The NFL season is down to just two teams as the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs are set to clash on February 12 for the Lombardi Trophy. Super Bowl odds have been posted for the matchup with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs having opened as +2 underdogs. The initial total was 49.5 points. Below we will deliver betting information on the game as well as props for everything under the sun in Glendale, Arizona.
View the updated Super Bowl spread as well as the moneyline and total below.
Super Bowl odds
Check out live Super Bowl odds for the Chiefs versus Eagles below. Toggle between point spread, moneyline and total.
More Super Bowl LVII odds
Wagering on the spread, moneyline or total for Eagles versus Chiefs is just a sliver of the betting options available for Super Bowl LVII. TheLines has you covered for the Big Game betting buffet with props galore. Check out all of our Super Bowl 57 content below.
| Super Bowl LVII Odds | |
|---|---|
| Super Bowl MVP Odds | Gatorade Color Odds |
| Super Bowl Player Props | Coin Flip Odds |
| National Anthem odds | How Much Money Will Be Bet? |
TheLines will have video betting previews in the days leading up to the Chiefs versus Eagles showdown.
Eagles – Chiefs odds
The matchup is set for Super Bowl LVI with the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs set to face off at State Farm Stadium in Arizona. The game will be broadcast on FOX with kickoff scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET. on Feb 12. Eagles – Chiefs odds currently show Philly as the favorite over Kansas City . The current over under of the game is points.
Andy Reid is facing the franchise he coached from 1999-2012, and took to the Super Bowl in 2005. Reid is 1-2 in Super Bowls, having split his coaching appearances in the Big Game with the Chiefs in 2020 and 2021. The Chiefs defeated the Eagles, 42-30, in Philadelphia in Week 4 last season. Patrick Mahomes passed for 278 yards and 5 TDs, while Jalen Hurts passed for 387 yards and 2 TDs and led the Eagles with 47 rushing yards. Tyreek Hill (11-186-3TD), now in Miami, did the bulk of the damage through the air for KC.
Philly is coming off a dominant run through the NFC playoffs behind a strong ground game and star-studded defense. Their pass rush knocked Brock Purdy out of the NFC Championship game early and rendered him ineffective the rest of the way along with the rest of the Niners offense.
Kansas City survived close wins over the Jaguars and Bengals that were made tighter by injuries. Mahomes battled through a high-ankle sprain to deliver 330 passing yards and two TDs against the Bengals, but the Chiefs have a long list of key players that will be on the injury report in the days leading up to the Super Bowl.
Receivers Kadarius Toney, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and Mecole Hardman were all forced out of the AFC title game, along with LB William Gay and CB L’Jarius Sneed. Chiefs rookie RB Isiah Pacheco also seemed to suffer a lower leg injury late in the contest.
Here are the betting trends of note for the Eagles and Chiefs from recent seasons:
- The Eagles are 10-9 Against The Spread this season
- The Eagles are 2-0 ATS after a bye this season
- The Eagles are 10-5 ATS after a win this season
- The Eagles are 22-3 straight up when favored since 2021
- Eagles games against AFC opponents are 8-2 to the over since 2021
- The Chiefs are 10-0 straight up against NFC opponents since 2021
- The Chiefs are 4-1 in playoff games since 2021
- The Chiefs are 12-16-1 ATS after a win since 2021
- Chiefs games are 11-4 to the under after a win this season
Super Bowl 57 matchup
With Mahomes (ankle) clearly hobbled, and the Chiefs struggling to run the ball with any consistency, pass protection will be one of the most important aspects of this matchup. Kansas City’s offensive line ranked fifth in adjusted sack rate (4.8%) and Mahomes took the third-fewest sacks (26) during the regular season.
The Eagles ranked first in DVOA pass defense and first in adjusted sack rate (11.2%) this season with 70 total sacks including the playoffs. Their depth on the defensive line is unparalleled with midseason acquisitions Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh adding two more big bodies to throw at Mahomes. In Super Bowl LV, Suh and the Bucs defensive front put Mahomes under constant pressure to tip the scales of that contest.
Offensively, the Eagles should continue to establish the run. Jalen Hurts (shoulder) is also limited by injury, but he rushed for 39 yards and a TD in the NFC title game, including some hard-nosed runs on QB sneaks.
The Chiefs allowed 123 rushing YPG at a 5.3 YPC clip over their previous three playoff games before holding the Bengals to 71 rushing yards in the AFC Championship. However, they struggled to contain Joe Burrow in the pocket and Hurts is a far more dynamic runner.
Super Bowl spread
Here we will look at how the Super Bowl spread between the Eagles and Chiefs changes in the two weeks leading up to the Big Game. In the Super Bowl hypothetical lines posted by FanDuel Sportsbook ahead of both Conference Championship Games, the Chiefs were actually favored by -1 point against the Eagles.
Philadelphia’s outstanding showing against the 49ers, however, was the driving force in making them favorites when the Super Bowl line opened on Sunday night, January 29. It was somewhat surprising that the Eagles opened as -2 favorites and it nudged to Philly -2.5 later Sunday night considering that Patrick Mahomes showed against Cincinnati that he can perform at a high level despite his ankle injury. Mahomes will now have two full weeks to try and heal as well, which wasn’t the case heading into the AFC title game against the Bengals.
- Eagles vs. Chiefs Opening Line: Eagles -2 vs. Chiefs +2
- Super Bowl Line: Eagles -2.5 vs. Chiefs +2.5 (10:45 p.m. ET January 29)
- Eagles vs. Chiefs Line: Eagles -2 vs. Chiefs +2 (3:30 p.m. ET January 30)
Here we look at how much Super Bowl odds have changed throughout the NFL season.
Eagles Super Bowl odds:
The Eagles were getting +4000 odds to win the Super Bowl at the start of the offseason, and they shifted to +2200 after GM Howie Roseman made a slew of good offseason moves. When Jalen Hurts and company started rolling through the competition, the Eagles’ odds shortened quickly to +850, then +500, then eventually down to +400 on Dec. 19 when they held a 13-1 record. Hurts suffered a shoulder injury and they struggled without him, but still entered the playoffs at +500.
Chiefs Super Bowl odds:
The Chiefs opened in late January as the favorites to win it all with +700 odds at DraftKings. They shifted down to +750 in the offseason, then dropped to +1000 when Tyreek Hill was traded to the Dolphins. Patrick Mahomes and company quickly dispelled that notion by rolling to a 5-1 start. Their odds quickly shortened to +650 and moved up to +800 when they lost to the Bills. Then the Chiefs finished on a 10-1 run and clinched the No. 1 seed, slowly moving past the Bills as the favorites with +300 odds to win it all.
Here is a snapshot of how much each team’s Super Bowl odds changed month-to-month.
| Team | Super Bowl Odds: September 8 | Super Bowl Odds: October 11 | Super Bowl Odds: November 14 | Super Bowl Odds: December 19 | Super Bowl Odds: January 17 | Super Bowl Odds: January 23 | Super Bowl Odds: January 30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +1000 | +650 | +500 | +500 | +300 | +260 | +110 |
| Eagles | +2200 | +650 | +500 | +400 | +500 | +250 | -130 |
Can I bet on the Super Bowl in my state?
Check out the table below to see if you are legally able to bet on the Super Bowl in your state.
| State | Online Sports Betting? | Retail Sports Betting? | Best Online Sportsbooks Available |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Arkansas | Yes | Yes | N/A |
| Colorado | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Connecticut | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, FanDuel |
| Delaware | No | Yes | N/A |
| Illinois | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Indiana | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Iowa | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars |
| Kansas | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Louisiana | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Maryland | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Michigan | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Mississippi | No | Yes | N/A |
| Montana | No | Yes | N/A |
| Nevada | Yes | Yes | N/A |
| New Hampshire | Yes | Yes | DraftKings |
| New Jersey | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| New Mexico | No | Yes | N/A |
| New York | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Ohio | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Oregon | Yes | Yes | N/A |
| Pennsylvania | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Rhode Island | Yes | Yes | N/A |
| South Dakota | No | Yes | N/A |
| Tennessee | Yes | No | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Virginia | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Washington, D.C. | Yes | Yes | BetMGM, Caesars |
| West Virginia | Yes | Yes | DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel |
| Wisconsin | No | Yes | N/A |
| Wyoming | Yes | No | DraftKings, BetMGM, FanDuel |
How Super Bowl odds changed this season
Throughout this past year, TheLines kept track of odds to win Super Bowl 57 for all 32 NFL teams. The opening Super Bowl odds listed below are from January 22 of last year.
| Team | Opening Super Bowl Odds January 24, 2022 | Super Bowl Odds February 14 | Super Bowl odds April 14 | Super Bowl Odds July 6 | Super Bowl Odds September 8 | Super Bowl Odds September 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +700 | +750 | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 | +800 |
| Buffalo Bills | +800 | +750 | +650 | +600 | +550 | +500 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1000 | +2200 | +700 | +700 | +700 | +700 |
| LA Rams | +1100 | +1000 | +1000 | +1100 | +1200 | +1500 |
| Green Bay Packers | +1200 | +1600 | +1000 | +1000 | +1000 | +1300 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1200 | +1400 | +1700 | +1800 | +2200 | +2200 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 | +1600 | +1600 | +2200 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1400 | +1400 | +1800 | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1800 | +2000 | +2200 | +2200 | +2000 | +1700 |
| New England Patriots | +2000 | +2500 | +4000 | +5000 | +5000 | +7000 |
| Tennessee Titans | +2000 | +2200 | +2800 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 |
| LA Chargers | +2200 | +2500 | +1600 | +1400 | +1400 | +1300 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Denver Broncos | +2500 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 | +1800 | +1800 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +2800 | +2500 | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Cleveland Browns | +3000 | +3000 | +1700 | +2800 | +5000 | +4000 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +3500 | +3500 | +10000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| New Orleans Saints | +3500 | +3500 | +5000 | +5000 | +4000 | +3500 |
| Miami Dolphins | +4000 | +4000 | +3000 | +4000 | +4000 | +3000 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +4000 | +4000 | +4500 | +2500 | +2200 | +1600 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +5000 | +5000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +5000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +6500 | +9000 | +9000 | +7000 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +5000 | +3500 | +4000 | +5000 | +3500 | +2500 |
| Washington Commanders | +5000 | +5000 | +6500 | +7000 | +7000 | +6000 |
| Chicago Bears | +6500 | +8000 | +10000 | +15000 | +15000 | +10000 |
| New York Giants | +6500 | +8000 | +10000 | +13000 | +13000 | +13000 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +6500 | +5000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 |
| Carolina Panthers | +8000 | +5000 | +10000 | +13000 | +13000 | +15000 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +8000 | +10000 | +13000 | +13000 | +13000 | +13000 |
| Detroit Lions | +10000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +13000 |
| Houston Texans | +10000 | +15000 | +20000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 |
| New York Jets | +10000 | +15000 | +15000 | +13000 | +13000 | +20000 |
Here are Super Bowl odds for every NFL team from early in the regular season.
| Team | Super Bowl Odds September 19 | Super Bowl Odds September 26 | Super Bowl Odds October 3 | Super Bowl Odds October 11 | Super Bowl Odds October 17 | Super Bowl Odds October 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | +400 | +400 | +400 | +350 | +275 | +250 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +650 | +750 | +700 | +650 | +800 | +700 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +750 | +1000 | +1200 | +1000 | +900 | +1500 |
| Green Bay Packers | +1400 | +900 | +1000 | +1400 | +2000 | +3000 |
| LA Rams | +1400 | +1500 | +1400 | +2500 | +2500 | +3000 |
| LA Chargers | +1500 | +2000 | +2200 | +1800 | +1800 | +3000 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +1600 | +850 | +800 | +650 | +550 | +500 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 | +2000 | +1800 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +1800 | +2800 | +2500 | +2200 | +1800 | +1600 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +2000 | +1800 | +1600 | +1400 | +2500 | +1500 |
| Miami Dolphins | +2500 | +1800 | +2200 | +3500 | +4000 | +3000 |
| Denver Broncos | +2500 | +2500 | +3500 | +6000 | +6000 | +10000 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +3500 | +3500 | +2500 | +2200 | +2200 | +1800 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +3500 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 | +2800 | +2200 |
| New Orleans Saints | +4000 | +6000 | +8000 | +6000 | +8000 | +15000 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +4000 | +6000 | +5000 | +6000 | +6000 | +4000 |
| Tennessee Titans | +5000 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 | +6000 | +5000 |
| New England Patriots | +5000 | +7000 | +15000 | +7000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +5000 | +7000 | +7000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +5000 | +3500 | +6000 | +5500 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Cleveland Browns | +6000 | +5000 | +6000 | +6000 | +8000 | +10000 |
| New York Giants | +7000 | +7000 | +10000 | +8000 | +6000 | +4000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +8000 | +15000 | +15000 | +30000 | +20000 | +50000 |
| Washington Commanders | +8000 | +15000 | +20000 | +40000 | +50000 | +20000 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 | +6000 | +8000 | +10000 |
| Detroit Lions | +8000 | +8000 | +15000 | +15000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Chicago Bears | +10000 | +20000 | +50000 | +50000 | +100000 | +100000 |
| Carolina Panthers | +15000 | +10000 | +20000 | +50000 | +50000 | +25000 |
| New York Jets | +15000 | +25000 | +30000 | +15000 | +9000 | +8000 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +20000 | +50000 | +50000 | +50000 | +20000 | +10000 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +20000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Houston Texans | +25000 | +50000 | +100000 | +50000 | +100000 | +100000 |
And here are odds to win the Super Bowl from the middle weeks of the regular season.
| Team | Super Bowl Odds October 31 | Super Bowl Odds November 7 | Super Bowl Odds November 14 | Super Bowl Odds November 21 | Super Bowl Odds November 28 | Super Bowl Odds December 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | +225 | +250 | +400 | +450 | +450 | +350 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +500 | +500 | +500 | +550 | +600 | +500 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +650 | +500 | +500 | +450 | +400 | +500 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1300 | +1200 | +1000 | +700 | +650 | +1200 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1500 | +1200 | +1000 | +900 | +900 | +700 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1800 | +1600 | +1400 | +1200 | +1600 | +2000 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +1800 | +1800 | +1400 | +1800 | +1800 | +2000 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2200 | +2800 | +2800 | +2500 | +1800 | +1200 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +2500 | +2200 | +1800 | +1800 | +2000 | +2500 |
| LA Chargers | +3000 | +3000 | +3500 | +4000 | +3000 | +8000 |
| Miami Dolphins | +3500 | +2500 | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +2000 |
| LA Rams | +4000 | +5000 | +15000 | +20000 | +50000 | +80000 |
| Green Bay Packers | +5000 | +15000 | +8000 | +15000 | +30000 | +20000 |
| Tennessee Titans | +5000 | +4500 | +3000 | +3000 | +3500 | +4000 |
| New England Patriots | +7000 | +6000 | +6000 | +7000 | +10000 | +13000 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +7000 | +3500 | +5000 | +5000 | +6000 | +4000 |
| New York Giants | +7000 | +8000 | +6000 | +8000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| New Orleans Saints | +9000 | +8000 | +20000 | +15000 | +25000 | +15000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +10000 | +15000 | +15000 | +20000 | +80000 | +70000 |
| Cleveland Browns | +10000 | +13000 | +10000 | +20000 | +13000 | +13000 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +10000 | +15000 | +30000 | +30000 | +20000 | +20000 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +10000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Denver Broncos | +15000 | +13000 | +20000 | +50000 | +100000 | +100000 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +15000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +15000 | +30000 |
| New York Jets | +15000 | +7000 | +6000 | +10000 | +7000 | +10000 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +20000 | +40000 | +20000 | +30000 | +30000 | +100000 |
| Washington Commanders | +20000 | +25000 | +30000 | +10000 | +8000 | +10000 |
| Chicago Bears | +50000 | +50000 | +100000 | +100000 | +100000 | OTB |
| Carolina Panthers | +50000 | +100000 | +50000 | +80000 | +100000 | +25000 |
| Detroit Lions | +50000 | +50000 | +50000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +100000 | +100000 | +50000 | +50000 | +80000 | +25000 |
| Houston Texans | +100000 | +100000 | +100000 | +100000 | +100000 | OTB |
Finally, we have Super Bowl odds from late in the season.
| Team | Super Bowl Odds December 12 | Super Bowl Odds December 19 | Super Bowl Odds December 26 | Super Bowl Odds January 2 | Super Bowl Odds January 9 | Super Bowl Odds January 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | +350 | +300 | +350 | +350 | +400 | +350 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +450 | +400 | +500 | +550 | +550 | +500 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +500 | +500 | +500 | +450 | +350 | +300 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +800 | +1100 | +1000 | +1000 | +1200 | +800 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +900 | +650 | +600 | +600 | +550 | +450 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1100 | +850 | +850 | +800 | +850 | +800 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +2200 | +2800 | +2500 | +3000 | +3500 | OTB |
| Miami Dolphins | +2500 | +3500 | +4000 | +6000 | +6000 | OTB |
| Minnesota Vikings | +2500 | +2800 | +2500 | +3000 | +3500 | OTB |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +3000 | +3500 | +2500 | +2500 | +2800 | OTB |
| LA Chargers | +3500 | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2000 | OTB |
| Tennessee Titans | +6000 | +7000 | +20000 | +20000 | OTB | OTB |
| Seattle Seahawks | +7000 | +10000 | +20000 | +15000 | +7000 | OTB |
| Washington Commanders | +8000 | +13000 | +9000 | OTB | OTB | OTB |
| New York Jets | +10000 | +15000 | +25000 | OTB | OTB | OTB |
| Detroit Lions | +10000 | +6000 | +10000 | +15000 | OTB | OTB |
| New England Patriots | +13000 | +15000 | +25000 | +15000 | OTB | OTB |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +15000 | +8000 | +6000 | +5000 | +4000 | +3500 |
| New York Giants | +20000 | +10000 | +8000 | +6000 | +5500 | +2500 |
| Carolina Panthers | +20000 | +25000 | +20000 | OTB | OTB | OTB |
| Green Bay Packers | +25000 | +20000 | +5000 | +3500 | OTB | OTB |
| Cleveland Browns | +25000 | +20000 | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
| New Orleans Saints | +40000 | +20000 | +25000 | OTB | OTB | OTB |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +40000 | +25000 | +100000 | OTB | OTB | OTB |
| Atlanta Falcons | +50000 | +80000 | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +60000 | +40000 | +50000 | +20000 | OTB | OTB |
| Arizona Cardinals | +70000 | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
| LA Rams | +80000 | +100000 | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
| Indianapolis Colts | +80000 | +100000 | OTB | OTB | OTB | OTB |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
The most popular way to bet on the Super Bowl this time of year is by the spread, moneyline or total. Most sportsbooks will have these as main options when you click on “NFL” or “Super Bowl 57.” Here is what DraftKings Sportsbook’s site looks like ahead of the Chiefs versus Eagles game.
The best way to bet on the Super Bowl from is through futures bets. Sportsbooks have odds for who will win the Super Bowl throughout the year. In fact, in late January and early February most books have odds to win the current season’s Super Bowl as well as the following year’s Big Game.
Super Bowl odds appear in different ways at different sportsbooks. At most US sports betting outlets they will appear as such:
Super Bowl odds
- Bills (+550)
- Buccaneers (+700)
- Chiefs (+1000)
- Packers (+1000)
- Rams (+1200)
- Chargers (+1400)
You may also see Super Bowl odds appear like this:
Super Bowl 57 odds
- Bills (11-2)
- Buccaneers (7-1)
- Chiefs (10-1)
- Packers (10-1)
- Rams (12-1)
- Chargers (14-1)
Futures bets
Futures bets are a great way for diehard sports fans to get themselves a little more involved in the upcoming success of their favorite teams and/or players. They can also be a good way for the maligned hometown fan to shift focus a little bit and worry more about the success (or failure) of rival teams.
Fans can put their prediction skills to the test by placing wagers on things such as the Super Bowl LVII champion, division and conference winners, win totals for each team, and individual player awards such as MVP and NFL Offensive and Defensive Rookies of the Year.
Additionally, many books offer over/under lines on certain yardage or touchdown numbers for specific players or head-to-head options between two stars of a shared position. These are often referred to as “specials.”
Odds on certain futures will often be updated throughout the offseason as players change teams or suffer injuries. Once the season starts, odds can change wildly based on injuries, and fast or slow starts with bettors having to know the difference between pretenders and contenders.
There’s nothing like placing a wager on a longshot early in the offseason and watching the year play out in their, and your, favor. It can be ill-advised to bet on a favorite in the offseason with so much time for things to go against them.
All online sportsbooks come in slightly different layouts, but futures sections are typically in the same general area.
Simply click the “NFL” or “Pro Football” tab on your book of choice. The default screen is generally the Week 1 schedule with all 16 games listed, but in a dropdown menu or separate menu bar, there should be several other options, including futures and specials.
Peruse these sections at your whim, looking for the teams, players, or odds which matter most to you. A wager such as Super Bowl Champions or MVP will have money options listed, whether it be all 32 teams or 30-50 of the league’s biggest stars. Each option will have odds listed next to it.
Betting Super Bowl odds on the Buffalo Bills at +550 means a $100 wager returns $550. A safer bet such as the Bills to win the AFC East comes with diminished -240 odds.
Win totals and player specials typically come in the form of over/unders on a number set by the sportsbook. Each side of the bet will have odds for any result coming in above or below the line.
Best Super Bowl bets
Super Bowl point spread
Betting the Super Bowl spread will be one of the most popular methods of placing a wager on Super Bowl 57. The point spread is the projected margin of victory set by oddsmakers for the favored team. If a bettor wagers on the favorite to “cover” the point spread, the favorite must not only emerge victorious, but must do so by more than the point spread for the bet to be a winner. If the favorite wins the game but does so by less than the spread – or if it loses the game altogether – the bettor will have lost his/her money wagered.
Super Bowl moneyline
A moneyline wager is a bet on which team will win the game outright, regardless of margin. A moneyline wager is essentially the same type of bet that has been placed among family and friends for decades. When placed with a sportsbook, a moneyline wager pays winning bets based on the odds attached to the wager.
For example, a moneyline wager on the favorite may carry odds of “-110”, meaning a bettor wins $100 for every $110 wagered. Conversely, a moneyline wager on the underdog may carry odds of “+112”, meaning a bettor wins $112 for every $100 bet.
Super Bowl total (over/under)
An over under wager is one that hinges on whether the bettor correctly bet the game’s combined final score would finish over or under the number projected by the sportsbook at the time of the wager. For example, say Super Bowl odds carry a projected total of 49 points. If one wagers the “under” on that figure and the game finishes with a 30-21 final score, the bet is a losing one, since the combined total of that score is 51 points. However, if the game instead finishes 24-21 – a combined score of 45 – then that bet would be a winner.
Super Bowl player prop bets
Player Prop bets are wagers that are based on whether the individual player that’s the subject of the bet falls short of or exceeds certain statistical benchmarks. Sportsbooks typically offer an extensive array of such bets for an event of the magnitude of the Super Bowl. Player prop bets are based on the statistics usually accrued by players at different positions.
A prop bet for a quarterback would be whether the player throws for less or more than 250 yards in the game, for example. For a running back, an example would be whether the player receivers less or more than 20 carries. As for a receiver, an available prop wager could be based on whether the player falls below or exceeds a certain number of receptions during the game.
Even non-skill position players such as kickers or even an entire defensive unit can be the subject of prop bets. A standard prop bet for a kicker could be based on whether the player will successfully hit more or less than a certain number of field goals, or whether they will miss an extra point. For a defense, prop bets could be based on whether that unit will give up a certain amount of points, or whether it will score a touchdown on an interception or fumble return.
Player prop bets are most often graded on full-game statistics, but there are also prop bets that are based on statistics accrued during a specific quarter or specific half of a game.
Exotic Super Bowl prop bets
Prop bets for major events such as a Super Bowl can also center on outcomes that aren’t based on traditional in-game statistics. For example, a prop bet can be placed on whether the game-opening coin toss comes up as heads or tails or which team will win the toss; the color of the Gatorade that is dumped on the winning team’s coach; and what the jersey number of one of the players who scores during the game might be.
There are even prop wagers based on the two flagship non-sports events associated with the game – the National Anthem and the halftime show. Bettors can place wagers on contingencies such as the length of time of the National Anthem, whether the performer will omit a word, whether a certain celebrity will make an unexpected appearance during the halftime festivities or how many songs will be performed by the halftime act.
Betting on Super Bowl MVP
The most prestigious individual Super Bowl-related award is that of Super Bowl MVP. While any player is technically eligible for the distinction, the best odds by and far lie with the quarterback position, which has taken home 31 of the 56 MVP awards in Super Bowl history. Five quarterbacks have won the MVP award on multiple occasions. The Patriots’ Tom Brady leads the way with five. The 49ers’ Joe Montana follows with three. Meanwhile, the Packers’ Bart Starr, the Steelers’ Terry Bradshaw and the Giants’ Eli Manning each garnered two apiece.
Even when a future Hall of Famer like Brady is on the winning side, it’s important to remember there is no such thing as a surefire bet. In the Patriots’ win over the Rams in February of 2019, receiver Julian Edelman earned MVP honors with a 10-reception, 141-yard tally. Rams QB Matthew Stafford was one of the big favorites to win
Alternate Lines for the Super Bowl
Alternate lines are those offered by sportsbooks as secondary options to the official point spread that has been set. These lines feature an extensive array of different point spreads for both the favorite and underdog side of the game. These lines typically begin at points well above the number associated with each team in the official game line and range well into the other side of the bet, i.e. allowing for a heavy favorite to be bet as a heavy underdog and vice versa.
To cite an example from a recent NFL title game, the Chiefs – Bucs matchup, Kansas City entered the game as 3-point favorites at many sportsbooks. Alternate lines offered could have included a wagering opportunity on the Chiefs as seven-point favorites instead. Moreover, that bet would have included a very favorable “price” – the preset ratio at which the bet would pay out – due to the much lower probability of the Chiefs not only winning, but winning by more than a touchdown.
Super Bowl live betting
Live betting offers bettors the opportunity to place wagers on the point spread, moneyline or projected total of a game as odds on each fluctuate depending on the flow of a game. With a live betting option, a bettor doesn’t have to be locked into just the wagers they placed prior to the start of the game or at halftime. Rather, if, for example, the favored team unexpectedly falls behind by a two-touchdown margin in the first half, the bettor can hedge his original wager by investing in a new line with odds that reflect how the game is unfolding.
NFL teams by division
We have a detailed review of NFL teams classified by division, making it easy to find Super Bowl odds and futures by team.
Betting tips and strategies
Line shopping and getting the best number
With any purchase, shopping for the best price is advisable. Sports betting is no different. The “prices” associated with sports betting are the odds attached to each wager that determine the payout if the bet is a winner. Other sportsbook-to-sportsbook variables that are important for a better to also be conscious of include possible differences in the point spread and projected total posted for a particular game.
The original lines set by oddsmakers when a game is first posted can often be the “sharpest”, i.e. most difficult to consistently beat over time. Therefore, the biggest edge can often come from waiting things out and seeing what way the betting public’s wagers move a point spread as a game draws closer. Factors such as faulty “groupthink” can sometimes alter a team’s projected advantage to the extent it creates a tangible edge for a sharp bettor.
One caveat about the Super Bowl is that no one NFL game sees its line affected more by “sharp money.” Therefore, line movement for this particular game is often the byproduct of bets placed based on an effective process more than any other during the season.
Fading the public
The strategy of betting against the most popular side of a bet can pay off on occasion. It is not a strategy that’s necessarily advisable to be utilized with great frequency, however. There are certain instances when the general public’s infatuation with a certain team’s reputation (or in some cases, even certain superstar players such as Patrick Mahomes) can lead to a notable amount of money being wagered on that team. The line, in turn, could move to a point where a team is favored by an increasingly unrealistic amount of points.
By “fading the public” in such an instance, a bettor could exploit the situation and place a winning bet on the underdog to slide in under the spread. The same could hold true for a projected total that gets bet up to a certain level due to the offensive reputations of one or both of the teams.
Using advanced metrics
While many bettors likely put only a modest amount of what could accurately be termed “research” before placing a wager, there’s certainly no shortage of metrics available to be evaluated for those who wish to avail themselves. For team-based wagers such as moneylines, point spreads and projected totals, bettors can review the history of each team’s performance in each category.
However, where advanced metrics can be particularly helpful is when making individual- or team-based prop wagers. Statistical trends can certainly help a bettor make an informed decision on whether a certain receiver is likely to exceed a certain amount of catches versus a certain opponent’s defense, for example. The same could apply to countless other such prop wagers, such as a quarterback reaching the 300-yard threshold and a running back eclipsing the 100-yard mark, to cite just two other examples.
A good example from a recent Super Bowl was the matchup between the Chiefs and 49ers, involving San Francisco star tight end George Kittle. Say a sportsbook offered a prop wager on Kittle making over/under five catches. A bettor evaluating this wager might have gone with the Over when considering Kansas City faced the second-most tight end targets (141) in the league last season and tied for the third-most catches (96) allowed to the position. Kittle finished the game with four catches, just slightly under the number – a win for Under bettors.
Middling
“Middling” a game is defined as a bettor placing wagers on both sides of the contest. Football is considered the most popular sport to utilize this strategy. Because it involves placing more than one wager on a game, middling can be a strategy that’s rarely used by novice bettors. However, it ironically helps mitigate the risk involved by significantly upping the chances of one of the two bets being a winner.
Middling is typically made possible when there is notable line movement on a game within a week. Using an example from the Super Bowl LV Chiefs-Bucs matchup, hypothetically, say Kansas City opened up as a three-point favorite. A bettor initially places a wager on this line, but over the course of the two weeks, the line is bet up even further to a seven-point projected advantage for KC. That same bettor then places a bet on the Bucs +7, i.e. San Francisco to lose by six points or less or win outright.
In this example, the bettor is a winner on both bets if either:
- The Chiefs win by four points or more.
- The Bucs lose by six points or less or win outright.
Taking advantage of free bets and promotions
Legal, regulated sportsbooks typically offer a variety of enticing promotions, for both first-time and existing customers. Those offers are even more prominent for an event the magnitude of the Super Bowl. Bettors should therefore be on the lookout for such offers as soon as the participants for Super Bowl LIV are decided in this coming weekend’s conference championship games.
Examples of special offers and promotions include:
- Risk free bets up to a certain amount. This year, DraftKings Sportsbook offering first-time depositors up to $500 worth of risk-free bets on the game by matching a first bet up to $500. New accounts will also get $25 in free bets just for signing up — no deposit necessary!
- Special odds boosts on certain wagers.
- A variety of potential special offers involving prop bets, parlays, teasers and other bet types.
How much money is bet on the Super Bowl?
The Super Bowl is annually the most lucrative single-event sports betting opportunity. It is estimated that nearly $600 million was legally bet on last year’s Super Bowl between the Bengals and Rams.
At many sportsbooks, proposition bets constitute more than half of the wagers and amount placed for the Super Bowl. With the ongoing expansion of legalized, regulated sports wagering across the United States, the total “handle” – the cumulative amount wagered on the game – should continue to edge upward for several years based solely on the increase in legal betting opportunities for sports fans.