Pelicans vs Heat: NBA Betting Lines, Odds and Trends – March 4, 2021

Posted By Staff on March 4, 2021

The Miami Heat (17-18) are slight underdogs () to extend a three-game road win streak when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans (15-20) on Thursday, March 4 at 8:30 PM ET. The point total is  in the matchup.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from William Hill Sportsbook as of March 4, 2021, 11:55 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Pelicans vs Heat Betting Odds

Pelicans vs Heat Props

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Injury Report as of March 4

Pelicans: None

Avery Bradley: Out (Calf),
Jimmy Butler: Day To Day (Knee),
Gabe Vincent: Day To Day (Knee),
Bam Adebayo: Day To Day (Knee),
Meyers Leonard: Out For Season (Shoulder)

Pelicans and Heat Records ATS

  • New Orleans’ record against the spread is 15-19-1 this season.
  • The Pelicans are 4-11-1 against the spread this season when they are at least a 2-point favorite.
  • New Orleans and its opponents have outscored the set over/under in 71.4% of its games this season (25/35).
  • Miami holds a losing record ATS this season with 15 wins, 19 losses, and one tie ATS.
  • For the 22nd time this season, the Heat are at least a 2-point underdog, where they have a record of 8-12-1 against the spread.
  • 19 of Miami’s 35 games (54.3%) this season have fallen short of the over/under.

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Head to Head

In their last meeting, the Heat knocked off the Pelicans 111-98. Zion Williamson led the Pelicans with 32 points, and Duncan Robinson paced the Heat with 23. The Heat covered the spread as 3-point favorites, and the teams put up a total of 209 total points to go under the 222-point over/under.

Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
12/25/2020 Heat Heat -3 222 -146 123 Regular Season 111-98 MIA*
  • 12/25/2020 DNP –
    Heat: Kendrick Nunn

Scoring Trends

  • New Orleans’ games this season have gone over the point total for Thursday’s matchup point total (227 points) in 69.4% of opportunities (25 out of 36 matchups).
  • 11 Miami games this year (31.4% of its matchups) ended with a final point total greater than Thursday’s total of 227 points.
  • On average, the Pelicans have seen a 231.8 over/under in their games this season, 4.8 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 11.3 points separates this contest’s over/under (227 points) and the average total points bet in Heat’s games (215.7 points) this season.
  • The Pelicans have an average implied point total of 115.3 this season, which is 0.3 points higher than their implied total in Thursday’s game (115).
  • New Orleans has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (115) 18 times.
  • The average implied point total on the season for the Heat (112.6) is 0.4 fewer points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (113).
  • Miami has put up more than 113 points in 12 games on the season.
  • The Pelicans are the league’s fourth-highest scoring team (112.9 PPG), while the Heat allow the fifth-fewest points per game (108.8) in NBA action.
  • The Pelicans have a negative point differential on the season (-116 total points, -3.2 per game), as do the Heat (-67 total points, -1.9 per game).

Pelicans Leaders

  • Williamson leads the Pelicans in scoring, racking up 25.6 points per game.
  • Williamson’s points prop over/under for the game is set at 28.5, 2.9 points higher than his season average of 25.6.
  • Lonzo Ball leads New Orleans with 5.2 assists a game and Steven Adams paces the team with 9.0 rebounds per matchup.
  • Ball’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 29.5, 5.4 greater than his season average of 24.1.
  • Ball is the top three-point shooter for the Pelicans, hitting 3.0 per game.
  • Ball’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.5 shots greater than his season average of 3.0.
  • New Orleans’ blocks leader is Brandon Ingram, who records 0.8 per game. Ball leads the team averaging 1.3 steals an outing.
  • Ball’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals higher than his season average of 1.3.

Heat Leaders

  • Jimmy Butler holds the top spot on the Heat scoring and assist lists, putting up 20.1 points and 7.8 assists per game.
  • Butler’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 32.5, 3.2 lower than his season average of 35.7.
  • Bam Adebayo’s 9.5 rebounds per game paces Miami’s rebounding effort. He also adds 19.2 points per game.
  • Adebayo’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 32.5, 1.6 lower than his season average of 34.1.
  • Robinson is tops from three-point range for the Heat, knocking down 3.3 threes per game.
  • Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, 0.2 shots greater than his season average of 3.3.
  • Nobody on Miami grabs more steals than Butler (1.9 per game) or blocks more shots than Adebayo (1.0 per game).
  • Butler’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.4 steals lower than his season average of 1.9.


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