PGA Championship Betting

Odds, Predictions, And How To Bet

The 2020 PGA Championship will be the first and only major on the 2019-20 PGA Tour schedule. Originally scheduled for May 14-17 as the year’s second major, it has been moved to Aug. 6-9, but will still be played at TPC Harding Park in San Francisco, Calif. The 2020 Open Championship was canceled, while the US Open (Sept. 17-20) and The Masters (Nov. 12-15) are now features of the 2020-21 season.

On this page, we’ll look at the betting odds for the 2020 PGA Championship and some names to know when looking to place a PGA Tour futures bet. We also preview some of the available betting options and discuss key golf betting strategies. We look back at some long-shot winners and highlight some historical accomplishments at the PGA Championship.

PGA Championship odds 2020

Ahead of last week’s WCG FedEx St. Jude Invitational, Bryson DeChambeau, Rory McIlroy or John Rahm were listed as the betting favorites, depending on which sportsbook you were looking at. But Justin Thomas surged atop the betting boards on Sunday following his win in Memphis and is the man to beat at the PGA Championship according to oddsmakers.

The full 2020 PGA Championship betting odds can be seen below. These futures odds will be updated every day until the start of the tournament.

PGA Championship Winner

Game
08/06/2020
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Justin Thomas
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+900
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+1100
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+1000
Brooks Koepka
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+1100
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+1100
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+1000
Bryson Dechambeau
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+1500
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+1600
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+1800
Rory McIlroy
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+1500
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+1400
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+1400
Jon Rahm
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+1500
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+1500
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+1500
Xander Schauffele
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+1800
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+1800
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+1800
Dustin Johnson
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+2300
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+2300
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+2200
Patrick Cantlay
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+2500
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+2700
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+2500
Daniel Berger
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+3000
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+3500
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+4000
Webb Simpson
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+3000
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+3000
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+2500
Collin Morikawa
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+3300
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+3000
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+3000
Tiger Woods
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+3300
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+3700
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+3500
Jason Day
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+3500
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+4000
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+4000
Matthew Fitzpatrick
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+3500
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+4000
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+4500
Rickie Fowler
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+3500
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+4000
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+4000
Hideki Matsuyama
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+4200
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+4000
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+4000
Tommy Fleetwood
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+5000
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+4000
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+4500
Patrick Reed
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+5000
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+4600
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+4500
Gary Woodland
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+5000
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+4500
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+5000
Abraham Ancer
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+5500
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+6500
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+6600
Tony Finau
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+5500
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+5000
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+5000
Tyrell Hatton
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+5500
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+5000
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+5000
Viktor Hovland
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+6000
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+4500
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+5000
Billy Horschel
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+6600
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+11000
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+9000
Sergio Garcia
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+7000
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+8500
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+8000
Scottie Scheffler
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+7000
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+8500
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+10000

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When and where to watch the PGA Championship

When: Thursday, Aug. 6 – Sunday, Aug. 9. Tee times will be announced Tuesday, Aug. 4.

Where: TPC Harding Park, San Francisco, Calif.

How to watch: Jim Nantz will again have the call for the PGA Championship for CBS. He’ll be joined by analysts Nick Faldo, Ian Baker-Finch, Trevor Immelman, and Gary McCord. ESPN took over the rights to early-round and weekend morning coverage from TNT. Supplemental afternoon coverage will be available on ESPN+.

Streaming options: Coverage will be simulcast on CBSSports.com and ESPN+.

How to bet the PGA Championship

Futures odds have been up for the 2020 PGA Championship on most major sportsbooks since the conclusion of the 2019 tournament. Those odds have been continuously updated to reflect the results of other tournaments, players being added to the field, and the performance of those in the field. The postponement of the event also had a major influence on the odds to reflect its new position on the schedule and new dates later in the summer.

Odds can range from +600 or +800 for a favorite like McIlroy to a longshot of +100000. A $10 futures bet on McIlroy to win would return a profit of just $60, while the same wager on 2003 champ Shaun Micheel would net a return of $10,000.

Closer to the event, the available betting options will expand greatly. Bettors will be able to wager on Top-5, Top-10, or Top-20 finishes at lower odds but with a greater chance of cashing multiple tickets. Outright favorites with already low odds can become too chalky on these bets, especially for a Top-20 result. There’s little sense in backing someone like McIlroy at -300 or -500 to finish inside the top 20, as a $10 bet fetches a profit of just $2.50 at -400.

Once tee times are released, First Round Leader (FRL) bets also become available. These can offer greater odds than a tournament favorite would have for the outright win. Odds to lead after the second and third rounds will be posted later.

Prop bets group pools of golfers by world ranking, nationality, or other shared traits. These odds depend on how competitive the specified pool is, and how heavily they’re skewed by an outright favorite.

Head-to-head or three-ball lines pit golfers against each other either for the tournament as a whole or round-by-round. These odds are typically the lowest and least profitable golf lines. They can range from -200 to +200 but are generally equal on both sides.

Straight Forecast bets are a good way to get action on heavy favorites in a tournament with a top-heavy field, but are less applicable for the PGA Championship and the other majors. It requires bettors to correctly predict both the first- and second-place finishers and doing so correctly can boost the odds as a parlay.

Each-Way betting hedges against your pick falling short of a win by finishing second, third or anywhere else within a specified range. It’s composed of two bets with one being for the win and the other for the placing.

PGA Championship betting strategy

The three key areas on which to focus when betting the PGA Championship or any PGA Tour tournament are Current Form, Course History, and Key Stats. There’s no relevant course history for TPC Harding Park, as the last events it hosted were the 2009 Presidents Cup and 2005 WGC-Cadillac Match Play, won by McIlroy.

As with any other sport, golfers can perform better or worse than usual within a select sample for any number of reasons. The difficulty lies in being able to tell when these streaks or slumps will begin or end. Experience on and familiarity with a course can also prove advantageous, while past struggles may contribute to a lack of confidence. Certain stats can be tied to success at a course over time.

There’s no exact science for how to weigh these three measures against each other, but all must be considered at each event. Certain shot shapes and player preference for putting on different types of grass are also factors to consider. What are the predominant hazard areas? Does the course favor longer or shorter hitters? What’s the most common length of an approach shot into the green?

Monitoring futures odds over the course of a year is an essential strategy to help get the best value. Take note of the opening odds for favorites and be ready to place a wager if they rise at any point due to a string of poor finishes or injury. Also be cautious of a long shot whose odds are dropping too low. A run of top 10s or a victory or two can take any value out of a bet on someone who remains unlikely to win a major tournament.

Relatedly, public betting action can have a strong effect on the betting odds for any golfer. The more bets placed on a golfer, the lower the books will set their odds to hedge against the potential payouts.

Be sure to hedge against the incredibly difficult task of routinely predicting outright winners. While hitting a winner only once in a while can still be profitable due to high odds of long shots, placing only these bets is sure to lose money more weeks than not. Pair your outright picks with a broader series of Top-5 or Top-10 finishes, head-to-head matchup bets, or props. These are where the consistent gains are made to ensure you can keep coming back week over week.

Biggest betting longshots in PGA Championship history

(Odds courtesy SportsOddsHistory.com)

Shaun Micheel (2003)

Not listed, was part of FIELD at +350

It’s fair to say those who had a hunch Micheel would win the 2003 PGA Championship weren’t justly rewarded. He ranked 169th in the world before his first and only career victory.

Rich Beem (2002)

Not listed, was part of FIELD at +1500

The same can be said for Beem and his 2002 victory, though the odds were at least slightly more profitable. He ranked 73rd in the world after winning The International just two weeks before. They were two of only three professional victories in his career.

David Toms (2001) +7000

Toms started off the run of long-shot winners in the early 2000s in the peak of Tiger vs. The Field. He ranked 20th in the world and worked his way up to eighth by the end of 2001.

Jimmy Walker (2016) +12500

Walker picked up his 10th career win at the 2016 PGA Championship but hasn’t won since. He ranked 48th in the world at the time.

Keegan Bradley (2011) +15000

Bradley took down the 2011 PGA Championship as a PGA Tour rookie at just 25 years old. He ranked 108th in the world after already winning the HP Byron Nelson Championship earlier in the year.

YE Yang (2009) +12500

Ranking 110th in the world, Yang overcame a two-shot deficit to knock off Tiger in his Sunday red. It wasn’t only a breakthrough for Yang, but it also finally showed some cracks in Woods’ long-uncrackable armor.

PGA Championship fun facts

Most wins: 5 – Jack Nicklaus (stroke play era), Walter Hagen (match play era)

Youngest winner: Gene Sarazen (20 years, five months, 22 days) in 1922 at Oakmont Country Club

Youngest qualifier: Gene Sarazen (19 years old) in 1921

Oldest winner: Julius Boros (48 years, 142 days) in 1968

Best comeback: John Mahaffey came back from seven strokes down entering the final round of the 1978 PGA Championship to win with a birdie on the second playoff hole over Tom Watson

Best career score relative to par: Tiger Woods (minus-46, 20 PGA Championships)

PGA Championship FAQ

Who qualifies for the PGA Championship?

The PGA Championship field is capped at 156 golfers each year. Those participants are selected on the following criteria:

  • Every former PGA Championship winner
  • Winners of the last five US Opens
  • Winners of the last five Masters
  • Winners of the last five Open Championships
  • Winners of the last three The Players Championships
  • Current Senior PGA Champion
  • The top 15 finishers from the previous PGA Championship, including ties
  • The top 20 finishers from the last PGA Professional Championship (tournament for golf club professionals and teachers who are members of the Professional Golfers’ Association)
  • The top 70 from the official money standings on the PGA Tour for the period beginning one week before the previous year’s PGA Championship and ending two weeks before the current year’s tournament
  • Members of the most recent Ryder Cup teams for the USA and Europe, so long as they’ve remained in the top 100 of the Official World Golf Ranking the week prior to the PGA Championship
  • Any tournament winner co-sponsored or approved by the PGA Tour since the previous year’s PGA Championship

The PGA of America can invite additional players not included in the above criteria.

Vacancies can be filled by those ranked below 70th in the money standings.

Where is the PGA Championship this year?

TPC Harding Park, San Francisco, Calif.

What are the highest and lowest scores to win the PGA Championship?

Since the PGA Championship was switched from a match play format to stroke play in 1958, four champions have won at 1-over par, but none since 1976. Jay Hebert (1960), Julius Boros (1968), Gary Player (1972) and Dave Stockton (1976) have all done so.

Has anyone ever won back-to-back PGA Championships?

Koepka became the sixth person to win back-to-back PGA Championships with his 2018 and 2019 victories. He joined Denny Shute, Leo Diegel, Gene Sarazen, Tiger Woods and Walter Hagen in accomplishing the feat.

Hagen holds the all-time record with four straight victories from 1924-1927. He shares the all-time record with Nicklaus with five wins.