The NFL is back and betting player props has never been easier. This page will provide betting odds and player props from legal US betting sites as well as tips and insights to help you put your money in the right place throughout the season. Be sure to use TheLines’ player props search tool to get the best live odds on a QB.
NFL QB passing props: Prop search tool
Already have an idea of who you want to bet on? Search for a player below and we’ll direct you to the best betting odds for every possible way to bet on that player. Happy shopping!
Week 3 passing prop bet options
Here are some Week 3 NFL passing prop bets to consider.
Lamar Jackson (Over 270.5 pass + rush yards / Over 1.5 touchdowns)
The Patriots will try to take the air out of the ball in this home game, but they might not be able to produce on the ground against a Ravens team that is only allowing 84.5 rushing YPG while facing the highest pass-play rate through two weeks. If Baltimore’s defense continues to struggle against the pass, Jackson will have even more opportunity to keep making plays. He’s been incredible during a contract year with a 120.1 rating while averaging 265.5 passing YPG. Considering he added 119 rushing yards to his huge line against Miami last week, Lamar is a great bet to top this combined passing and rushing prop.
Kyler Murray (Under 281.5 pass + rush yards)
Murray erupted in the fourth quarter and overtime to lead a comeback over the Raiders last week, but there has been nothing encouraging about Arizona’s offensive scheme through two weeks. While his last start against the Rams was quite productive (32-for-49, 383 passing yards, 0 TD, 2 INT) he took four sacks in that game and is averaging a modest 24.3 rushing YPG in his career against Sean McVay’s club. Murray is averaging 233.2 passing YPG with an 81.8 passer rating and taking 3 sacks per game in his career against the Rams. No other defensive front has been able to corral him like Aaron Donald and company.
Josh Allen (Over 274.5 pass yards)
Allen’s prop has opened 5 yards lower at FanDuel and the line is exploitable at PointsBet as well. He can certainly still eclipse 279.5 passing yards as set on most books considering the Bills are passing with ruthless efficiency once again. Allen ranks second in completion rate (73.2%), third in yards per pass (8.5), and fourth in passing YPG (302.5) and his Bills haven’t been challenged yet. Miami (+5.5) projects to give them a run in a game with a 52.5-point total. The Dolphins secondary has been subpar with CB Byron Jones out, as they rank 31st in DVOA pass defense.
QB passing props 2022
Click the tab in the table below to view season long NFL betting props.
Most QB passing yards
The bet itself is pretty straightforward – the NFL player with the most passing yards after every team finishes their Week 18 games wins this bet. Looking back at the passing leader from a couple years back, Jameis Winston threw the ball 626 times for 5,109 yards. Most sportsbooks had him at (+1000) to lead the league in passing yards, about fifth on the list of QBs most likely to do so. That means for every $100 placed on the Bucs starting QB to throw for the most yards yielded the bettor $1000 (eg. a $500 wager returned $5,000).
Odds for placing a futures bet will always be juicy considering fans haven’t seen any of their potential choices play a meaningful snap in at least 8 months. But Jameis’s 2019 odds were actually seen as fantastic to most sharks who felt the market was offering a discount on him due to his polarizing stature in the NFL world, which lowered his odds too far.
Most QB passing touchdowns
Also pretty straightforward, the NFL player with the most passing touchdowns after every team finishes their Week 18 games wins this bet. Interestingly, over the last 12 seasons only Drew Brees has led the league in passing TDs twice, doing it back-to-back in 2011 and 2012.
QB totals: Passing yards over/under
In this market, bettors can select a specific quarterback and find a set number designated as his O/U total. For instance, Patrick Mahomes, the consensus best QB in the league, will likely receive the largest futures O/U total on most gambling sites. His O/U total will likely be around 5,000 yards, allowing you to choose between Over that amount or Under it. If you think Mahomes will throw for more than 5,000 yards and he throws 5,001 yards or more, you’re a winner.
Once the regular season begins, there will be weekly O/U totals available for each player in this market as well. These payouts are usually much smaller, hovering between +100 to -250. The obvious benefit over playing futures bets, however, is that you have more context and recent examples to base your decisions upon throughout the season.
QB totals: Passing TDs over/under
Here we use the same concept as our previous market while using a different measurement. Taking Mahomes for our example once again, if his O/U total for touchdowns thrown is set at 38.5, you need to choose if you think he’ll throw for Over or Under that total. If he throws for 38 TDs or less in this scenario, an Under bet will win. If he throws for 39 or more, an Over bet will win.
Once again, like the O/U for passing yards, there will be weekly passing touchdown props for players with accompanying advice throughout the season listed on this page.
Best NFL props betting sites
NFL passing leaders history
|2021||Tom Brady||Tampa Bay||5,316|
|2019||Jameis Winston||Tampa Bay||5,109|
|2017||Tom Brady||New England||4,577|
|2016||Drew Brees||New Orleans||5,208|
|2015||Drew Brees||New Orleans||4,870|
|2012||Drew Brees||New Orleans||5,177|
|2011||Drew Brees||New Orleans||5,476|
|2010||Philip Rivers||San Diego||4,710|