PGA Championship Odds 2020: Justin Thomas The Favorite Following Win At St. Jude

Posted By FairwayJay on August 2, 2020 - Last Updated on August 3, 2020
PGA Championship odds Justin Thomas Tiger Woods updated latest

The first major of this golf season is the PGA Championship, and TPC Harding Park will be just the fourth public course to host the event. The 102nd PGA Championship in San Francisco was moved back from its original May date due to the coronavirus pandemic, and the Tour continues to play without spectators on site.

But that won’t impact the interest in the event or wagering, which has been so popular and setting records at many sportsbooks including DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tiger Woods will return to action for just the second time since the PGA Tour restart in June. Woods has won four PGA Championships and finished runner-up in 2018. He missed the cut last year, but Woods did win the WGC-American Express Championship at Harding Park in 2005. The course has since been renovated.

Woods is among the top 10 favorites to win the PGA Championship, and also has the biggest discrepancy in odds of those favorites.

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PGA Championship odds: Top golfers

The PGA Championship features a tremendously strong field of 156 players with 95 of the top 100 in the Official World Golf Ranking shooting for the Wannamaker Trophy. That includes the return to play of No. 9 Adam Scott, who has not played on Tour since golf returned from the shutdown. The Wannamaker Trophy is currently in possession of Brooks Koepka who has won the event each of the past two years and enters off a runner-up finish in the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational behind Thomas, who retakes the No. 1 world ranking. Both Thomas and Koepka are among the top 5 leading favorites to win the PGA Championship with Rory McIlroy, Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm.

The PGA Championship rotates venues each year, although you will hear media members discuss how many majors or specifically PGA Championships a player has won. Last year, just six players broke par at Bethpage Black and Koepka (-8) and Dustin Johnson (-6) separated themselves from the field. Those two were favorites to win the PGA Championship near 10/1 odds along with Woods. Jordan Spieth (+3000) and Patrick Cantlay (+4000) were two other higher-rated players to break par. But this is a different test on a different course – with different grasses and setup.

PGA Championship odds

Here is a look at PGA Championship odds for the 2020 event in San Francisco.

PGA Championship Winner

Game
08/06/2020
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Justin Thomas
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+900
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+1100
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+1000
Brooks Koepka
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+1100
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+1100
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+1000
Bryson Dechambeau
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+1500
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+1600
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+1800
Rory McIlroy
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+1500
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+1400
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+1400
Jon Rahm
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+1500
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+1500
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+1500
Xander Schauffele
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+1800
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+1800
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+1800
Dustin Johnson
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+2300
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+2300
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+2200
Patrick Cantlay
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+2500
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+2700
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+2500
Daniel Berger
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+3000
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+3500
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+4000
Webb Simpson
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+3000
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+3000
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+2500
Collin Morikawa
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+3300
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+3000
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+3000
Tiger Woods
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+3300
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+3700
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+3500
Jason Day
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+3500
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+4000
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+4000
Matthew Fitzpatrick
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+3500
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+4000
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+4500
Rickie Fowler
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+3500
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+4000
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+4000
Hideki Matsuyama
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+4200
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+4000
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+4000
Tommy Fleetwood
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+5000
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+4000
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+4500
Patrick Reed
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+5000
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+4600
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+4500
Gary Woodland
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+5000
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+4500
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+5000
Abraham Ancer
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+5500
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+6500
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+6600
Tony Finau
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+5500
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+5000
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+5000
Tyrell Hatton
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+5500
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+5000
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+5000
Viktor Hovland
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+6000
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+4500
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+5000
Billy Horschel
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+6600
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+11000
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+9000
Sergio Garcia
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+7000
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+8500
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+8000
Scottie Scheffler
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+7000
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+8500
Bet now
+10000

Course and tournament information

  • Course: TPC Harding Park
  • Location: San Francisco, CA
  • Date: Aug. 6-9, 2020
  • Par: 70 / Yardage 7,234
  • Purse: $11 Million / Winner $1.8 M
  • Fairways/Rough: Bentgrass
  • Greens: Bentgrass
  • TV: ESPN all four days and CBS primetime Sat (4pm ET) & Sun (3pm ET)
  • Live Streaming: ESPN+
  • Twitter: @PGAChampionship / #PGAChamp

TPC Harding Park last hosted a PGA Tour event in 2015 for the WGC Match-play tournament won by McIlroy with runner-up Gary Woodland. It played as a different course and setup, and also as a Par 71 at that time for the match-play event.

The rough is going to be unusually long and at least four inches, and the tees and course can be extended to play up to 7,400 yards. The weather forecast looks to be in the 60s in San Francisco with winds up to 15 MPH. The golf course is just blocks from the Pacific Ocean along the edge of Lake Merced. Also in very close proximity is The Olympic Club, designed by the same duo as Harding Park. The Olympic Club hosted the 2012 U.S. Open won by Webb Simpson when no player broke par.

Accuracy off the tee will be more significant at this year’s PGA Championship, and the famed fast fairways with giant cypress and eucalyptus trees have been pinched in to nearly 60% of their normal width from an average of 39 yards wide to near 23 yards. The added rough length and narrower fairways were essential to stop the top pros from scoring with ease. The damp air makes ball flight distance less than what players are accustomed, and the sea level layout has always played longer than the laser suggests. That’s another part of the adjustment and trajectory to navigate as players shoot for birdies and pars while trying to hit more fairways and quality approach shots.

Adding to the challenge is refined mowing patterns which have shifted target lines to bring out nuances in Harding Park’s design. Narrowed fairways are now closer to fairway bunkers and other trouble. Doglegs bend at more beguiling angles, narrowing the margin between a perfectly-placed shot and a problem lie. The bottom line is that if you’re not accurate and hitting fairways off the tee, you’re not contending in the 2020 PGA Championship.

Key Stats

The greens should be firm, although not as fast. The rough will be much more penal at the PGA Championship. The fairways have been narrowed by nearly 60% of regular play at TPC Harding Park.

Thomas leads the PGA Tour in SG: Tee-to-Green and he won the 2017 PGA Championship, but he missed last year’s event with a wrist injury. Other top-of-the-market favorites that rank top 10 in SG: Tee-to-Green include:

  • Rory McIlroy (3)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (7)
  • Patrick Cantlay (8)
  • Jon Rahm (9)
  • Xander Schauffele (10)

Also in the top 15 in SG: Tee-to-Green among the PGA Championship contenders are: Hideki Matsuyama, Tyrrell Hatton, Collin Morikawa, Tony Finau, Webb Simpson and Viktor Hovland.

There are six Par 4s from 450 to 500 yards and one Par 4 over 500 yards. That makes Par 4 scoring another stat of interest – especially from more than 450 yards. Players of note that rank top 10 on Tour in Par 4 scoring include:

  • Tyrrell Hatton
  • Webb Simpson
  • Bryson DeChambeau
  • Justin Thomas
  • Xander Schauffele
  • Brandt Snedeker
  • Rory McIlroy
  • Tony Finau
  • Patrick Cantlay
  • Daniel Berger
  • Patrick Reed
  • Harris English
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FairwayJay

FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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