Rose Bowl Odds: Michigan Vs. Alabama College Football Playoff Semifinal

rose bowl odds

The 2024 Rose Bowl features the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines (13-0) and No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) in a College Football Playoff semifinal. Michigan is a slim favorite, a number that moved early on in favor of Alabama (). Michigan notched a 26-0 shutout to win their third straight Big Ten Championship while Alabama held onto a 27-24 victory to win the SEC Championship. Below, we’ll look at Rose Bowl odds in the 2023-24 CFP.

The 2024 Rose Bowl game kicks off Jan. 1 at 5:00 p.m. ET/2:00 p.m. PT on ESPN. The Granddaddy of Them All takes place at Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, CA.

College Football Playoff: Rose Bowl odds

To place a bet on the Rose Bowl, click on the odds in the table below. Toggle between spread, moneyline, total, or a blended view using the dropdown menu. Check out odds for the College Football Bowl Season game from top sportsbooks. View game lines here.

Michigan Vs. Alabama

Through the noise of an NCAA investigation, Michigan continued to win games. They finished 13-0 on the season – six wins of which came without head coach Jim Harbaugh on the sidelines – and, for the first time in school history, are three-peat Big Ten champs. JJ McCarthy continues to build a resume worthy of being the first overall pick in the NFL Draft. But it continues to be the defense that wins ballgames. DB Mike Sainstrill was named Big Ten Championship MVP and the Wolverines never allowed more than 24 points to an opponent this year.

Alabama was named dead to rights after losing at home to Texas in Week 2. However, Nick Saban & Co. rebounded and are playing as good as anyone in the country. Jalen Milroe settled into his boom-or-bust offense, highlighted no better than with his now-infamous 4th & 31 throw to Isaiah Bond. Defensively, Alabama’s pass rush terrorizes opposing offensive lines and the run fit stifles even the most efficient run games.

Perhaps the most notable story from this matchup, though, is the outcry when Alabama was named the four seed over Florida State. Regardless, we get a classic matchup between the two winningest programs in college football history.

The Case For Michigan

Throughout all the turmoil and noise this season (at many points), Michigan secured a second-straight Big Ten Championship. McCarthy improved to be one of the nation’s top quarterbacks, highlighted by a phenomenal performance against Ohio State. Even against top-tier defenses like Iowa, Ohio State, and Penn State, Michigan’s offense continues to operate at a clip good enough to score. Defensively, Michigan doesn’t field the same pass rush it has the past few seasons. Regardless, the unit gets the job done, particularly with an excellent secondary.

A terrific performance in the SEC Championship Game effectively erased a near-loss to Auburn from the minds of the college football public. When playing at their best, Alabama is one of the best teams in the country. However, its floor is lower than any in the College Football Playoff field. Removed a flukey early-season result against USF, the Tide skirted by Arkansas and Texas A&M.

Michigan is the best defense metrically Alabama’s faced all season (including Georgia). The Dawgs managed to apply the brakes in the second half of the SEC Championship, but the damage had already been done.

The Case For Alabama

The Auburn game can easily be explained by looking at Alabama’s past performances at Jordan Hare – no matter what team walks in there, they play poorly. The Tide are 2-2 outright, but 0-4 against the spread on the Plains. They left no doubt against Tennessee, LSU, and Kentucky en route to upending the No. 1 team in the country in Georgia. Once Alabama settled into their boom-or-bust offense, they clicked.

Ohio State was able to throw the ball downfield on Michigan to Marvin Harrison Jr. In fact, Michigan was a poor Kyle McCord interception in the first half – and a 50/50 call in the end zone – away from losing to Ohio State outright. According to Bill Connelly’s Postgame Win Expectancy, the Wolverines were expected to win that game just 49% of the time.

Michigan’s top weakness on offense is pass protection and the offensive line is dealing with some injuries. Alabama’s biggest strength this season has been their pass rush behind Chris Baswell and Dallas Turner.

Notable Injuries

  • Michigan: Zak Zinter (All-American OL)
  • Alabama: Tim Smith (Star DL, left Week 13 and missed SEC Championship)

Rose Bowl: College Football Playoff Betting Picks

Rose Bowl betting

Last year, Penn State (-1.5) defeated Utah 35-21 in the final true standalone Rose Bowl game. This year, the Rose Bowl is folded into the CFP and, moving to the 12-team playoff format, will continue to be so. The Nittany Lions pulled off a rare cover as a favorite, but the game fell just shy of its 54.5-point total.

The biggest impact from last year’s Granddaddy of Them All was the injury to Utah’s Cam Rising, who did not play the following season due to a torn ACL.

Previous Years

2021 was the last time the Rose Bowl was a CFP semifinal game, which was between No. 1 Alabama and No. 4 Notre Dame. This was the first Rose Bowl to be held outside of Pasadena, instead played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Notre Dame was a 19.5-point underdog, which they covered, but lost the game 31-14.

Favorites have not covered four the last five Rose Bowl games, although Penn State covered the -1.5 last year. Overs are 4-2 in the last six games, with the only under being the aforementioned 2021 semifinal matchup.

Rose Bowl results and betting history

Below are historical results of the Rose Bowl. Games marked with an asterisk indicate a CFP semifinal matchup.

The first Rose Bowl was played in 1902 between Michigan and Stanford. The Wolverines won 49-0.

DateWinnerScoreLoserScore
January 1, 2024*#1 Michigan27#4 Alabama20
January 2, 2023#11 Penn State35#8 Utah21
January 1, 2022#6 Ohio State48#11 Utah45
January 1, 2021*#1 Alabama31#4 Notre Dame14
January 1, 2020#7 Oregon28#11 Wisconsin27
January 1, 2019#5 Ohio State28#9 Washington23
January 1, 2018*#3 Georgia54#2 Oklahoma48
January 2, 2017#9 USC52#5 Penn State49
January 1, 2016#5 Stanford45#6 Iowa16
January 1, 2015*#3 Oregon59#2 Florida State20
January 1, 2014#4 Michigan State24#5 Stanford20
January 1, 2013#8 Stanford20#23 Wisconsin14
January 2, 2012#6 Oregon45#9 Wisconsin38
January 1, 2011#3 TCU21#4 Wisconsin19
January 1, 2010#8 Ohio State26#7 Oregon17
January 1, 2009#5 USC38#6 Penn State24
January 1, 2008#6 USC49#13 Illinois17
January 1, 2007#8 USC32#3 Michigan18
January 4, 2006#2 Texas41#1 USC38
January 1, 2005#6 Texas38#13 Michigan37
January 1, 2004#1 USC28#4 Michigan14
January 1, 2003#8 Oklahoma34#7 Washington State14
January 3, 2002#1 Miami (FL)37#4 Nebraska14
January 1, 2001#4 Washington34#14 Purdue24
January 1, 2000#4 Wisconsin17#22 Stanford9
January 1, 1999#9 Wisconsin38#6 UCLA31
January 1, 1998#1 Michigan21#8 Washington State16
January 1, 1997#4 Ohio State20#2 Arizona State17
January 1, 1996#17 USC41#3 Northwestern32
January 2, 1995#2 Penn State38#12 Oregon20
January 1, 1994#9 Wisconsin21#14 UCLA16
January 1, 1993#7 Michigan38#9 Washington31
January 1, 1992#2 Washington34#4 Michigan14
January 1, 1991#8 Washington46#17 Iowa34
January 1, 1990#12 USC17#3 Michigan10
January 2, 1989#11 Michigan22#5 USC14
January 1, 1988#8 Michigan State20#16 USC17
January 1, 1987#7 Arizona State22#4 Michigan15
January 1, 1986#13 UCLA45#4 Iowa28
January 1, 1985#18 USC20#6 Ohio State17
January 2, 1984UCLA45#4 Illinois9
January 1, 1983#5 UCLA24#19 Michigan14
January 1, 1982#12 Washington28#13 Iowa0
January 1, 1981#5 Michigan23#16 Washington6
January 1, 1980#3 USC17#1 Ohio State16
January 1, 1979#3 USC17#5 Michigan10
January 2, 1978#13 Washington27#4 Michigan20
January 1, 1977#3 USC14#2 Michigan6
January 1, 1976#11 UCLA23#1 Ohio State10
January 1, 1975#5 USC18#3 Ohio State17
January 1, 1974#4 Ohio State42#7 USC21
January 1, 1973#1 USC42#3 Ohio State17
January 1, 1972#16 Stanford13#4 Michigan12
January 1, 1971#12 Stanford27#2 Ohio State17
January 1, 1970#5 USC10#7 Michigan3
January 1, 1969#1 Ohio State27#2 USC16
January 1, 1968#1 USC14#4 Indiana3
January 2, 1967#7 Purdue14USC13
January 1, 1966#5 UCLA14#1 Michigan State12
January 1, 1965#4 Michigan34#8 Oregon State7
January 1, 1964#3 Illinois17Washington7
January 1, 1963#1 USC42#2 Wisconsin37
January 1, 1962#6 Minnesota21#16 UCLA3
January 2, 1961#6 Washington17#1 Minnesota7
January 1, 1960#8 Washington44#6 Wisconsin8
January 1, 1959#2 Iowa38#16 California12
January 1, 1958#2 Ohio State10Oregon7
January 1, 1957#3 Iowa35#10 Oregon State19
January 2, 1956#2 Michigan State17#4 UCLA14
January 1, 1955#1 Ohio State20#17 USC7
January 1, 1954#3 Michigan State28#5 UCLA20
January 1, 1953#5 USC7#11 Wisconsin0
January 1, 1952#4 Illinois40#7 Stanford7
January 1, 1951#9 Michigan14#5 California6
January 2, 1950#6 Ohio State17#3 California14
January 1, 1949#7 Northwestern20#4 California14
January 1, 1948#2 Michigan49#8 USC0
January 1, 1947#5 Illinois45#4 UCLA14
January 1, 1946#2 Alabama34#11 USC14
January 1, 1945#7 USC25#12 Tennessee0
January 1, 1944USC29#12 Washington0
January 1, 1943#2 Georgia9#13 UCLA0
January 1, 1942#12 Oregon State20#2 Duke16
January 1, 1941#2 Stanford21#7 Nebraska13
January 1, 1940#3 USC14#2 Tennessee0
January 2, 1939#7 USC7#3 Duke3
January 1, 1938#2 California13#4 Alabama0
January 1, 1937#3 Pittsburgh21#5 Washington0
January 1, 1936Stanford7SMU0
January 1, 1935Alabama29Stanford13
January 1, 1934Columbia7Stanford0
January 2, 1933USC35Pittsburgh0
January 1, 1932USC21Tulane12
January 1, 1931Alabama24Washington State0
January 1, 1930USC47Pittsburgh14
January 1, 1929Georgia Tech8California7
January 2, 1928Stanford7Pittsburgh6
January 1, 1927Alabama7Stanford7
January 1, 1926Alabama20Washington19
January 1, 1925Notre Dame27Stanford10
January 1, 1924Navy14Washington14
January 1, 1923USC14Penn State3
January 2, 1922California0Washington & Jefferson0
January 1, 1921California28Ohio State0
January 1, 1920Harvard7Oregon6
January 1, 1919Great Lakes – US Navy17Mare Island – USMC0
January 1, 1918Mare Island – USMC19Camp Lewis – US Army7
January 1, 1917Oregon14Penn0
January 1, 1916Washington State14Brown0
January 1, 1902Michigan49Stanford0

FAQ

When is the 2024 Rose Bowl?

The 2024 Rose Bowl will be played on Jan.1 at 5:00 p.m. ET.

Where is the Rose Bowl?

The Rose Bowl is played annually at Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, Calif.

Who is playing in the 2024 Rose Bowl?

No. 1 Michigan faces No. 4 Michigan in the 2024 Rose Bowl – a College Football Playoff semifinal game. Alabama was a controversial choice over 13-0 Florida State, who was ranked outside the CFP field at No. 5.