Padres Vs Twins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 29, 2022

Written By Staff on July 30, 2022

The San Diego Padres (55-45) and the Minnesota Twins (52-46) meet for the first of a three-game series on Friday at PETCO Park, starting at 9:40 PM ET. The Padres are coming off a 1-2 series loss to the Tigers, and the Twins head into the matchup following a 0-2 series loss to the Brewers. San Diego’s (-135 to win) Blake Snell and Minnesota’s (+115) Joe Ryan will start this matchup.

The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of July 29, 2022 at 9:35 PM ET.

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Padres vs Twins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Snell (SD) Pitcher Ryan (MIN)
2 – 5 W/L 7 – 3
55.0 IP 81.0
4.75 ERA 2.89
1.455 WHIP 1.049
11.6 K/9 8.1
5.4 BB/9 2.6

Padres Probable Starter Blake Snell

  • Snell (2-5) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his 12th start of the season. He has a 4.75 ERA in 55 innings pitched, with 71 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday against the New York Mets, the lefty went 5 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering four hits.
  • The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.75, with 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opponents have a .225 batting average against him.
  • Snell heads into this matchup with three quality starts under his belt this season.
  • The opposing Twins offense has the sixth-ranked slugging percentage (.420) and ranks ninth in MLB play with 122 home runs. It has a collective .252 batting average, and is 10th in MLB with 836 total hits and 12th in MLB play scoring 448 runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 29, 2022 at 9:35 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Twins Stats vs Snell

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Gary Sánchez 20 .300 6 5 8 .481 1.581
Gio Urshela 16 .125 2 0 0 .125 .250
Carlos Correa 10 .300 3 0 0 .462 .862
Jorge Polanco 8 .500 4 0 1 .556 1.306
Max Kepler 7 .000 0 0 0 .222 .222
Miguel Sanó 7 .286 2 0 1 .250 .536
Byron Buxton 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Twins Probable Starter Joe Ryan

  • The Twins will hand the ball to Ryan (7-3) for his 16th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with an ERA of 2.89 and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .207.
  • He has started 15 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in six of them.
  • The Padres are batting .240 this season, 17th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .371 (27th in the league) with 81 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 29, 2022 at 9:35 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Padres Stats vs Ryan

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS

Padres Betting Trends

  • The Padres have been the moneyline favorite 68 total times this season. They’ve gone 38-30 in those games.
  • San Diego is 28-21 (winning 57.1% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter.
  • The Padres have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • San Diego has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 45 times this season for a 45-52-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Padres have covered 46% of their games this season, going 46-54-0 against the spread.
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Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins have won 15, or 39.5%, of the 38 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Minnesota has a record of 7-10, a 41.2% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +115 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Twins have a 46.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 48 of 98 chances this season.
  • The Twins are 41-57-0 ATS in their 98 games with a spread this season.

Padres Players to Watch

  • Manny Machado has racked up a team-high OBP (.374) and slugging percentage (.506), while leading the Padres in hits (101). He’s batting .299 with 20 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB action, Machado ranks 19th in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and 16th in slugging.
  • Jurickson Profar is batting .242 with 21 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 51 walks.
  • Among qualifying batters, Profar ranks 107th in batting average, 53rd in on-base percentage, and 104th in slugging.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .235 with 23 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 47 walks.
  • Eric Hosmer is batting .274 with 16 doubles, seven home runs and 31 walks.

Padres Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jake Cronenworth 374 .235 63 9 49 .336 .721
Jurickson Profar 343 .242 54 9 40 .343 .737
Manny Machado 338 .299 61 16 54 .374 .880
Eric Hosmer 325 .274 30 7 39 .336 .724
Trent Grisham 312 .189 38 10 35 .288 .621
Ha-Seong Kim 300 .240 36 5 35 .323 .680
Luke Voit 284 .222 36 12 44 .314 .719
Austin Nola 221 .244 24 2 26 .313 .625
Jorge Alfaro 198 .278 22 6 30 .313 .747
Nomar Mazara 132 .288 15 2 17 .343 .729

Twins Players to Watch

  • Luis Arraez leads Minnesota in OBP (.405), slugging percentage (.435) and OPS (.840) this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters in the big leagues, Arraez is second in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and 64th in slugging percentage.
  • Jorge Polanco is batting .242 with a .429 slugging percentage and 49 RBI this year.
  • Polanco ranks 107th in batting average, 39th in on-base percentage and 71st in slugging percentage in MLB.
  • Max Kepler is batting .244 with a .390 slugging percentage and 39 RBI this year.
  • Byron Buxton leads Minnesota in total hits (61) this season while batting .216 with 39 extra-base hits.

Twins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis Arraez 324 .333 54 5 33 .405 .840
Gio Urshela 294 .265 36 9 42 .312 .734
Jorge Polanco 289 .242 44 14 49 .351 .780
Carlos Correa 288 .274 41 12 34 .345 .793
Max Kepler 287 .244 41 9 39 .344 .734
Byron Buxton 282 .216 52 24 44 .291 .826
Gary Sánchez 265 .215 28 10 40 .279 .679
Nick Gordon 208 .250 24 4 14 .297 .682
Jose Miranda 203 .281 21 9 37 .321 .799
Alex Kirilloff 140 .257 14 3 21 .298 .669

Padres vs Twins Player Props

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