Super Bowl Odds

Super Bowl odds
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We are inching closer to the start of NFL Training Camps now that we are in the month of July. Updated Super Bowl odds have the San Francisco 49ers as the favorites at +550. The defending champion Chiefs (+600) and the Baltimore Ravens (+950) are also in the mix atop NFL futures boards. Super Bowl LIX will be played on February 9, 2025 at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Super Bowl odds

Updated Super Bowl odds are below. Compare prices for all 32 NFL teams. The San Francisco 49ers opened as the betting favorites at +450.

Here are opening Super Bowl odds for next year for every team in the NFL.

San Francisco 49ers (+550)

With their roster loaded with talent and several key players, including Brock Purdy, entering their prime, the Niners are getting the shortest odds to win Super Bowl 59. They were listed as favorites throughout most of the past season and might have held on to win the title if not for a blocked extra point. 

Kansas City Chiefs (+700)

The Chiefs are an indisputable dynasty now that they’ve pulled off a repeat. They overcame a lackluster offensive season following the loss of OC Eric Bieniemy, who might return to the franchise next year to help Patrick Mahomes pursue the first three-peat in NFL history.  

Baltimore Ravens (+850)

Everything lined up for the Ravens to make their first Super Bowl since 2013, and they simply couldn’t execute in the AFC Championship against a seasoned Chiefs team. Baltimore is getting the second-shortest odds to win the next Super Bowl among AFC teams. 

Buffalo Bills (+1300)

Josh Allen will have one less target this coming season as the Bills traded WR Stefon Diggs to Houston in exchange for draft compensation. Jordan Poyer, Gabe Davis and Tre’Davious White also have new homes.

Cincinnati Bengals (+1200)

Injuries derailed the Bengals after Joe Burrow led the franchise to the AFC Championship and Super Bowl in his previous two seasons. The front office will have to do some financial gymnastics this offseason to resign Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and other key free agents.  

Detroit Lions (+1300)

The Lions rose to the challenge of expectations and nearly won the NFC Championship after winning their first division title in over 30 years. They could extend stud tackle Penei Sewell and Amon-Ra St. Brown, while pursuing some help in the defensive secondary this offseason. 

Houston Texans (+1500)

The Texans began the off-season with +2200 odds at Fanatics Sportsbook to win the Super Bowl. Those odds went to +1500 immediately following the news that the team would acquire WR Stefon Diggs from the Bills.

Philadelphia Eagles (+1600)

The Eagles opened with +2200 odds to win the Super Bowl this coming season but those odds shortened after news broke that they were set to sign Saquon Barkley in free agency. Veteran DC Vic Fangio will be charged with fixing the team’s defense as Philly loads up for another playoff push.

Dallas Cowboys (+1800)

Jerry Jones and his office decided to retain Mike McCarthy despite another rough playoff exit. Mike Zimmer is replacing Dan Quinn as defensive coordinator and the Cowboys should get top cornerback Trevon Diggs back from an ACL tear to start next season. 

Green Bay Packers (+1800)

Jordan Love showed tremendous growth throughout his first season as starter and led the Packers to a relatively stunning upset of the Cowboys before challenging the 49ers in the Divisional Round. Green Bay should have the second-shortest odds to challenge the Lions for the NFC North title.  

Miami Dolphins (+2000)

In each of the past two seasons under Mike McDaniel, the Dolphins have started incredibly hot before struggling down the stretch once opponents adjusted and their own injuries began to pile up. Their poor postseason performance in frigid temperatures at Kansas City is impacting their title odds heading into next season. 

New York Jets (+2200)

The expected return of Aaron Rodgers (Achilles) is drawing some action on a Jets team that has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Their offensive line was banged up throughout last season, and Breece Hall will be one more year removed from ACL surgery as he looks to support the veteran quarterback. 

LA Chargers (+2500)

Jim Harbaugh returns to the NFL with a few cohorts from his Michigan years coming along. Former star linebacker NaVorro Bowman will coach an extremely talented position group that has underachieved in recent seasons. 

Atlanta Falcons (+3000)

The Falcons made one of the splashiest moves of the NFL off-season by landing Kirk Cousins in free agency. Raheem Morris is the new head coach and Atlanta is poised to contend in the NFC South.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3000)

After a promising run to the Divisional Round in the 2022-23 season, the Jaguars and Trevor Lawrence regressed last season and missed out on the playoffs. Their young core could bounce back with expectations being heaped on divisional rival Houston. 

Cleveland Browns (+3500)

Kevin Stefanski earned deserved praise for steering the Browns to the playoffs while using four different starting quarterbacks and navigating the loss of workhorse Nick Chubb along with multiple star offensive linemen. Cleveland should be much healthier next season with Deshaun Watson set to return from a shoulder injury.

Los Angeles Rams (+3500)

When they head second-year back Kyren Williams active, the Rams offense looked like one of the best units in the league. Puka Nacua was also a breakout star and Cooper Kupp could have a better 2023-24 season after opening last year with a hamstring issue. 

Chicago Bears (+4000)

The Bears may have finally found an answer at the quarterback position as they have put all of their eggs in the Caleb Williams basket. Chicago also drafted WR Rome Odunze in the first round.

Indianapolis Colts (+5000)

Anthony Richardson showed flashes of his sky-high potential during his brief outings to start the season. Shane Steichen now has a full offseason to install a new offense with his young quarterback coming off shoulder surgery and Jonathan Taylor under contract. 

Minnesota Vikings (+5000)

Kirk Cousins took the money and ran to Atlanta and the Vikings began patching together their QB room by landing veteran Sam Darnold. Minnesota will likely target a quarterback in the NFL Draft as well.

Seattle Seahawks (+7000)

The Pete Carroll era is over and former Ravens defensive coordinator Mike MacDonald will start to refashion a Seattle defense that has shown plenty of holes in recent seasons. The Seahawks should be busy this offseason addressing needs on both sides of the ball.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+7500)

The Steelers will move forward with Russell Wilson under center. Pittsburgh’s Super Bowl odds did not move much when the news was learned that they were signing the veteran signal-caller.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7500)

Baker Mayfield kept the Bucs offense rolling following the retirement of Tom Brady. His excellent rapport with Mike Evans made the Tampa Bay front office decide to pay both talents.

Arizona Cardinals (+8000)

The Cardinals were in full rebuild mode last season, but showed full commitment to Kyler Murray when the former No. 1 overall pick returned from his ACL rehab halfway through the year. Defensive-minded coach Jonathan Gannon should advocate for some help on that side of the ball this offseason.  

New Orleans Saints (+8000)

After an inconsistent season on offense, the Saints hired 49ers OC Klint Kubiak to take over on that side of the ball. Derek Carr and Jameis Winston will look to impress the new offensive staff during training camp.

New York Giants (+8000)

The Giants got off to a rough start against a brutal early schedule after Brian Daboll brought the franchise to the playoffs in his first year at the helm. Daniel Jones, who was signed to a massive contract extension, could get moved to help the Giants move up from the No. 6 slot in the draft. 

Las Vegas Raiders (+8000)

His players went to the mat for him and Antonio Pierce was named head coach after a solid performance in an interim role last season. The Raiders are yet another team looking for a franchise quarterback after Aidan O’Connell showed limited potential in his rookie season. 

Denver Broncos (+10000)

Sean Payton and Vance Joseph saved their respective reputations by turning an historically bad defense into a solid unit over the course of this past season. The Broncos are reportedly considering retaining Russell Wilson after the veteran was benched for their final two games, but intense negotiations could provide a distraction if a decision is not soon reached. 

New England Patriots (+125000)

A new era begins in Foxborough with Jerod Mayo and D’Onta Hightower leading the coaching staff. With the third overall pick in this draft, the Patriots are a prime candidate to land a new quarterback. 

Tennessee Titans (+125000)

The Titans are poised for a rebuilding year with Derrick Henry likely to depart in free agency and Will Levis set for a steep learning curve in his first full season as a starter under new coach Brian Callahan. 

Washington Commanders (+125000)

Dan Quinn takes over for Ron Rivera after Washington’s defense was absolutely shredded during the second half of this past season. Defensive linemen should be a prime target for the Commanders in this upcoming draft after they traded Chase Young and Montez Sweat. 

Carolina Panthers (+200000)

The Panthers entered last season with one of the lowest projected win totals in football and met those expectations with a rough season, leading to the dismissal of yet another head coach. Fresh young offensive mind Dave Canales takes over this season to try and rekindle the magic he found with Baker Mayfield for Bryce Young.

Super Bowl 58 Odds

Super Bowl odds change frequently throughout the season. From NFL Week 1 odds to the Big Game, don’t be shocked to see your team’s odds bounce up and down a few times based on performance, key injuries, and other personnel changes.

Last season, Kansas City went on to win Super Bowl 58, but they didn’t always look like a champion team. They went 11-6 and lost four games at home. A big 17-10 win over the Ravens in the AFC Championship Game secured them a Super Bowl spot against the San Francisco 49ers.

The 49ers entered the season with Brock Purdy, aka Mr. Irrelevant from the 2022 NFL Draft, leading the helm. The team went 12-5, and Brock Purdy silenced the critics. He finished the season with 31 passing touchdowns and led a team that finished second in the NFL in yards per game.

Super Bowl 58 Odds Changing Over Time

Super Bowl betting sites

Betting on the Super Bowl has never been easier. Simply go to the NFL betting sites listed below and click on the “NFL” or “pro football” tab.

DraftKings

DraftKings Sportsbook is arguably the most well-known brand when betting on the Super Bowl. DraftKings has a bevy of NFL futures betting options including betting on the Super Bowl winner and team win totals.

FanDuel

FanDuel Sportsbook is another tried and true brand in the NFL betting space. The popular sportsbook has weekly odds boosts for NFL games and it is very well known for its easy-to-use interface. By simply clicking on the NFL tab you will get a plethora of futures options.

Caesars

Caesars Sportsbook is one of the top sports betting sites available in the US. The book lets you bet on every NFL game and has great futures options like Super Bowl betting and “To Make the Playoffs” odds.

BetMGM

BetMGM Sportsbook also has a wide variety of NFL futures betting options. Bettors at BetMGM can wager on “To win the AFC” and “To win the NFC” odds as well as “Coach of the Year” odds. Like all of the other sportsbooks listed here, you can – of course – also bet on the Super Bowl winner, throughout the year.

Super Bowl spread

Below we will examine how the Super Bowl spread changed in the days leading up to this past season’s Big Game.

The San Francisco 49ers opened as a -2.5 favorite over the Kansas City Chiefs following the NFC and AFC title games. Within 20 minutes of Super Bowl lines first being posted, the spread was knocked down to 49ers -1.5 at several sportsbooks. On Monday, February 5 the Super Bowl spread remained at 49ers -2 at most sportsbooks. Only FanDuel had a discrepancy as the book had San Francisco at -2.5. FanDuel also had a discrepancy on Saturday, February 10, just one day before the Super Bowl. The sportsbook had the Chiefs as just a +1.5 underdog while the rest of the books held firm at KC +2.5

DateTime49ers spreadChiefs spreadSuper Bowl moneyline
Sunday, January 2810:20 p.m. ET49ers (-2.5)Chiefs (+2.5)Chiefs (+102), 49ers (-120)
Monday, January 298:43 a.m. ET49ers (-1.5)Chiefs (+1.5)Chiefs (-104), 49ers (-112)
Tuesday, January 302:35 p.m. ET49ers (-2)Chiefs (+2)Chiefs (+110), 49ers (-130)
Friday, February 28:47 a.m. ET49ers (-2.5)Chiefs (+2.5)Chiefs (+110), 49ers (-130)
Tuesday, February 68:49 a.m. ET49ers (-2)Chiefs (+2)Chiefs (+110), 49ers (-130)
Thursday, February 88:41 a.m. ET49ers (-2)Chiefs (+2)Chiefs (+110), 49ers (-130)
Saturday, February 108:53 a.m. ET49ers (-2)Chiefs (+2)Chiefs (+100), 49ers (-120)

Sportsbooks posted lookahead lines for potential Super Bowl 58 matchups ahead of the Conference Championship games. Here is what the lookahead line looked like for Chiefs vs. 49ers.

  • San Francisco 49ers (-3) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (+3)

Super Bowl total

Our NFL betting experts at TheLines also examined how the Super Bowl 58 total changed in the days leading up to Big Game. The Super Bowl over under opened at 47.5 points. It briefly got to 48 points at BetRivers a couple of days after the Championship Round but it mostly held firm at 47.5 points. The Super Bowl total went Under but just a half a point this past season as the Chiefs beat the 49ers in overtime, 25-22.

DateTimeSuper Bowl total
Sunday, January 2810:20 p.m. ET47.5
Monday, January 298:40 a.m. ET47.5
Friday, February 28:43 a.m. ET47.5
Tuesday, February 68:49 a.m. ET47.5
Thursday, February 88:42 a.m. ET47.5

Can I bet on the Super Bowl in my state?

Check out the table below to see if you can legally bet on the Super Bowl in your state.

StateOnline Sports Betting?Retail Sports Betting?
ArizonaYesYes
ArkansasYesYes
Colorado YesYes
ConnecticutYesYes
DelawareNoYes
IllinoisYesYes
IndianaYesYes
IowaYesYes
KansasYesYes
Kentucky YesYes
LouisianaYesYes
MaineYesNo
MarylandYesYes
MassachusettsYesYes
MichiganYesYes
MississippiNoYes
MontanaNo Yes
NevadaYesYes
New HampshireYesYes
New JerseyYesYes
New MexicoNoYes
New YorkYesYes
OhioYesYes
OregonYesYes
PennsylvaniaYesYes
Rhode IslandYesYes
South DakotaNoYes
TennesseeYesNo
VermontYesNo
VirginiaYesYes
Washington, D.C.YesYes
West VirginiaYesYes
WisconsinNoYes
WyomingYesNo

How to bet on the Super Bowl

The most popular way to bet on the Super Bowl is by the spread, moneyline or total. Super Bowl props are also extremely popular to bet on. Most sportsbooks will have these as main options when you click on “NFL” or “Super Bowl” in the days leading up to the Big Game. Here is what BetMGM’s site looks like ahead of the Chiefs versus 49ers game.

Super Bowl odds Chiefs 49ers

When it’s not late January and early February the best way to make Super Bowl bets is through futures betting. Sportsbooks have odds for who will win the Super Bowl throughout the year. In fact, in late January and early February most books have odds to win the current season’s Super Bowl as well as the following year’s Big Game. In addition to futures markets, there are also game lines to bet on throughout the season. There are NFL Week 1 odds already available to wager on for the 2024 season.

Super Bowl odds appear in different ways at different sportsbooks. At most US sports betting outlets they will appear as such:

Super Bowl odds

  • 49ers (+550)
  • Ravens (+700)
  • Chiefs (+1000)
  • Cowboys (+1000)
  • Bills (+1200)
  • Eagles (+1400)

You may also see Super Bowl odds appear like this:

Super Bowl LVIII odds 

  • 49ers (11-2)
  • Ravens (7-1)
  • Chiefs (10-1)
  • Cowboys (10-1)
  • Bills (12-1)
  • Eagles (14-1)

Futures bets

Futures bets are a great way for diehard sports fans to get themselves a little more involved in the upcoming success of their favorite teams and/or players. They can also be a good way for the maligned hometown fan to shift focus a little bit and worry more about the success (or failure) of rival teams.

Fans can put their prediction skills to the test by looking at betting odds and placing wagers on things such as the Super Bowl LVII champion, division and conference winners, win totals for each team, and individual player awards such as MVP and NFL Offensive and Defensive Rookies of the Year.

Additionally, many books offer over/under lines on certain yardage or touchdown numbers for specific players or head-to-head options between two stars of a shared position. These are often referred to as “specials.”

Odds on certain futures will often be updated throughout the offseason as players change teams or suffer injuries. Once the season starts, odds can change wildly based on injuries, and fast or slow starts with bettors having to know the difference between pretenders and contenders.

There’s nothing like placing a wager on a longshot early in the offseason and watching the year play out in their, and your, favor. It can be ill-advised to bet on a favorite in the offseason with so much time for things to go against them.

All online sportsbooks come in slightly different layouts, but futures sections are typically in the same general area.

Simply click the “NFL” or “Pro Football” tab on your book of choice. The default screen is generally the Week 1 schedule with all 16 games listed, but in a dropdown menu or separate menu bar, there should be several other options, including futures and specials.

Peruse these sections at your whim, looking for the teams, players, or odds which matter most to you. A wager such as Super Bowl Champions or MVP will have money options listed, whether it be all 32 teams or 30-50 of the league’s biggest stars. Each option will have odds listed next to it.

Betting Super Bowl odds on the Buffalo Bills at +550 means a $100 wager returns $550. A safer bet such as the Bills to win the AFC East comes with diminished -240 odds.

Win totals and player specials typically come in the form of over/unders on a number set by the sportsbook. Each side of the bet will have odds for any result coming in above or below the line.

How Super Bowl odds Changed during The season

Here are how Super Bowl odds have changed throughout the course of the season. First are the Super Bowl futures from the start of the season.

TeamSuper Bowl odds: September 5Super Bowl odds: January 8Super Bowl odds: January 22Super Bowl odds: January 29
Kansas City Chiefs+600+950+350-104
San Francisco 49ers+900+215+145-112
Buffalo Bills+900+650Off the boardOff the board
Philadelphia Eagles+750+1400Off the boardOff the board
Cincinnati Bengals+1000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Dallas Cowboys+1500+750Off the boardOff the board
New York Jets+1600Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
LA Chargers+2200Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Miami Dolphins+2500+1600Off the boardOff the board
Baltimore Ravens+1800+330+210Off the board
Detroit Lions+2200+2200+700Off the board
Denver Broncos+4000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Jacksonville Jaguars+2800Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Green Bay Packers+5000+10000Off the boardOff the board
Cleveland Browns+3500+2800Off the boardOff the board
New Orleans Saints+3500Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
New York Giants+4000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Las Vegas Raiders+4500Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Minnesota Vikings+4000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Chicago Bears+5000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Pittsburgh Steelers+6000+12500Off the boardOff the board
Carolina Panthers+7000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
New England Patriots+6000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
LA Rams+7000+4500Off the boardOff the board
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+8000+8000Off the boardOff the board
Seattle Seahawks+3500Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Washington Commanders+8000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Atlanta Falcons+7000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Tennessee Titans+10000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Indianapolis Colts+12500Off the boardOff the boardOff the board
Houston Texans+20000+4500Off the boardOff the board
Arizona Cardinals +20000Off the boardOff the boardOff the board

Best Super Bowl bets

Super Bowl point spread

Betting the Super Bowl spread will be one of the most popular methods of placing a wager on Super Bowl 58. The point spread is the projected margin of victory set by oddsmakers for the favored team. If a bettor wagers on the favorite to “cover” the point spread, the favorite must not only emerge victorious, but must do so by more than the point spread for the bet to be a winner. If the favorite wins the game but does so by less than the spread – or if it loses the game altogether – the bettor will have lost his/her money wagered.

Super Bowl moneyline

A moneyline wager is a bet on which team will win the game outright, regardless of margin. A moneyline wager is essentially the same type of bet that has been placed among family and friends for decades. When placed with a sportsbook, a moneyline wager pays winning bets based on the odds attached to the wager.

For example, a moneyline wager on the favorite may carry odds of “-110”, meaning a bettor wins $100 for every $110 wagered. Conversely, a moneyline wager on the underdog may carry odds of “+112”, meaning a bettor wins $112 for every $100 bet.

Super Bowl total (over/under)

An over under bet is one that hinges on whether the bettor correctly bet the game’s combined final score would finish over or under the number projected by the sportsbook at the time of the wager. For example, say Super Bowl odds carry a projected total of 49 points. If one wagers the “under” on that figure and the game finishes with a 30-21 final score, the bet is a losing one, since the combined total of that score is 51 points. However, if the game instead finishes 24-21 – a combined score of 45 – then that bet would be a winner.

Super Bowl player prop bets

Player Prop bets are wagers that are based on whether the individual player that’s the subject of the bet falls short of or exceeds certain statistical benchmarks. Sportsbooks typically offer an extensive array of such bets for an event of the magnitude of the Super Bowl. Player prop bets are based on the statistics usually accrued by players at different positions.

A prop bet for a quarterback would be whether the player throws for less or more than 250 yards in the game, for example. For a running back, an example would be whether the player receivers less or more than 20 carries. As for a receiver, an available prop wager could be based on whether the player falls below or exceeds a certain number of receptions during the game.

Even non-skill position players such as kickers or even an entire defensive unit can be the subject of prop bets. A standard prop bet for a kicker could be based on whether the player will successfully hit more or less than a certain number of field goals, or whether they will miss an extra point. For a defense, prop bets could be based on whether that unit will give up a certain amount of points, or whether it will score a touchdown on an interception or fumble return.

Player prop bets are most often graded on full-game statistics, but there are also prop bets that are based on statistics accrued during a specific quarter or specific half of a game.

Exotic Super Bowl prop bets

Prop bets for major events such as a Super Bowl can also center on outcomes that aren’t based on traditional in-game statistics. For example, a prop bet can be placed on whether the game-opening coin toss comes up as heads or tails or which team will win the toss; the color of the Gatorade that is dumped on the winning team’s coach; and what the jersey number of one of the players who scores during the game might be.

There are even prop wagers based on the two flagship non-sports events associated with the game – the National Anthem and the halftime show. Bettors can place wagers on contingencies such as the length of time of the National Anthem, whether the performer will omit a word, whether a certain celebrity will make an unexpected appearance during the halftime festivities or how many songs will be performed by the halftime act.

Betting on Super Bowl MVP

The most prestigious individual Super Bowl-related award is that of Super Bowl MVP. While any player is technically eligible for the distinction, the best odds by and far lie with the quarterback position, which has taken home 32 of the 57 MVP awards in Super Bowl history. Six quarterbacks have won the MVP award on multiple occasions. The Patriots’ Tom Brady leads the way with five. The 49ers’ Joe Montana follows with three. Meanwhile, the Packers’ Bart Starr, the Steelers’ Terry Bradshaw, the Giants’ Eli Manning and the Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes have each garnered two apiece.

Even when a future Hall of Famer like Brady is on the winning side, it’s important to remember there is no such thing as a surefire bet. In the Patriots’ win over the Rams in February of 2019, receiver Julian Edelman earned MVP honors with a 10-reception, 141-yard tally.

Alternate Lines for the Super Bowl

Alternate lines are those offered by sportsbooks as secondary options to the official point spread that has been set. These lines feature an extensive array of different point spreads for both the favorite and underdog side of the game. These lines typically begin at points well above the number associated with each team in the official game line and range well into the other side of the bet, i.e. allowing for a heavy favorite to be bet as a heavy underdog and vice versa.

To cite an example from a recent NFL title game, the Chiefs – Bucs matchup, Kansas City entered the game as 3-point favorites at many sportsbooks. Alternate lines offered could have included a wagering opportunity on the Chiefs as seven-point favorites instead. Moreover, that bet would have included a very favorable “price” – the preset ratio at which the bet would pay out – due to the much lower probability of the Chiefs not only winning, but winning by more than a touchdown.

Super Bowl live betting

Live betting offers bettors the opportunity to place wagers on the point spread, moneyline or projected total of a game as odds on each fluctuate depending on the flow of a game. With a live betting option, a bettor doesn’t have to be locked into just the wagers they placed prior to the start of the game or at halftime. Rather, if, for example, the favored team unexpectedly falls behind by a two-touchdown margin in the first half, the bettor can hedge his original wager by investing in a new line with odds that reflect how the game is unfolding.

NFL teams by division

We have a detailed review of NFL teams classified by division, making it easy to find Super Bowl odds and futures by team.

Division
AFC EastBuffalo BillsMiami DolphinsNew England PatriotsNew York Jets
AFC NorthBaltimore RavensCincinnati BengalsCleveland BrownsPittsburgh Steelers
AFC SouthHouston TexansIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville JaguarsTennessee Titans
AFC WestDenver BroncosKansas City ChiefsLos Angeles ChargersLas Vegas Raiders
NFC EastDallas CowboysNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesWashington Commanders
NFC NorthChicago BearsDetroit LionsMinnesota VikingsGreen Bay Packers
NFC SouthAtlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersNew Orleans SaintsTampa Bay Bucs
NFC WestArizona CardinalsLos Angeles RamsSan Francisco 49ersSeattle Seahawks

Betting tips and strategies

Line shopping and getting the best number

With any purchase, shopping for the best price is advisable. Sports betting is no different. The “prices” associated with sports betting are the odds attached to each wager that determine the payout if the bet is a winner. Other sportsbook-to-sportsbook variables that are important for a better to also be conscious of include possible differences in the point spread and projected total posted for a particular game.

The original lines set by oddsmakers when a game is first posted can often be the “sharpest”, i.e. most difficult to consistently beat over time. Therefore, the biggest edge can often come from waiting things out and seeing what way the betting public’s wagers move a point spread as a game draws closer. Factors such as faulty “groupthink” can sometimes alter a team’s projected advantage to the extent it creates a tangible edge for a sharp bettor.

One caveat about the Super Bowl is that no one NFL game sees its line affected more by “sharp money.” Therefore, line movement for this particular game is often the byproduct of bets placed based on an effective process more than any other during the season.

Fading the public

The strategy of betting against the most popular side of a bet can pay off on occasion. It is not a strategy that’s necessarily advisable to be utilized with great frequency, however. There are certain instances when the general public’s infatuation with a certain team’s reputation (or in some cases, even certain superstar players such as Patrick Mahomes) can lead to a notable amount of money being wagered on that team. The line, in turn, could move to a point where a team is favored by an increasingly unrealistic amount of points.

By “fading the public” in such an instance, a bettor could exploit the situation and place a winning bet on the underdog to slide in under the spread. The same could hold true for a projected total that gets bet up to a certain level due to the offensive reputations of one or both of the teams.

Using advanced metrics

While many bettors likely put only a modest amount of what could accurately be termed “research” before placing a wager, there’s certainly no shortage of metrics available to be evaluated for those who wish to avail themselves. For team-based wagers such as moneylines, point spreads and projected totals, bettors can review the history of each team’s performance in each category.

However, where advanced metrics can be particularly helpful is when making individual- or team-based prop wagers. Statistical trends can certainly help a bettor make an informed decision on whether a certain receiver is likely to exceed a certain amount of catches versus a certain opponent’s defense, for example. The same could apply to countless other such prop wagers, such as a quarterback reaching the 300-yard threshold and a running back eclipsing the 100-yard mark, to cite just two other examples.

A good example from a recent Super Bowl was the matchup between the Chiefs and 49ers, involving San Francisco star tight end George Kittle. Say a sportsbook offered a prop wager on Kittle making over/under five catches. A bettor evaluating this wager might have gone with the Over when considering Kansas City faced the second-most tight end targets (141) in the league last season and tied for the third-most catches (96) allowed to the position. Kittle finished the game with four catches, just slightly under the number – a win for Under bettors.

Middling

“Middling” a game is defined as a bettor placing wagers on both sides of the contest. Football is considered the most popular sport to utilize this strategy. Because it involves placing more than one wager on a game, middling can be a strategy that’s rarely used by novice bettors. However, it ironically helps mitigate the risk involved by significantly upping the chances of one of the two bets being a winner.

Middling is typically made possible when there is notable line movement on a game within a week. Using an example from the Super Bowl LV Chiefs-Bucs matchup, hypothetically, say Kansas City opened up as a three-point favorite. A bettor initially places a wager on this line, but over the course of the two weeks, the line is bet up even further to a seven-point projected advantage for KC. That same bettor then places a bet on the Bucs +7, i.e. San Francisco to lose by six points or less or win outright.

In this example, the bettor is a winner on both bets if either:

  • The Chiefs win by four points or more.
  • The Bucs lose by six points or less or win outright.

Taking advantage of bonus bets and promotions

Legal, regulated sportsbooks typically offer a variety of enticing promotions, for both first-time and existing customers. Those offers are even more prominent for an event the magnitude of the Super Bowl. Bettors should therefore be on the lookout for such offers as soon as the participants for Super Bowl 59 are decided.

How much money is bet on the Super Bowl?

The Super Bowl is annually the most lucrative single-event sports betting opportunity. It is estimated that nearly $650 million was legally bet on last year’s Super Bowl.

At many sportsbooks, proposition bets constitute more than half of the wagers and amount placed for the Super Bowl. With the ongoing expansion of legalized, regulated sports wagering across the United States, the total “handle” – the cumulative amount wagered on the game – should continue to edge upward for several years based solely on the increase in legal betting opportunities for sports fans.

Super Bowl odds FAQ

Here is a Super Bowl odds FAQ section as we answer some of the most popular questions regarding betting on the Big Game.

What number Super Bowl is it this year?

The Super Bowl being played on February 11, 2024 in Las Vegas will be Super Bowl 58.

Who is favored to win the Super Bowl 2024?

The San Francisco 49ers are the favorites to win the 2024 Super Bowl over the Kansas City Chiefs.

What are the odds on the Super Bowl this year?

The Super Bowl 58 matchup is between the San Francisco 49ers (-118) and the Kansas City Chiefs (+100).

What is the spread for Super Bowl 58?

The Super Bowl 58 spread is the San Francisco 49ers (-1.5) and the Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5).

What is the moneyline for Super Bowl LVIII?

The Super Bowl 58 moneyline is the San Francisco 49ers (-118) and the Kansas City Chiefs (+100).

What is the over under for Super Bowl 58?

The Over/Under for Super Bowl 58 between the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs is 47.5.

What team has the best chance of winning Super Bowl 58?

The San Francisco 49ers are slight favorites to win the 2024 Super Bowl.

Where is the Super Bowl being held this year?

The location for Super Bowl 58 is Las Vegas, Nevada. The game will be played at Allegiant Stadium.

What does +1000 odds mean?

If you bet on a team to win the Super Bowl at +1000 on a $10 bet and the team won, you would win $100.