Peach Bowl Odds: Georgia Vs. Ohio State

College Football Playoff

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The Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl is a College Football Playoff semi-final this season and it kicks off Dec. 31 from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga. The game will be broadcast on ESPN at 8:00 p.m. ET. The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (13-0) square off against the No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) after Georgia chose to play in the Peach Bowl. Traditionally, the Peach Bowl is a matchup between two at-large teams. This page will focus on Peach Bowl betting odds, matchup analysis, and bowl history.

Peach Bowl odds: No. 1 Georgia Vs. No. 4 Ohio State College Football Playoff Semifinal

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Georgia is a favorite over Ohio State in the Peach Bowl with a spot in the National Championship on the line. This number opened at Georgia -6.5 and hasn’t moved, with a key figure of -7 butting up on it. Should that number hit or cross -7, that represents a 17% shift in implied win rate– highest of any single number in college football. The over/under for this game is set at points.

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Why Georgia Can Cover

From everything we’ve seen this season, Georgia is once again the nation’s best team. While their defense isn’t quite 2021-levels of dominant, their offense has taken a notable step forward. Heisman finalist Stetson Bennett led the nation this regular season in passer rating, efficiency, and yards per attempt.

Players like Brock Bowers and Darnell Washington always present matchup nightmares for opposing defenses, but especially against Ohio State, who lacks a go-to coverage linebacker or bigger box safety. The Buckeye defense was pulverized by big plays against Michigan, a similar offensive system.

In the most usable tape for Georgia struggles this season, the Bulldogs were hurt by Missouri’s off-script breakdowns in the secondary. While Heisman finalist CJ Stroud has a myriad of downfield threats to throw to, he’s not a strong off-script QB. He’s also one the least mobile of the recent Ohio State quarterbacks. When Stroud faces pressure, the play is usually over.

Why Ohio State Can Cover

Of the two possible teams Georgia was going to play in the semifinal (Ohio State, TCU), Ohio State was unanimously agreed upon to be the team with the better chance to win this game. Though conservative coaching kept the Buckeyes from beating Michigan and reaching the Big Ten Championship game in each of the last two seasons, their pure talent is undeniable.

Marvin Harrison Jr. might be the most talented receiver Georgia will face this season– even moreso than Biletnikoff winner Jaylin Hyatt. The Buckeyes match the offensive firepower of Tennessee, but with a more talented and capable defense. In college football, talent goes a long way.

However, it’s going to take an aggressive offensive game plan to stretch the Bulldogs’ secondary.

On the flip side, the Georgia offense was in hot water against a strong Missouri defensive line. Easier said than done against a terrific Georgia OL, but it’s a unit that can be beat. Players like JT Tuimoloau and Zach Harrison will need to beat one-on-one blocks to get to Bennett early.

Important Player Notes

Star Ohio State receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba declared for the NFL Draft and will not play in this game. However, the Buckeyes offense operated without him all season long, with JSN battling injury. He played no complete games and recorded just five receptions for 43 yards.

The running back room for Ohio State has been decimated by injury. Miyan Williams has been in and out of lineups and often re-aggravates injuries mid-game while TreVeyon Henderson underwent foot surgery and will not play. The Buckeyes offense struggles when Henderson and/or Williams aren’t playing. Behind those two is a linebacker-converted-RB who entered the season fifth on the depth chart.

Ladd McConkey for Georgia suffered a knee injury in the SEC Championship Game. Per reports that day, it was knee tendinitis and his status should be monitored for this game. McConkey is second in receptions, yards, and touchdowns on the team. Nolan Smith– a prolific linebacker and team captain– will also not play in this game after suffering a torn pec earlier in the year.

Peach Bowl betting

Last year, Michigan State was a 3.5-point favorite against Pittsburgh. The game was surrounded with controversy as Pitt’s Kenny Pickett and Michigan State’s Kenneth Walker III, among other players, opted out of the game to focus on the NFL Draft. Plenty of players have pulled out of bowl games, but very few out of the New Year’s Six bowl. The game also had an over/under of 55.5 points.

The Spartans beat the Panthers 31-21 thanks to a 21-point fourth quarter, propelling them to both a victory. However, the cover came with an all-time bad beat– a Sparty pick-six with just 22 seconds left in the game. The under also hit with 52 combined points. Peyton Thorne was asked to throw the ball 50 times thanks to falling behind, where we threw for over 350 yards and three TDs.

Michigan State capped their first 11-win season since 2015 with the win.

Previous Years

Before last year, four straight Peach Bowls outside of the CFP (2015, 2017, 2018, 2020) saw the underdog cover and three even won outright. As is the trend with most CFP semifinals, the favorite covered handily in both of those (2016, 2019). Point totals have split fairly evenly, but the last three non-semifinal Peach Bowls saw the under cash.

Group of Five at-large teams have traditionally found themselves in the Peach Bowl, with the last three being Cincinnati (2020), UCF (2017), and Houston (2015). The latter two pulled off the upset outright.

History

Below are historical results of the Peach Bowl. Games marked with an asterisk indicate a CFP semifinal matchup.

The first Peach Bowl was played in 1968, making it the second-youngest New Year’s Six behind the Fiesta Bowl (1971). LSU unseated No. 19 Florida State in the inaugural matchup, 31-27.

Date playedWinnerScoreLoserScore
December 31, 2022*1 Georgia424 Ohio State41
December 30, 202111 Michigan State3113 Pittsburgh21
January 1, 202111 Georgia246 Cincinnati21
December 28, 2019*1 LSU634 Oklahoma28
December 29, 201810 Florida418 Michigan15
January 1, 201810 UCF347 Auburn27
December 31, 2016*1 Alabama244 Washington7
December 31, 201514 Houston389 Florida State24
December 31, 20146 TCU429 Mississippi3
December 31, 201320 Texas A&M5222 Duke48
December 31, 201214 Clemson259 LSU24
December 31, 2011Auburn43Virginia24
December 31, 201023 Florida State2619 South Carolina17
December 31, 200912 Virginia Tech37Tennessee14
December 31, 2008LSU3814 Georgia Tech3
December 31, 200722 Auburn2315 Clemson20
December 30, 2006Georgia3114 Virginia Tech24
December 30, 200510 LSU409 Miami (Florida)3
December 31, 200414 Miami (Florida)2720 Florida10
January 2, 2004Clemson276 Tennessee14
December 31, 200220 Maryland30Tennessee3
December 31, 2001North Carolina16Auburn10
December 29, 2000LSU2815 Georgia Tech14
December 30, 199915 Mississippi State17Clemson7
December 31, 199819 Georgia3513 Virginia33
January 2, 199813 Auburn21Clemson17
December 28, 199617 LSU10Clemson7
December 30, 199518 Virginia34Georgia27
January 1, 199523 NC State2816 Mississippi State24
December 31, 199324 Clemson14Kentucky13
January 2, 199319 North Carolina2124 Mississippi State17
January 1, 199212 East Carolina3721 NC State34
December 29, 1990Auburn27Indiana23
December 30, 1989Syracuse19Georgia18
December 31, 1988NC State28Iowa23
January 2, 198817 Tennessee27Indiana22
December 31, 1986Virginia Tech2518 NC State24
December 31, 1985Army31Illinois29
December 31, 1984Virginia27Purdue24
December 30, 1983Florida State28North Carolina3
December 31, 1982Iowa28Tennessee22
December 31, 1981West Virginia26Florida6
January 2, 198120 Miami (Florida)20Virginia Tech10
December 31, 197919 Baylor2418 Clemson18
December 25, 197817 Purdue41Georgia Tech21
December 31, 1977NC State24Iowa State14
December 31, 1976Kentucky2119 North Carolina0
December 31, 1975West Virginia13NC State10
December 28, 1974Texas Tech6Vanderbilt6
December 28, 1973Georgia1718 Maryland16
December 29, 1972NC State4918 West Virginia13
December 30, 197117 Mississippi41Georgia Tech18
December 30, 19708 Arizona State48North Carolina26
December 30, 196919 West Virginia14South Carolina3
December 30, 1968LSU3119 Florida State27

FAQ

When is the 2022 Peach Bowl?

The 2022 Peach Bowl will be played on Dec. 31, 2023 at 8:00 p.m. ET.

Where is the Peach Bowl?

Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga., hosts the Peach Bowl annually since its opening in 2017. It was previously held in the Georgia Dome.

Who is playing in the 2022 Peach Bowl?

No. 1 Georgia faces No. 4 Ohio State in the Peach Bowl semifinal. As the top seed, Georgia was allowed the luxury of choosing which semifinal site they play in.