Orange Bowl Odds: Notre Dame Vs. Penn State College Football Playoff Semifinal

The Penn State Nittany Lions (13-2) face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (13-1) in the 2025 Capital One Orange Bowl, a College Football Playoff semifinal. The winner of this one goes on to face the winner of the Cotton Bowl (Ohio State or Texas) for a shot at the National Championship. On display are two of the top handful of defenses in the country, plus a pair of experienced quarterbacks led by sound coaching. Below, we'll look at Orange Bowl odds, including point spread, moneyline, total, and more.

The 2025 Orange Bowl kicks off Jan. 9 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on ESPN from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.

Orange Bowl odds

To place a bet on the Orange Bowl, click on the odds in the table below. Toggle between spread, moneyline, total, or a blended view using the dropdown menu. View college bowl game odds for every game here.

[tallysight url="https://tallysight.com/new/widget/tile/cfb/org:the-lines/event:2024-25-bowl/topic:notre-dame-fighting-irish-penn-state-nittany-lions/variant:2/deeplinks?id=9b688f5c-39e0-4274-8fca-d7c05dd0c4f8"]

Notre Dame opened a -1.5 favorite over Penn State. The over/under opened with a three point discrepancy: 44.5 points at FanDuel Sportsbook and 47.5 points at DraftKings Sportsbook. Circa opened its number at 50.

Notre Dame Team Notes

• Second in the nation with a 11-2-1 ATS mark (Arizona State, 12-2).
• 4-0 both straight up and ATS in postseason games under Marcus Freeman.
• Starting defensive lineman Rylie Mills became the latest Notre Dame starter to suffer an injury. He missed the Sugar Bowl against Georgia (though it seemed not to matter much as ND allowed just 10 points.
• Other starters injured for ND: 2023 All-American corner Benjamin Morrison, pass rusher Jordan Bothelo, defensive lineman Boubacar Traore, corner Jaden Mickey (redshirted and transferred), center Ashton Craig, and left tackle Charles Jagusah.
• Running back Jeremiyah Love left each round of the CFP with the same lower body injury.
• The Fighting Irish last played for a National Championship in 2013, losing to Alabama 42-14.
• ND's special teams scored 17 of its total 23 points in the CFP quarterfinal, including a touchdown on the second half opening kickoff.

Penn State Team Notes

• Held SMU to 58 rushing yards in Round 1 and Heisman runner-up Ashton Jeanty to a season-worst 3.5 yards per carry in the Fiesta Bowl.
• Penn State is 2-0 ATS in the CFP and scored 38 on Oregon in the Big Ten Championship (though failed to cover the +3).
• The Nittany Lions out-rushed postseason opponents 697-349 (three games).
• TE Tyler Warren was targeted 28 times in the postseason so far.
• Penn State's two claimed National Championships came in 1982 and 1986.

Orange Bowl betting

The college football world remembers what happened in the 2023 Orange Bowl. After being snubbed from the College Football Playoff, a decimated and defeated Florida State was blown out by Georgia in one of the worst beatings, not just in bowl history, but in Power Conference football history, losing 63-3. Georgia (-14) easily covered and over 44.5 points was covered by UGA themselves.

Recent Orange Bowls haven't featured very close games. Before last year's result, we saw three comfortable SEC victories. Tennessee, Georgia, and Texas A&M were all favorites, marking a change of guard from a streak of underdog covers. From 2013-2019, underdogs covered five of six spreads, the exception being 2018 Wisconsin (-6.5) over Miami 34-24. Overs are 7-4 in the last 11 games.

History

Below are historical results of the Orange Bowl. Games marked with an "*" indicate a CFP semifinal matchup while "^" indicates a National Championship game.

The first Orange Bowl featured Bucknell and Miami-FL in 1935 at Miami Field. Bucknell won the game 26-0.

FAQ