PGA Tour Golf Bets: 2025 Sony Open Final Thoughts, Betting Card, OAD

The 2025 PGA Tour season continues in Hawaii, with Waialae CC next on tap to host the 2025 Sony Open. One of the stickiest course history venues on the PGA Tour, the same style of player tends to prevail in this event. Driving accuracy and mid-iron approach play from 125-200 yards have proven consistent indicators of success. Let’s delve into my final thoughts and bets for the 2025 Sony Open.

Best Sony open Odds

Click the odds anywhere in this article to place Sony Open wagers. For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my Sony Open preview. 

HOW I BUILT MY Sony Open BETTING CARD

I’ve opted for a more balanced card at the 2025 Sony Open, which has opened the door for many different styles of in-form players with a proven track record on positional venues. A healthy Hideki Matsuyama is a scary sight. But I don’t expect him to display the same spike-putting performance two weeks in a row.

From a unit exposure perspective, the 2025 Sony Open will again offer the usual risk/reward split for outrights and prop bets.

• Outright Sony Open bets — 3.5U in to pay 25U each
• FRL — 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
• Full tournament matchups — 1U in to pay out 2U
• Props — 1.5U in to pay out 3U+ each

Sony open BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3.5 UNITS)

Tom Kim
My Bet: +2200
Best Available Odds: Tom Kim +500000 on DraftKings

As he is my spotlight player this week, I was happy to see Tom Kim’s odds drift into the low 20s at the beginning of the week. Kim is one of the tour’s top-rising talents and has proven time and time again that he poses the most significant threat on positional courses, where his lack of distance is not to his detriment.

His first three career PGA Tour wins have come on comp, positional venues between Sedgefield CC and TPC Summerlin. With the added expertise of Paul Tesori on the bag this time, Kim’s ceiling is as high as anyone’s.

Golf profit boosts: All users can get a 50% bet365 profit boost on any golfer to win this week. Caesars is also offering a 50% odds boost for PGA Tour betting.

J.T. Poston
My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds: J.T. Poston +4000 on BetRivers

Poston went through a rough patch to close his 2024 season but rebounded nicely in the fall after the new fatherhood perspective kicked in. He closed 2024 with a win at the Shriners Children’s Open and T5 at the RSM Classic. Like Kim, Poston’s made a career of feasting on shorter courses that reward positional play and spike putting on Bermuda. Poston may have a big 2025 season in front of him if he can carry over the momentum from his hot fall swing.

Luke Clanton
My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds: Luke Clanton +40000 on BetRivers

I would not have thought twice if Luke Clanton’s odds opened at half this number. The young phenom remains an amateur and will not be playing for prize money this week, but he’ll still be plenty motivated to prove he belongs on the professional stage. It’s hard to ignore Clanton’s rise at this point. He’s already delivered four top-10 finishes over his first seven events.

While he carries plenty of distance off the tee, seeing each result come on shorter sub-7,200-yard tracks is interesting. He’ll set out to follow in Nick Dunlap’s shoes as the second amateur in successive years to win a PGA Tour event.

Daniel Berger
My Bet: +6600
Best Available Odds: Daniel Berger +150000 on DraftKings

I’ve decided I am ready to be “early” on Daniel Berger’s return and capitalize on the odds value while the uncertainty behind his injury is still baked in. Berger finished one stroke shy of Maverick McNealy in his runner-up showing at the RSM Classic. When the four-time PGA Tour winner breaks through, I expect it will come on another positional venue like Waialae CC, which rewards accurate ball striking.

Cam Davis
My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds: Cam Davis +500000 on DraftKings

With top-10 finishes at Harbour Town, TPC Sawgrass, and Colonial CC over the last two years, Davis displays a strong fit for shorter, positional venues that favor a strategic approach off the tee. He bounced back nicely after a sluggish start at the Sentry last week, finishing T13 at -22. Davis has placed in the top 30 at the Sony Open in his previous five appearances, including a career-best T9 in 2020.

Matt Kuchar
My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds: Matt Kuchar +500000 on DraftKings

Waialae CC is one of the stickiest course history venues on the PGA Tour, and Kuchar leads the way in terms of total strokes gained at this event. A winner in 2019, Kuchar has eight career top-15 finishes at the Sony Open. He’s got plenty still left in the tank, too, as he’s posted four top-15 finishes over his last eight starts.

Lucas Glover
My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds: Lucas Glover +200000 on DraftKings

My favorite value on the board this week. Waialae CC is a quintessential fit for Glover’s game, rewarding accurate ball striking and familiarity around Bermuda greens. Glover’s last two wins have come in similar conditions at Sedgefield CC and TPC Southwind. And he has come close to winning here with a T5 finish in 2022.

Sony open BETS: FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)

Keegan Bradley
My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds: Keegan Bradley +4000 on FanDuel

Keegan fell short at this event last year, losing in a three-man playoff. A positional Bermuda course should always favor his skillsets. He’ll enter again in good form with a win at the BMW Championship and T5 at the Hero World Challenge over his last three starts.

Byeong Hun An
My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds: Byeong Hun An +4000 on FanDuel

Joining Keegan in the playoff last year was Byeong Hun An, who will also enter this week in improved form since last year. An breaks the mold of traditional plodders who have found repeated success at Waialae CC. But he has finished T12 and T2 in his first two appearances. A winner in his last start on the DP World Tour, An is poised for a hot start on Thursday.

Taylor Pendrith
My Bet: +6500
Best Available Odds: Taylor Pendrith +4500 on FanDuel

Like Byeong Hun An, Pendrith does not fit the typical plodder mold here. But his elite total driving prowess should unlock additional birdie opportunities. He closed 2024 in great form and finished T10 in his latest appearance at the Sony Open.

Justin Lower
My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds: Justin Lower +12000 on DraftKings

Nobody had a hotter fall swing than Justin Lower, who seemed to find himself in contention every week. With three top-10 finishes over his last eight starts, Lower is a birdie-maker whom I expect to be often featured on my FRL cards in 2025.

Sony open BETS: PROPS (2.5 UNITS)

Full Tournament Matchup: Keegan Bradley > Robert MacIntyre
My Bet: -110
Best Available Odds: N/A

It was an impressive breakout year for Robert MacIntyre in 2024, picking up wins at the Scottish Open and Canadian Open. His greatest strengths, however, lie in his short game, so I don’t love the course fit at Waialae CC. With ball-striking at more of a premium at this positional venue, I’ll side with Bradley as the more proven commodity in this matchup.

Top-20 Finish: Lucas Glover
My Bet: +375
Best Available Odds: Lucas Glover -650 on DraftKings

I’m much higher than the market appears to be on Glover, which means he’s become a staple across my betting card. Of course, it will always come down to whether Glover can hole enough putts to place inside the top 20. But if the Fall Swing indicates anything, he seems to improve steadily.

Top-20 Finish: Matt Kuchar
My Bet: +400
Best Available Odds: Matt Kuchar +230 on DraftKings

I look for “safe” high-floor plays in the top-20 placement market. Kuchar embodies that well at the Sony Open. No player in this field has posted more top-20 finishes at the Sony Open than Kuchar. The veteran’s form has not skipped a beat leading into 2025.

GOLF DAILY FANTASY CONTESTS

Check out my golf DFS picks post for the Sony Open for Underdog drafts strategy and traditional DFS contests.

ONE-AND-DONE

My Pick: Byeong Hun An

It’s a clean slate to start the new year, as most one-and-done leagues will kick off with the Sony Open as the first full-field event of the 2025 season. One can employ many strategies in OAD, but it is essential to have a plan for the year ahead. Some like to take a contrarian approach and fade the most popular selections for leverage opportunities. Others take a top-three favorite each week for as long as that is sustainable.

I’ve found it’s best not to get too cute with players far down the board. There is a time and place to eat the chalk and make the consensus choice. You can dig yourself an early hole by not being on popular players when they do win. Thanks to the advent of signature events and LIV players competing only in majors, OAD strategy has evolved over the last couple of years.

With the Sony Open not being a signature event, I will fade Hideki Matsuyama and Tom Kim and save them for when higher prizes are at stake. With that in mind, Byeong Hun An checks all the boxes I’m looking for as a player in great form with a great course history who will not be found at odds this short in most events the rest of this season. That will make him a popular OAD choice, but there is plenty of time to zag for contrarian choices as we get deeper into the season.

If not An, I would also consider playing Tom Kim, Matt Kuchar, or Russell Henley.

That’ll do it for this week’s PGA Tour golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own Sony Open bets.

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sony open BETS: THE CARD

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