PGA Championship Betting

Odds, Predictions, And How To Bet

The 2021 PGA Tour schedule is expected to return to normal following the COVID-19-altered 2020 campaign. As such, the PGA Championship will return to its spot as golf’s second major and will run May 20-23 at Kiawah Golf Resort in Kiawah Island, S.C. This page looks at the 2021 PGA Championship odds.

Collin Morikawa will defend his 2020 title at TPC Harding Park. Below, we’ll look at some favorites and longshots who’ll challenge him in 2021. We’ll also break down some golf betting options and strategies, and highlight some notable PGA Championship longshot winners and records.

PGA Championship odds 2021

Dustin Johnson, the 2020 Masters champion and top-ranked golfer in the Official World Golf Ranking, is the betting favorite for victory at Kiawah Golf Resort. He’s the favorite at each of 2021’s four scheduled majors coming out of a 2020 calendar year that saw him win three times following the Tour’s mid-June restart.

PGA Championship odds at the top US sportsbooks can be seen below and will be updated regularly leading up to the tournament in mid-May.

PGA Championship Winner

Game
05/20/2021
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Dustin Johnson
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+1000
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+850
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+900
Rory McIlroy
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+1000
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+1000
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+1200
Jon Rahm
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+1100
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+1200
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+1100
Bryson DeChambeau
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+1200
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+1600
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+1400
Justin Thomas
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+1200
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+1600
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+1400
Brooks Koepka
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+1600
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+1600
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+1800
Xander Schauffele
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+1600
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+2000
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+1600
Patrick Cantlay
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+2500
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+3300
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+3000
Hideki Matsuyama
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+2500
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+2700
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+2800
Collin Morikawa
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+2500
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+2700
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+2200
Webb Simpson
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+2500
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+3300
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+2800
Daniel Berger
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+3300
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+3300
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+3300
Tony Finau
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+3300
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+4100
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+3300
Tommy Fleetwood
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+3300
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+3300
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+3300
Tyrrell Hatton
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+3300
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+5000
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+2800
Patrick Reed
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+3300
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+4100
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+4000
Tiger Woods
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+3300
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+3300
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+2800
Jason Day
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+4000
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+4100
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+4000
Viktor Hovland
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+4000
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+4100
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+5000
Scottie Scheffler
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+4000
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+5000
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+5000
Adam Scott
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+4000
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+4100
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+4000
Matthew Wolff
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+4000
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+4200
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+4000
Justin Rose
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+4500
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+4100
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+4000
Sungjae Im
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+4500
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+6500
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+6600
Harris English
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+5000
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+5000
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+6600

To view full PGA Championship odds, go to DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook and BetMGM.

Golfers to watch at the 2021 PGA Championship

Dustin Johnson

Johnson was the most complete player in golf in the second half of 2020. He had four runner-up finishes to go with his three victories in 2020. He’s the only golfer priced below 10-1 after finishing second in each of the last two PGA Championships.

Rory McIlroy

McIlroy is the reigning champion at Kiawah Island, winning the 2012 PGA Championship by eight strokes at 13-under par; he entered that tournament third by the betting odds at +1800. He hasn’t won a major since the 2014 PGA Championship, but he had seven top-10 placings in 17 events last year, including the US Open and Masters.

Jon Rahm

Rahm swapped in-and-out of the No. 1 spot in the OWGR late in the summer, first grabbing the top ranking with victory at the Memorial Tournament. The 26-year-old is the top golfer by the odds to win the PGA Championship without a major win to date.

Brooks Koepka

Koepka finished the 2019 calendar at No. 1 in the OWGR, but he missed more cuts than he had top-10 finishes in 17 events in 2020. The four-time major winner never had odds higher than +1400 to win the 2020 PGA Championship after going back-to-back in 2018 and 2019.

Bryson DeChambeau

DeChambeau, 27, became the most talked about player in golf after emerging from the midseason suspension of play with a new look and increased swing speed. The overhaul of his game paid off with a commanding victory at the US Open, but he disappointed with a T-34 finish at Augusta National as a prohibitive betting favorite. His added distance will be a tremendous advantage at Kiawah’s lengthy Ocean Course of 7,800-plus yards.

Justin Thomas

Thomas has two victories in each of the last three calendar years following a five-win 2017 campaign. He entered Round 1 of the 2020 PGA Championship as the co-favorite with Koepka at +1000.

Xander Schauffele

Schauffele has nine top-10 finishes in 14 career major appearances. His T-10 result at the 2020 PGA Championship was a career-best finish in the tournament. He didn’t win in 2020, but he had the low 72-hole score at the Tour Championship, with Johnson winning the tournament and the FedEx Cup based on starting strokes.

Collin Morikawa

Morikawa’s odds to win the 2021 PGA Championship have risen after missing the cut in three of his final nine events of the year following his breakout major win. He entered last year’s tournament with odds of +3000.

Daniel Berger

Berger went into the pandemic-induced mid-season suspension with three straight top-10 finishes and came out of the break with victory at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He had three other top-10 showings against just one missed cut in 11 events. His game is well-rounded, and he excels with his irons.

Tyrrell Hatton

Long a star on the European Tour, Hatton broke through with his first PGA Tour win against a strong field at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in early March of 2020. He went on to win the Euro Tour’s BMW PGA Championship in October, but disappointingly missed the cut in all three PGA Tour majors. He finished tournament play in 2020 at No. 10 in the OWGR following a T-8 showing at the DP World Tour Championship in Dubai. His odds to win the PGA Championship are the highest of anyone in the top 15 of the OWGR.

Where to bet on the 2021 PGA Championship odds

When and where to watch the PGA Championship

When: Thursday, May 20 – Sunday, May 23. Tee times will be announced Tuesday, May 18.

Where: Kiawah Island Golf Resort – Ocean Course in Kiawah Island, S.C.

How to watch: Jim Nantz will again have the call for the PGA Championship for CBS. He’ll be joined by analysts Nick Faldo, Ian Baker-Finch, Trevor Immelman, and Gary McCord. ESPN took over the rights to early-round and weekend morning coverage from TNT. Supplemental afternoon coverage will be available on ESPN+.

Streaming options: Coverage will be simulcast on CBSSports.com and ESPN+.

How to bet the 2021 PGA Championship and other odds

Futures odds have been up for the 2021 PGA Championship on most major sportsbooks since the conclusion of the 2020 tournament. Those odds have been continuously updated to reflect the results of other tournaments, players being added to the field, and the performance of those in the field. The postponement of the event also had a major influence on the odds to reflect its new position on the schedule and new dates later in the summer.

Odds can range from Johnson’s +850 as the tournament favorite to a longshot of +100000. A $10 futures bet on Johnson to win would return a profit of just $85; the same wager on 2003 champ Shaun Micheel would net a return of $10,000.

Closer to the event, the available betting options will expand greatly. Bettors will be able to wager on Top-5, Top-10, or Top-20 finishes at lower odds but with a greater chance of cashing multiple tickets. Outright favorites with already low odds can become too chalky on these bets, especially for a Top-20 result. There’s little sense in backing someone like McIlroy at -300 or -500 to finish inside the top 20, as a $10 bet fetches a profit of just $2.50 at -400.

Once tee times are released, First Round Leader (FRL) bets also become available. These can offer greater odds than a tournament favorite would have for the outright win. Odds to lead after the second and third rounds will be posted later.

Prop bets group pools of golfers by world ranking, nationality, or other shared traits. These odds depend on how competitive the specified pool is, and how heavily they’re skewed by an outright favorite.

Head-to-head or three-ball lines pit golfers against each other either for the tournament as a whole or round-by-round. These odds are typically the lowest and least profitable golf lines. They can range from -200 to +200 but are generally equal on both sides.

Straight Forecast bets are a good way to get action on heavy favorites in a tournament with a top-heavy field, but are less applicable for the PGA Championship and the other majors. It requires bettors to correctly predict both the first- and second-place finishers and doing so correctly can boost the odds as a parlay.

Each-Way betting hedges against your pick falling short of a win by finishing second, third or anywhere else within a specified range. It’s composed of two bets with one being for the win and the other for the placing.

PGA Championship betting strategy

The three key areas on which to focus when betting the PGA Championship or any PGA Tour tournament are Current Form, Course History, and Key Stats. There’s little course history for Kiawah Island. It last hosted the 2012 PGA Championship, won by McIlroy.

As with any other sport, golfers can perform better or worse than usual within a select sample for any number of reasons. The difficulty lies in being able to tell when these streaks or slumps will begin or end. Experience on and familiarity with a course can also prove advantageous, while past struggles may contribute to a lack of confidence. Certain stats can be tied to success at a course over time.

There’s no exact science for how to weigh these three measures against each other, but all must be considered at each event. Certain shot shapes and player preference for putting on different types of grass are also factors to consider. What are the predominant hazard areas? Does the course favor longer or shorter hitters? What’s the most common length of an approach shot into the green?

Monitoring futures odds over the course of a year is an essential strategy to help get the best value. Take note of the opening odds for favorites and be ready to place a wager if they rise at any point due to a string of poor finishes or injury. Also be cautious of a long shot whose odds are dropping too low. A run of top 10s or a victory or two can take any value out of a bet on someone who remains unlikely to win a major tournament.

Relatedly, public betting action can have a strong effect on the betting odds for any golfer. The more bets placed on a golfer, the lower the books will set their odds to hedge against the potential payouts.

Be sure to hedge against the incredibly difficult task of routinely predicting outright winners. While hitting a winner only once in a while can still be profitable due to high odds of long shots, placing only these bets is sure to lose money more weeks than not. Pair your outright picks with a broader series of Top-5 or Top-10 finishes, head-to-head matchup bets, or props. These are where the consistent gains are made to ensure you can keep coming back week over week.

Biggest betting longshots in PGA Championship history

(Odds courtesy SportsOddsHistory.com)

Shaun Micheel (2003)

Not listed, was part of FIELD at +350

It’s fair to say those who had a hunch Micheel would win the 2003 PGA Championship weren’t justly rewarded. He ranked 169th in the world before his first and only career victory.

Rich Beem (2002)

Not listed, was part of FIELD at +1500

The same can be said for Beem and his 2002 victory, though the odds were at least slightly more profitable. He ranked 73rd in the world after winning The International just two weeks before. They were two of only three professional victories in his career.

David Toms (2001) +7000

Toms started off the run of long-shot winners in the early 2000s in the peak of Tiger vs. The Field. He ranked 20th in the world and worked his way up to eighth by the end of 2001.

Jimmy Walker (2016) +12500

Walker picked up his 10th career win at the 2016 PGA Championship but hasn’t won since. He ranked 48th in the world at the time.

Keegan Bradley (2011) +15000

Bradley took down the 2011 PGA Championship as a PGA Tour rookie at just 25 years old. He ranked 108th in the world after already winning the HP Byron Nelson Championship earlier in the year.

YE Yang (2009) +12500

Ranking 110th in the world, Yang overcame a two-shot deficit to knock off Tiger in his Sunday red. It wasn’t only a breakthrough for Yang, but it also finally showed some cracks in Woods’ long-uncrackable armor.

PGA Championship fun facts

Most wins: 5 – Jack Nicklaus (stroke play era), Walter Hagen (match play era)

Youngest winner: Gene Sarazen (20 years, five months, 22 days) in 1922 at Oakmont Country Club

Youngest qualifier: Gene Sarazen (19 years old) in 1921

Oldest winner: Julius Boros (48 years, 142 days) in 1968

Best comeback: John Mahaffey came back from seven strokes down entering the final round of the 1978 PGA Championship to win with a birdie on the second playoff hole over Tom Watson

Best career score relative to par: Tiger Woods (minus-46, 20 PGA Championships)

PGA Championship FAQ

Who qualifies for the PGA Championship?

The PGA Championship field is capped at 156 golfers each year. Those participants are selected on the following criteria:

  • Every former PGA Championship winner
  • The winners of the last five US Opens
  • Winners of the last five Masters
  • Winners of the last five Open Championships
  • The last three winners of The Players Championships
  • Current Senior PGA Champion
  • The top 15 finishers from the previous PGA Championship, including ties
  • Top 20 finishers from the last PGA Professional Championship (tournament for golf club professionals and teachers who are members of the Professional Golfers’ Association)
  • Top 70 from the official money standings on the PGA Tour for the period beginning one week before the previous year’s PGA Championship and ending two weeks before the current year’s tournament
  • Members of the most recent Ryder Cup teams for the USA and Europe, so long as they’ve remained in the top 100 of the Official World Golf Ranking the week prior to the PGA Championship
  • Any tournament winner co-sponsored or approved by the PGA Tour since the previous year’s PGA Championship

The PGA of America can invite additional players not included in the above criteria.

Vacancies can be filled by those ranked below 70th in the money standings.

Where is the PGA Championship this year?

Kiawah Island Golf Resort, Kiawah Island, S.C.

What are the highest and lowest scores to win the PGA Championship?

Since the PGA Championship was switched from a match play format to stroke play in 1958, four champions have won at 1-over par, but none since 1976. Jay Hebert (1960), Julius Boros (1968), Gary Player (1972) and Dave Stockton (1976) have all done so.

Has anyone ever won back-to-back PGA Championships?

Koepka became the sixth person to win back-to-back PGA Championships with his 2018 and 2019 victories. He joined Denny Shute, Leo Diegel, Gene Sarazen, Tiger Woods and Walter Hagen in accomplishing the feat.

Hagen holds the all-time record with four straight victories from 1924-1927. He shares the all-time record with Nicklaus with five wins.