2024 Olympic Men’s Golf: Four Sleeper Picks For Fantasy Golf Contests

The 2024 Paris Olympics continue on into its second week, with a new slate of competitions in store for us to navigate 2024 Olympics odds. The professional golf landscape has bowed out for Olympic Golf competition to take center stage this week, as the field of 60 will feature some of the game’s best players across 32 different countries. Below, we’ll look at potential Olympic golf DFS picks and dig in deep to find sleepers.

Navigate to our golf odds page to find the best Olympic odds across several sportsbooks this week.

UNDERDOG Olympic Golf DFS CHEAT SHEET

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Olympic Men’s Golf Underdog Fantasy Draft Rankings

Underdog snake drafts include Olympic Men’s Golf contests that strip away the complexity of traditional DFS lineup-making. John’s golf picks may provide valuable sleepers for your Underdog golf drafts. These rankings can also be applied to DraftKings and FanDuel golf DFS.

Tier 1

Scottie Scheffler
Xander Schauffele
Collin Morikawa
Ludvig Aberg

Tier 2

Tommy Fleetwood
Tom Kim
Shane Lowry
Hideki Matsuyama

Tier 3

Sepp Straka
Thomas Detry
Matthieu Pavon
Alex Noren

Tier 4

Keita Nakajima
Mito Pereira
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Tier 5

Guido Migliozzi
Nick Taylor
Emiliano Grillo

To identify “value” any given week in golf betting, I find it’s best first to understand the consensus key stat profile. Then, take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At the Olympics Men’s Golf competition, Recent Form is the primary statistic factored into the field’s pricing, with the Olympics remaining an unprecedented event to handicap very four years. To exploit value, I’m looking to take a stance on the importance of accurate ball-strikers with proven success on tight, positional venues in order to differentiate my player pool.

Below, find my favorite value PGA golf Fantasy picks and longshots for the 2024 Olympic Men’s Golf. Stats are pulled from the last 36 rounds unless otherwise noted.

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Olympic Men’s Golf Course Specs

For a deeper dive into the course, read my Olympic Men’s Golf preview. 

Four Sleeper Picks For Olympic Fantasy Golf Contests

Le Golf National is the host for both the Men’s and Women’s golf competitions, a sensible choice considering it remains the active site of the nation’s yearly DP World Tour event, the Open de France. Assuming a similar setup to the Open de France is in store, this week will emphasize positioning off-the-tee and elite mid-iron play to avoid its many water hazards.

Although a limited field of 60 typically drains any betting value, sportsbooks are concentrating the win equity amongst the big-4 of Scottie Scheffler, Xander Scheffler. Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm, which creates some appealing betting value for sleepers deeper in this field.

Sepp Straka

Men’s Olympic Tournament	Odds
To Win	+4500
Top 5	+650
Top 10	+250
Top 20	-125
1st Round Leader	+3000

In a limited, no-cut field of just 60 players, it can be hard to find any discernible betting value on the odds board. I have to say; however, I was surprised to see Sepp Straka’s name available this far down the board. For me, it was really the first round of the Tokyo Olympics where I began to take notice of Straka’s game, jumping out to a commanding first-round lead at Kasumigaseki CC before ultimately settling for a modest T10 finish.

Straka has continued on an upward trajectory ever since, as he’s picked up wins at the Honda Classic and John Deere Classic and earned a spot on the 2023 European Ryder Cup team in the three years that have passed since. When it comes to accurate ball strikers on TOUR, Straka has solidified himself in an elite class for a sustained run now. He ranks top three in terms of Driving Accuracy, SG: Approach, and SG: Putting, the three most important skillsets I’m looking for in a player to tackle Le Golf National. Straka has already picked up three top-5 finishes this season, each coming on venues that reward driving accuracy.

Matthieu Pavon

Men’s Olympic Tournament	Odds
To Win	+6500
Top 5	+850
Top 10	+333
Top 20	-105
1st Round Leader	+4000

The hometown hero will assuredly have the crowd on his side this weekend. Pavon has been a staple for me amongst Sleeper considerations week-to-week on the PGA TOUR, and I don’t plan to stop now that the Frenchman has earned himself the opportunity to represent the 2024 Olympics’ host nation.

Pavon continues to be the most volatile player on the PGA TOUR, with seven top-20 finishes to go along with eight finishes of T50 or worse so far this season. A field of just 60 players is an ideal place to chase high ceiling upside, however, as a mediocre showing isn’t going to hurt you as much from a Fantasy perspective. Pavon’s game is centered around spike approach and putting upside, so he’ll have ample opportunity to score around Le Golf National as long as he can keep the ball in the fairway. While Pavon’s game hasn’t necessarily proven to suit a specific style, of course, I’m encouraged to see he’s finished top-10 already this season at the Sony Open, AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and U.S. Open, which each place a similar emphasis on precise ball striking and positioning off the tee.

Nick Taylor

Men’s Olympic Tournament	Odds
To Win	+18500
Top 5	+2000
Top 10	+650
Top 20	+190
1st Round Leader	+6000

It hasn’t been the best 2024 season for Nick Taylor, who has crashed down to earth rapidly since winning the WM Phoenix Open in February. But, after his theatrics at Oakdale Golf & Country Club last year, we should know better than to question Taylor’s prospects when given the opportunity to represent his native country. At his best, Taylor is a course manager on shorter venues who can catch fire on approach and lean on his putter as a weapon for scoring.

While the form has cooled off a bit recently, Taylor’s game is less lost than these odds may suggest. He’s made it through the cut in six of his last 10 appearances and now sits firmly on the Presidents Cup bubble. With Royal Montreal looming just two months away, Taylor has a great opportunity sitting in front of him this week to cement himself a place on Mike Weir’s team. With his course fit and flare for big moments in mind, I’m drawn to Taylor as a top-20 placement bet despite the uninspiring recent form.

Emiliano Grillo

Men’s Olympic Tournament	Odds
To Win	+16000
Top 5	+1800
Top 10	+600
Top 20	+175
1st Round Leader	+6000

Emiliano Grillo was on a short list of Olympians who chose to skip the opening ceremony to golf in Blaine, Minnesota. It could simply be his love for the game, but more likely, Grillo realized that his great course history at the 3M Open and current standing of No. 67 in the FedEx Cup standings made the 3M Open an event to prioritize so he could remain inside the coveted FedEx Cup top-70 and secure guaranteed TOUR status through next season. Regardless, he looked sharp in his previous start, finishing T24.

On paper, Le Golf National is perfectly suited for Grillo’s game as one of the most reliably accurate ball-strikers on TOUR. Grillo’s best career results have come on short positional venues like Harbour Town and Colonial CC, so with his ball-striking continuing to look sharp, I have no concerns going right back to the Argentinian in the placement prop market this week.

Shop the best odds at sports betting sites for PGA TOUR sleepers and more highly-touted players before betting, including for the top 10, top 20, etc. Best of luck if you choose to bet on these Olympic golf DFS picks!

GOLF DFS PLAYER POOL

With all the course-fit profiles in mind, I’m leaning early toward the below player pool for golf DFS picks this week. Naturally, I’m also looking their way in the 2024 Olympic Men’s Golf odds. I’ve broken the list down by projected pricing/odds tier for DraftKings.

Latest Olympic Golf Betting news

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