Betting NFL player props has never been easier. This page will provide betting odds and player props from legal US betting sites as well as tips and insights to help you put your money in the right place throughout the season. Be sure to use TheLines’ player props search tool to get the best live odds on NFL QB passing props.
NFL QB passing props: Prop search tool
Already have an idea of who you want to bet on? Search for a player below and we’ll direct you to the best betting odds for every possible way to bet on that player. Happy shopping!
Super Bowl Passing Props
Here are some of the best Super Bowl props for Mahomes and Hurts:
Patrick Mahomes (Over 25.5 completions / Over 38.5 pass attempts)
There are some interesting head-to-head markets available at DraftKings for Mahomes to throw the first passing touchdown (-140) and combine for more passing and rushing scores (-115) than Hurts.
The Eagles have an advantage on the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, which may actually lead to more scoring from Mahomes, with Hurts handing off in the red zone.
Mahomes has completed at least 26 passes in six of his last seven playoff games. He went 26-for-49 when the Bucs’ defensive line dominated his production in Super Bowl LV and he could see similar volume if the Eagles continue to rush the passer with ferocity. And the Chiefs have almost no hope of running the ball against that front after their RBs managed just 27 rushing yards against the Bengals.
When KC struggled to run the ball down the stretch this season, Andy Reid wisely asked Mahomes to carry the offense, with his superstar QB posting six games with 40-plus pass attempts after Nov 6 this season. Philly is first in neutral situation pace and first in pace during the first half, so there should be plenty of possessions for Mahomes to rack up attempts.
Jalen Hurts (Over 48.5 rushing yards / Over 9.5 rush attempts)
Use TheLines Prop Finder tool to determine the best number for this prop, as some books are offering under 48.5 rushing yards for the Eagles’ dual-threat dynamo. Hurts admitted that his shoulder injury is still a factor, but he plowed for 39 rushing yards on 11 attempts against San Francisco’s second-rated run defense in the NFC Championship.
The Chiefs are a below-average run defense that allowed the fifth-most rushing YPG to QBs and struggled to contain Joe Burrow in their last game. Philly posted a 62.9% rush-play rate in that win over the 49ers and should continue that approach considering their rush-play rate (50%) this season was the fourth-highest in the league.
Hurts is virtually unstoppable when he sneaks in short-yardage situations and his read-option game is a staple of Philly’s offense. Hurts is getting +119 odds at Caesars to rush for a touchdown and +500 at BetMGM to rush for two scores.
QB passing props 2023
Click the tab in the table below to view season-long NFL betting props.
Most QB passing yards
The bet itself is pretty straightforward – the NFL player with the most passing yards after every team finishes their Week 18 games wins this bet. Looking back at the passing leader from a couple years back, Jameis Winston threw the ball 626 times for 5,109 yards. Most sportsbooks had him at (+1000) to lead the league in passing yards, about fifth on the list of QBs most likely to do so. That means for every $100 placed on the Bucs starting QB to throw for the most yards yielded the bettor $1000 (eg. a $500 wager returned $5,000).
Odds for placing a futures bet will always be juicy considering fans haven’t seen any of their potential choices play a meaningful snap in at least 8 months. But Jameis’s 2019 odds were actually seen as fantastic to most sharks who felt the market was offering a discount on him due to his polarizing stature in the NFL world, which lowered his odds too far.
Most QB passing touchdowns
Also pretty straightforward, the NFL player with the most passing touchdowns after every team finishes their Week 18 games wins this bet. Interestingly, over the last 12 seasons only Drew Brees has led the league in passing TDs twice, doing it back-to-back in 2011 and 2012.
QB totals: Passing yards over/under
In this market, bettors can select a specific quarterback and find a set number designated as his O/U total. For instance, Patrick Mahomes, the consensus best QB in the league, will likely receive the largest futures O/U total on most gambling sites. His O/U total will likely be around 5,000 yards, allowing you to choose between Over that amount or Under it. If you think Mahomes will throw for more than 5,000 yards and he throws 5,001 yards or more, you’re a winner.
Once the regular season begins, there will be weekly O/U totals available for each player in this market as well. These payouts are usually much smaller, hovering between +100 to -250. The obvious benefit over playing futures bets, however, is that you have more context and recent examples to base your decisions upon throughout the season.
QB totals: Passing TDs over/under
Here we use the same concept as our previous market while using a different measurement. Taking Mahomes for our example once again, if his O/U total for touchdowns thrown is set at 38.5, you need to choose if you think he’ll throw for Over or Under that total. If he throws for 38 TDs or less in this scenario, an Under bet will win. If he throws for 39 or more, an Over bet will win.
Once again, like the O/U for passing yards, there will be weekly passing touchdown props for players with accompanying advice throughout the season listed on this page.
Best NFL props betting sites
NFL passing leaders history
|2021||Tom Brady||Tampa Bay||5,316|
|2019||Jameis Winston||Tampa Bay||5,109|
|2017||Tom Brady||New England||4,577|
|2016||Drew Brees||New Orleans||5,208|
|2015||Drew Brees||New Orleans||4,870|
|2012||Drew Brees||New Orleans||5,177|
|2011||Drew Brees||New Orleans||5,476|
|2010||Philip Rivers||San Diego||4,710|