PGA TOUR Bets: World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba Golf Betting Card

Written By John Haslbauer on November 2, 2022
pga tour bets

It’s my favorite event of the Fall Swing. It’s Mayakoba week! From a betting perspective, I like course setups that exaggerate the game plan to the extremes, as that makes it much easier to zero in on a tighter player pool. And from a viewer’s perspective, it’s always nice to watch a course you’ve played on too. A monumental Ben Griffin collapse at the Bermuda Championship is behind us. So it’s full steam ahead to El Camaleon with our PGA TOUR bets.

Below we’ll go through my final betting card after my World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba previewClick the odds anywhere in this article to play PGA TOUR bets at the best available prices in your state now. 

HOW I BUILD MY PGA TOUR BETS

Viktor Hovland has won this event as a heavy favorite in back to back years, but be that as it may, when we look long term at this event and the list of past winners, it’s not a course that requires elite skillsets to win. A look down the list of players with top course history shows that accuracy is the throughline for success at Mayakoba, which is a skillset you can find a great discount on down the odds board. With that in mind, I approached this week with a longer betting card, getting exposure to precise ball strikers who have proven results at this event and/or other comp coastal, positional tracks. We’ll likely see the winner get to -20 this week, but with ample hazards throughout, I stop short of treating this event like a pure birdie fest.

From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for the Fall Swing, as we return to more predictable weather conditions in Mexico.

  • Outrights – 3U in to pay 24U each
  • First-Round Leader – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+
  • Props – 3U in to pay 3U each

Click on any of the odds below to bet now at the best available price across legal sportsbooks in your state.

PGA TOUR BETS: WORLD WIDE TECHNOLOGY CHAMPIONSHIP AT MAYAKOBA OUTRIGHTS (3 UNITS)

Collin Morikawa

My Bet: +2000

Best Odds Still Available:

Collin Morikawa in a thin field at 20-1 or longer odds is an auto bet for me, and in a week where he enters with trending ball-striking form on a course set up that perfectly suits his game of precision with the driver and irons, you really don’t need to think twice before pulling the trigger on this one. In true Morikawa fashion, an erratic putter has kept him from posting any recent high finishes, but we all know by now that he’s capable of catching fire on the greens any given week, especially on Paspalum, which has proven to be one of the easiest surfaces to read. He’s No. 1 in my model this week, and is due for another victory, coming on a full calendar year since last winning the DP World Tour Championship.

Emiliano Grillo

My Bet: +4000

Best Odds Still Available:

I’ve bet Emiliano Grillo more often over the last two months than in my entire lifetime before, but I do firmly believe he’s circling closer and closer to an inevitable win this 2023 season (can you say Presidents Cup snub?). Grillo has posted four top-5 finishes over his last 10 starts, which is an elite stretch for the Argentinian. What’s most impressive about Grillo’s current run is that he’s maintained consistency with his ball striking while turning around his putting from a weakness to strength. He’s got the perfect game for Mayakoba, as evidenced by his four top-15 finishes over six career starts, and should have a supportive base of local Latin American fans on his side here.

Russell Henley

My Bet: +6000

Best Odds Still Available:

I’m just never going to feel confident placing an outright bet on Russell Henley anymore, but if Keegan Bradley can waive his reputation for choking away golf tournaments when leaving the United States this season, then what’s stopping Russ! Anytime we get to a short, positional course that rewards precise ball striking on soft and receptive greens, I’m going to look Henley’s way, and I’m happy to jump on discounted odds in this case with the inconsistent recent form and course history. He’s No. 2 in my model this week despite all that, and I expect him to be in the mix come Sunday.

Joel Dahmen

My Bet: +8500

Best Odds Still Available:

This is the range I expected to find Joel Dahmen this week, and while not an auto-bet on the value alone, he was a lock to find himself on my card before the week began. Dahmen has proven to be comfortable on Paspalum greens with a win at Corales Puntacana, and his ability to consistently pound fairways (No. 10 Fairways Gained) should give him a leg up on this tight layout at El Camaleon. He’s never missed a cut at this event over five prior appearances, and with top-16 finishes in two of his last three starts, he’s trending in the right direction leading into this week.

Mark Hubbard

My Bet: +13000

Best Odds Still Available:

Hubbard was -5 through two rounds at the Bermuda Championship last week, good enough for…an early exit. Not all MC’s are the same, and I’m happy to buy low in this spot on a player in Hubbard who suits these shorter positional courses well. He’s a standout in this field when it comes to wedge play (No. 6 Prox: <150 Yards), and ranks top-10 in both SG: APP and Opportunities Gained. The Course History isn’t quite there, but he enters this week in far better form than ever before.

Kevin Streelman

My Bet: +15000

Best Odds Still Available:

It’s easy to talk yourself into longshots on these shorter course layouts that open up the playing field to shorter hitters off the tee. Streelman has made a career out of taking advantage of short courses, consistently contending on positional tracks like Pebble Beach, Harbour Town, and TPC River Highlands. As you would expect, that success has translated at Mayakoba as well, highlighted by a T4 finish in 2016 and four top-35 finishes in the last six years. He rose to No. 10 in my model this week with his profile of accurate ball striking and top-tier wedge play, and with two top-25 finishes to start the 2023 season, he’s fully capable of rising up the leaderboard this week.

Adam Svensson

My Bet: +17500

Best Odds Still Available:

In 2022, Adam Svensson posted eight top-25 finishes, with all but one of those coming on courses under 7,200 yards. He’s by no means a short hitter, but his elite metrics on approach from inside 150 yards have allowed him to capitalize on these compact tracks. One of his best career finishes came at last year’s Sony Open where he placed T7 in very comparable positional and coastal conditions to what we’ll see at Mayakoba this week. He continues to trend on approach, so he’ll go as far as the putter takes him this week.

Chun-an (Kevin) Yu

My Bet: +17500

Best Odds Still Available:

We are still at the early stages of the 2023 season where you have to get comfortable with PGA TOUR bets on players you’ve never heard of before, or have any idea what they even look like. Last week, that was Ben Griffin, which almost worked out, and this week it’s Chun-an Yu, aka Kevin Yu who fits a very similar mold. Yu has gain 4+ strokes T2G in each of his first four starts to his 2023 rookie campaign. That stretch includes a T19 at the Sanderson Farms and T3 at the Bermuda Championship, so it’s clear the 175-1 odds are a misprice for his potential. A three-time runner up on the Korn Ferry Tour last season, this doesn’t seem to be a fluke hot streak for Yu, so I’m happy to jump on now while the odds are still long.

WORLD WIDE TECHNOLOGY CHAMPIONSHIP AT MAYAKOBA FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)

Aaron Rai

My Bet: +7000

Best Odds Still Available:

Rai draws a favorable tee time this week, as he’ll be the first group out Thursday morning. I loved his chances at the Bermuda Championship last week, and while a T54 finish isn’t much to show for, his ability to pound fairways and gain on approach makes me just as optimistic going into Mayakoba.

Sebastian Munoz

My Bet: +8000

Best Odds Still Available:

Munoz doesn’t have much success to speak to at this event over three prior appearances, so I won’t have much full tournament exposure, but anything goes for the FRL market. He has four top-5 finishes over the last two years between the RSM Classic, John Deere Classic, and Charles Schwab Challenge, so it’s clear he can hold his own on a positional set up.

JT Poston

My Bet: +8000

Best Odds Still Available:

Speaking of John Deere Classic, the 2022 winner has left no doubt he’s capable of going low on a short track. He was the first round leader at that event before his wire-to-wire victory, so I’ll take my chances with Poston on any course that removes distance from the equation and instead emphasizes accuracy and hot putting.

Adam Svensson

My Bet: +10000

Best Odds Still Available:

I bet Adam Svensson a lot in the FRL market, and so far, we’re pretty deep in the red on the Canadian. But with his aggressive style of play, attacking pins for better or worse, I’ll continue to go back as long as the odds stay north of 100-1 like we see here. He’s proven to fare well on shorter courses, and his wedge play should allow for ample birdie looks on this layout.

Tyler Duncan

My Bet: +16000

Best Odds Still Available:

Tyler Duncan has absolutely no form to speak of leading into this event, but he still ranks No. 10 in SG: OTT and No. 15 in Driving Accuracy, which leaves room for encouragement that he can thrive in a positional set up. My expectations are modest for the full tournament, but for one round at 160-1 odds, why not.

WORLD WIDE TECHNOLOGY CHAMPIONSHIP AT MAYAKOBA PROPS (3 UNITS)

Top-20 Finish: Collin Morikawa

My Bet: -105

Best Odds Still Available:

The conviction bet of the week is usually reserved for an elite player at even finishing position odds, so we’re following that formula again here with Morikawa. The only cause for concern with Morikawa’s game right now is his putting, which is nothing new for the World No. 9. He does not need his best stuff to finish T20 at Mayakoba, and I would give him the best odds of anyone in this field to win outright.

Top-20 Finish: Joel Dahmen

My Bet: +280

Best Odds Still Available:

Everything is trending Dahmen’s way going into this week, as he checks all the boxes I want to see in a top-20 bet. He’s never missed a cut at this event with three top-25 finishes over five starts, he’s in great leading form with two top-20 finishes over his last three starts, and his irons are percolating, gaining 4+ strokes on approach in his last two measured starts. He passes the eye test for Mayakoba, and has the game to put himself in contention this week.

Top-40 Finish: David Lingmerth

My Bet: +300

Best Odds Still Available:

Lingmerth is not a player that popped in any initial research, but I’m jumping on the value here at 3-1 odds for a T40 finish in a field that is thin on depth. Lingmerth should be feeling confident heading into this event after a T11 finish at the Bermuda Championship last week. He was a winner at the end of last year’s Korn Ferry Tour season, and his elite accuracy off-the-tee (No. 7 Fairways Gained) makes him an interesting consideration on courses like Mayakoba that exaggerate the importance of position off the tee.

WORLD WIDE TECHNOLOGY CHAMPIONSHIP AT MAYAKOBA BETS: THE CARD

That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR bets. Best of luck this week with your own golf betting. See you next Monday for the Houston Open Tournament Preview! Follow TheLines on Twitter.

PGA TOUR BETS: ODDS TO WIN WORLD WIDE TECHNOLOGY CHAMPIONSHIP AT MAYAKOBA

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Written by
John Haslbauer

John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). No, he is not a tout. The Twitter handle is a joke. Touts are lame. We hate touts.

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