PGA Championship Betting

Odds, Predictions, And How To Bet

PGA Championship odds

The 2021 PGA Tour schedule has returned to relative normalcy following a COVID-19-altered 2020 campaign. As such, the PGA Championship will return to its spot as golf’s second major and will run May 20-23 at Kiawah Golf Resort in Kiawah Island, South Carolina. This page looks at the 2021 PGA Championship odds.

Below, we’ll also look at some favorites and long shots, break down some golf betting options and strategies, and highlight some notable PGA Championship long shot winners and records.

PGA Championship odds 2021

Dustin Johnson, the top-ranked golfer in the Official World Golf Ranking, is the betting favorite for victory at Kiawah Golf Resort.

Hideki Matsuyama, who won the 2021 Masters in April, had the 10th lowest odds (+2500) at DraftKings Sportsbook to win the PGA Championship as of April 21. Collin Morikawa, the defending champ for this event, was +2200 at DK. Rory McIlroy, who won the PGA Championship the last time the event was held at Kiawah Island (2012), was +1400.

PGA Championship odds at the top US sportsbooks can be seen below and will be updated regularly leading up to the tournament in mid-May.

PGA Championship Winner

Game
05/20/2021
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Dustin Johnson
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+1000
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+1100
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+900
Jon Rahm
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+1100
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+1200
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+1100
Justin Thomas
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+1200
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+1200
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+1200
Bryson DeChambeau
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+1200
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+1400
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+1200
Rory McIlroy
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+1400
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+1600
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+1600
Jordan Spieth
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+1400
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+1400
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+2000
Xander Schauffele
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+1600
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+1600
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+1600
Brooks Koepka
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+1600
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+1600
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+1400
Collin Morikawa
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+2200
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+2700
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+3000
Hideki Matsuyama
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+2500
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+2700
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+2200
Daniel Berger
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+2800
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+2900
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+4000
Patrick Cantlay
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+2800
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+2700
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+2500
Webb Simpson
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+3000
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+3300
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+4000
Viktor Hovland
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+3000
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+3300
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+4000
Tony Finau
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+3300
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+4100
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+2800
Patrick Reed
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+3300
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+4100
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+3300
Tyrrell Hatton
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+3300
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+3300
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+3500
Tommy Fleetwood
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+3300
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+3700
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+5000
Cameron Smith
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+4000
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+4200
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+2800
Justin Rose
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+4000
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+4100
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+6600
Will Zalatoris
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+4000
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+3300
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+3300
Scottie Scheffler
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+4500
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+4100
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OTB
Matthew Fitzpatrick
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+5000
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+5000
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+5000
Adam Scott
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+5000
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+5000
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+6600
Louis Oosthuizen
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+5000
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+5000
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+6600
Lee Westwood
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+5000
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+10000
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+5000
Paul Casey
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+5000
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+4100
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+4000
Jason Day
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+5000
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+4100
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+5000
Sung-Jae Im
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+6000
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+6500
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+5000
Joaquin Niemann
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+6000
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+5000
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+6600
Sergio Garcia
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+6000
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+6500
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+5000

To view full PGA Championship odds, go to DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook and BetMGM.
Favorites

2021 PGA Championship futures report

Odds courtesy DraftKings Sportsbook (April 19)

Favorites

Dustin Johnson (+1000): The 2020 PGA Tour Player of the Year and FedEx Cup champion missed the cut in his defense of the Masters. It was his first missed cut in his last nine major appearances. He has back-to-back runner-up finishes and six career top-10 placings at the PGA Championship, and he tied for 48th at Kiawah Island in 2012.

Jon Rahm (+1100): Rahm is third in the OWGR but second by the odds to win in the latter third of May. The new father tied for fifth at the Masters for a fourth straight top-10 result at Augusta National but his history in the PGA Championship hasn’t been nearly as strong. He tied for fourth in 2018 but missed the cut in 2019 before a T-13 finish last summer.

Justin Thomas (+1200): The winner of the 2021 Players Championship seeks his second major title. He won the 2017 PGA Championship at Quail Hollow and tied for sixth in 2018 before sitting out the 2019 tournament and tying for 37th in 2020. He’s second in the OWGR.

Bryson DeChambeau (+1400): The new-look DeChambeau tied for fourth at TPC Harding Park last summer ahead of his six-stroke victory at the US Open. His added distance is well-suited to the lengthy Kiawah Ocean Course.

Rory McIlroy (+1400): Having slipped to No. 13 in the OWGR, McIlroy’s odds have risen just slightly from +1200 to begin the year. He missed the cut at both The Players and the Masters but bookmakers continue to show respect to his eight-stroke victory nine years ago at this venue.

Jordan Spieth (+1400): The former world No. 1 continued his 2021 resurgence with a T-3 finish at the Masters on the heels of victory at the Valero Texas Open. He’s still struggling slightly off-the-tee, but his irons and short game have been dialed in since early February. He opened at +6000 to win his first PGA Championship and complete the career grand slam.

Brooks Koepka (+1600): Knee surgery and a resulting missed cut at the Masters have boosted the odds for the winner of two of the last three PGA Championships. He tied for 29th last summer with a dreadful Sunday performance.

Xander Schauffele (+1600): A T-3 finish at the Masters was marred by a Sunday triple bogey on the par 3 16th but was still his fourth top-10 placing in his first eight events of the year. His T-10 showing at Harding Park was his best career finish at the PGA Championship.

Long shots

Justin Rose (+4500): His seventh-place finish at the Masters was his first top-10 result on the PGA Tour since a ninth-place finish at last summer’s PGA Championship. He held the 18- and 36-hole leads after sitting for four weeks following a withdrawal from the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He tied for third at Kiawah Island in 2012.

Lee Westwood (+8000): Will be 47 years old when teeing it up at the Ocean Course. He soared up the world rankings and the odds board with back-to-back runner-up finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players but cooled off with a missed cut at the Masters. He missed the cut here in 2012 but it’ll be an easier test of his putter and short game than Augusta National.

Marc Leishman (+8000): The veteran Aussie tied for 27th at the Ocean Course in 2012. His irons have been in great form this year and helped secure a T-5 finish at the Masters.

Brian Harman (+10000): The 34-year-old lefty has been climbing the OWGR all year and had three top-10 finishes in his first nine events of 2021. His T-12 at the Masters was his best major finish since a T-2 at the 2017 US Open. He made the cut in three of his last four appearances at the PGA Championship.

Russell Henley (+15000): Fourth on Tour in SG: Approach among those with at least 30 measured rounds played. He had six top-10 finishes in 20 events in 2020 and has a top 2021 result of T-3 at The Honda Classic.

Who’s coming in hot?

Hideki Matsuyama (+2500): The Masters champion saw his odds drop accordingly for each of 2021’s remaining three majors. He ended a 3.5-year winless doubt, but he won twice in 2016 and twice in 2017. He had back-to-back top-five finishes at the 2016 and 2017 PGA Championship.

Will Zalatoris (+2800): Zalatoris’ runner-up finish at the Masters was his third top-10 result in his first nine events of 2021. He tied for sixth at the 2020 US Open and will play his first PGA Championship. He’s third among qualified golfers in SG: Approach.

Cameron Smith (+3300): The 27-year-old Aussie still has just one PGA Tour win, but he has rung up three straight top-10 showings at the Masters. He made the cut in each of his last three PGA Championships and his par-5 scoring will be a major advantage at Kiawah.

Tony Finau (+3300): Finau collected three runner-up results and two other top-10 finishes through his first 10 events of 2021, including a T-10 at the Masters. His odds to win remain inflated because of his lone PGA Tour victory to date, but he’s a regular contender with nine top-10 placings in 19 career major appearances.

Corey Conners (+6600): He followed a T-8 finish at the Masters with a T-4 at the RBC Heritage for his fourth top-10 showing in a six-event stretch. He’s struggling with the short game but his putting has been much improved from 2020.

Where to bet on the 2021 PGA Championship odds

When and where to watch the PGA Championship

When: Thursday, May 20 – Sunday, May 23. Tee times will be announced Tuesday, May 18.

Where: Kiawah Island Golf Resort – Ocean Course in Kiawah Island, S.C.

How to watch: Jim Nantz will again have the call for the PGA Championship for CBS. He’ll be joined by analysts Nick Faldo, Ian Baker-Finch, Trevor Immelman, and Gary McCord. ESPN took over the rights to early-round and weekend morning coverage from TNT. Supplemental afternoon coverage will be available on ESPN+.

Streaming options: Coverage will be simulcast on CBSSports.com and ESPN+.

How to bet the 2021 PGA Championship and other odds

Futures odds have been up for the 2021 PGA Championship on most major sportsbooks since the conclusion of the 2020 tournament. Those odds have been continuously updated to reflect the results of other tournaments, players being added to the field, and the performance of those in the field. The postponement of the event also had a major influence on the odds to reflect its new position on the schedule and new dates later in the summer.

Odds can range from Johnson’s +850 as the tournament favorite to a longshot of +100000. A $10 futures bet on Johnson to win would return a profit of just $85; the same wager on 2003 champ Shaun Micheel would net a return of $10,000.

Closer to the event, the available betting options will expand greatly. Bettors will be able to wager on Top-5, Top-10, or Top-20 finishes at lower odds but with a greater chance of cashing multiple tickets. Outright favorites with already low odds can become too chalky on these bets, especially for a Top-20 result. There’s little sense in backing someone like McIlroy at -300 or -500 to finish inside the top 20, as a $10 bet fetches a profit of just $2.50 at -400.

Once tee times are released, First Round Leader (FRL) bets also become available. These can offer greater odds than a tournament favorite would have for the outright win. Odds to lead after the second and third rounds will be posted later.

Prop bets group pools of golfers by world ranking, nationality, or other shared traits. These odds depend on how competitive the specified pool is, and how heavily they’re skewed by an outright favorite.

Head-to-head or three-ball lines pit golfers against each other either for the tournament as a whole or round-by-round. These odds are typically the lowest and least profitable golf lines. They can range from -200 to +200 but are generally equal on both sides.

Straight Forecast bets are a good way to get action on heavy favorites in a tournament with a top-heavy field, but are less applicable for the PGA Championship and the other majors. It requires bettors to correctly predict both the first- and second-place finishers and doing so correctly can boost the odds as a parlay.

Each-Way betting hedges against your pick falling short of a win by finishing second, third or anywhere else within a specified range. It’s composed of two bets with one being for the win and the other for the placing.

PGA Championship betting strategy

The three key areas on which to focus when betting the PGA Championship or any PGA Tour tournament are Current Form, Course History, and Key Stats. There’s little course history for Kiawah Island. It last hosted the 2012 PGA Championship, won by McIlroy.

As with any other sport, golfers can perform better or worse than usual within a select sample for any number of reasons. The difficulty lies in being able to tell when these streaks or slumps will begin or end. Experience on and familiarity with a course can also prove advantageous, while past struggles may contribute to a lack of confidence. Certain stats can be tied to success at a course over time.

There’s no exact science for how to weigh these three measures against each other, but all must be considered at each event. Certain shot shapes and player preference for putting on different types of grass are also factors to consider. What are the predominant hazard areas? Does the course favor longer or shorter hitters? What’s the most common length of an approach shot into the green?

Monitoring futures odds over the course of a year is an essential strategy to help get the best value. Take note of the opening odds for favorites and be ready to place a wager if they rise at any point due to a string of poor finishes or injury. Also be cautious of a long shot whose odds are dropping too low. A run of top 10s or a victory or two can take any value out of a bet on someone who remains unlikely to win a major tournament.

Relatedly, public betting action can have a strong effect on the betting odds for any golfer. The more bets placed on a golfer, the lower the books will set their odds to hedge against the potential payouts.

Be sure to hedge against the incredibly difficult task of routinely predicting outright winners. While hitting a winner only once in a while can still be profitable due to high odds of long shots, placing only these bets is sure to lose money more weeks than not. Pair your outright picks with a broader series of Top-5 or Top-10 finishes, head-to-head matchup bets, or props. These are where the consistent gains are made to ensure you can keep coming back week over week.

Biggest betting long shots in PGA Championship history

(Odds courtesy SportsOddsHistory.com)

Shaun Micheel (2003)

Not listed, was part of FIELD at +350

It’s fair to say those who had a hunch Micheel would win the 2003 PGA Championship weren’t justly rewarded. He ranked 169th in the world before his first and only career victory.

Rich Beem (2002)

Not listed, was part of FIELD at +1500

The same can be said for Beem and his 2002 victory, though the odds were at least slightly more profitable. He ranked 73rd in the world after winning The International just two weeks before. They were two of only three professional victories in his career.

David Toms (2001) +7000

Toms started off the run of long-shot winners in the early 2000s in the peak of Tiger vs. The Field. He ranked 20th in the world and worked his way up to eighth by the end of 2001.

Jimmy Walker (2016) +12500

Walker picked up his 10th career win at the 2016 PGA Championship but hasn’t won since. He ranked 48th in the world at the time.

Keegan Bradley (2011) +15000

Bradley took down the 2011 PGA Championship as a PGA Tour rookie at just 25 years old. He ranked 108th in the world after already winning the HP Byron Nelson Championship earlier in the year.

YE Yang (2009) +12500

Ranking 110th in the world, Yang overcame a two-shot deficit to knock off Tiger in his Sunday red. It wasn’t only a breakthrough for Yang, but it also finally showed some cracks in Woods’ long-uncrackable armor.

PGA Championship fun facts

Most wins: 5 – Jack Nicklaus (stroke play era), Walter Hagen (match play era)

Youngest winner: Gene Sarazen (20 years, five months, 22 days) in 1922 at Oakmont Country Club

Youngest qualifier: Gene Sarazen (19 years old) in 1921

Oldest winner: Julius Boros (48 years, 142 days) in 1968

Best comeback: John Mahaffey came back from seven strokes down entering the final round of the 1978 PGA Championship to win with a birdie on the second playoff hole over Tom Watson

Best career score relative to par: Tiger Woods (minus-46, 20 PGA Championships)

PGA Championship FAQ

Who qualifies for the PGA Championship?

The PGA Championship field is capped at 156 golfers each year. Those participants are selected on the following criteria:

  • Every former PGA Championship winner
  • The winners of the last five US Opens
  • Winners of the last five Masters
  • Winners of the last five Open Championships
  • The last three winners of The Players Championships
  • Current Senior PGA Champion
  • The top 15 finishers from the previous PGA Championship, including ties
  • Top 20 finishers from the last PGA Professional Championship (tournament for golf club professionals and teachers who are members of the Professional Golfers’ Association)
  • Top 70 from the official money standings on the PGA Tour for the period beginning one week before the previous year’s PGA Championship and ending two weeks before the current year’s tournament
  • Members of the most recent Ryder Cup teams for the USA and Europe, so long as they’ve remained in the top 100 of the Official World Golf Ranking the week prior to the PGA Championship
  • Any tournament winner co-sponsored or approved by the PGA Tour since the previous year’s PGA Championship

The PGA of America can invite additional players not included in the above criteria.

Vacancies can be filled by those ranked below 70th in the money standings.

Where is the PGA Championship this year?

Kiawah Island Golf Resort, Kiawah Island, S.C.

What are the highest and lowest scores to win the PGA Championship?

Since the PGA Championship was switched from a match play format to stroke play in 1958, four champions have won at 1-over par, but none since 1976. Jay Hebert (1960), Julius Boros (1968), Gary Player (1972) and Dave Stockton (1976) have all done so.

Has anyone ever won back-to-back PGA Championships?

Koepka became the sixth person to win back-to-back PGA Championships with his 2018 and 2019 victories. He joined Denny Shute, Leo Diegel, Gene Sarazen, Tiger Woods and Walter Hagen in accomplishing the feat.

Hagen holds the all-time record with four straight victories from 1924-1927. He shares the all-time record with Nicklaus with five wins.