Betting NFL player props has never been easier. This page will provide betting odds and player props from legal US betting sites as well as tips and insights to help you put your money in the right place throughout the season. Be sure to use TheLines’ player props search tool to get the best live odds on NFL QB passing props.
NFL QB passing props: Prop search tool
Already have an idea of who you want to bet on? Search for a player below and we’ll direct you to the best betting odds for every possible way to bet on that player. Happy shopping!
NFL Conference Championship Games
Here are some NFL player prop bets to consider this week:
Joe Burrow (Under 280.5 passing yards / Over 24.5 completions)
This number ranges from 280.5 yards at PointsBet to 275.5 yards at BetRivers and the best value can be found by using TheLines Prop Finder tool. While Burrow has been elite over the past two seasons and is a proven playoff winner, he’s gone under his passing yardage prop in both wins so far this postseason, and in three of his last four starts in the regular season.
Burrow has a history of carving up the Chiefs’ defense, including 286 yards on a rather unsustainable 81% completion rate (25-for-31) in a home win on Dec 4. Burrow averaged 269 passing YPG on the road this season compared to 293 passing YPG at home. However, he averaged 26.3 completions in those road games and we would expect the Bengals to keep working on their short passing game with three of their five starting offensive linemen likely inactive again.
Burrow completed 23 of 38 passes for 250 yards in a comeback win in the AFC Championship last year at Kansas City. The only time he’s topped 265 yards in a playoff game came against Tennessee’s impenetrable run defense. The Chiefs are allowing 123 rushing YPG at 5.3 YPC over their last three playoff games, so Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine should remain heavily involved after their impressive showing in Buffalo.
Jalen Hurts (Over 20.5 completions / 246.5 passing yards)
The Cowboys were unable to effectively run the ball against the 49ers last week and the Eagles should have a much more pass-heavy game plan in place after rolling the Giants for 283 rushing yards with Hurts completing just
16 of 24 passes for 154 yards in the easy win. Last year, in his previous playoff outing against a run-stuffing Bucs defense, Hurts went 23-for-43 for 258 yards with a touchdown and two picks. The third-year QB made huge leaps as a passer this season with a 101.5 passer rating and 66.5% completion rate while averaging 246.7 passing YPG. His yardage went down, but his efficiency went up in home games where the Eagles allowed just 18.8 PPG. Philly led the league in pace in neutral situations this season and led the league in pace with a lead of 6-plus points, so Hurts should be given the green light to make plays even if the home favorites start to pull away.
QB passing props 2022
Click the tab in the table below to view season-long NFL betting props.
Most QB passing yards
The bet itself is pretty straightforward – the NFL player with the most passing yards after every team finishes their Week 18 games wins this bet. Looking back at the passing leader from a couple years back, Jameis Winston threw the ball 626 times for 5,109 yards. Most sportsbooks had him at (+1000) to lead the league in passing yards, about fifth on the list of QBs most likely to do so. That means for every $100 placed on the Bucs starting QB to throw for the most yards yielded the bettor $1000 (eg. a $500 wager returned $5,000).
Odds for placing a futures bet will always be juicy considering fans haven’t seen any of their potential choices play a meaningful snap in at least 8 months. But Jameis’s 2019 odds were actually seen as fantastic to most sharks who felt the market was offering a discount on him due to his polarizing stature in the NFL world, which lowered his odds too far.
Most QB passing touchdowns
Also pretty straightforward, the NFL player with the most passing touchdowns after every team finishes their Week 18 games wins this bet. Interestingly, over the last 12 seasons only Drew Brees has led the league in passing TDs twice, doing it back-to-back in 2011 and 2012.
QB totals: Passing yards over/under
In this market, bettors can select a specific quarterback and find a set number designated as his O/U total. For instance, Patrick Mahomes, the consensus best QB in the league, will likely receive the largest futures O/U total on most gambling sites. His O/U total will likely be around 5,000 yards, allowing you to choose between Over that amount or Under it. If you think Mahomes will throw for more than 5,000 yards and he throws 5,001 yards or more, you’re a winner.
Once the regular season begins, there will be weekly O/U totals available for each player in this market as well. These payouts are usually much smaller, hovering between +100 to -250. The obvious benefit over playing futures bets, however, is that you have more context and recent examples to base your decisions upon throughout the season.
QB totals: Passing TDs over/under
Here we use the same concept as our previous market while using a different measurement. Taking Mahomes for our example once again, if his O/U total for touchdowns thrown is set at 38.5, you need to choose if you think he’ll throw for Over or Under that total. If he throws for 38 TDs or less in this scenario, an Under bet will win. If he throws for 39 or more, an Over bet will win.
Once again, like the O/U for passing yards, there will be weekly passing touchdown props for players with accompanying advice throughout the season listed on this page.
Best NFL props betting sites
NFL passing leaders history
| Year | Player | Team | Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Tom Brady | Tampa Bay | 5,316 |
| 2020 | Deshaun Watson | Houston | 4,823 |
| 2019 | Jameis Winston | Tampa Bay | 5,109 |
| 2018 | Ben Roethlisberger | Pittsburgh | 5,129 |
| 2017 | Tom Brady | New England | 4,577 |
| 2016 | Drew Brees | New Orleans | 5,208 |
| 2015 | Drew Brees | New Orleans | 4,870 |
| 2014 | Ben Roethlisberger | Pittsburgh | 4,952 |
| 2013 | Peyton Manning | Denver | 5,477 |
| 2012 | Drew Brees | New Orleans | 5,177 |
| 2011 | Drew Brees | New Orleans | 5,476 |
| 2010 | Philip Rivers | San Diego | 4,710 |