Best Packers Anytime Touchdown Prop Bets: Will Longshot Dontayvion Wicks Score ATTD?

NFL playoff odds continue in Dallas on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET, with the Green Bay Packers facing the Cowboys. It’s the first time these two teams meet in the playoffs since Dallas head coach Mike McCarthy was on the Packers sideline, making it quite a matchup. With that on tap, Packers anytime touchdown odds could be a profitable market this week in a game with an Over/Under higher than 50.

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Cowboys vs. Packers Anytime Touchdown Odds

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First TD Scorer Odds

Packers Anytime Touchdown Strategy

The Packers are one of the biggest beneficiaries of avoiding winter weather this week. With three of the six games this week being played in the cold and wind, the Packers get to depart from freezing Green Bay for a dome in warm Dallas. This is reflected in the total for this game, which is sitting at . That high total means that Green Bay should be able to move the ball somewhat efficiently.

They are over a touchdown underdogs, however, which will increase their passing in all likelihood. That doesn’t mean running backs can’t get into the end zone, but it does mean that wide receivers can be valuable in the Packers anytime touchdown market.

That said, the Packers have a very diffuse offense. Six players have scored TDs in the last three weeks of the season, a stat that doesn’t include their bell cow back, Aaron Jones. That makes Packers anytime touchdown bets more variable than other teams, but it also increases our odds if we hit some. 

Packers anytime touchdown bets to consider

RB Aaron Jones ()

I will go down with this ship, but Aaron Jones has to get into the end zone eventually, right?

In the last three weeks, Jones is averaging 21 carries and 119 yards on the ground. He has been phenomenal for the Packers in recent weeks, giving them a stabilizing force in their offense and giving Jordan Love options that have opened up the passing game. He’s also been efficient, averaging 5.7 yards per carry. And somehow, this man doesn’t have a touchdown.

Having watched all three games, it is mostly bad luck that he doesn’t. There’s no reason to think that at that usage level, the touchdowns won’t come, especially when we look at what Buffalo did to Dallas on the ground a few weeks ago. After 179 yards on 25 carries for James Cook against Dallas, that will be the aspiration for the Packers in this game. If they manage anything like that, Jones will be on the field a lot.

Hopefully, this time, he’ll get in. Please. I’m not above begging at this point.

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QB Jordan Love ()

Touchdowns against Carolina and Minnesota saw Love finally start showing off some of his mobility. Love is following in the footsteps of his Packers predecessor in being willing to run when needed. Like Aaron Rodgers, Love is willing to run but not eager to take it himself. His increase in willingness as the season ended makes sense with that understanding.

Dallas’ defense has a ferocious pass rush, but their defense can be vulnerable if the pass rush can’t get home. Love’s scrambling abilities will be key in this game overall, but also to the Packers’ red zone offense. Dallas has given up rushing TDs to both Josh Allen and Geno Smith in the late part of this season. Smith, similar to Love in both aptitude and ability as a rusher, getting in is a good sign for Love bettors.

In recent weeks, the diffuse nature of the Packers’ touchdowns makes this bet even better. The lack of a discernible pattern in who scores and when makes a Love bet even more attractive.

WR Dontayvion Wicks ()

Last week’s hero in Chicago, this bet has less to do with Wicks and more to do with the lack of sensible alternatives. Romeo Doubs was in hospital coughing up blood after an injury sustained against the Bears. Christian Watson is officially questionable to return and may not play. If you give me Wicks at nearly double the odds of Jayden Reed in an offense as random with its touchdowns as Green Bay, it’s an easy bet.

Wicks has three TDs in his last two games, he’s gotten six or more targets in three of four games, and he’s seeing a Wide Receiver room that’s either out or playing injured. If Dallas prioritizes covering Reed, this opens up a softer matchup for Wicks. But more importantly, the price is just too long for a WR2 in a game with a north of 50 total.

2023 Packers TD SCorer Stats

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