The Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl is a College Football Playoff semi-final this season and it kicks off Dec. 31 from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga. The game will be broadcast on ESPN at 8:00 p.m. ET. The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (13-0) square off against the No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) after Georgia chose to play in the Peach Bowl. Traditionally, the Peach Bowl is a matchup between two at-large teams. This page will focus on Peach Bowl betting odds, matchup analysis, and bowl history.
Peach Bowl odds: No. 1 Georgia Vs. No. 4 Ohio State College Football Playoff Semifinal
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Georgia is a favorite over Ohio State in the Peach Bowl with a spot in the National Championship on the line. This number opened at Georgia -6.5 and hasn’t moved, with a key figure of -7 butting up on it. Should that number hit or cross -7, that represents a 17% shift in implied win rate– highest of any single number in college football. The over/under for this game is set at points.
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Why Georgia Can Cover
From everything we’ve seen this season, Georgia is once again the nation’s best team. While their defense isn’t quite 2021-levels of dominant, their offense has taken a notable step forward. Heisman finalist Stetson Bennett led the nation this regular season in passer rating, efficiency, and yards per attempt.
Players like Brock Bowers and Darnell Washington always present matchup nightmares for opposing defenses, but especially against Ohio State, who lacks a go-to coverage linebacker or bigger box safety. The Buckeye defense was pulverized by big plays against Michigan, a similar offensive system.
In the most usable tape for Georgia struggles this season, the Bulldogs were hurt by Missouri’s off-script breakdowns in the secondary. While Heisman finalist CJ Stroud has a myriad of downfield threats to throw to, he’s not a strong off-script QB. He’s also one the least mobile of the recent Ohio State quarterbacks. When Stroud faces pressure, the play is usually over.
Why Ohio State Can Cover
Of the two possible teams Georgia was going to play in the semifinal (Ohio State, TCU), Ohio State was unanimously agreed upon to be the team with the better chance to win this game. Though conservative coaching kept the Buckeyes from beating Michigan and reaching the Big Ten Championship game in each of the last two seasons, their pure talent is undeniable.
Marvin Harrison Jr. might be the most talented receiver Georgia will face this season– even moreso than Biletnikoff winner Jaylin Hyatt. The Buckeyes match the offensive firepower of Tennessee, but with a more talented and capable defense. In college football, talent goes a long way.
However, it’s going to take an aggressive offensive game plan to stretch the Bulldogs’ secondary.
On the flip side, the Georgia offense was in hot water against a strong Missouri defensive line. Easier said than done against a terrific Georgia OL, but it’s a unit that can be beat. Players like JT Tuimoloau and Zach Harrison will need to beat one-on-one blocks to get to Bennett early.
Important Player Notes
Star Ohio State receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba declared for the NFL Draft and will not play in this game. However, the Buckeyes offense operated without him all season long, with JSN battling injury. He played no complete games and recorded just five receptions for 43 yards.
The running back room for Ohio State has been decimated by injury. Miyan Williams has been in and out of lineups and often re-aggravates injuries mid-game while TreVeyon Henderson underwent foot surgery and will not play. The Buckeyes offense struggles when Henderson and/or Williams aren’t playing. Behind those two is a linebacker-converted-RB who entered the season fifth on the depth chart.
Ladd McConkey for Georgia suffered a knee injury in the SEC Championship Game. Per reports that day, it was knee tendinitis and his status should be monitored for this game. McConkey is second in receptions, yards, and touchdowns on the team. Nolan Smith– a prolific linebacker and team captain– will also not play in this game after suffering a torn pec earlier in the year.
Peach Bowl betting
Last year, Michigan State was a 3.5-point favorite against Pittsburgh. The game was surrounded with controversy as Pitt’s Kenny Pickett and Michigan State’s Kenneth Walker III, among other players, opted out of the game to focus on the NFL Draft. Plenty of players have pulled out of bowl games, but very few out of the New Year’s Six bowl. The game also had an over/under of 55.5 points.
The Spartans beat the Panthers 31-21 thanks to a 21-point fourth quarter, propelling them to both a victory. However, the cover came with an all-time bad beat– a Sparty pick-six with just 22 seconds left in the game. The under also hit with 52 combined points. Peyton Thorne was asked to throw the ball 50 times thanks to falling behind, where we threw for over 350 yards and three TDs.
Michigan State capped their first 11-win season since 2015 with the win.
Previous Years
Before last year, four straight Peach Bowls outside of the CFP (2015, 2017, 2018, 2020) saw the underdog cover and three even won outright. As is the trend with most CFP semifinals, the favorite covered handily in both of those (2016, 2019). Point totals have split fairly evenly, but the last three non-semifinal Peach Bowls saw the under cash.
Group of Five at-large teams have traditionally found themselves in the Peach Bowl, with the last three being Cincinnati (2020), UCF (2017), and Houston (2015). The latter two pulled off the upset outright.
History
Below are historical results of the Peach Bowl. Games marked with an asterisk indicate a CFP semifinal matchup.
The first Peach Bowl was played in 1968, making it the second-youngest New Year’s Six behind the Fiesta Bowl (1971). LSU unseated No. 19 Florida State in the inaugural matchup, 31-27.
Date played | Winner | Score | Loser | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|
December 31, 2022* | 1 Georgia | 42 | 4 Ohio State | 41 |
December 30, 2021 | 11 Michigan State | 31 | 13 Pittsburgh | 21 |
January 1, 2021 | 11 Georgia | 24 | 6 Cincinnati | 21 |
December 28, 2019* | 1 LSU | 63 | 4 Oklahoma | 28 |
December 29, 2018 | 10 Florida | 41 | 8 Michigan | 15 |
January 1, 2018 | 10 UCF | 34 | 7 Auburn | 27 |
December 31, 2016* | 1 Alabama | 24 | 4 Washington | 7 |
December 31, 2015 | 14 Houston | 38 | 9 Florida State | 24 |
December 31, 2014 | 6 TCU | 42 | 9 Mississippi | 3 |
December 31, 2013 | 20 Texas A&M | 52 | 22 Duke | 48 |
December 31, 2012 | 14 Clemson | 25 | 9 LSU | 24 |
December 31, 2011 | Auburn | 43 | Virginia | 24 |
December 31, 2010 | 23 Florida State | 26 | 19 South Carolina | 17 |
December 31, 2009 | 12 Virginia Tech | 37 | Tennessee | 14 |
December 31, 2008 | LSU | 38 | 14 Georgia Tech | 3 |
December 31, 2007 | 22 Auburn | 23 | 15 Clemson | 20 |
December 30, 2006 | Georgia | 31 | 14 Virginia Tech | 24 |
December 30, 2005 | 10 LSU | 40 | 9 Miami (Florida) | 3 |
December 31, 2004 | 14 Miami (Florida) | 27 | 20 Florida | 10 |
January 2, 2004 | Clemson | 27 | 6 Tennessee | 14 |
December 31, 2002 | 20 Maryland | 30 | Tennessee | 3 |
December 31, 2001 | North Carolina | 16 | Auburn | 10 |
December 29, 2000 | LSU | 28 | 15 Georgia Tech | 14 |
December 30, 1999 | 15 Mississippi State | 17 | Clemson | 7 |
December 31, 1998 | 19 Georgia | 35 | 13 Virginia | 33 |
January 2, 1998 | 13 Auburn | 21 | Clemson | 17 |
December 28, 1996 | 17 LSU | 10 | Clemson | 7 |
December 30, 1995 | 18 Virginia | 34 | Georgia | 27 |
January 1, 1995 | 23 NC State | 28 | 16 Mississippi State | 24 |
December 31, 1993 | 24 Clemson | 14 | Kentucky | 13 |
January 2, 1993 | 19 North Carolina | 21 | 24 Mississippi State | 17 |
January 1, 1992 | 12 East Carolina | 37 | 21 NC State | 34 |
December 29, 1990 | Auburn | 27 | Indiana | 23 |
December 30, 1989 | Syracuse | 19 | Georgia | 18 |
December 31, 1988 | NC State | 28 | Iowa | 23 |
January 2, 1988 | 17 Tennessee | 27 | Indiana | 22 |
December 31, 1986 | Virginia Tech | 25 | 18 NC State | 24 |
December 31, 1985 | Army | 31 | Illinois | 29 |
December 31, 1984 | Virginia | 27 | Purdue | 24 |
December 30, 1983 | Florida State | 28 | North Carolina | 3 |
December 31, 1982 | Iowa | 28 | Tennessee | 22 |
December 31, 1981 | West Virginia | 26 | Florida | 6 |
January 2, 1981 | 20 Miami (Florida) | 20 | Virginia Tech | 10 |
December 31, 1979 | 19 Baylor | 24 | 18 Clemson | 18 |
December 25, 1978 | 17 Purdue | 41 | Georgia Tech | 21 |
December 31, 1977 | NC State | 24 | Iowa State | 14 |
December 31, 1976 | Kentucky | 21 | 19 North Carolina | 0 |
December 31, 1975 | West Virginia | 13 | NC State | 10 |
December 28, 1974 | Texas Tech | 6 | Vanderbilt | 6 |
December 28, 1973 | Georgia | 17 | 18 Maryland | 16 |
December 29, 1972 | NC State | 49 | 18 West Virginia | 13 |
December 30, 1971 | 17 Mississippi | 41 | Georgia Tech | 18 |
December 30, 1970 | 8 Arizona State | 48 | North Carolina | 26 |
December 30, 1969 | 19 West Virginia | 14 | South Carolina | 3 |
December 30, 1968 | LSU | 31 | 19 Florida State | 27 |
FAQ
When is the 2022 Peach Bowl?
The 2022 Peach Bowl will be played on Dec. 31, 2023 at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Where is the Peach Bowl?
Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga., hosts the Peach Bowl annually since its opening in 2017. It was previously held in the Georgia Dome.
Who is playing in the 2022 Peach Bowl?
No. 1 Georgia faces No. 4 Ohio State in the Peach Bowl semifinal. As the top seed, Georgia was allowed the luxury of choosing which semifinal site they play in.