Patriots vs. Texans: NFL Betting Preview – November 22, 2020

Posted By Staff on November 17, 2020 - Last Updated on November 23, 2020

The New England Patriots (4-5) are favored by  against the Houston Texans (2-7) on Sunday, November 22. The game’s over/under is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of November 17, 2020, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • Patriots games have gone over 48 points on three occasions this season (33.3% of matchups).
  • Houston’s games have gone over 48 points on seven occasions (77.8% of games).
  • This year’s combined scoring average for these two teams (43.2 points per game) is 4.8 fewer than the total for this contest.
  • These two teams allow a combined 51.4 points per game, 3.4 higher than the total for this matchup.
  • Patriots games this season have posted an average total of 44.4, which is 3.6 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • The average total for Texans games is 50.2 points, 2.2 more than this game’s over/under.
  • The Patriots score the 27th-most points in the league this season, while the Texans’ offense racks up the 25th-most.
  • Houston has allowed the 26th-fewest points in NFL play this season, while New England has given up the 11th-fewest.
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Patriots Betting Insights

  • Four of New England’s nine games this year have gone over the point total (44.4% of its outings).
  • New England has put together a losing 4-5 record against the spread this season.
  • The Patriots have an even ATS record of 2-2 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.

Texans Betting Insights

  • Houston has a losing 2-7 record against the spread.
  • The Texans have an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Five Houston’s nine games this year have gone over the point total (55.6% of its outings).

Patriots vs Texans: Head to Head

Patriots vs Texans: Last Meeting
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
12/1/2019 Patriots Texans -3.5 47.5 -180 +155 448-276 NE 28-22 HOU

When the Patriots Have the Ball

  • The Patriots score 21 points per game this season– seven fewer than the 28 the Texans have given up in each contest.
  • In games where New England score at least 21 points this season, they are 4-2 overall and 4-2 against the spread.
  • Houston is 2-2 overall and 2-2 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 28 points.
  • The Patriots offense has averaged 355.9 total yards per game this season, 53.5 yards fewer than the 409.4 allowed by the Texans defense.
  • The Patriots average 5.6 yards per play while the Texans allow 6.1 per play.
  • In contests where the New England offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 overall.
  • When Houston allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 2-4 against the spread and 1-5 overall this season.
  • The Texans defense has given up an average of 167.4 yards per game to opposing running games this season. That total is about the same as the rushing output per contest for the Patriots (161.1).
  • In games where the New England rushing attack runs for at least their season average this season, the Patriots are 3-2 overall and 4-1 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Houston defense allows opponents to pick up less than 167.4 yards on the ground, they are 1-4 against the spread and 2-3 overall.
  • The Patriots have committed 1.1 more turnovers per game this season (1.7) than the Texans defense has forced (0.6).
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.7 times or fewer this season, New England is 4-2 overall and 4-2 against the spread.
  • Houston’s record this season when they force more than 0.6 turnovers: 1-2 ATS, 2-1 overall

When the Texans Have the Ball

  • The Texans rack up 22.2 points per game, 1.2 points less than the 23.4 per matchup the Patriots allow.
  • Houston is 1-3 against the spread and 2-2 overall a season ago when the team scores at least 22.2 points.
  • New England has a 4-2 record against the spread and a 4-2 record overall in games when it allows opponents to score 21 points or less.
  • The Texans rack up only 1.1 more yards per game (354.4), than the Patriots give up per matchup (353.3). The Texans average 6 yards per play, while the Patriots allow 6.1 per play.
  • In games New England holds its opponents to 353.3 or fewer yards, it has a 2-3 record ATS and a 2-3 record overall.
  • This season, the Texans rack up 87.9 yards per game on the ground, 41.3 fewer per game than the Patriots allow per contest (129.2).
  • Houston has a 2-4 ATS record and a 2-4 overall record when the team runs for at least 87.9 yards.
  • This season, New England is 3-2 against the spread and 4-1 overall when holding opponents to no more than 129.2 yards on the ground.
  • This year, the Texans turn the ball over one time per game, 0.7 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.7 the Patriots force on average.
  • Houston is 1-6 against the spread and 1-6 overall when it turns the ball over 1 or fewer time.
  • This season, New England has a 2-2 record against the spread and a 2-2 record overall when it forces at least 1.7 turnovers.

Patriots Players to Watch

  • Cam Newton leads the team with 1,535 passing yards (170.6 yards per game) and has a 68.8% completion percentage this year (143-of-208) while throwing three touchdowns and seven interceptions in nine games. He also has 335 rushing yards on 80 carries with nine touchdowns, averaging 37.2 yards per game.
  • Damien Harris has taken 85 attempts for 471 rushing yards (78.5 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown in six games.
  • This season, Jakobi Meyers has 28 catches (on 38 targets) to lead the team with 353 yards (50.4 per game) while scoring zero touchdowns.
  • Damiere Byrd’s statline this year shows 26 grabs for 337 yards and zero touchdowns. He averages 37.4 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 41 times.
  • James White has caught 27 passes on 32 targets for 203 yards, averaging 29.0 yards per game.
  • Chase Winovich has notched a team-leading 2.5 sacks, while adding three TFL and 27 tackles.
  • This season, Adrian Phillips has collected 58 tackles, four TFL, and one interception and leads the team in tackles.
  • J.C. Jackson has a team-high six interceptions and has tacked on 20 tackles and 11 passes defended.

Texans Players to Watch

  • This year, Deshaun Watson has collected 2,539 passing yards (282.1 yards per game) while going 205-for-301 (68.1% completion percentage) and throwing 18 touchdowns and five interceptions. He has added 233 rushing yards on 48 carries with one touchdown, averaging 25.9 yards per game.
  • Duke Johnson Jr. leads the team with 149 rushing yards on 48 carries (21.3 yards per game), with one touchdown. He also has 14 catches for 109 yards (15.6 per game).
  • Will Fuller V has been targeted 60 times and has 41 catches for 628 yards (69.8 ypg) with six touchdowns.
  • Brandin Cooks has contributed with 43 catches for 549 yards and three touchdowns. He has been targeted 68 times and puts up 61 receiving yards per game.
  • Randall Cobb has racked up 434 yards on 36 passes with two touchdowns, averaging 48.2 yards per game.
  • J.J. Watt has collected a team-leading four sacks, while adding six TFL and 30 tackles over nine games.
  • Zach Cunningham has collected 92 tackles, four TFL, and three sacks.

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