Packers vs. Bears: Week 17 NFL Betting Preview – January 3, 2021

Posted By Staff on December 29, 2020

The Green Bay Packers (12-3) play the Chicago Bears (8-7) who are on a three-game winning streak, on Sunday, January 3, 2021 at Soldier Field. Green Bay is a  favorite in the matchup and the contest’s point total is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 28, 2020, 2:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Packers vs Bears Betting Odds

Packers vs Bears Props

Looking to bet on props for this game? Use our prop search tool to find the best odds across legal sportsbooks in the US.

Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • Packers games average 55.1 total points per game this season, equal to the over/under for this matchup.
  • Games involving the Bears this year have averaged 46.1 points per game, a 4.4-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
  • Green Bay and its opponents have combined to score more than 50.5 in nine games (60% of matchups).
  • Chicago’s contests have gone over 50.5 points on five occasions (33.3% of games).
  • These two teams score a combined average of 55.3 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 4.8 points.
  • The Packers score the most points in the league this season, while the Bears’ offense puts up the 18th-most.
  • The over/under for this game is set at 50.5 points, 4.7 points higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average.
  • This outing features the NFL’s 10th-ranked (Chicago) and 15th-ranked (Green Bay) scoring defenses.
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Packers Betting Insights

  • Most of Green Bay’s games this year — eight out of 15 — have gone over the point total (53.3%).
  • Green Bay has compiled a 9-6 record against the spread this season.
  • The Packers have an even ATS record of 4-4 when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.

Bears Betting Insights

  • Just eight of Chicago’s 15 games this year have gone over the point total (46.7% of its outings).
  • Chicago has an 8-7 record against the spread.
  • The Bears are 1-0 ATS when an underdog by at least 5.5 points.

Packers vs Bears: Head to Head

Packers vs Bears: Last 3 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/29/2020 Packers Packers -8.00 44.50 -360 +300 393-351 GB 41-25 GB
12/15/2019 Packers Packers -4.5 41 -210 +180 429-292 CHI 21-13 GB
9/5/2019 Bears Bears -3 47 -167 +148 254-213 CHI 10-3 GB

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

When the Packers Have the Ball

  • The Packers have put an average of 31.6 points per game on the scoreboard this season, 9.3 more than the 22.3 the Bears have surrendered in each contest.
  • In games where Green Bay score at least 31.6 points this season, they are 7-0 overall and 7-0 against the spread.
  • Chicago is 5-2 overall and 4-3 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 22.3 points.
  • The Packers hold a 47-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Bears defense this season (393.9 to 346.9).
  • The Packers average 6.2 yards per play while the Bears give up 5.3 per play.
  • In contests where the Green Bay offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 6-3 against the spread and 8-1 overall.
  • When Chicago allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 4-3 against the spread and 5-2 overall this season.
  • The Packers have averaged 135.9 yards per game on the ground this season, 20.2 yards more than the Bears have allowed to opposing rushing attacks (115.7).
  • In games where the Green Bay rushing attack runs for at least their season average, the Packers are 6-0 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Chicago defense allows opponents to pick up less than 115.7 yards on the ground, they are 4-5 against the spread and 5-4 overall.
  • The Packers have turned the ball over 0.7 times per game this season, while the Bears have averaged 1.1 takeaways per contest.
  • In games where they don’t turn the football over this season, Green Bay is 10-0 overall and 8-2 against the spread.
  • Chicago’s record this season when they force more than 1.1 turnovers: 3-2 ATS, 4-1 overall

When the Bears Have the Ball

  • The Bears rack up 23.7 points per game, comparable to the 23.5 per matchup the Packers surrender.
  • When Chicago puts up at least 23.7 points, it is 5-2 against the spread and 5-2 overall.
  • The Bears average just 2.8 fewer yards per game (329.8), than the Packers give up per contest (332.6). On average, the Bears gain 5.1 yards per play, while the Packers allow 5.5 per play.
  • In games Green Bay limits its opponents to 332.6 or fewer yards, it has a 4-4 record ATS and a 6-2 record overall.
  • This season, the Bears rack up 102.7 yards per game on the ground, 10.5 fewer per game than the Packers allow per outing (113.2).
  • Chicago has a 5-3 ATS record and a 6-2 overall record when the team runs for at least 102.7 yards.
  • This season, Green Bay is 4-2 against the spread and 6-0 overall when holding opponents to no more than 113.2 yards on the ground.
  • This year, the Bears turn the ball over 1.3 times per game, 0.2 more turnovers per game than the 1.1 the Packers force on average.
  • Chicago is 7-2 against the spread and 6-3 overall when it turns the ball over 1.3 or fewer times.
  • When it forces 1.1 or more turnovers, Green Bay has a 3-1 record against the spread and a 3-1 record overall.

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Packers Players to Watch

  • Aaron Rodgers leads the team with 4,059 passing yards (270.6 yards per game) and has a 70.3% completion percentage this year (353-of-502) while throwing 44 touchdowns and five interceptions.
  • Aaron Jones has taken 190 carries for a team-leading 1,062 rushing yards (81.7 yards per game) while scoring eight touchdowns in 13 games. He’s also caught 43 passes for 312 yards (24.0 receiving yards per game) with two touchdowns through the air.
  • Jamaal Williams has 479 yards on 114 carries (34.2 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns. He also has 31 catches for 236 yards (16.9 ypg) and one touchdown.
  • Davante Adams has reeled in 109 passes to lead the team with 1,328 yards while scoring 17 touchdowns. He has been targeted 143 times and averages 102.2 yards per game over 13 outings.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has added 603 yards on 31 grabs with five touchdowns. He has been targeted 60 times and puts up 40.2 receiving yards per game.
  • Robert Tonyan has caught 50 passes on 57 targets for 568 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 37.9 yards per game.
  • Za’Darius Smith has 12.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also collected 12 TFL and 49 tackles.
  • This season, Adrian Amos has collected 74 tackles, four TFL, two sacks, and one interception.
  • Darnell Savage Jr. has a team-high four interceptions and has tacked on 65 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and 12 passes defended.

Bears Players to Watch

  • David Montgomery has taken 225 attempts for a team-leading 1,001 rushing yards (71.5 yards per game) while scoring seven touchdowns. He’s also caught 45 passes for 375 yards (26.8 receiving yards per game) with two touchdowns through the air.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has 214 yards on 60 carries (14.3 ypg), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Allen Robinson II has been targeted 146 times and has 100 catches to lead the team with 1,213 yards (80.9 ypg) and scored six touchdowns.
  • Darnell Mooney has added 50 catches for 538 yards and four touchdowns. He has been targeted 85 times and averages 35.9 receiving yards per game.
  • Anthony Miller has totaled 472 yards on 47 passes with two touchdowns, averaging 31.5 yards per game on 74 targets.
  • Khalil Mack has collected a team-leading eight sacks, while adding 10 TFL, 46 tackles, and one interception.
  • This year, Roquan Smith has collected 137 tackles, 17 TFL, four sacks, and two interceptions.
  • This season, Tashaun Gipson leads the team with two interceptions and has added 63 tackles and five passes defended.

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