US Open Betting Guide

Odds, Predictions and Event History

Bryson DeChambeau odds Memorial Masters US Open PGA

The 2021 US Open will be held Thursday, June 17 – Sunday, June 20, at Torrey Pines (South) in San Diego, California. Bryson DeChambeau will defend his title following a six-stroke victory at Winged Foot Golf Club last September. The US Open will be the third major of 2021; it follows April’s Masters and the PGA Championship (May 20-23). It precedes the Open Championship (July 15-18). This page will show the latest US Open odds and how to bet on the tournament.

In addition, we’ll look back at some historical achievements at the US Open and break down some ways to get betting action and the top strategies for success against the sportsbooks.

US Open odds 2021

DeChambeau had the fourth-lowest odds, +1400, to win the 2021 US Open at DraftKings as of May 7. Dustin Johnson remains the favorite at +1000. Here are more US Open odds as we close in on one of the year’s premier golf tournaments.

Outright Winner

Game
06/20/2021
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Dustin Johnson
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+1000
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+850
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+900
Jon Rahm
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+1100
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+900
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+1100
Justin Thomas
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+1200
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+1200
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+1200
Rory McIlroy
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+1400
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+1400
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+1600
Bryson DeChambeau
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+1400
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+1200
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+1200
Xander Schauffele
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+1400
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+1400
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+1600
Brooks Koepka
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+1600
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+1000
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+1400
Jordan Spieth
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+1600
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+1200
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+1600
Collin Morikawa
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+2200
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+2200
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+3000
Hideki Matsuyama
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+2500
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+2700
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+2200
Patrick Cantlay
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+2800
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+2200
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+2500
Daniel Berger
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+3000
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+2900
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+4000
Webb Simpson
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+3000
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+2900
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+4000
Viktor Hovland
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+3000
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+2900
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+3500
Tony Finau
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+3300
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+3700
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+2500
Patrick Reed
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+3300
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+2700
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+2500
Tyrrell Hatton
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+3300
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+3100
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+3500
Tommy Fleetwood
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+3300
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+3300
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+5000
Will Zalatoris
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+3500
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+2900
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+4000
Justin Rose
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+4000
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+3700
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+5000
Paul Casey
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+5000
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+4100
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+5000
Jason Day
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+5000
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+4100
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+5000
Scottie Scheffler
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+5000
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+4100
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OTB
Matthew Fitzpatrick
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+5000
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+5000
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+5000
Cameron Smith
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+5000
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+5000
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+5000

View US Open odds for all players at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

2021 US Open Futures Report

US Open odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook (May 7):

Favorites

Dustin Johnson (+1000): A shocking missed cut in his defense of the Masters didn’t affect the world No. 1’s odds for this year’s remaining three majors. He remains the favorite by the US Open odds with an implied win probability of 9.09%.

Jon Rahm (+1100): Rahm has the second-best odds at each of 2021’s remaining three majors as well as the 2022 Masters following his T-5 finish in April. He leads the PGA Tour in total strokes gained on the field per round and is third in the OWGR. He leads all golfers with a minimum of 10 rounds played at Torrey Pines in strokes gained on the field per round.

Justin Thomas (+1200): Two top-10 finishes in six appearances at the US Open, including a T-8 in the fall. He doesn’t have the distance of the other top favorites, but he’s No. 1 on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach.

Bryson DeChambeau (+1400): The reigning US Open champ struggled in both appearances at the Masters since winning his first major. Still, his added length is well suited to the customary US Open conditions, and he won the Arnold Palmer Invitational earlier this year.

Rory McIlroy (+1400): McIlroy’s odds peaked at +1600 in mid-April following a missed cut at the Masters but the public favorite is again +1200. At his best, his game fits the nearly 7,700-yard course well, but he has been in poor form in 2021.

Xander Schauffele (+1400): Second on Tour this season in total strokes gained per round but doesn’t have a win since Jan. 2019. He has four finishes of T-6 or better in his four appearances at the US Open and tied for second at the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in January.

Brooks Koepka (+1600): The back-to-back US Open champ in 2017 and 2018 remains in jeopardy for the 2021 tournament following knee surgery. He returned to the winner’s circle in early February but missed the cut at the Masters following the procedure.

Jordan Spieth (+1600): The 2015 US Open champ has two missed cuts and no finishes inside the top 30 in five appearances since. The former world No. 1 has shown his past form and has a win this year, but he’s still struggling with the driver.

Long shots

Patrick Reed (+3300): The 2018 Masters champ finished fourth in the US Open that year and is coming off a T-13 at Winged Foot in the fall. He won January’s Farmers Insurance Open in an early look at this year’s venue; however, that event was split between Torrey Pines’ North and South Courses.

Scottie Scheffler (+5000) : Up to No. 21 in the OWGR with three top-10 finishes through 11 events in 2021. He withdrew from the 2020 US Open due to COVID-19 and missed the cut at the Farmers Insurance Open, but he has the length to contend under major conditions.

Matthew Wolff (+6600): The distant runner-up to DeChambeau at Winged Foot, Wolff is in awful form early in 2021. He withdrew from both the Farmers Insurance Open and WGC-Workday Championship due to injury and was disqualified from the Masters for an incorrect scorecard. As a result, his US Open odds have soared after opening around +4000.

Marc Leishman (+6000): The big Aussie is among the most experienced in this field at Torrey Pines with 48 rounds played on the South Course. He won the Farmers in 2020 and tied for fifth at the Masters before winning the Zurich Classic of New Orleans team event with partner Cameron Smith.

Bubba Watson (+8000): Watson has a poor history in the US Open, but he won the Farmers in 2011 and has averaged 1.58 strokes gained on the field over 36 career rounds on the South Course. His putting is holding him back, as he remains one of the best on Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee.

Who’s coming in hot?

Viktor Hovland (+3000): Now 23 years old, Hovland was the low amateur in a T-12 finish at the 2019 US Open at Pebble Beach. He tied for 13th at Winged Foot in the fall and is up to No. 11 in the OWGR. He opened 2021 at +4000 by the US Open odds.

Tony Finau (+3300): Still with just one PGA Tour win, there are few as consistent as Finau in majors. He has nine career top-10 finishes in 19 tournaments, including a T-10 at April’s Masters. The only thing inflating his odds is the lengthy winless drought.

Will Zalatoris (+3500): The former Korn Ferry Tour star broke out on the PGA Tour with a T-6 finish at the fall US Open. He’s still not a full-time member but is up to No. 28 in the OWGR with three more top-10 finishes in marquee events in 2021.

US Open odds: How to bet the US Open

The main betting draw to any golf tournament are the odds to win outright. For majors such as the US Open, these are often released nearly a full year in advance in the form of futures bets. US Open odds have been available for the past few months, dating back to the PGA Tour re-start in June.

Initial US Open odds will reflect the previous year’s leaderboard, the OWGR at the time of the odds release, and public favorites. Tiger will never have odds reflecting his true likelihood of winning due to the sheer number of wagers that’ll be placed on him either way. Outright odds for a standard field of 156 golfers can range from as low as +500 for a favorite to long shots as high as +100000. These odds would return profits of $50 and $10,000, respectively, on $10 bets.

Odds will be routinely updated and altered through the year to reflect golfer performance, injuries, changes in the OWGR, and public betting action. The more wagers placed on any one golfer, the lower their odds will drop as the books hedge against large payouts.

Much closer to the beginning of the tournament, many more betting options will become available. These can include Top-5, Top-10, and Top-20 placing bets which feature lower odds than the odds to win, but they provide a safety net for a top finish and allow bettors to cash multiple tickets. 18-hole, 36-hole, and 54-hole leader bets can see higher odds for the tournament favorites than their outright odds.

Prop bets pool golfers together based on shared traits such as world ranking, previous tournament wins, and nationality. The odds in these pools are heavily influenced by the caliber of the golfers included and their individual likelihoods of winning the tournament.

Matchup bets pit golfers either head-to-head or in groups of three for each round or the tournament as a whole. These typically carry the lowest odds (-200 to +200) of the bet types mentioned here, but they can be the most predictable and are the best way to hedge against other losses and guarantee at least a modest return on your investment.

Straight Forecast bets are best suited to standard tournaments which feature two or three top golfers against an otherwise weaker field. These require bettors to correctly predict the first- and second-place finishers in order as a parlay to boost their individual odds to win outright.

Each-Way betting is popular when betting long shots. These bets consist of two separate wagers with one for the outright win and a second for a finish within a specified range of top-3 or top-5.

How to watch the US Open

When: Thursday, June 17 – Sunday, June 20. Tee times will be announced Tuesday, June 15.

Where: Torrey Pines South Course, San Diego, Calif.

How to watch: TV: Golf Channel and NBC (Sat-Sun) 

Streaming options:  NBCports.com, NBC Sports Mobile App, USGA Streaming App through USOpen.com, the US Open app for mobile and the USGA apps for TV boxes.

US Open odds: betting strategy

As with anything, research goes a long way to setting yourself up for success, and there are many tools available for golf bettors. The three main areas to look at are always Course History, Current Form, and Key Stats. Course History can be difficult for the US Open – as well as the Open Championship and PGA Championship – as the last event held at Winged Foot was the 2006 US Open. But conditions are often similar across all US Open venues. Courses are long and golfers will need to either be able to avoid trouble or quickly recover, and putting is essential.

Current Form looks at how well a golfer has been playing coming into an event. This can be dangerous as runs of success or struggles can begin and end without any notice. Each course will have a set of Key Stats best associated with success there. Be sure to look into which shot type a course favors and what type of grass is on the greens.

Be sure to closely monitor the futures US Open odds throughout the months and weeks leading up to an event. Take screenshots of the opening odds and always compare against those in order to target favorites who may see their numbers temporarily rise due to a run of poor results or a lack of betting action. Conversely, don’t bet an opening long shot if their odds have fallen too far due to a stretch of strong results. Majors are tough to win, and not everyone can do it. Don’t fall for diminished value.

While the outright odds carry the hopes of the biggest pay days, the safe money is made on the props, matchups and placing bets. Be sure to devote the largest portion of your bankroll here. It’s better to cash multiple tickets at lower odds than bank on a long-shot outright bet only to watch your hopes fade away on the back 9 on Sunday.

US Open fun facts

  • Most wins: 4 — Jack Nicklaus, Ben Hogan, Bobby Jones, and Willie Anderson. Tiger has a chance to join them with a win this year.
  • Youngest winner: John McDermott — 19 years, 9 months, 14 days (1911)
  • Youngest Qualifier: Andy Zhang — 14 years, six months (2012)
  • Oldest winner: Hale Irwin — 45 years, 15 days (1990)
  • Highest score on one hole: 19, Ray Ainsley (1938) on the par 4 16th at Cherry Hills Country Club in Englewood, Colo.
  • Best comeback: Arnold Palmer came back from down seven strokes entering the final round in 1960 to top a group including Nicklaus, Hogan, and Gary Player. It was his first and only US Open championship.
  • Amateur winners: Francis Ouimet (1913), Jerome D. Travers (1915), Charles Evans Jr. (1916), Bobby Jones (1923, 1926, 1929, 1939), John Goodman (1933)
  • Most times runner-up: Phil Mickelson (1999, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2009, 2013)

Biggest betting longshots in US Open history

Martin Kaymer (2014) +10000

After taking down The Players Championship five weeks earlier, Kaymer demolished the 2014 US Open field at Pinehurst. It was his second major championship win, but he doesn’t have a victory anywhere in the world since.

Webb Simpson (2012) +5000

Simpson is coming off arguably the most successful year of his career to creep inside the top 10 of the world rankings. He had two professional wins to his name before beating Graeme McDowell and Michael Thompson by one stroke at Olympic Club in 2012.

Graeme McDowell (2010) +6600

McDowell ranked 36th in the world at the time of his lone major victory at Pebble Beach Golf Links. He survived a wave of Sunday collapses which claimed Dustin Johnson and Tiger Woods to beat Gregory Havret by one stroke.

Lucas Glover (2009) +15000

Glover has just one professional win since beating Phil Mickelson, David Duval and Ricky Barnes by two strokes at Bethpage Black Course in 2009. He ranked 72nd in the world at the time.

Angel Cabrera (2007) +10000

Cabrera seems to be much better remembered for his 2009 Masters win than for his breakthrough one stroke victory over Tiger Woods and Jim Furyk at Oakmont Country Club. Cabrera rarely played in the United States outside of majors but ranked 39th in the world before his win vaulted him to 17th.

Geoff Ogilvy (2006) +8000

Ogilvy ranked 17th in the world and had two wins under his belt at the time of his first major victory, including the Accenture Match Play earlier in 2006. He beat Mickelson, Furyk and Colin Montgomerie by one stroke at Winged Foot.

Michael Campbell (2005) Not listed, part of FIELD at +600

Campbell had 10 professional wins prior to his two-stroke victory over Woods at Pinehurst but ranked just 80th in the world. He’d go on to win the HSBC World Match Play Championship later in 2005, but hasn’t won since.

Francis Ouimet (1913)

Just 20 years old and playing as an amateur, Ouimet outplayed accomplished British golfers Harry Vardon and Ted Ray to become the second American to win the US Open. Ouimet would go on to win the US Amateur in 1914 and 1931.

us open golf
Graeme McDowell at the 2010 US Open

US Open odds: FAQ

Who qualifies for golf’s US Open?

Anyone with a USGA Handicap Index of 1.4 or lower has a chance. They must make it through both local and sectional qualifying. Additional criteria are as follows:

  • Winners of the last 10 US Opens
  • Winner and runner-up from previous year’s US Amateur and winners of the previous US Junior Amateur and US Mid-Amateur
  • Winner of the previous year’s Amateur Championship
  • Previous year’s Mark H. McCormack Medal winner as top-ranked amateur in world
  • Past five winners of each of the Masters, Open Championship and PGA Championship
  • Winner of the current year’s BMW PGA Championship
  • Winner of the last US Senior Open
  • Players who win multiple PGA Tour events offering 500 or more points to the winner between the previous and current US Opens.
  • Reigning men’s gold medalist is the Olympic golf tournament was held the prior year
  • Top 10 finishers and ties from previous US Open
  • Qualifiers from previous year’s Tour Championship
  • Top 60 from the Official World Golf Ranking as of two weeks before the tournament
  • Top 60 from the OWGR as of the tournament start date
  • Special exemptions selected by the USGA
  • All remaining spots filled by alternates from qualifying tournaments

Where is the US Open this year?

Torrey Pines South Course in San Diego, Calif.

What are the highest and lowest scores to win the US open?

Koepka and Rory McIlroy share the honor for the lowest score ever to win a US Open at minus-16 in 2017 and 2011, respectively. Walter Hagen’s plus-17 in 1919 is the highest winning score of all time. Geoff Ogilvy and Angel Cabrera each shot plus-5 in 2006 and 2007 for the highest winning scores since 1975.

Winning scores at Winged Foot have ranged from Fuzzy Zoeller’s minus-4 in 1984 to Hale Irwin’s plus-7 in 1974.

Ogilvy won at plus-5 in 2006, the last time the US Open was played in Mamaroneck.

Has anyone ever won back-to-back-to-back US Opens?

Brooks Koepka in 2017 and 2018 was the first since Curtis Strange in 1988-89 and seventh all-time to go back-to-back as US Open champion.

Willie Anderson (1903-05) as the only players to win three straight.