3 Key Stats To Consider Before Making PGA Championship Picks

Written By Ryan Minion on May 17, 2022
pga championship picks

The 2022 PGA Championship will be played in Tulsa, Oklahoma at the Southern Hills Country Club. Despite having hosted seven major championships in the past, it has not hosted a major since 2007. Therefore, the course lacks significant historical data. Coming up with PGA Championship picks from a loaded field will require course knowledge and unearthing players who fit key metrics.

Free PGA Championship Contests – $100 Daily Prizes

Go to our free sports contests page to find our 2022 PGA Championship challenge for your chance to win prizes each day of the tournament. The contest will go live before the start of the tournament. Fill in your entry before each round begins.

Best Prices On PGA Championship Odds

Browse the best prices available across legal sportsbooks for PGA Championship favorites and longshots.

Southern Hills Restoration

Southern Hills was restored by Gil Hanse since the 2007 PGA Championship. Hanse’s 2018 restoration was said to have taken the 1936 Perry Maxwell Design back to its roots, re-incorporating a number of Maxwell’s preliminary course-design characteristics. Southern Hills looks considerably similar to the preliminary course design, well known for its definitive structural layout, specifically its foundation of rolling hills and other fairway traps which require precision ball-striking, in addition to creative shot-making. For a full look at the course, check out John Haslbauer’s PGA Championship preview.

Strokes Gained on Approach (SG: APP)

Southern Hills is often referred to as a second-shot golf course, emphasizing the importance of approach play with rather small, firm greens. Strokes Gained: Approach becomes even more important at Southern Hills, a course full of rolling hills and perched-up greens. The fairways are wide, but filled with hazards making a golfer’s approach play and ball-striking precision essential to success this week. Golfers who have gained a considerable number of strokes on approach throughout this Tour season fit the mold for a golfer primed to excel this week at Southern Hills. Elite ball-strikers who can hit a 5, 6, 7-Iron on the second shot with great precision, and consistency, certainly have potential to win this week.

SG: APP Top 10 – Last 50 Rounds

RankPlayerSG: APP (L50)
1Paul Casey50.4
2Daniel Berger48.9
3Russell Henley48.7
4Viktor Hovland48.1
5Justin Thomas45.3
6Shane Lowry44.5
7Colinn Morikawa42.5
8Cameron Smith37.7
9Jon Rahm34.6
10Tom Hoge34.5

SG: APP Top 10 – Last 36 Rounds

RankPlayerSG: APP (L50)
1Paul Casey50.4
2Daniel Berger48.9
3Russell Henley48.7
4Viktor Hovland48.1
5Justin Thomas45.3
6Shane Lowry44.5
7Colinn Morikawa42.5
8Cameron Smith37.7
9Jon Rahm34.6
10Tom Hoge34.5

Strokes Gained Around The Green (SG: ARG)

Many of the pin locations have pot traps placed in front of them, or extensive rough areas right before the face of the green making the short game essential. An extremely long Bermuda grass surrounds the greens, making it even more difficult for a golfer to get up and down and save par.

Golfers who have consistently been able to scramble should definitely find success at Southern Hills.

SG: ARG Top 10 – Last 50 Rounds

RankPlayerSG: ARG (L50)
1Matt Jones27.8
2Matt Kuchar27.2
3Kevin Na22.4
4Talor Gooch22.1
5Sungjae Im21.8
6Harris English20.4
7Patrick Cantlay19
8Louis Ooosthuzien18.3
9Ian Poulter17.1
10Tyrell Hatton16

SG: ARG Top 10 – Last 36 Rounds

RankPlayerSG: ARG (L36)
1Matt Jones22.7
2Matt Kuchar20.6
3Scottie Scheffler15.5
4Chris Kirk14.8
5Sungjae Im14.6
6Harris English14.4
7Joaquin Niemann13.3
8Tyrell Hatton13
9Rory Mcilroy12.5
10Adam Hadwin12.4

Strokes Gained Off The Tee (SG: OTT)

Gaining strokes off-the-tee is definitely significant to contending at Southern Hills, especially in windy weather conditions. Given the many bunkers and array of other hazards all over the course, distance and accuracy off the tee will be vital to gaining strokes this week.

With the possibility of windy weather in Tulsa this week, a golfer’s tee-box strategy may be more correlated with bogey avoidance than anything else.

SG: OTT Top 10 – Last 50 Rounds

RankPlayerSG: OTT (L50)
1Jon Rahm54.7
2Bryson DeChambeau43.2
3Cameron Young40.7
4Sergio Garcia34.9
5Corey Conners34.6
6Rory Mcilroy33.5
7Cameron Champ32.4
8Matt Fitzpatrick31.8
9Luke List30
10Patrick Cantlay29.1

SG: OTT Top 10 – Last 36 Rounds

RankPlayerSG: OTT (L36)
1Jon Rahm44.1
2Bryson DeChambeau30.9
3Cameron Young30.7
4Rory Mcilroy27.7
5Sergio Garcia26.4
6Corey Conners25.3
7Keith Mitchell24.2
8Luke List22.5
9Sungjae Im22.2
10Will Zalatoris21.3

Best of luck navigating this loaded field before making your PGA Championship picks.

Ryan Minion Avatar
Written by
Ryan Minion

View all posts by Ryan Minion