PGA Championship Make & Miss The Cut Props: Which Golfers Will Play On The Weekend?

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Written By Evan Scrimshaw | Last Updated
PGA Championship Make/Miss Cut Odds

The PGA Championship is a return of something golf hasn’t had since July 2023: a full-field, stars-on-stars event. While Augusta National has a nominal cut, it takes a certain amount of skill for big names to miss it. At Valhalla, the first actual Major cut sweat of the season commences.

PGA Championship odds to make or miss the cut have delivered with great value.

PGA Championship Make The Cut Odds

Check out John Haslbauer’s PGA Championship picks for this week and the best sports betting sites for the latest sign-up offers.

PGA Championship Miss The Cut Odds

To find PGA Championship cut prop bets on the BetMGM app, click the PGA Championship button at the top of the home screen, click All Bets, and scroll the buttons along the top of the screen to The Cut.

  • Alex Noren +180
  • Brian Harman +130
  • Brooks Koepka +320
  • Bryson DeChambeau +275
  • Byeong-Hun An +220
  • Cameron Smith +230
  • Cameron Young +220
  • Collin Morikawa +300
  • Corey Conners +190
  • Dustin Johnson +140
  • Hideki Matsuyama +180
  • Jason Day +190
  • Joaquin Niemann +270
  • Jon Rahm +320
  • Jordan Spieth +180
  • Justin Thomas +220
  • Ludvig Aberg +320
  • Matt Fitzpatrick +220
  • Max Homa +250
  • Michael Block -1000
  • Min Woo Lee +190
  • Patrick Cantlay +230
  • Phil Mickelson -200
  • Rickie Fowler +125
  • Rory McIlroy +500
  • Russell Henley +200
  • Sahith Theegala +200
  • Sam Burns +190
  • Scottie Scheffler +700
  • Sepp Straka +180
  • Shane Lowry +150
  • Si Woo Kim +220
  • Sungjaue Im +180
  • Talor Gooch +180
  • Tiger Woods -190
  • Tommy Fleetwood +275
  • Tony Finau +180
  • Tyrrell Hatton +230
  • Viktor Hovland +230
  • Will Zalatoris +180
  • Wyndham Clark +230
  • Xander Schauffele +450

PGA Championship Make/Miss Cut Picks

Jordan Spieth – Miss the Cut

This hurts, but Spieth is probably missing the cut at Valhalla. He re-aggravated his lingering wrist injury at Wells Fargo last week, and after that one bad swing, he put up 13 bogeys and two doubles in 2.5 rounds. He missed the cut at Augusta and then somehow managed to miss it again at TPC Craig Ranch. The idea he’s going to suddenly find something at Valhalla, with its tight fairways and emphasis on precision, seems laughable.

Could he somehow find something? Maybe—he played Sunday in -1, somehow, at Quail. He came into the PGA last year hurt and finished a respectable T29. But he came in 3rd in the field in Strokes Gained: Off The Tee at Quail and still managed to get nowhere. If his driver reverts to good, and not nearly the best in the world, he’s on a Friday plane to Fort Worth for Colonial.

Jon Rahm – Miss the Cut

Rahm has been labeled a LIV disappointment, but he has played at least decent golf this year. Four straight Top 10s on LIV is decent form, but a T45 at the Masters in the middle is much more concerning. 

Let’s be honest here – Rahm does not in any way respect LIV as a golf product. He’s unofficially said as much with how often he says he misses being able to play his favorite PGA Tour tracks. He went for the money, and he’s playing mediocre golf. The one time he’s played a real field he was an irrelevance.

A missed cut is risky, but playing real tournament golf at a high level is a skill. Rahm has played one tournament he respects since November. He might be able to beat a field of has-beens and never-will-bes, but this is a great value at its price.

Phil Mickelson – Make the Cut

Lefty has been a disaster since March, coming in T43 at the Masters and not in the Top 20 of a LIV event. And yet, he was famously the runner-up in 2014, the last time they played this course. Mickelson has been historically great at the same courses, including a 2023 runner-up at the Masters.

While there’s limited course history at Valhalla, Phil does have good results at Quail Hollow, which has a good crossover. Phil was a first-round leader there in 2021 and finished second at a course that’s produced wins by Rory McIlroy and Rickie Fowler, the top three at the 2014 PGA.

Phil does seem to have rebounded, with his 22nd at LIV Singapore being his best result since the first week of March. Combined with the course history, I’ve bet him to make the cut.

Rickie Fowler – Make the Cut

Fowler, the other member of the Top 3 in 2014, has played decent golf recently. He made cuts at both the Players and the Masters and even managed a T18 at Hilton Head. His game is by no means spectacular, but he has shown aptitude here.

On Sunday at Wells Fargo, Fowler gained 2.4 strokes to the field on approach, shooting an even par round in tough conditions. This, combined with the course history, is enough to make me bet Fowler will make the cut.

Tiger Woods – Miss The Cut

Tiger’s Friday at Augusta was a shock, but in the best way possible. Plainly, having to play 25 holes in a day with minimal rest? I didn’t think he could still do it. The standard script for Tiger these days is to fade on the weekend, as he did at Augusta. But that’s not important here.

At the Genesis (before his withdrawal) and the Hero, his driver was positive to the field. If Tiger gives himself fairways to hit from, he can hang around. Valhalla should be less difficult to walk than the notoriously hilly Augusta as well. That said, at the PGA in 2014 at Valhalla, he missed the cut. And that’s likely what happens here.

The Masters made cut was impressive, but this isn’t the same thing. It’ll be incredibly difficult for Tiger to pull it off, especially considering this field’s additional depth.

Talor Gooch– Miss the Cut

Gooch is playing fine on LIV—T10, T26, and T4 in his last three starts—but he has missed three of his last five Major cuts and two in a row, including last year’s PGA. And given how much nonsense he’s talked since bailing for LIV, he faces as much pressure as anyone to show up. At his price, Greg Norman’s “best iron player in the world” won’t have to remember what playing a fourth round is like.

Best of luck with PGA Championship Make/Miss Cut Odds

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