Packers vs. Bears Preview: Best NFL Week 1 Betting Site Odds, Promos

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on September 10, 2023

The Green Packers (0-0) visit the Chicago Bears (0-0) at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sept. 10. Bears odds show Chicago is a spread favorite and on the moneyline, with Packers odds at as the best price for Green Bay to win across sports betting sites . The point total is set at . In this article, we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on Packers vs. Bears odds.

Packers vs. Bears Betting Odds

NFL Week 1 odds for Packers vs. Bears odds are below. Know what you’re betting before you bet it. You may click any of the odds in this post to navigate to the sportsbook to place a bet.

Packers vs. Bears Props

AJ Dillon Rushing Yards

Dillon enters 2023 looking to cement his role as the long term answer for the Packers, and they will give him the opportunity to show he can handle this workload. He managed to put up similar numbers to this total in limited carries late last year, and if he gets an increase in volume in a game where the Packers will likely be shielding Jordan Love from too much throwing, he makes a lot of sense to go over.

DJ Moore

The Bears prioritized Moore in the trade down from the Number 1 pick and he should be given all the opportunities to show his worth to the Bears. Yes, the Packers run defense was suspect last year but if they prioritize not letting Fields run against them, Moore will be peppered with targets, especially if Chase Claypool either doesn’t play or isn’t 100%.

Packers vs. Bears Player Props

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Packers vs. Bears weather

Soldier Field in Chicago looks to be in pristine weather condition for this Sunday, with a sunny day and a kickoff temperature of 72 degrees.

Packers vs. Bears Injury Report

Injury statuses are fluid and subject to change as teams practice Wednesday and Friday. Teams confirm their statuses after both practices. Here is the Packers injury report and Bears injury report for this week, which will change as more information is available.

Starters On The Injury Report

For Green Bay, Romeo Doubs and Jaire Alexander are questionable, but both are expected to play. On the Bears side, Chase Claypool is trending toward playing, while key contributor at Safety Jaquon Brisker’s status is unknown while dealing with a lingering soft tissue injury.

Packers Offense vs. Bears Defense

For Green Bay, the only thing that matters here is QB. The dropoff from the 2022 version of Aaron Rodgers that struggled mightily to Jordan Love likely won’t be that much, fortunately for them. Can Love put up numbers roughly in the ballpark of 23^rd in Dropback EPA and 22^nd in Success Rate? If so, the Bears can’t rely on the Packers offense regressing.

Bears Offense vs. Packers Defense

We all know rush defense is the anchor that sinks a Joe Barry defense, and Green Bay was 31^st in the league by EPA allowed per rush in 2022. That said, from Week 14 on, Green Bay managed to be 15^th in rush defense, so Packers fans should be hoping whatever they found after the Eagles game sticks through the offseason.

The Packers will want to force Fields to throw – he was 24^th in Dropback EPA last year. If they can, it’s going to be a long day for the Bears. Neither team is a significant player in the Super Bowl odds, but if the Packers are to have any chance, it’ll be because their 14th-ranked pass defense by DVOA improves with better health.

Reasons To Bet The Over/Under

The Packers’ run defense is their relative weakness, and the fact that this is Jordan Love’s second NFL start means this game is going to be incredibly run-heavy. The risk for under bettors is that Justin Fields could score from anywhere, and therefore score incredibly quickly, but outside of that, these are two teams that project to run the ball a lot, which generally means unders.

Final Thoughts

The Packers are one of the teams that I am personally more optimistic about going into the season, as I wrote about in the offseason. Unless you really buy into the idea that Love is a massive downgrade from Rodgers, the case is hard to make for them being bad.

Part of what made Justin Fields so electric was the novelty of his almost explicitly run first instincts last year. With an offseason to scheme for Fields, the Packers should be able to reduce his rushing efficiency and make him win this game through the air.

I’ve bet Green Bay to win because I think they’re the better team, and given how the Cheeseheads travel, I’m not worried about home field. By no means are they locked to win – Chicago is favored, after all. But until the Bears prove they have elevated, skepticism makes a certain amount of sense.

Best of luck betting on Packers vs. Bears odds!