NFL Receiving Props 2020

Receiving Yards, TDs And More

Every year, the NFL becomes more of a passing league with stud receivers dominating. In 2019, Saints WR Michael Thomas set a new record with 149 receptions and led the league with 1,725 receiving yards.

During the 2020-21 season, sportsbooks are offering a wide array of player proposition bets, including the league leaders in receiving yards, touchdowns, and more. In this article, we break down those season-long propositions with recommendations about specific receivers. Once the season starts, we’ll update this page to include weekly proposition bets for key individual receivers.

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Receiving props 2020

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Most receiving yards

This is an open proposition where bettors can select the WR or tight end they think has the best chance to lead the NFL in receiving yards. Last year, Julio Jones had the highest preseason projection (1,525.5) in terms of receiving yardage, but finished well behind Michael Thomas at the end of the year. Thomas had odds over +1000 on many sportsbooks, so a $10 preseason bet on Thomas to lead the league in receiving yards likely profited $100 or more.

Most receiving TDs

This propositions bettors to pick the receiver most likely to lead the league in receiving scores. While Thomas posted the most yardage last year, Detroit Lions WR Kenny Golladay led the NFL with 11 receiving TDs. Golladay would have been a preseason longshot to lead the league, along with the only other players to finish with double-digit receiving TDs – Rams WR Cooper Kupp and Ravens TE Mark Andrews – so a preseason bet on Golladay likely paid off handsomely.

Player totals: Receiving yards over/under

Instead of betting on the league leaders, bettors can take individual prop bets on specific players. There are projected totals assigned to many of the top receivers in the league with odds for taking the Over or Under on each projection. Once the season gets underway, players will be assigned a projection for specific games. So for example, ahead of the Falcons Week 1 matchup with the Seahawks, there will be a prop on whether Julio Jones tops around 86.5 receiving yards.

 

Player totals: Receiving TDs over/under

The same props are available on a weekly or season-long basis for receiving touchdowns. These props are obviously much lower than receiving totals, which makes sense considering only three players posted double-digit receiving TDs last season. Once the season starts, prop bets will be available on whether star receivers catch 1 or 2 TDs, with the odds usually listed in between each number (example: DeAndre Hopkins O/U 1.5 receiving TDs) to avoid a “push” where the bettor gets their wager back because the outcome falls exactly on the projection.

 

Who will have the most receiving yards in 2020?

It’s hard to bet against Michael Thomas repeating as the receiving champion in terms of yardage and receptions. The Saints offense is a well-oiled machine and Drew Brees is one of the most accurate passers of all time. New Orleans has no 1B option in the passing game, yet Sean Payton and company still find ways to scheme Thomas open, and his hands are incredibly strong. With +450 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, there isn’t great value in taking Thomas against the field. For value, Packers top WR Davante Adams (+1400 at DraftKings and FD Sportsbooks) is a good option to lead the league in receiving with Aaron Rodgers targeting bereft of another reliable target in the passing game.

Colts top WR T.Y. Hilton is a great sleeper to consider as receiving yards champion. He’ll be fresh after an injury-shortened season and is working with a savvy veteran QB in Philip Rivers. Hilton led the NFL in receiving yards in 2016 with Andrew Luck hitting him on plenty of deep crossing routes and Rivers can provide the same type of throws. Hilton is listed with +2800 odds to earn the receiving crown on DK and is still getting some value with +2100 odds at FanDuel.

NFL receiving yards history

YearPlayerTeamYards
2019
Michael ThomasSaints1,725
2018
Julio JonesFalcons1,677
2017
Antonio BrownSteelers1,533
2016T.Y. HiltonColts1,448
2015
Julio JonesFalcons1,871
2014
Antonio BrownSteelers1,698
2013
Josh GordonBrowns1,646
2012
Calvin JohnsonLions1,964
2011
Calvin JohnsonLions1,681
2010
Brandon LloydBroncos1,448
2009Andre JohnsonTexans1,569
2008
Andre JohnsonTexans1,575
2007
Reggie WayneColts1,510
2006
Chad JohnsonBengals1,369
2005
Steve SmithPanthers1,563
2004
Muhsin MuhammadPanthers1,405
2003
Torry HoltRams1,696
2002
Marvin Harrison Colts1,722
2001
David BostonCardinals1,598
2000Torry Holt Rams1,635

NFL receiving TDs history

YearPlayerTeamTDs
2019Kenny GolladayLions11
2018Antonio BrownSteelers15
2017DeAndre HopkinsTexans13
2016Jordy NelsonPackers14
2015Allen Robinson
Brandon Marshall
Doug Baldwin
Jaguars
Jets
Seahawks
14
14
14
2014Dez BryantCowboys16
2013Jimmy GrahamSaints16
2012James JonesPackers14
2011Rob Gronkowski Patriots17
2010Dwayne BoweChiefs15
2009Larry Fitzgerald
Vernon Davis
Randy Moss
Cardinals
49ers
Patriots
13
13
13
2008Calvin Johnson
Larry Fitzgerald
Lions
Cardinals
12
12
2007Randy MossPatriots23
2006Terrell OwensCowboys13
2005Steve Smith
Marvin Harrison
Panthers
Colts
12
12
2004Muhsin MuhammadPanthers16
2003Randy MossVikings17
2002Terrell Owens49ers13
2001Terrell Owens49ers16
2000Randy MossVikings15