Sunday Night Football Betting Preview

49ers at Broncos

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Each week of the 2022 NFL season, TheLines will provide a betting breakdown and analysis for the upcoming Sunday Night Football game. Here we look at the SNF betting odds and dish out a breakdown of the Week 3 matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and the Denver Broncos.

SNF betting odds and analysis

San Francisco 49ers () at Denver Broncos () – 8:20 p.m. ET

Week 3 of the 2022-23 NFL season includes an intriguing matchup on Sunday night between the San Francisco 49ers and host Denver Broncos, two franchises that met in Super Bowl 32 back in 1990. The game will be broadcast on NBC with kickoff scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET. The line opened with the visiting 49ers favored by 1 point with an implied total of 44.5 points. The current total is () points.

After averaging just 19.7 PPG with a 38.5% conversion rate on third down last season, the Broncos traded three players and six draft picks for Russell Wilson, and hired former Packers OC Nathaniel Hackett as head coach. Results have been quite underwhelming during a 1-1 start, with the Broncos producing just 16 PPG and failing to score on any red zone possessions thus far. The Broncos have committed the most penalties per play and took several delay of game penalties at crucial times during a narrow 16-9 win over Houston in their home opener.

The 49ers struggled offensively in their season opener due to sloppy conditions at Chicago and some inexperience at quarterback. They named Trey Lance as starter and kept Jimmy Garoppolo on the roster on a restructured deal, which proved to be a vital move since Lance suffered a season-ending ankle injury in Week 2. Garoppolo is 32-15 in his career with the 49ers with a Super Bowl appearance in 2020 and a trip to the NFC Championship last year on his resume.

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Both defenses have been elite with the Niners checking in at fourth in total DVOA and the Broncos ranking fifth in DVOA defense per Football Outsiders. The Broncos have allowed the third-fewest PPG (13) and total YPG (243.5), and haven’t allowed a red zone touchdown to either the Seahawks or Texans. The Niners have allowed the fewest total YPG (210) and lowest average YPC (2.6) against the Bears and Seahawks.

Denver could be without young stud CB Pat Surtain (shoulder) and WR Jerry Jeudy (ribs), who seemed to be Wilson’s favorite target in Week 1. The Broncos could get OL Billy Turner (knee) on the field for the first time this season and will hope that ILB Josey Jewell (calf) can also make his season debut.

The Niners will hope to get TE George Kittle (groin) in the lineup, but are thin at RB with Eli Mitchell (knee) on IR and rookie Tyrion Davis-Price (ankle) out a few weeks. They signed Marlon Mack to their practice squad and might use another rookie RB, Jordan Mason, to back up Jeff Wilson Jr.

  • The Broncos are 6-4 ATS as home underdogs since 2020
  • The Broncos went 4-1 SU against the NFC last season
  • Broncos games are 9-3 to the Under following a win since 2020
  • Broncos non-division games are 11-2 to the Under since 2021
  • 49ers road games are 9-4 to the Under since 2021
  • The 49ers went 10-3 SU in non-division games last season
  • The 49ers went 8-4 ATS on the road last season

SNF prop search tool

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49ers vs. Broncos betting news

San Francisco vs. Denver game matchup

Wilson has a ton of experience against the 49ers defense and Kyle Shanahan’s staff has plenty of experience game-planning against the former Seahawks QB. Wilson is 16-4 with a 100.2 passer rating in his career against San Francisco, including four straight wins. However, he was sacked 11 times in those wins and seems to have lost a step in terms of his ability to scramble away from pass rushers.

With Nick Bosa leading the way, the Niners have the third-highest adjusted sack rate (8%) through two weeks. San Francisco’s defensive line is allowing the second-fewest RB Yards per carry (3.57).

Denver’s offensive line has allowed an above-average adjusted sack rate (7.5%) but also produced the sixth-most RB Yards per carry (4.51) this season. Javonte Williams is averaging 5.4 YPC and leads all RBs in target share (23.2%) through two weeks.

The Niners have been rushing at the second-highest rate (59.9%) this season and are sticking with the run despite averaging a modest 4.5 YPC. Kittle’s status is a key factor to monitor since the 49ers are 24-12 with the physical TE in the lineup since 2019, and 3-8 over their last 11 games without him. They average 138.8 rushing YPG at 4.6 YPC with Kittle since 2019 and 104.9 rushing YPG at 3.9 YPC without him in that span.

Garoppolo (13-for-21, 154 yards, TD; rush TD) looked capable in relief of Lance last week and he posted better numbers (69% completion rate, 279.3 passing YPG, 101.4 rating) on the road last season. He played much of last season with an ankle injury and went through shoulder surgery this offseason, so his health remains a question mark going forward. Garoppolo should be highly motivated to earn the incentives in his contract and earn his next payday with SF or another team.

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How to watch Sunday Night Football

NBC will air all Sunday Night Football games.

The Week 18 TV spot on Jan. 8, 2023 will remain open until much later in the season, as potential playoff battles will factor into the league’s flexible scheduling decisions.

Games are also streamed all season on NBC’s website and the NBCSports mobile apps. Most packages on streaming services such as fuboTV, Hulu, PlayStation Vue and Sling TV include NBC.

SNF betting tips

How to bet Sunday Night Football like a sharp

The hype and hoopla circulating Sunday Night Football can distract casual bettors. Analysts, reporters and local news crews have a full week to pump out every different angle to the game and dig for stories. Players can add to the mirage on social media whether by talking up their own team or taking too many shots at the opposition.

Learn to separate the hype from fact and don’t fall victim to live-betting out of boredom if the game ends up being a dud. Look at the lines early in the week to assess the odds before the public money starts pouring in and either bet on the numbers set by the books or sit and wait to see if the line shifts in your favor. Reassess later in the week and bet against the public if the line shifts too heavily based on nothing more than favoritism.

The standalone nature of the game also draws in more bets. The entire nation is focused on one single game, which, more often than not, is no bigger than the dozen or so games that preceded it that week. Never bet just to add to the excitement (or create excitement around a lackluster matchup) if wanting long-term success. Wait to see if the favorite falls behind early and then is given a high number as a sudden in-game underdog. Carefully browse through lines on prop bets, looking at different sportsbooks and pick the best value. Shop around and pick on a book that seems out of touch with the others. Don’t scoff at an easier play on the point spread in search of a big payday with a heavy underdog winning outright.

Sunday Night Football edges

Primetime games often see home teams too heavily favored. Do the research, keep up to date with injury news and look at the matchup in a vacuum to see if the odds check out. Don’t look too much at individual players returning to their hometown, being reported as having “extra motivation” or who may be close to statistical milestones. Few wide receivers, for example, can seriously impact a game on their own, especially when facing a top corner who’s fully aware of their motivation in the one-on-one matchup.

Look for teams and especially head coaches who thrive under the spotlight and more importantly the additional preparation time. The Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers receive more primetime slots than the average team. This experience provides an edge in certain matchups against teams who may be overwhelmed from added media attention and interview requests.

Frequently Asked Questions

When does Sunday Night Football start?

Sunday Night Football kicks off every week from Sept. 11 through Jan. 8 at 8:20 p.m. Eastern. The ‘Football Night in America’ pregame show begins at 7 p.m. Eastern. NBC first started airing SNF for the 2006 season, taking over from ESPN.

How to stream Sunday Night Football?

Never miss a SNF game when you’re on the go with the NBCSports mobile apps. Cord-cutters can also use streaming services such as Hulu which includes NBC in most of its packages.

Who are the SNF announcers?

Booth announcers Mike Tirico (play-by-play) and Cris Collinsworth (color commentary) provide the broadcast each week. Field reporter Melissa Stark and rules expert Terry McAulay join in. Maria Taylor, Tony Dungy, Rodney Harrison, Chris Simms, Jac Collinsworth, Mike Florio and Matthew Berry make up the pregame show.

Who was the original Sunday Night Football broadcast crew?

Cris Collinsworth replaced legendary former head coach John Madden as the color commentator beside Michaels in 2009.

Who sings the Sunday Night Football theme song?

Country music star Carrie Underwood has been singing the SNF theme since 2013. She replaced fellow country star Faith Hill, who took over from pop star Pink after just one season in 2007. The current song is titled “Game On”. Previous versions were “Oh, Sunday Night” and “Waiting All Day For Sunday Night” in 2016.