Padres Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – May 28, 2022

Written By Staff on May 28, 2022

The San Diego Padres (29-16) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (18-26) square off on Saturday at 10:10 PM ET. Joe Musgrove starts for San Diego (-223 to win) while Pittsburgh (+184) will counter with JT Brubaker.

The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of May 28, 2022 at 9:25 PM ET.

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Padres vs Pirates Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Musgrove (SD) Pitcher Brubaker (PIT)
5 – 0 W/L 0 – 4
52.0 IP 42.2
1.90 ERA 4.64
0.942 WHIP 1.359
8.8 K/9 9.9
1.6 BB/9 4.4

Padres Probable Starter Joe Musgrove

  • The Padres will send Musgrove (5-0) to the mound for his ninth start of the season. He is 5-0 with a 1.90 ERA and 51 strikeouts through 52 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Saturday, May 21 against the San Francisco Giants, the right-hander threw 7 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering four hits.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 1.90, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season.
  • Musgrove is seeking his ninth straight quality start.
  • The opposing Pirates offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.352) and ranks 25th in MLB play with 35 home runs. It has a collective .223 batting average, and is last in MLB with 318 total hits and 29th in MLB play scoring 149 runs.
  • The 29-year-old’s 1.90 ERA ranks fourth, .942 WHIP ranks ninth, and 8.8 K/9 ranks 21st among qualifying pitchers this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 28, 2022 at 9:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Pirates Stats vs Musgrove

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Ben Gamel 16 .375 6 2 3 .375 1.250
Josh VanMeter 7 .286 2 0 0 .375 .804
Bryan Reynolds 4 .500 2 0 0 .600 1.100
Jack Suwinski 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 1.334
Ke’Bryan Hayes 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Michael Perez 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Pirates Probable Starter JT Brubaker

  • The Pirates will hand the ball to Brubaker (0-4) for his 10th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up no earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.64 and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings in nine games this season.
  • In nine starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
  • The Padres rank 13th in MLB with 194 runs scored this season. They have a .232 batting average this campaign with 33 home runs (27th in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 28, 2022 at 9:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Padres Stats vs Brubaker

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Ha-Seong Kim 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .600
Jake Cronenworth 5 .400 2 0 0 .400 1.000
Jurickson Profar 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Eric Hosmer 4 .500 2 1 3 .600 1.850
Trent Grisham 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Luke Voit 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jorge Alfaro 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Wil Myers 2 .500 1 0 1 .667 1.167
Manny Machado 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Sergio Alcántara 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Padres Betting Trends

  • The Padres have won 69% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (20-9).
  • San Diego has played as a moneyline favorite of -223 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Padres have an implied win probability of 69%.
  • San Diego has played in 45 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-24-1).
  • The Padres have a 24-21-0 record against the spread this season (covering 53.3% of the time).
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Pirates Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have won 12, or 36.4%, of the 33 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 2-4 in games where sportsbooks have them as underogs of at least +184 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 35.2%.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of their 44 games with a total this season.
  • The Pirates are 22-22-0 against the spread in their 44 chances this season.

Padres Players to Watch

  • Manny Machado has accumulated 60 hits with a .438 on-base percentage and a .583 slugging percentage, all club-bests for the Padres. He is batting .357 with 12 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks.
  • Among qualified batters, Machado ranks fourth in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks second and he is 10th in slugging.
  • Eric Hosmer is batting .331 with eight doubles, four home runs and 17 walks.
  • Hosmer currently ranks eighth in batting average, ninth in on base percentage, and 39th in slugging among qualifying batters.
  • Hosmer has safely hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with four walks.
  • Jurickson Profar is hitting .212 with nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 25 walks.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and 15 walks while batting .215.

Padres Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jake Cronenworth 170 .212 23 3 19 .301 .630
Manny Machado 168 .357 35 8 27 .438 1.021
Jurickson Profar 160 .212 23 5 20 .321 .696
Eric Hosmer 157 .331 17 4 24 .397 .856
Trent Grisham 140 .157 9 1 13 .258 .508
Ha-Seong Kim 130 .215 19 4 18 .304 .681
Wil Myers 116 .233 13 1 19 .272 .582
Austin Nola 113 .212 14 1 12 .285 .559
Luke Voit 88 .205 14 3 10 .330 .671
Jorge Alfaro 70 .243 6 2 10 .276 .647

Pirates Players to Watch

  • Ben Gamel leads Pittsburgh in total hits (36) this season while batting .263 with 11 extra-base hits.
  • Among all qualifying hitters in the majors, Gamel’s batting average is 60th, his on-base percentage ranks 40th, and he is 97th in slugging.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes is slashing .272/.361/.347 this season and leads the Pirates with an OPS of .708.
  • Among all qualifying players, Hayes ranks 47th in batting average, 27th in on-base percentage and 137th in slugging percentage.
  • Bryan Reynolds has 33 hits this season and has a slash line of .217/.312/.382.
  • Michael Chavis is batting .286 with a .320 OBP and 15 RBI for Pittsburgh this season.

Pirates Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Bryan Reynolds 152 .217 16 6 10 .312 .694
Ke’Bryan Hayes 147 .272 17 0 12 .361 .708
Ben Gamel 137 .263 20 3 17 .353 .747
Michael Chavis 112 .286 11 4 15 .320 .793
Diego Castillo 105 .238 10 2 9 .270 .613
Jack Suwinski 83 .181 11 5 11 .236 .634
Josh VanMeter 83 .205 8 3 7 .258 .631
Rodolfo Castro 45 .200 5 0 0 .294 .538
Michael Perez 37 .108 2 2 3 .195 .465
Tyler Heineman 26 .154 3 0 1 .214 .445

Padres vs Pirates Player Props

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