Super Bowl Props 2020

Live Odds And Betting Strategy

The Super Bowl is the single most popular betting event in America. The wagering menu goes well beyond which team will win or lose, total points scored, or which team will cover the point spread.

Prop bets engage and entertain fans more than a week before the game and right through the Super Bowl. Proposition bets are games within the Super Bowl itself, and allow fans and bettors to wager on specific events other than the outcome of the game. That includes the opening coin toss or popular player props during the Super Bowl like the over/under quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, or how many touchdowns a player will score and which player will score the first touchdown of the game.

Those are just a few of the hundreds of various prop bets offered at different sportsbooks including FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM. This page will guide you through the prop opportunities and assist bettors in their decisions while learning more about prop bet strategies, odds payouts and how different prop bets work.

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Super Bowl player props

Quarterback

The quarterback props draw the most interest and the most offerings. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win the MVP (+110) in Super Bowl LIV, and he’s also the most popular player to bet on in props. The Chiefs have scored 51 and 35 points in two playoff games this year, and Mahomes has passed for 615 yards with eight touchdown passes and zero interceptions. He also rushed for a touchdown and leads the Chiefs in rushing in this year’s playoffs with 106 yards.

Mahomes passed for 4,031 yards with 26 touchdown passes and five interceptions in the 2019 regular season despite missing two games with a knee injury. Since losing to the Titans Nov. 10 in Mahomes’ return from injury, the Chiefs are 8-0 SU/ATS. The 2018 NFL MVP is just the fifth quarterback age 24 or younger to start in the Super Bowl, and the previous four quarterbacks went 1-3 SU in the Super Bowl. But none of those quarterbacks threw for 50 touchdowns like Mahomes did in his 2018 MVP season, and in Mahomes’ nine games since returning from injury this year, he’s passed for at least 250 yards six times with 19 touchdown passes and four interceptions.

Mahomes’ passing yards over/under prop in Super Bowl 54 opened at 298.5 yards at FanDuel Sportsbook and 299.5 yards at DraftKings Sportsbook. He will face the 49ers’ No. 1 pass defense that has allowed league lows of 174 passing yards and 5.3 yards per pass this season, including the playoffs.

San Francisco QB Jimmy Garoppolo is +250 to win the Super Bowl MVP and has an over/under passing yards prop of 241.5 at FanDuel and 240.5 at DraftKings. Garoppolo has passed just 27 times for 208 yards in two playoffs wins in his first career playoff starts with one touchdown pass and one interception. The Chiefs defense has allowed 227 passing yards per game to rank near the middle of the league, but its 6.2 yards per pass against ranks No. 6 in the NFL.

Passing Yards
Completions
TD Passes
Rushing Yards

Patrick Mahomes
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299.5
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297.5
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295.5
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295.5
Jimmy Garoppolo
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240.5
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242.5
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238.5
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238.5

Patrick Mahomes
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30.5
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30.5
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30.5
Jimmy Garoppolo
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4.5
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3.5

Running Back

Props on running backs are popular as bettors evaluate over/under yards props like total rushing yards, rushing attempts, and longest run. Running backs also have over/under props on total receiving yards, receiving attempts and total touchdowns scored.

San Francisco RB Raheem Mostert rushed for the second-most yards in NFL playoff history when he ran for 220 yards and four touchdowns against the Packers in the NFC Championship game. His running mate Tevin Coleman had 105 rushing yards and two touchdowns against the Vikings in the divisional round win but suffered a dislocated shoulder against the Packers. He remains questionable to play in the Super Bowl.

Chiefs running back Damien Williams scored three total touchdowns in the AFC divisional game against the Texans and added 44 rushing yards and a touchdown plus 45 receiving yards against the Titans in the AFC Championship game. Williams’ over/under rushing yards prop opened around 50 yards while Mostert opened close to 60.

Rushing Yards
Rush Attempts
Receiving Yards
Receptions

Wide Receiver

Patriots wide receiver Julian Edelman was the Super Bowl 53 MVP at +3000 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. That will make for more popular wide receivers MVP prop bets in Super Bowl 54.

Bettors will also take shots at over/under wide receiver and tight end props like total receiving yards, pass receptions and longest reception. Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (77.5) and TE Travis Kelce (74.5) opened with the highest over/under receiving yards props at DraftKings, followed by 49ers TE George Kittle (71.5) at FanDuel. Those players will be the most popular receiver bets.

Receiving Yards
Receptions

Tyreek Hill
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77.5
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74.5
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74.5
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74.5
Travis Kelce
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74.5
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73.5
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76.5
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76.5
George Kittle
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73.5
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71.5
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70.5
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71.5
Deebo Samuel
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53.5
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53.5
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56.5
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55.5
Sammy Watkins
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50.5
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47.5
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48.5
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53.5
Emmanuel Sanders
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40.5
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41.5
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45.5
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42.5
Kendrick Bourne
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23.5
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21.5
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23.5
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22.5
Mecole Hardman
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22.5
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22.5
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N/A
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26.5
Demarcus Robinson
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22.5
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20.5
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18.5
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26.5

Tyreek Hill
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5.5
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5.5
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5.5
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Travis Kelce
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5.5
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6.5
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5.5
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George Kittle
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5.5
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5.5
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5.5
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Emmanuel Sanders
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3.5
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3.5
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3.5
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Deebo Samuel
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4.5
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4.5
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4.5
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Sammy Watkins
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3.5
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3.5
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3.5
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Kendrick Bourne
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2.5
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N/A
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N/A
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Mecole Hardman
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1.5
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1.5
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N/A
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Demarcus Robinson
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N/A
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1.5
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N/A
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Defense and special teams

Interceptions, tackles, and sacks don’t drive much Super Bowl betting handle at the books, but defensive player and special teams props will be more prominent for the 49ers’ top-rated defense when they face the explosive Chiefs offense in Super Bowl 54.

Kansas City safety Tyrann Mathieu is the favorite to get an interception at DraftKings followed by 49ers cornerback Richard Sherman (+400).

Chiefs super speedster WR Tyreek Hill is also the punt returner while rookie Mecole Hardman is one of the top kickoff returners and also had a 104-yard kickoff return touchdown for the Chiefs this season.

Kicker and Punter

Will the first score of the game be a field goal/safety/touchdown is a popular prop, and field goal/safety is an underdog. Kansas City kicker Harrison Butker is a slight favorite to have more kicking points than 49ers kicker Robbie Gould and each kicker’s over/under is 7.5 points shaded to the over at DraftKings and 8.5 slightly shaded to the under at FanDuel. Each team’s kicker also has odds on making the first and last score of the game.

Punter props include over/under longest (52.5) and shortest punts (36.5), and total punts in the game (6.5) along with yes/no on any punt result in a touchback.

Kicking Points
Most Kicking Points

Player props betting strategy

The Super Bowl is a special event and the entertainment value with hundreds of props is meant to provide added enjoyment and fun. When betting on props, understand that the lines and odds move quickly with significant action and early bets.

Try to focus more on prop value and less on prop type. You can find value in various player props by evaluating more closely the match-ups and stats of significance. The props with yes/no or over/under are more favorable while props like which team or player will score the first touchdown of the game favors the sportsbooks with more hidden vigorish built into the odds.

If you are betting ‘over’ you are more often better off betting those props early as lines and numbers will often rise with more bets on the ‘over’. However, the bookmakers will also shade some of the numbers towards the over, especially with the Chiefs’ explosive offense and players. The 49ers’ top-ranked defense offers plenty of resistance, yet more bettors will still tend to bet ‘over’ on player props.

San Francisco running back Raheem Mostert led the team in rushing and scored a touchdown in six straight games to close the regular season, but he did not score against the Vikings in the divisional playoff round when RB Tevin Coleman led the team in rushing and scored two touchdowns. However, Mostert busted out in the NFC Championship game with 220 rushing yards and four touchdowns, and he’ll be a popular player with goalline threat Coleman likely sidelined for the Super Bowl with a dislocated shoulder.

ALSO READ: Five Best Super Bowl Player Props For 49ers vs. Chiefs

Super Bowl MVP props

The Super Bowl MVP is voted on by a panel of 16 sports writers that account for 80% of the vote. The other 20% is by electric fan voting since 2001.

The quarterbacks are often the favorites and have won 29 of the 53 Super Bowl MVP awards. Yet QBs have won just three of the past six Super Bowl MVPs, and last year longshot wide receiver Julian Edelman won the MVP award at +3000 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Two defensive players were also Super Bowl MVPs in the last six years, so longshot odds can be paid out and the sportsbooks will raise the odds on position players and defenders as more money comes in on the favorites and often quarterbacks with Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes the MVP favorite (+110).

SB LIV MVP Winner

Game
02/02/2020
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Patrick Mahomes
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+115
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+110
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+100
Jimmy Garoppolo
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+225
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+280
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+210
Raheem Mostert
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+900
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+850
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+500
George Kittle
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+1600
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+1600
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+1600
Tyreek Hill
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+2000
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+2800
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+1600
Travis Kelce
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+2000
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+2100
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+1800
Nick Bosa
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+2000
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+2400
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+3000
Damien Williams
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+2500
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+3200
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+1800
Deebo Samuel
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+3300
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+4500
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+3500
Sammy Watkins
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+4500
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+7500
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+5000
Emmanuel Sanders
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+4500
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+4500
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+6600
Tevin Coleman
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+5000
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+5000
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+3300
Tyrann Mathieu
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+6000
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+5000
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+4000
Mecole Hardman
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+7000
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+7000
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+4000

MVP props strategy

Patrick Mahomes does not offer value but is the clear favorite to win the Super Bowl MVP award if the Chiefs win and Kansas City passes the ball as expected. However, WR Tyreek Hill will be top target and Hill is also a threat to make a big play or score a touchdown on special teams as a punt returner. Hill has more value if he can have a big game receiving and score multiple touchdowns which he did twice in the AFC Championship game.

TE Travis Kelce leads the team in receptions (13) and touchdowns (3) in the playoffs, and it’s worth noting that WR Sammy Watkins is a sneaky longshot as he leads the Chiefs in receiving yards (190) in the playoffs and has one touchdown. Mahomes was still the MVP of the AFC Championship, and voters will be swayed towards him if he has another productive game in the Super Bowl.

Meanwhile, the 49ers run the ball an average of more than 32 times per game, including 47 and 42 rushing attempts against the Vikings and Packers in the playoffs. San Francisco RB Raheem Mostert is a better option with much better odds to win the MVP for the 49ers and will be the focal point of the 49ers offense after rushing for 220 yards and four touchdowns in the NFC Championship game. RB Tevin Coleman will at the very least be hampered in the Super Bowl with a shoulder injury.

Coin toss props

The coin toss with a specially minted coin is a popular Super Bowl prop bet as bettors ride the luck of heads or tails looking to win their first bet just minutes before Super Bowl kickoff. Since the first Super Bowl, the coin toss has been heads 25 times and tails 28 times. The random luck of the coin toss has nothing to do with the game, but the winner of the coin toss has gone on to win the Super Bowl 24 times and lost 29 times. Only five times in 53 Super Bowls has the team that won the coin toss chosen to kick rather than receive.

Coin Toss Result

Game
02/02/2020
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Heads
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-103
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-103
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-104
Tails
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-103
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-103
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-104

Coin toss betting strategy

The coin toss is a fun and popular prop bet because it’s one of the very first bets to be decided and fans like to get lucky and have a winner before kickoff. There is no strategy, regardless of what your friends tell you as they raise a beer before the game or in victory of betting tails and having the donkey side shine on them.

The AFC gets to select the color of the jersey they will wear in even number years, which means the NFC gets to call the coin toss in Super Bowl 54. Locate the sportsbooks that offer -105 on the coin toss rather than -115, and count on the 49ers calling heads when they win the coin toss. We hope. Heads hit five straight years from 2009 through 2014 before tails turned up four straight years following. The past two Super Bowl coin tosses have gone heads then tails.

Gatorade shower color props

DraftKings Sportsbook had eight Gatorade color shower props in Super Bowl 53 ranging from clear/water (+200) to purple (+1000). The Patriots doused Bill Belichick in Blue Gatorade.

The electrolyte Gatorade bath of the winning coach is a popular prop, but there have been four times since Super Bowl 35 when a coach was not doused in Gatorade at all. In the last 10 Super Bowls, Orange has been the most popular Gatorade bath four times followed by blue and none twice and yellow and purple once. Clear was the Gatorade shower color four straight times from Super Bowl 39 through 42.

Gatorade Color

Game
02/02/2020
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Purple
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+110
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+125
Red
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+300
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+350
Yellow/Green
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+400
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+350
Orange
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+400
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+550
Clear/Water
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+800
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+750
None
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+900
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N/A
Blue
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+900
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+900

Gatorade shower betting strategy

There is no numbers narrative that tilts the scale in a bettors favor when it comes to color of Gatorade shower of the winning Super Bowl coach. But knowing this in advance of Super Bowl 54 might have you thirsting a little more about betting on the Gatorade shower bath.

Orange-flavored Gatorade is the flavor of choice of the 49ers. The Chiefs have used grape for their home games, so purple could be covering Andy Reid’s big red Chiefs jacket should he get his first Super Bowl victory. Take that for what it’s worth when looking at the odds.

There’s also a rumor that both teams could pay tribute to Kobe Bryant with the Gatorade bath, which sparked a rush of betting action on the color purple the week of the Super bowl.