Patrick Mahomes II Props: Chiefs vs Bills AFC Championship – January 24, 2021

Posted By Staff on January 22, 2021

Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs play the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. Mahomes has prop bets set for passing yards and completions against the Bills. Here’s some betting insights and tips for those props.

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Patrick Mahomes AFC Championship Player Props

Mahomes’ Game-by-Game Stats

Week Opponent Pass Comp. Pass Att. Pass Yards Pass TDs INTs Rush Att. Rush Yards Rush TDs
Week 1 Texans 24 32 211 3 0 0 0 0
Week 2 @Chargers 27 47 302 2 0 6 54 0
Week 3 @Ravens 31 42 385 4 0 4 26 1
Week 4 Patriots 19 29 236 2 0 8 28 0
Week 5 Raiders 22 43 340 2 1 6 21 1
Week 6 @Bills 21 26 225 2 0 10 36 0
Week 7 @Broncos 15 23 200 1 0 0 0 0
Week 8 Jets 31 42 416 5 0 0 0 0
Week 9 Panthers 30 45 372 4 0 2 0 0
Week 11 @Raiders 34 45 348 2 1 4 16 0
Week 12 @Buccaneers 37 49 462 3 0 4 28 0
Week 13 Broncos 25 40 318 1 0 4 26 0
Week 14 @Dolphins 24 34 393 2 3 5 9 0
Week 15 @Saints 26 47 254 3 0 7 37 0
Week 16 Falcons 24 44 278 2 1 3 21 0
Week 2 Browns 21 30 255 1 0 3 14 1

Passing Yards Betting Tips

  • Sunday’s passing yards over/under for Mahomes is set at 311.5, 0.7 yards fewer than his season average of 312.2.
  • In eight of 16 games this season (50%), Mahomes has thrown for more than 311.5 yards.
  • Mahomes has gone over his season-long passing yards prop bet average (307.9) in half of his games.
  • Mahomes’ season passing yardage average of 312.2 is 4.3 yards higher than his 307.9 average passing yards over/under.
  • Mahomes has gone over on passing yards prop bets in nine of 16 opportunities this year (56.2%).
  • This week, Mahomes will face the NFL’s 12th-ranked pass defense (247.4 yards allowed per game).

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

Completions Betting Tips

  • Mahomes is averaging 25.7 completions per game, 2.2 more than the over/under in Sunday’s game (23.5).
  • In 11 of 16 games this season (68.8% of his opportunities), Mahomes recorded more than 23.5 completions.
  • Mahomes’ season-long average over/under is 24.9 completions. He has collected 0.8 more completions per game than that prop bet average.
  • Mahomes has hit the over on completions prop bets in only seven of 16 games this year (43.8% of his chances).
  • Mahomes has gone over his average completions prop bet total (24.9 completions) in half of his games.
  • The Bills allow the 15th most completed passes per game in the NFL this season (23.1).

Odds and insights reflect consensus player props available as of January 18, 2021. CLICK HERE to place your bet on Patrick Mahomes II or the Kansas City Chiefs at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Chiefs vs. Bills Betting Odds

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