Stanley Cup Odds: Avalanche Versus Lightning

1

The Tampa Bay Lightning are very much alive in the 2022 Stanley Cup Final as a Game 6 will be played Sunday night. Tampa is a slight -105 underdog for Game 6, however, and is around +310 to win the series at most sportsbooks. View Game 6 lines and Stanley Cup Final series lines below.

Stanley Cup odds

Here are Stanley Cup odds for Game 6 from the top US sportsbooks.

Game 6: Colorado Avalanche at Tampa Bay Lightning, Sunday, 8 p.m. ET – ABC

Andrei Vasilevskiy stole Game 5, which highlights both how Tampa got outplayed by the Avalanche and how that might not matter back in Tampa. Vasilevskiy made 35 saves and a number of huge ones within that, but Tampa cannot let Colorado dictate pace and control the puck for long stretches of time again. Yes, they won, but Tampa is playing mediocre hockey and getting bailed out by goaltending advantages, which can only last so long.

The Avalanche got a truly horrible whistle in this game, with the Lightning getting two more power plays and not getting penalties called on key infractions. Between that and Darcy Kuemper giving up a very weak third goal, the Avalanche only losing by 1 is a minor miracle. If the whistle evens up, and/or Vasilevskiy comes back to earth for one game, the Avalanche should be able to close this out in Tampa. If not, this is coming back to Denver for Game 7.

Avalanche vs. Lightning series odds

Check out betting perspectives for both the Lightning and Avalanche, along with their odds to win the Stanley Cup.

Colorado Avalanche (): The Avs could have closed things out Friday but let that opportunity slip by as Ondrej Palat scored late in the third period.

Tampa Bay Lightning (): Tampa once again has the momentum in the 2022 Cup Final as the series returns to Florida.

Stanley Cup odds 2023: Next year futures

Here is a 2023 Stanley Cup futures report for all 32 teams in the NHL. Below you’ll find consistent updates on each team’s prospects to win the Cup next year:

2023 Stanley Cup odds: Favorites

Colorado Avalanche (+400): The Avalanche continues to be favored by the market to win in 2023 after spending the entire 2021-22 season as Cup favorites. Colorado is loaded with both depth and young stars. They’re also projected to have over $25 million in free cap space heading into the offseason.

Toronto Maple Leafs (+800): Despite yet again not making it past the first round of the playoffs, a trend that has now continued for over a decade, the Leafs are the second favorite to hoist the Cup in 2023. The Maple Leafs led the league in expected goal rate this season at 56.9%, so their spot at #2 on the odds board is warranted.

Toronto is projected to have a little under $8 million in cap space this offseason. They will return all of their core players in the upcoming year with the only pending free agent of note being goalie Jack Campbell.

Tampa Bay Lightning (+900): Until further notice, the Lightning will always be near the top of the odds board for Stanley Cup futures. While Tampa Bay has a few free agents of note including Nicholas Paul, Ondrej Palat, and Jan Ruuta, this is an organization renowned for its ability to reload year after year. It might be more difficult to reload this year, however, as Tampa Bay is currently projected to be nearly $2 million over the cap.

Florida Panthers (+1000): After winning the Presidents’ Trophy in the regular season, Florida barely made it past Washington in the first round and proceeded to get swept by the Lightning in Round 2. The Panthers will enter the offseason with just over $3 million in cap space and have a few notable pending free agents such as Claude Giroux, Mason Marchment, and Ben Chiarot.

How Florida handles its offseason will dictate whether the market pushes the Panthers into the triple digits.

2023 Stanley Cup odds: Contenders

Carolina Hurricanes (+1400): While the Hurricanes’ core of Aho, Teravainen, Staal, Svechnikov, and Slavin remain firmly intact, Carolina will have potentially 10 expiring contracts between restricted and unrestricted free agents this offseason. They’ll have close to $20 million in cap space to figure it all out, but this could be a very different Canes team come October.

Vegas Golden Knights (+1400): Despite missing the playoffs, the Golden Knights find themselves near the top of the board tied with Carolina at +1400. To be fair to Vegas, this past season was a mess of injuries and uncharacteristically terrible defense. With a full year from Jack Eichel, paired with a healthy Mark Stone, Max Pacioretty, and Alex Pietrangelo, the Golden Knights are a team with immense upside.

Pending free agents include key contributors Reilly Smith and Mattias Janmark, and Vegas currently projects to have the least amount of cap space at $2.65 million in the red. You’ll likely find a better number on the Golden Knights at some point during the season.

Calgary Flames (+1800): The Flames had an excellent 2021-22 season but couldn’t translate that success to the postseason. After getting dumped by the Oilers four games to one in Round 2, Calgary will regroup with a projected $26,925,000 in cap space. They’ll need to use some of that cash if they want to keep UFA Johnny Gaudreau, and also on restricted free agents Andrew Mangiapane and Matthew Tkachuk.

Minnesota Wild (+1800): The Wild were a fringe top-ten team throughout most of the regular season, and their exit in Round 1 to the St. Louis Blues was hardly surprising. The Wild were +2500 to win the Cup heading into last season and performed about how we’d expect, so this current price at +1800 looks too low.

The Wild have no significant pending UFAs but do have the all-important Kevin Fiala as a restricted free agent. Minnesota should have over $7 million to spend in cap space, but a big splash is unexpected.

Edmonton Oilers (+1800): After a strong playoff run to the Western Conference Finals, the Oilers should return nearly all of their key contributors and could be poised for another deep run next season. Edmonton still lacks a shutdown goalie, but should have over $7 million in cap space this offseason. Evander Kane is the only UFA of note, but Edmonton will also need to use cash on restricted free agents Jesse Puljujarvi and Kailer Yamamoto.

Pittsburgh Penguins (+2000): The Penguins were a fringe top-five team during the regular season but didn’t have enough juice to make an impact in the playoffs. This roster is only getting older and slower, so while at +2000 they are technically a contender, we shouldn’t expect Pittsburgh to be hoisting the Cup this time next year.

New York Rangers (+2000): On the other end of the spectrum is the team that eliminated Pittsburgh. The New York Rangers have youth on their side, as well as an elite goaltender. Unfortunately, they also have multiple key contributors as unrestricted free agents. These include Ryan Strome, Andrew Copp, and Frank Vatrano. New York should have nearly $12 million to play with in the offseason, but it looks like they’re going to need it if they want to keep this team together.

St. Louis Blues (+2200): The Blues are a fun team to watch and outperformed their xG metrics all season long before finally running into the buzzsaw that is the Colorado Avalanche. As currently constructed, and as talented on offense as the Blues are, this doesn’t look like a team ready to win a Stanley Cup. The Blues will have over $9 million in cap space this offseason, and they’d do well to add a defender or two with that money.

Boston Bruins (+2200): The Bruins are the opposite of the Blues: they play boring, low-scoring games with elite defense and hope to score three goals with their perfectly average offense. Boston will need to lock up UFA Patrice Bergeron if they want to keep the same level of offense. And if they want to win the Cup, the offense must be better than it was in 2021-22. Boston should have just over $2 million in cap space, so any improvement will have to come from within.

2023 Stanley Cup odds: Longshots

Washington Capitals (+3500): The Capitals squeaked into the playoffs as the second wild card in the east, and acquitted themselves nicely by taking Florida to a Game 7. Realistically though, Washington is not a Cup contender with their current roster. The Capitals will have nearly $9 mil in cap space to change that fact.

New York Islanders (+3500): The Islanders finished the regular season 35-37-10 with a -6 goal differential. As a result, head coach Barry Trotz was fired following the season. To replace him, NYI hired Trotz’s longtime assistant Lane Lambert. The Islanders will retain the core of their roster and should have just over $12 million to play with in the offseason.

Los Angeles Kings (+4500): The Kings were a surprise playoff contestant this year after a highly successful 44-27-11 regular season. And per advanced metrics such as xG and RAPM, LA was a legitimate top-ten team this season. With the 16th longest odds, there could be some value on LA as a darkhorse Cup pick. The Kings are projected to have over $19 million in cap space.

Vancouver Canucks (+4500): After firing head coach Travis Green and replacing him with Bruce Budreau in December, the Canucks went 35-15-10 and fell just five points short of a playoff berth. The Canucks have no serious free agent casualties but will have to allocate money to Brock Boeser as a restricted free agent. Vancouver should have over $10.5 million to work with this offseason.

Dallas Stars (+4500): Dallas earned the top wild card seed in the West and took Calgary to Game 7, earning their reputation as an above-average team that isn’t quite a Cup contender. Dallas has a couple of pending free agents including John Klingberg who is unlikely to return. The Stars will have over $19.5 mil to work with in the offseason and should be able to position themselves for another playoff berth.

Buffalo Sabres (+5000): Despite a -58 goal differential, the Sabres were able to scratch out 75 points this past season going 32-39-11. This team isn’t anywhere near Cup contention and the number here is a little ridiculous. What Buffalo has in their favor is over $35 million in projected cap space, so watch their offseason closely.

Detroit Red Wings (+5000): Another team that is at minimum two years away from Cup contention are the Detroit Red Wings. However, like the Sabres, the Red Wings will be loaded with over $35 million in free cap space this offseason.

Nashville Predators (+5500): The Predators had a successful regular season as far as their record went, going 45-30-7, despite a goal differential of +14. Filip Forsberg would be a massive loss to Nashville as an unrestricted free agent. But the Predators are projected to have over $21.5 million in cap space this offseason.

Winnipeg Jets (+6000): The Jets were about as average as it gets in the NHL this past season. Winnipeg had a -5 goal differential but was able to get their record above .500 at 39-32-11. That record was good for a respectable 89 points, and Winnipeg will have a little over $18 million in free cap space.

Philadelphia Flyers (+6000): At -87, the Flyers had the third-worst goal differential in the NHL last year. This team is nowhere near contention and will have just over $3 million in free cap space.

New Jersey Devils (+7500): The Devils had an incredibly forgettable regular season, going 27-46-9. Their -59 goal differential was one of the worst in the league. But advanced metrics pegged New Jersey closer to league average than a true bottom feeder. The Devils should have a bounce-back season but have little to zero chance of winning the Cup.

Anaheim Ducks (+7500): The Ducks were surprisingly competitive throughout the first half of the season. But ultimately their true talent caught up with them. Anaheim played to a -39 goal differential, finishing second to last in the poor Pacific Division. However, there is hope as the Ducks have the most projected cap space at over $39 million.

Ottawa Senators (+7500): Like the Ducks, the Senators also had a -39 goal differential this past season and finished second to last in the Atlantic Division. Ottawa doesn’t have quite as much cap space as Anaheim. But at $23.25 million, they have enough to get their roster moving in the right direction.

Chicago Blackhawks (+10000): The Blackhawks will have over $20 million in cap space to improve their roster. But it’s going to take multiple offseasons before this team is anywhere near Cup contention.

San Jose Sharks (+10000): The Sharks have a bad roster and it’s not going to get much better with just over $5 million in projected cap space. If for some reason you have the urge to bet San Jose to win the Stanley Cup, please resist it.

Seattle Kraken (+10000): If you can believe it, the market had this team priced as a favorite to go to the postseason heading into their inaugural season. Unfortunately for Seattle, their offense was even worse than expected. And the defense they hoped would carry the team never truly showed up. Seattle will have $22.88 million to upgrade their roster this offseason.

Columbus Blue Jackets ( +10000): Columbus outplayed expectations this season going 37-38-7, finishing just behind the Islanders in the Metropolitan. The Blue Jackets have no notable pending free agents and should have $21.5 million in free cap space.

Montreal Canadiens (+15000): The Canadiens had the second-worst goal differential in the league at -98 and you have no business betting on their Stanley Cup future odds.

Arizona Coyotes (+50000): No team allowed more goals per game this season at even strength than the Coyotes 3.36 GAA/60. Luckily, Arizona should have over $33 million in cap space to fix their roster. But it won’t be enough to get anywhere near Cup contention.

Best NHL betting sites

RANK
OPERATOR
BONUS
INFO
ACTION
2
$1,500
Risk Free Bet
Up to $1,500 Risk Free Bet
Weekly Odds Boosts
Use Promo Code: LEGAL15
5
$1,000
No Sweat First Bet
Up to $1,000 in Free Bets if You Lose Your First Bet
Available on iOS, Android & Desktop
To Claim: Click Bet Now
7
$100
Risk Free Bet
Exclusive Offer:
$100 Risk Free Bet
Use Promo Code: BETBONUS

Those betting using mobile options can simply navigate to the hockey section of the betting app to find Stanley Cup futures.

Bettors looking to place those Stanley Cup wagers may want to check out the odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. The site offers plenty of options in betting for the Stanley Cup winner as well as wagering on individual matchups.

DraftKings Sportsbook also offers a nice betting experience and all the futures action a hockey fan might want. For both sites, simply click on “hockey” and then the “futures” tab to make a selection. There are some great bonus offers at both FanDuel and DraftKings for those looking to get in on the action.

If sports betting isn’t legal in your state yet, daily fantasy sports is another great way to have some skin in the game. Sign up for an account at DraftKings and get $25 free.

How the odds are changing: NHL Futures

We look at how odds are changing from when they were initially posted on July 8, 2021 at DraftKings Sportsbook to Opening Night of the 2021-22 season and during the 2021-22 NHL campaign.

TeamJuly 8 Oct. 11Dec. 22Feb. 3 March 3April 21 May 2 May 26 June 6 June 14 Stanley Cup Odds
Colorado Avalanche+500+550+400+475+400+350+330+135-220-175
New York Rangers+2000+2400+2200+2200+2000+1600+1600+1300+380+150
Tampa Bay Lightning+600+650+400+700+500+1100+1100+260+500OTB
Edmonton Oilers+3000+2900+5000+4500+3000+2500+1800+650+5500OTB
Carolina Hurricanes+1200+2300+650+1300+1200+1200+1200+600OTBOTB
Calgary Flames+4000+4800+2100+3000+1400+900+700+2800OTBOTB
St. Louis Blues+3000+4100+5000+2500+2500+2200+2000+3000OTBOTB
Florida Panthers+2000+2200+750+700+800+550+550OTBOTBOTB
Toronto Maple Leafs+1400+1100+500+700+1000+900+900OTBOTBOTB
Boston Bruins+1000+1400+5000+1800+2200+1600+1600OTBOTBOTB
Minnesota Wild+2000+2700+1700+1700+1900+1600+1600OTBOTBOTB
Pittsburgh Penguins+2000+2100+2900+1500+1600+1800+1800OTBOTBOTB
Washington Capitals+2000+2400+1600+2500+3000+3000+3000OTBOTBOTB
Vegas Golden Knights+800+700+2000+800+1000+3500OTBOTBOTBOTB
Dallas Stars+4000+2800+17000+5000+5000+4000+4500OTBOTBOTB
Nashville Predators+4000+8500+7500+3000+4500+4500+4500OTBOTBOTB
LA Kings+6000+8500+28000+5500+6000+6000+6000OTBOTBOTB
Vancouver Canucks+4000+7000+28000+13000+20000+25000OTBOTBOTBOTB
Philadelphia Flyers +2500+2900+28000+30000+100000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
New York Islanders+1600+1500+28000+8000+10000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
Montreal Canadiens+2500+5000+28000+100000+100000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
Winnipeg Jets+4000+4100+28000+8000+7000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
Chicago Blackhawks+6000+4100+28000+30000+100000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
Arizona Coyotes+6000+10000+28000+100000+100000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
San Jose Sharks+10000+8500+28000+15000+40000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
Seattle Kraken+10000+4800+28000+50000+100000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
Ottawa Senators+10000+10000+28000+50000+100000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
New Jersey Devils+10000+4800+28000+30000+100000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
Columbus Blue Jackets+10000+15000+28000+30000+50000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
Anaheim Ducks+10000+10000+28000+6000+8000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
Detroit Red Wings+20000+10000+28000+15000+40000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB
Buffalo Sabres+20000+15000+28000+100000+100000OTBOTBOTBOTBOTB

How to bet the NHL

Betting on the NHL, and hockey, in general, is somewhat of a cross between baseball and basketball betting. It’s similar to basketball in that it can be slightly more predictable, particularly over the long term when looking at the proper statistics and trends. It leans toward baseball in following suit with generally modest odds and lines, and like with starting pitchers, the lines hinge on the projected starting goaltenders. The terms and bet types remain the same as in the other main sports.

  • Moneyline: The most straightforward and common bet type; pick the team to win the game, either in regulation, overtime, or a shootout. Odds will generally range from -250 to +250 but can extend closer to -500 or +500 in rare cases. A late goalie swap can drastically change the odds, and likelihood of a team winning.
  • Puck line/Spread: Much the same as run lines in baseball betting, the standard puck line is set at +/- 1.5 goals. The favorite must win by at least two goals; the underdog needs to stay within one in a loss or win outright. Any game going to overtime would be a win for the underdog regardless of the final outcome.
  • Total: The total, or Over/Under, is most commonly set at a base of 5.5, though as with all hockey odds, the projected goalie matchup is the biggest factor. A pair of backups starting against each other would usually boost the line to 6.5; a pair of elite goaltenders could drop the number to 4.5.
  • Alternate lines: The alternate betting lines are more valuable in hockey than nearly all the other main sports. Buying yourself a goal against either the spread or total can greatly raise your chances of earning at least a small profit. Boosting your odds to a puck line of -2.5 or a total of 7.5 can return a much great profit with the increased risk.
  • Props: Hockey prop bets range from which team will score first to whether or not certain players will score a goal in the game. Rather than backing an underdog on the puck line in what’s expected to be a tight game, look for whether or not the game will go to overtime. This will often offer more profitable odds.
  • Futures: Stanley Cup futures typically come out immediately after the prior NHL season wraps up in June. Odds are regularly adjusted from then until the trophy ids awarded. Team expectations, performance, and public betting action all influence the odds. Injuries, trades and winning or losing streaks also carry great weight. Be sure to incorporate advanced statistics and know which teams are over-performing. Others could enjoy a late-season surge in order to capitalize on long odds. Futures are also available for player awards and stats, and conference and division winners.

How do Stanley Cup futures odds work?

First, let’s define a futures wager. These are made on the result of certain events or contests to happen in the future.

Fans enjoy these wagers because they offer a chance to cheer for a team (or a few) in the long run. They also have a chance at a nice payout for a smaller wager. In this case, a bet on a certain team to survive the playoffs and win the Stanley Cup.

In the NHL, eight teams from each conference qualify for the playoffs. Making a futures wager on one of those 16 teams is easy, both in a live sportsbook and online.

A sportsbook in a casino will have futures odds usually listed on a large screen somewhere in the sportsbook. These should be easy to find, but the staff at the betting windows can help.

Let’s look at an example using a $100 futures wager:

  • FanDuel Sportsbook opened the Colorado Avalanche as the favorite to win the 2022 Stanley Cup at +650. A bettor putting $100 on Colorado would win $650 (and get the original $100 bet back) if the Avs were to pull it off.

Why do Stanley Cup odds change during a season or in the playoffs?

While a team might start off with certain odds, they can change at any time. The Dallas Stars may start as +2200 underdogs (with a $100 wager to win $2,200), but that can change later. Several factors could be in play to make those lines move.

  • Futures odds are a fluctuating market. A team may have a surprising Round 1 upset victory and played well. That may spur oddsmakers to move those lines down.
  • Odds are adjusted based on a team’s performance, injuries, opponents, and more during the season and postseason.
  • Sportsbooks also adjust odds based on betting patterns. A large amount bet on a certain team may force oddsmakers to lower odds to reduce exposure to potential losses should that team pay off.

NHL futures betting history

Winning the Stanley Cup isn’t easy. Teams must survive three playoff rounds before battling it out in the Stanley Cup Final. That comes after the 82-game regular season with plenty of skating, checking, and road trips.

The goal is to be one of the eight teams in the postseason from each conference and then see what happens. The Vegas Golden Knights made a historic run to the Cup Final as an expansion team in 2018. But who were some of the biggest long shots in history to win the Cup?

  • 2012 – The L.A. Kings entered the playoffs as the eighth seed and went 20-1 to take home their first title in 44 years. As the L.A. Times noted, the team caught fire “… thanks largely to their remarkable 10-1 road record, tying a league record for the most road wins in a postseason. And while winning 16 of 20 playoff games, the Kings outscored their opponents by an impressive 57-30.”
  • 1995 – The New Jersey Devils were the fifth seed when the playoffs started. They struggled during a regular season shortened to 48 games due to a lockout. The Red Wings looked like an unstoppable force and few in the media predicted Jersey would win. But the Devils completed an unlikely 4-0 sweep.
  • 1986 – With a team full of rookies including goalie Patrick Roy and forward Claude Lemieux, the Montreal Canadiens shocked the hockey world with a 4-1 finals victory over the Calgary Flames.

No doubt, bettors took home a nice score on these futures wagers.