Pac-12 Tournament Odds: Jaylen Clark Injury Creates Opening

Written By Eli Hershkovich on March 8, 2023
Pac-12 Tournament Odds

The Pac-12 men’s basketball tournament tips off on Wednesday, and one of 12 teams will earn an automatic berth into March Madness. We’ll take a look at all of the pertinent 2023 Pac-12 Tournament odds, schedule, and how you can watch. It all begins on March 8, yet No. 1 seed Purdue — the favorite to win the tournament — won’t take the court until Thursday.

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Pac-12 Tournament Odds

Tournament Notes

Per the odds table above, the best available price on UCLA is . That’s good for a 41.67% implied probability. However, the Bruins’ hopes took a major hit, as Bruins coach Mick Cronin announced that Jaylen Clark, the 2022-23 Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year, will miss the rest of the season.

Clark initially suffered the injury against Arizona on Saturday. He represents one of the premier ballhawks across D-I, manufacturing the ninth-highest individual steal rate. The 6-foot-5, 205-pound also helps lead the way for UCLA’s second-rated adjusted defensive efficiency (per KenPom).

Even though Arizona () could certainly win two straight league tournaments, Clark’s absence may make taking a longshot more worthwhile.

Enter Washington State (). Similar to West Virginia, the Cougars rank No. 317 in KenPom’s “luck” factor. This category showcases the deviation in winning percentage, regarding their actual record and their expected record. It incorporates the correlated gaussian method. Wazzu’s eight losses by two possessions or less assuredly plays a role.

The Cougars are a very high-variance team, driven by a methodical tempo, top-10 perimeter scoring rate, and sizable lineup to rebound proficiently and presumably dictate the tempo. Avoiding the Arizona pod is also beneficial. Washington State’s below-average defense in league play is a concern, though.

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Pac-12 Tournament Schedule

  • First Round: Wednesday, March 8
  • Quarterfinals: Thursday, March 10
  • Semifinals: Friday, March 11
  • Pac-12 Tournament Championship: Saturday, March 12

How To Watch

Viewers can catch the first two rounds on Pac-12 Network — with the exception of USC’s quarterfinal matchup (ESPN). The semifinals and championship tilt are both on Pac-12 Network and ESPN. Here is the rest of the conference tournament schedule.

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