US Open Betting Guide

Odds, Predictions and Event History

The 2021 US Open will be held Thursday, June 17 – Sunday, June 20, at Torrey Pines (South) in San Diego, Calif. Bryson DeChambeau will defend his 6-stroke victory at Winged Foot Golf Club in mid-September. The US Open will be the third major or a more conventional 2021 PGA Tour schedule; it will follow the Masters (April 8-11) and PGA Championship (May 20-23), and precede the Open Championship (July 15-18). This page will show the latest US Open odds and how to bet on the tournament.

In addition, we’ll look back at some historical achievements at the US Open and break down some ways to get betting action and the top strategies for success against the sportsbooks.

US Open odds 2021

DeChambeau trails US Open betting favorites Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm by the odds. They rank first and second, respectively, in the Official World Golf Ranking to end the 2020 portion of the golf season. DeChambeau rose from 14th to fifth from the end of 2019.

Johnson won thrice in 2020, including the Masters Tournament which was played as the year’s final major. PGA Championship winner Collin Morikawa is a little further down the odds board following his lackluster finish to 2020.

Outright Winner

Dustin Johnson
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+1000
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+850
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+900
Jon Rahm
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+1100
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+1100
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+1100
Bryson DeChambeau
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+1200
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+1200
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+1400
Rory McIlroy
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+1200
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+1400
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+1200
Justin Thomas
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+1200
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+1400
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+1400
Brooks Koepka
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+1600
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+1400
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+1800
Xander Schauffele
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+1600
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+1400
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+1600
Hideki Matsuyama
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+2500
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+2700
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+2800
Collin Morikawa
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+2500
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+2200
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+2200
Webb Simpson
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+2500
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+2900
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+2800
Patrick Cantlay
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+2800
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+2700
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+3000
Patrick Reed
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+2800
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+4100
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+4000
Tiger Woods
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+2800
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+3300
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+3300
Tony Finau
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+3300
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+4100
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+3300
Tommy Fleetwood
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+3300
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+3300
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+3300
Daniel Berger
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+4000
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+3300
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+3300
Jason Day
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+4000
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+4100
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+4000
Viktor Hovland
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+4000
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+2900
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+5000
Tyrrell Hatton
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+4500
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+5000
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+2800
Justin Rose
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+4500
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+4100
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+4000
Scottie Scheffler
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+4500
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+5000
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N/A
Matthew Wolff
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+4500
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+3700
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+4000
Harris English
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+5000
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+6500
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+6600
Adam Scott
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+5000
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+5000
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+4000
Sungjae Im
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+5000
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+5000
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+6600

View US Open odds for all players at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

2021 US Open players to watch

Dustin Johnson

Johnson is the betting favorite for each of 2021’s four majors following his Masters victory. He tied for sixth at last year’s US Open as the pre-tournament favorite.

Jon Rahm

Rahm, the second-ranked golfer in the OWGR to end 2020, doesn’t have a major win to date, but he tied for third at the 2019 US Open at Pebble Beach Golf Links. He won twice in 2020 against major-caliber fields at the Memorial Tournament and BMW Championship. He was also the runner-up at last year’s Farmers Insurance Open at this venue.

Bryson DeChambeau

DeChambeau entered the 2020 Masters as a prohibitive betting favorite following his landslide US Open victory. His odds have regressed for all four 2020 majors, but are still roughly half of what they were prior to Round 1 at Winged Foot. A win anywhere early in 2021 would almost certainly cause his odds to plummet once again, as he’s a new public betting favorite.

Brooks Koepka

Koepka was the odds favorite for the 2020 US Open right up until he had to withdraw due to injury. It was his first year without a win anywhere in the world since 2011, and he slipped from No. 1 to No. 12 in the OWGR over the calendar year. The two-time US Open champ still has his odds suppressed following a T-7 finish at the Masters.

Justin Thomas

Even though Thomas has just one career major win (2017 PGA Championship) and earned a career-best T-8 finish at last year’s US Open, he’s consistently priced among the favorites in majors. He won twice more in 2020 to bring his PGA Tour win total to 13.

Rory McIlroy

McIlroy was among the early favorites by the 2020 US Open futures odds since the end of the 2019 tournament. He finished in the top 10 each of the last two years following three straight missed cuts from 2016-18. He didn’t participate in the 2008 US Open at Torrey Pines, but he won his first major just three years later. McIlroy has averaged 2.78 strokes gained per round on the field at Torrey Pines.

Tiger Woods

Tiger has averaged 2.40 strokes gained per round over an illustrious 45 rounds on Torrey Pines’ South Course. His third career US Open win was at this venue in 2008, famously defeating Rocco Mediate in a playoff whilst hobbled by a knee injury. He has missed the cut in three of his last four US Open appearances since 2015, but the course certainly plays to his favor.

Webb Simpson

Simpson’s odds for the 2020 US Open fell throughout the year, as he picked up victories at the Waste Management Open and the RBC Heritage. He started poorly at Winged Foot but was able to regroup and earn a T-8 finish. He also tied for 10th at the Masters in a year that saw him climb back to sixth in the OWGR.

Matthew Wolff

Wolff followed up a breakout T-4 finish at the PGA Championship with a runner-up result at Winged Foot. The 21-year-old finished 2020 at No. 15 in the OWGR and is now priced among the favorites after heading into Round 1 of his first US Open as a +8000 longshot.

Will Zalatoris

Most golf fans may not yet be familiar with Zalatoris but that’s expected to change quickly in 2021. He tied for sixth at the 2020 US Open and had two other top-10 results in five events to end the year. He rose to No. 57 in the OWGR and has greatly reduced his odds from his +20000 tag at Winged Foot.

US Open odds: How to bet the US Open

The main betting draw to any golf tournament are the odds to win outright. For majors such as the US Open, these are often released nearly a full year in advance in the form of futures bets. US Open odds have been available for the past few months, dating back to the PGA Tour re-start in June.

Initial US Open odds will reflect the previous year’s leaderboard, the OWGR at the time of the odds release, and public favorites. Tiger will never have odds reflecting his true likelihood of winning due to the sheer number of wagers that’ll be placed on him either way. Outright odds for a standard field of 156 golfers can range from as low as +500 for a favorite to long shots as high as +100000. These odds would return profits of $50 and $10,000, respectively, on $10 bets.

Odds will be routinely updated and altered through the year to reflect golfer performance, injuries, changes in the OWGR, and public betting action. The more wagers placed on any one golfer, the lower their odds will drop as the books hedge against large payouts.

Much closer to the beginning of the tournament, many more betting options will become available. These can include Top-5, Top-10, and Top-20 placing bets which feature lower odds than the odds to win, but they provide a safety net for a top finish and allow bettors to cash multiple tickets. 18-hole, 36-hole, and 54-hole leader bets can see higher odds for the tournament favorites than their outright odds.

Prop bets pool golfers together based on shared traits such as world ranking, previous tournament wins, and nationality. The odds in these pools are heavily influenced by the caliber of the golfers included and their individual likelihoods of winning the tournament.

Matchup bets pit golfers either head-to-head or in groups of three for each round or the tournament as a whole. These typically carry the lowest odds (-200 to +200) of the bet types mentioned here, but they can be the most predictable and are the best way to hedge against other losses and guarantee at least a modest return on your investment.

Straight Forecast bets are best suited to standard tournaments which feature two or three top golfers against an otherwise weaker field. These require bettors to correctly predict the first- and second-place finishers in order as a parlay to boost their individual odds to win outright.

Each-Way betting is popular when betting long shots. These bets consist of two separate wagers with one for the outright win and a second for a finish within a specified range of top-3 or top-5.

ALSO READ: Golf Power Rankings ahead of 2020 US Open

How to watch the US Open

When: Thursday, June 17 – Sunday, June 20. Tee times will be announced Tuesday, June 15.

Where: Torrey Pines South Course, San Diego, Calif.

How to watch: TV: Golf Channel and NBC (Sat-Sun) 

Streaming options:  NBCports.com, NBC Sports Mobile App, USGA Streaming App through USOpen.com, the US Open app for mobile and the USGA apps for TV boxes.

US Open odds: betting strategy

As with anything, research goes a long way to setting yourself up for success, and there are many tools available for golf bettors. The three main areas to look at are always Course History, Current Form, and Key Stats. Course History can be difficult for the US Open – as well as the Open Championship and PGA Championship – as the last event held at Winged Foot was the 2006 US Open. But conditions are often similar across all US Open venues. Courses are long and golfers will need to either be able to avoid trouble or quickly recover, and putting is essential.

Current Form looks at how well a golfer has been playing coming into an event. This can be dangerous as runs of success or struggles can begin and end without any notice. Each course will have a set of Key Stats best associated with success there. Be sure to look into which shot type a course favors and what type of grass is on the greens.

Be sure to closely monitor the futures US Open odds throughout the months and weeks leading up to an event. Take screenshots of the opening odds and always compare against those in order to target favorites who may see their numbers temporarily rise due to a run of poor results or a lack of betting action. Conversely, don’t bet an opening long shot if their odds have fallen too far due to a stretch of strong results. Majors are tough to win, and not everyone can do it. Don’t fall for diminished value.

While the outright odds carry the hopes of the biggest pay days, the safe money is made on the props, matchups and placing bets. Be sure to devote the largest portion of your bankroll here. It’s better to cash multiple tickets at lower odds than bank on a long-shot outright bet only to watch your hopes fade away on the back 9 on Sunday.

US Open fun facts

  • Most wins: 4– Jack Nicklaus, Ben Hogan, Bobby Jones, and Willie Anderson. Tiger has a chance to join them with a win this year.
  • Youngest winner: John McDermott — 19 years, 9 months, 14 days (1911)
  • Youngest Qualifier: Andy Zhang — 14 years, six months (2012)
  • Oldest winner: Hale Irwin — 45 years, 15 days (1990)
  • Highest score on one hole: 19, Ray Ainsley (1938) on the par 4 16th at Cherry Hills Country Club in Englewood, Colo.
  • Best comeback: Arnold Palmer came back from down seven strokes entering the final round in 1960 to top a group including Nicklaus, Hogan, and Gary Player. It was his first and only US Open championship.
  • Amateur winners: Francis Ouimet (1913), Jerome D. Travers (1915), Charles Evans Jr. (1916), Bobby Jones (1923, 1926, 1929, 1939), John Goodman (1933)
  • Most times runner-up: Phil Mickelson (1999, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2009, 2013)

Biggest betting longshots in US Open history

Martin Kaymer (2014) +10000

After taking down The Players Championship five weeks earlier, Kaymer demolished the 2014 US Open field at Pinehurst. It was his second major championship win, but he doesn’t have a victory anywhere in the world since.

Webb Simpson (2012) +5000

Simpson is coming off arguably the most successful year of his career to creep inside the top 10 of the world rankings. He had two professional wins to his name before beating Graeme McDowell and Michael Thompson by one stroke at Olympic Club in 2012.

Graeme McDowell (2010) +6600

McDowell ranked 36th in the world at the time of his lone major victory at Pebble Beach Golf Links. He survived a wave of Sunday collapses which claimed Dustin Johnson and Tiger Woods to beat Gregory Havret by one stroke.

Lucas Glover (2009) +15000

Glover has just one professional win since beating Phil Mickelson, David Duval and Ricky Barnes by two strokes at Bethpage Black Course in 2009. He ranked 72nd in the world at the time.

Angel Cabrera (2007) +10000

Cabrera seems to be much better remembered for his 2009 Masters win than for his breakthrough one stroke victory over Tiger Woods and Jim Furyk at Oakmont Country Club. Cabrera rarely played in the United States outside of majors but ranked 39th in the world before his win vaulted him to 17th.

Geoff Ogilvy (2006) +8000

Ogilvy ranked 17th in the world and had two wins under his belt at the time of his first major victory, including the Accenture Match Play earlier in 2006. He beat Mickelson, Furyk and Colin Montgomerie by one stroke at Winged Foot.

Michael Campbell (2005) Not listed, part of FIELD at +600

Campbell had 10 professional wins prior to his two-stroke victory over Woods at Pinehurst but ranked just 80th in the world. He’d go on to win the HSBC World Match Play Championship later in 2005, but hasn’t won since.

Francis Ouimet (1913)

Just 20 years old and playing as an amateur, Ouimet outplayed accomplished British golfers Harry Vardon and Ted Ray to become the second American to win the US Open. Ouimet would go on to win the US Amateur in 1914 and 1931.

us open golf
Graeme McDowell at the 2010 US Open

US Open odds: FAQ

Who qualifies for golf’s US Open?

Anyone with a USGA Handicap Index of 1.4 or lower has a chance. They must make it through both local and sectional qualifying. Additional criteria are as follows:

  • Winners of the last 10 US Opens
  • Winner and runner-up from previous year’s US Amateur and winners of the previous US Junior Amateur and US Mid-Amateur
  • Winner of the previous year’s Amateur Championship
  • Previous year’s Mark H. McCormack Medal winner as top-ranked amateur in world
  • Past five winners of each of the Masters, Open Championship and PGA Championship
  • Winner of the current year’s BMW PGA Championship
  • Winner of the last US Senior Open
  • Players who win multiple PGA Tour events offering 500 or more points to the winner between the previous and current US Opens.
  • Reigning men’s gold medalist is the Olympic golf tournament was held the prior year
  • Top 10 finishers and ties from previous US Open
  • Qualifiers from previous year’s Tour Championship
  • Top 60 from the Official World Golf Ranking as of two weeks before the tournament
  • Top 60 from the OWGR as of the tournament start date
  • Special exemptions selected by the USGA
  • All remaining spots filled by alternates from qualifying tournaments

Where is the US Open this year?

Torrey Pines South Course in San Diego, Calif.

What are the highest and lowest scores to win the US open?

Koepka and Rory McIlroy share the honor for the lowest score ever to win a US Open at minus-16 in 2017 and 2011, respectively. Walter Hagen’s plus-17 in 1919 is the highest winning score of all time. Geoff Ogilvy and Angel Cabrera each shot plus-5 in 2006 and 2007 for the highest winning scores since 1975.

Winning scores at Winged Foot have ranged from Fuzzy Zoeller’s minus-4 in 1984 to Hale Irwin’s plus-7 in 1974.

Ogilvy won at plus-5 in 2006, the last time the US Open was played in Mamaroneck.

Has anyone ever won back-to-back-to-back US Opens?

Brooks Koepka in 2017 and 2018 was the first since Curtis Strange in 1988-89 and seventh all-time to go back-to-back as US Open champion.

Willie Anderson (1903-05) as the only players to win three straight.