The Super Bowl is the single most popular betting event in America. The wagering menu goes well beyond which team will win or lose, total points scored, or which team will cover the point spread.
Prop bets engage and entertain fans more than a week before the game and right through the Super Bowl. Proposition bets are games within the Super Bowl itself, and allow fans and bettors to wager on specific events other than the outcome of the game. That includes the opening coin toss or popular player props during the Super Bowl like the over/under quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, or how many touchdowns a player will score and which player will score the first touchdown of the game.
Those are just a few of the hundreds of various prop bets offered at different sportsbooks including FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM. This page will guide you through the prop opportunities and assist bettors in their decisions while learning more about prop bet strategies, odds payouts and how different prop bets work.
Super Bowl player props
The quarterback props draw the most interest and the most offerings. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes was the favorite to win the MVP (+110) in Super Bowl LIV, and he was also the most popular player to bet on in props. He went on to win the award in a Chiefs win, going 26-of-42 for 286 yards and a pair of TDs
Props on running backs are popular as bettors evaluate over/under yards props like total rushing yards, rushing attempts, and longest run. Running backs also have over/under props on total receiving yards, receiving attempts and total touchdowns scored.
Patriots wide receiver Julian Edelman was the Super Bowl 53 MVP at +3000 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. That made for more popular wide receivers MVP prop bets in Super Bowl 54.
Defense and special teams
Interceptions, tackles, and sacks don’t drive much Super Bowl betting handle at the books, but defensive player and special teams props were more prominent for the 49ers’ top-rated defense when they faced the explosive Chiefs offense in Super Bowl 54.
Kicker and Punter
Will the first score of the game be a field goal/safety/touchdown is a popular prop.
Player props betting strategy
The Super Bowl is a special event and the entertainment value with hundreds of props is meant to provide added enjoyment and fun. When betting on props, understand that the lines and odds move quickly with significant action and early bets.
Try to focus more on prop value and less on prop type. You can find value in various player props by evaluating more closely the matchups and stats of significance. The props with yes/no or over/under are more favorable while props like which team or player will score the first touchdown of the game favors the sportsbooks with more hidden vigorish built into the odds.
The Super Bowl MVP is voted on by a panel of 16 sports writers that account for 80% of the vote. The other 20% is by electric fan voting since 2001.
The quarterbacks are often the favorites and have won 30 of the 54 Super Bowl MVP awards. Yet QBs have won just four of the past seven Super Bowl MVPs. In 2018, longshot wide receiver Julian Edelman won the MVP award at +3000 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Two defensive players were also Super Bowl MVPs in the last seven years, so longshot odds can be paid out and the sportsbooks will raise the odds on position players and defenders as more money comes in on the favorites.
MVP props strategy
Patrick Mahomes did not offer value in 2020 but he was the clear favorite to win the Super Bowl MVP award if the Chiefs won and Kansas City passed the ball as expected.
The coin toss with a specially minted coin is a popular Super Bowl prop bet as bettors ride the luck of heads or tails looking to win their first bet just minutes before Super Bowl kickoff. Since the first Super Bowl, the coin toss has been heads 25 times and tails 28 times. The random luck of the coin toss has nothing to do with the game, but the winner of the coin toss has gone on to win the Super Bowl 24 times and lost 29 times. Only five times in 53 Super Bowls has the team that won the coin toss chosen to kick rather than receive.
Coin toss betting strategy
The coin toss is a fun and popular prop bet because it’s one of the very first bets to be decided and fans like to get lucky and have a winner before kickoff. There is no strategy, regardless of what your friends tell you as they raise a beer before the game or in victory of betting tails and having the donkey side shine on them.
The AFC gets to select the color of the jersey they will wear in even number years, which means the NFC gets to call the coin toss in Super Bowl 54. Locate the sportsbooks that offer -105 on the coin toss rather than -115, and count on the 49ers calling heads when they win the coin toss. We hope. Heads hit five straight years from 2009 through 2014 before tails turned up four straight years following. The past two Super Bowl coin tosses have gone heads then tails.
DraftKings Sportsbook had eight Gatorade color shower props in Super Bowl 53 ranging from clear/water (+200) to purple (+1000). The Patriots doused Bill Belichick in Blue Gatorade.
The electrolyte Gatorade bath of the winning coach is a popular prop, but there have been four times since Super Bowl 35 when a coach was not doused in Gatorade at all. In the last 10 Super Bowls, Orange has been the most popular Gatorade bath four times followed by blue and none twice and yellow and purple once. Clear was the Gatorade shower color four straight times from Super Bowl 39 through 42.
Gatorade shower betting strategy
There is no numbers narrative that tilts the scale in a bettors favor when it comes to color of Gatorade shower of the winning Super Bowl coach. But knowing this in advance of Super Bowl 54 might have you thirsting a little more about betting on the Gatorade shower bath.
Orange-flavored Gatorade is the flavor of choice of the 49ers. The Chiefs have used grape for their home games, so purple could be covering Andy Reid’s big red Chiefs jacket should he get his first Super Bowl victory. Take that for what it’s worth when looking at the odds.
There’s also a rumor that both teams could pay tribute to Kobe Bryant with the Gatorade bath, which sparked a rush of betting action on the color purple the week of the Super bowl.