Odds:

All of the narratives write themselves for JT Poston this week. His form is as good as any other player in this field at the moment, with five top-10s over his last eight starts. He lives and practices out of St. Simons Island, Georgia, and has great familiarity with Sea Island, having played the RSM Classic in each of the last seven years. He has a particular type of course fit with his other PGA TOUR wins coming at comparable short, positional, and easy scoring setups between the John Deere Classic and Wyndham Championship. And despite all these signals, he’s still available at generous odds beyond 30-1. I expect Poston to be in the mix come Sunday.

Denny McCarthy

My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:

McCarthy has been on the shelf since the TOUR Championship, and that extended absence has led to some drifted odds value. It’s always risky to wager on a player without knowing how active he’s been preparing leading into an event. But, with this being the final event of the year and his status already secured for next year, I view this as an opportunity to pick up his first career PGA TOUR win rather than one last random tune-up before the 2024 season begins in January.

McCarthy has enjoyed success at the RSM Classic, with two top-10s over the last four years. Amid his best career ball striking season, McCarthy has the upside to win any given putting contest, especially on familiar Bermuda greens.

Brendon Todd

My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:

Another player who fits the profile as a short course specialist with elite putting upside in excellent current form, this looks like a great spot to buy “low” on Todd one week removed from opening as co-favorite at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. He’s looked great in the FedEx Fall series, with finishes of T6 and T20 in his first two appearances. A T4 finisher at the 2019 RSM Classic, Todd will always be a sensible play on a short course that rewards approach play and putting.

Taylor Pendrith

My Bet: +6000
Best Available Odds:

Bombers don’t have a tremendous track record at Sea Island, and understandably so on such a short track that often requires less than driver off the tee. But Pendrith is unlike most bombers, in the sense that his best results have primarily come on shorter courses. Since 2021, Pendrith has already piled up five top-10 finishes on sub-7,200-yard courses between the Bermuda Championship, Rocket Mortgage Classic, Shriners Open, and AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

He’ll enter this week as one of the hottest golfers in the field with three consecutive top-15 finishes in the FedEx Fall series. In lesser form, he’s already taken a liking to Sea Island with finishes of T26 and T15 in his first two RSM Classic appearances.

Ben Griffin

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

Like JT Poston, Ben Griffin also resides in and practices out of St. Simons Island, Georgia, which should give him a leg up at the end of his extended rookie season. Griffin nearly won his first PGA TOUR event at the Sanderson Farms, ultimately losing in a playoff to Luke List. He has proven to be most consistent on short Bermuda courses thus far in his career, though, also picking up top-15 finishes at the Sony Open, Bermuda Championship, and Wyndham Championship earlier this season.

Tyler Duncan

My Bet: +25000
Best Available Odds:

A past champion at the RSM Classic, Duncan is in good enough form for me to justify taking a chance at a second win in Sea Island with odds this long. Duncan is a consummate fairway finder who’s done his best work on short, coastal resort courses. He’ll enter this week with two top-20 finishes over his last three starts.

Doc Redman

My Bet: +40000
Best Available Odds:

The Clemson grad may have found something at the Bermuda Championship last week, ultimately finishing T13. One of the most volatile players on TOUR, Redman is at his best on easy Bermuda courses and has flashed potential at Sea Island previously with a T23 finish in his 2019 debut.

RSM CLASSIC FIRST-ROUND LEADER BETS (0.5 UNITS)

Chesson Hadley (Seaside)

My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds For Overall First-Round Leader:

I got cold feet on betting my featured spotlight player of the week, as his form was evidently less sneaky than I originally thought. In any case, I still love his fit for this second shot golf course, and expect his combination of top-tier short irons and Bermuda putting will lead to a high ceiling on Thursday.

Ben Griffin (Seaside)

My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds For Overall First-Round Leader:

Another player who leaves some to be desired when closing out a tournament on Sunday, I feel much better about Griffin’s prospects in the opening round, as he’s proven capable of getting off to a hot start throughout his rookie season. This should be a comfortable first round for Griffin too considering he practices out of Sea Island.

Webb Simpson (Plantation)

My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds For Overall First-Round Leader:

It’s usually best not to over-think playing Webb Simpson on Webb Simpson courses, as he’s proven he can play these short, second shot Bermuda layouts with his eyes closed at this point. Regardless of his current form, I would be surprised at all to find Simpson’s name shooting up the leaderboard on Thursday.

Kramer Hickok (Plantation)

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds For Overall First-Round Leader:

Sportsbooks are evidently not too impressed with Hickok’s back-to-back top-15 finishes on comp resort courses, as he remains a value this far down the FRL market. He’s credited a new swing coach for turning around his ball-striking form over the past month and has played his best golf on these types of short and positional courses.

RSM CLASSIC PROPS (1.5 UNITS)

Top-20 Finish: Webb Simpson

My Bet: +350
Best Available Odds:

Sea Island is a sticky course history spot, so why not return to the player who leads the field in total strokes gained at the RSM Classic? Simpson hasn’t quite been able to get over the hump of winning this event, but six top-12 finishes over ten career appearances is enough to draw me in for a top-20 placement bet.

Top-20 Finish: Tyler Duncan

My Bet: +550
Best Available Odds:

A past champion with a pair of top-20s over his last three starts should not have odds this long in the top-20 market, so this is a pure value bet for me. Duncan is a fairway finder who thrives on shorter courses and has been picking up more consistency with the putter throughout the fall.

Top-20 Finish: Kramer Hickok

My Bet: +600
Best Available Odds:

Kramer Hickok successfully cashed a top-20 for us at half these odds at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship last week, so I have no problem going right back to him again at a discount. He should be able to channel a similar game plan at Sea Island with similar windy and coastal conditions on a short and easy Bermuda golf course in store.

RSM CLASSIC: THE BETTING CARD

That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own RSM Classic bets! For more, follow TheLines on Twitter.

RSM CLASSIC ODDS

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