Orioles Vs Rays: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 28, 2022

Written By Staff on July 30, 2022

The Baltimore Orioles (49-49) and the Tampa Bay Rays (53-45) meet on Thursday at 12:35 PM ET. Jordan Lyles gets the starting nod for Baltimore (-122 to win), and Ryan Yarbrough is Tampa Bay’s (+104) choice to start.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of July 28, 2022 at 11:26 AM ET.

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Orioles vs Rays Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Lyles (BAL) Pitcher Yarbrough (TB)
6 – 8 W/L 0 – 5
112.2 IP 43.1
4.79 ERA 5.61
1.447 WHIP 1.523
7.4 K/9 5.4
2.9 BB/9 2.7

Orioles Probable Starter Jordan Lyles

  • Lyles makes the start for the Orioles, his 21st of the season. He is 6-8 with a 4.79 ERA and 93 strikeouts in 112 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last time out came on Saturday against the New York Yankees, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • In 20 games this season, the 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.79, with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .280 against him.
  • Lyles has eight quality starts under his belt this year.
  • The opposing Rays offense has the 21st-ranked slugging percentage (.383) and ranks 23rd in MLB play with 91 home runs. It has a collective .241 batting average, and is 17th in MLB with 794 total hits and 22nd in MLB play scoring 410 runs.
  • This season, the 31-year-old ranks 59th in ERA (4.79), 61st in WHIP (1.447), and 46th in K/9 (7.4) among pitchers who qualify.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 28, 2022 at 11:26 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Rays Stats vs Lyles

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Randy Arozarena 8 .250 2 1 2 .250 .875
Brandon Lowe 7 .286 2 0 0 .375 .946
Josh Lowe 5 .600 3 0 1 .600 1.800
Brett Phillips 5 .400 2 1 4 .500 1.500
Taylor Walls 2 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500
Isaac Paredes 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Yandy Díaz 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Yu Chang 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Ji-Man Choi 2 .500 1 0 0 .667 1.167
Christian Bethancourt 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000

Rays Probable Starter Ryan Yarbrough

  • The Rays will send Yarbrough (0-5) to the mound for his eighth start this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Kansas City Royals, throwing 4 2/3 innings of relief while giving up three earned runs and allowing six hits.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched to a 5.61 ERA this season with 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.7 walks per nine across 10 games.
  • In seven starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
  • The Orioles have scored 412 runs this season, which ranks 21st in MLB. They have 774 hits, 23rd in baseball, with 101 home runs (15th in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 28, 2022 at 11:26 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Orioles Stats vs Yarbrough

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Trey Mancini 29 .379 11 3 9 .438 1.266
Anthony Santander 20 .250 5 0 2 .273 .673
Austin Hays 19 .211 4 1 1 .250 .618
Cedric Mullins 17 .176 3 0 0 .263 .439
Ryan Mountcastle 17 .235 4 0 2 .235 .529
Ramón Urias 12 .333 4 0 1 .333 .833
Rougned Odor 9 .000 0 0 0 .250 .250
Jorge Mateo 7 .286 2 0 1 .286 .857
Ryan McKenna 6 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Robinson Chirinos 5 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Orioles Betting Trends

  • The Orioles have won 62.5% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (5-3).
  • Baltimore has gone 4-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -122 or shorter (80%).
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Orioles a 55% chance to win.
  • In the 98 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Baltimore, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-49-2).
  • The Orioles have collected a 65-33-0 record ATS this season (covering 66.3% of the time).
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Rays Betting Trends

  • The Rays have entered the game as underdogs 32 times this season and won 14, or 43.8%, of those games.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has won eight of its 19 games, or 42.1%, when they’re the underdog by at least +104 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 49% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of their 98 games with a total.
  • The Rays are 44-54-0 against the spread in their 98 chances this season.

Orioles Players to Watch

  • Cedric Mullins has a .387 slugging percentage, which leads the Orioles. He’s batting .260 with 23 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 31 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in MLB play, Mullins’ batting average ranks 67th, his on-base percentage ranks 92nd, and he is 115th in the league in slugging.
  • Anthony Santander is batting .243 with 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 35 walks.
  • Among qualifying batters, Santander ranks 99th in batting average, 81st in on-base percentage, and 68th in slugging.
  • Santander has safely hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .250 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and eight RBI.
  • Austin Hays is batting .263 with 23 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 22 walks.
  • Ryan Mountcastle’s 85 hits pace his team. He has 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 19 walks while hitting .254.

Orioles Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Cedric Mullins 385 .260 53 8 40 .322 .709
Austin Hays 346 .263 47 12 47 .320 .759
Trey Mancini 339 .268 36 9 38 .345 .746
Ryan Mountcastle 334 .254 41 14 48 .294 .737
Anthony Santander 334 .243 45 17 51 .328 .759
Jorge Mateo 297 .215 37 8 26 .264 .634
Rougned Odor 274 .201 33 10 37 .262 .645
Ramón Urías 235 .264 33 11 36 .306 .766
Adley Rutschman 179 .240 29 5 17 .338 .774
Robinson Chirinos 140 .157 7 2 15 .252 .509

Rays Players to Watch

  • Yandy Diaz leads Tampa Bay with an OBP of .405 this season while batting .294 with 53 walks and 43 runs scored.
  • Among all the qualifying hitters in the majors, Diaz’s batting average ranks 26th, his on-base percentage ranks third, and he is 95th in slugging percentatge.
  • Randy Arozarena has 94 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .430, both of which lead Tampa Bay hitters this season.
  • Among all qualified hitters, Arozarena ranks 68th in batting average, 104th in on-base percentage and 69th in slugging percentage.
  • Ji-Man Choi has 63 hits this season and has a slash line of .266/.369/.435.
  • Isaac Paredes is batting .223 with a .300 OBP and 29 RBI for Tampa Bay this season.

Rays Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Randy Arozarena 363 .259 43 12 47 .316 .746
Yandy Díaz 306 .294 43 4 31 .405 .807
Taylor Walls 258 .171 29 4 16 .253 .528
Ji-Man Choi 237 .266 27 8 43 .369 .804
Christian Bethancourt 190 .242 25 5 21 .291 .670
Isaac Paredes 179 .223 29 14 29 .300 .797
Brett Phillips 178 .146 21 5 13 .227 .480
Josh Lowe 172 .203 23 2 13 .259 .590
Brandon Lowe 150 .240 25 6 14 .311 .744
Yu Chang 78 .179 7 1 5 .247 .503

Orioles vs Rays Player Props

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