Patriot League Tournament Odds: Colgate Favored Big Over The Field

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on February 27, 2022 - Last Updated on February 28, 2022
Patriot League tournament odds

Conference tournament season is about to begin in college basketball, starting the journey to March Madness in earnest. The Patriot League will be among the first conferences to crown a champion to send to the tournament. FanDuel Sportsbook has released a market for Patriot League tournament odds.

The market shows one clear favorite, and those who have followed the league this season will not find themselves surprised.

Patriot League Tournament Odds

2022 Patriot League Tournament Futures

Game
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Colgate
Bet now
-180
Bet now
-210
Boston U
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+650
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+550
Navy
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+360
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+600
Loyola MD
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+2500
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+1800
Lehigh
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+2000
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+2700
Army
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+3000
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+2900
Lafayette
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+7000
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+6000
Holy Cross
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+50000
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+50000
Bucknell
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+50000
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+50000
American
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+50000
Bet now
+50000

Tournament Notes

Colgate rates as a strong favorite over the field with around a 65% implied probability of winning. Considering they won the league by a whopping four games and boast an impressive 12-game winning streak, that makes all the sense in the world.

KenPom’s numbers also favor Colgate quite strongly. The Raiders are the only team with a positive adjusted efficiency in the conference.

Conference tournament rules also favor Colgate since they’ll host every game they play, along with all higher seeds.

No reseeding occurs in the Patriot League. So, any craziness in the bracket can have big ripple effects since low-seeded winners then have the potential to play other lower seeds rather than immediately being bumped into the path of Colgate and other favorites.

Speaking of the rest of the field, No. 2 Navy and No. 3 Boston round out the teams with more than 10% win probability. Boston has a tough first-round matchup with defensive-minded Loyola (MD), which actually has the fourth-best odds and the fourth-best KenPom differential despite being seeded sixth.

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Entering the tournament as one of the most experienced teams across Division I, Navy represents the value play (+600 on FanDuel Sportsbook).

Ed DeChellis’ bunch fell to Loyola in the first-round last season, so expect a motivated effort this time around. On top of that, it would likely face Boston if they advance to the semifinals — with a win over either No. 7 Holy Cross or No. 10 American. Although the Terriers would have revenge on their minds, the Midshipmen knocked them off twice this season, including one victory without 6-foot-4 senior guard Greg Summers.

Assuming Summers (foot) is able to have a role in the rotation, expect Navy’s top-45 Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (AdjD) to earn a shot at Colgate for a third time. Its perimeter defense would need to earn its stripes against the elite-level Raiders’ shooters, which they lost to twice during the regular season.

  • Adjusted Efficiency accounts for the estimate efficiency (points scored or allowed per 100 possessions) a team would accrue or allow against the average Division I opponent.

Patriot League Tournament Schedule

  • First round: Tuesday, March 1
  • Quarterfinals: Thursday, March 3
  • Semifinals: Sunday, March 6
  • Patriot League Championship: Wednesday, March 9

How To Watch

The first round and quarterfinal rounds will be streamed by ESPN+. CBS Sports Network will then carry the semifinals and the championship. Expect markets for most of the games to open up a day in advance.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah